04_selectia: capitol reconstruit dupa sablon
Nivelurile 1-2-3, cei 6 pasi cu propozitie de actiune si "Treci mai departe doar daca", mini-glosar de 25 de termeni, checklist. Sursele in fise/04_selectia_surse.md. ULTA nu mai e exemplul-vitrina: e exemplul care PICA filtrul (5.01 % peste suport, RVOL 0.61) desi trece trigger-ul — arata ca selectia si intrarea sunt lucruri separate. Cifrele de intrare si stop care circula pentru el sunt marcate ca estimari ale sursei, care apartin capitolului Buy Doji, si nu mai apar pe desen. Pragul de 3 % de aici masoara close-ul fata de nivel; cel de 1-2 % din Buy Doji masoara low-ul doji-ului. Masuratori diferite — spus explicit, altfel se citesc ca o contradictie. Lichiditatea are o singura formulare, cu mentiunea ca cele trei variante din material sunt aceeasi regula. RVOL sub prag e minus, nu veto: spus o data si repetat identic in checklist. Raman fara diagrama pasul 6 (rvol) si cele 3 stele (trinity); marcajele sunt puse, substituie.py le raporteaza lipsa intentionat. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01ThN7ixZrowca8aTGrK1MUJ
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@@ -2283,6 +2283,6 @@ schelet), <a href="02_mp2.html"><code>02_mp2.md</code></a> (unde; Buy Doji spune
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<li>[ ] (5) Stop sub cel mai jos low din 4 candele; acțiuni = risc / distanță.</li>
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<li>[ ] (6) Ținta 1 = distanța stopului; restul pe trail; ies după 8 candele.</li>
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<li>[ ] Short: piață slabă, preț > 10 $, stop deasupra.</li>
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</ul><nav class="pager"><a class="prev" href="00_harta.html">← 00. 0. Harta — cum se citește documentul și ce alegi când</a><a class="up" href="../index.html#17_STRATEGII">↑ index</a><a class="next" href="02_mp2.html">02. 2. MP2 (Strategia 2, pivoti dubli) →</a></nav>
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</ul><nav class="pager"><a class="prev" href="00_harta.html">← 00. 0. Harta — cum se citește documentul și ce alegi când</a><a class="up" href="../index.html#17_STRATEGII">↑ index</a><a class="next" href="02_mp2.html">02. 2. MP² (Strategia 2, pivoți dubli) →</a></nav>
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nicăieri în material</strong> — NEACOPERIT ÎN MATERIAL.</p>
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<h3 id="diagrama-de-ansamblu">Diagrama de ansamblu</h3>
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<!-- DIAGRAMA: ansamblu -->
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<rect x="24" y="236.5" width="682" height="12.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.10"/><text x="28" y="232.5" fill="#188a3e">SQ — zonă quarterly</text>
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<text x="396" y="305.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle">fără stop-loss standard</text><text x="396" y="318.8" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle">(03_strategia_2_atmi.md:164-169)</text>
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<text x="24" y="26" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — daily: corecție ≥4 % → SQ/PPQ → BIM + verde → intrare → TP +10 %</text>
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<text x="30" y="164.8" fill="#333">100.00 — swing high recent</text>
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<text x="692" y="236.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare 96.00</text>
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<text x="692" y="64.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP +10 % = 105.60</text>
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<text x="24" y="412.2" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="396.0" y="282.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">BIM + candelă verde → intrare</text>
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<text x="24" y="518" fill="#555">Niveluri (100.00 / 96.00 / 105.60) din curs; PPQ/SQ schematice, fără cifre în material.</text>
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<rect x="24" y="297.0" width="682" height="13.2" fill="#7b2fbf" opacity="0.10"/><text x="28" y="324.2" fill="#7b2fbf">zona PPQ 95.80 — aici cumperi</text>
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<text x="367" y="345.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle">fără stop-loss standard — nicio linie sub intrare</text>
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<text x="24" y="26" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — daily: corecție ≥4 % → zona PPQ → BIM + verde → intrare → TP +10 %</text>
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<text x="692" y="82.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP +10 % = 105.60</text>
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<text x="24" y="375.1" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="367.0" y="323.1" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">prima candelă verde → intrare</text>
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<text x="571.0" y="149.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ieși cu tot</text>
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<text x="24" y="481" fill="#555">100.00 / 96.00 / 105.60 sunt cifrele exemplului din curs; PPQ 95.80 e calculat în diagrama pasului 1 (cursul nu dă valorile pivoților).</text>
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</svg></p>
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<!-- /DIAGRAMA: ansamblu -->
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|
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@@ -547,127 +542,127 @@ materialului nu se închid perfect; vezi 2.4.</p>
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</table>
|
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<h3 id="22-setup-a-vs-setup-mediocru">2.2 Setup A+ vs. setup mediocru</h3>
|
||||
<p>Aceeași corecție, două deznodăminte. Diagrama le pune alături.</p>
|
||||
<!-- DIAGRAMA: aplus -->
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<!-- DIAGRAMA: corectie -->
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 680 557" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — daily: aceeași corecție, 4.0 % (DA) vs. 3.9 % (NU)</text>
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<text x="652" y="150.8" fill="#333" text-anchor="end">100.00 — swing high</text>
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<text x="652" y="222.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">96.00 = 4.0 % — DA, intri</text>
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<text x="652" y="167.6" fill="#333" text-anchor="end">100.00 — swing high</text>
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<text x="24" y="373.0" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="332.0" y="209.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">BIM</text>
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<text x="348.0" y="271.9" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">candelă verde → trigger</text>
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<text x="24" y="471.0" fill="#188a3e">Regula e pe procent, nu pe cât de dramatică arată linia: calea NU pare o cădere mare, dar e 3.9 %.</text>
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<text x="24" y="496" fill="#555">Calea DA (candele): 4.0 % la 96.00. Calea NU (punctat): 3.9 % („3.93 %” în curs) — fără intrare.</text>
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<text x="652" y="239.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">96.10 = 3.9 % — NU, sub prag</text>
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<text x="652" y="252.6" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">zonă quarterly</text>
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<text x="24" y="183.8" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">calea DA (candelele)</text>
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<text x="24" y="422.5" fill="#555">volum</text>
|
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<text x="332.0" y="237.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">BIM</text>
|
||||
<text x="348.0" y="301.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">candelă verde → trigger</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="520.5" fill="#188a3e">Regula e pe procent, nu pe cât de dramatică arată linia: calea NU pare o cădere mare, dar e 3.9 %.</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="545" fill="#555">Calea DA (candele): 4.0 % la 96.00. Calea NU (punctat): 3.9 % („3.93 %” în curs) — fără intrare.</text>
|
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<text x="30" y="225.5" fill="#c00">96.10 = 3.9 % — NU, sub prag</text>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="280.1" fill="#7b2fbf">zona PPQ 95.80 — aici cumperi</text>
|
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|
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</svg></p>
|
||||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: aplus -->
|
||||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: corectie -->
|
||||
|
||||
<table>
|
||||
<thead>
|
||||
@@ -859,13 +854,13 @@ PPQ/SQ intermediate nu sunt date de curs. Structura barelor dintre nivele
|
||||
e construită de mine; cifrele de intrare/țintă sunt ale materialului.</p>
|
||||
</blockquote>
|
||||
<!-- DIAGRAMA: exemplu -->
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 660 363" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — weekly: intrare 117.43 (27.01.2005) → TP +10 % = 129.17</text>
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 660 380" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — monthly: intrare ianuarie 2005 la 117.43 → TP1 +10 % = 129.17</text>
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<text x="30" y="161.5" fill="#188a3e">intrare 117.43</text>
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<text x="632" y="161.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare 117.43</text>
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<text x="632" y="50.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP1 129.17 (+10 %)</text>
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@@ -902,46 +897,32 @@ e construită de mine; cifrele de intrare/țintă sunt ale materialului.</p>
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@@ -968,27 +949,21 @@ e construită de mine; cifrele de intrare/țintă sunt ale materialului.</p>
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<text x="24" y="211.1" fill="#555">volum</text>
|
||||
<text x="205.0" y="104.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">swing high ~123.00</text>
|
||||
<text x="280.0" y="141.2" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">BIM</text>
|
||||
<text x="295.0" y="195.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">27.01.2005</text>
|
||||
<text x="607.0" y="86.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">TP1</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="309.1" fill="#188a3e">după TP: capital + profit → cash până la următorul trigger valid</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="326.1" fill="#188a3e">TP1 atins ~1 an mai târziu (data exactă neclară în transcriere — ASR)</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="351" fill="#555">Swing high ~123.00 construit de mine; cifrele de intrare/TP sunt din material.</text>
|
||||
<text x="490.0" y="87.1" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">TP1</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="309.1" fill="#188a3e">trigger-ul (BIM + candela verde daily) se petrece în interiorul lunii de intrare — vezi diagrama pasului 4</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="326.1" fill="#188a3e">după TP: capital + profit → cash până la următorul trigger valid</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="343.1" fill="#188a3e">TP1 atins 13 luni mai târziu — „aproximativ un an" în material (ziua exactă e neclară în transcriere)</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="368" fill="#555">Grafic lunar, ca să încapă orizontul poziției. Swing high-ul e al meu; intrarea și ținta sunt din material.</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: exemplu -->
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -1282,6 +1257,6 @@ reinvestirea; cad BIM/trigger-ul proprietar, universul de indici US, levierul
|
||||
<li>Risc și execuție: <a href="A1_risc.html"><code>A1_risc.md</code></a>.</li>
|
||||
<li>Contradicțiile din material, toate la un loc:
|
||||
<a href="A2_contradictii.html"><code>A2_contradictii.md</code></a>.</li>
|
||||
</ul><nav class="pager"><a class="prev" href="04_selectia.html">← 04. 4. Selecția simbolului (filtrul de dinaintea oricărei strategii)</a><a class="up" href="../index.html#17_STRATEGII">↑ index</a><a class="next" href="06_hammer_mbt10.html">06. 6. Buy hammer si MBT-10 →</a></nav>
|
||||
</ul><nav class="pager"><a class="prev" href="04_selectia.html">← 04. 4. Selecția simbolului (pe ce te uiți, înainte de orice strategie)</a><a class="up" href="../index.html#17_STRATEGII">↑ index</a><a class="next" href="06_hammer_mbt10.html">06. 6. Buy hammer si MBT-10 →</a></nav>
|
||||
</body>
|
||||
</html>
|
||||
|
||||
121
summaries/17_STRATEGII/fise/04_selectia_surse.md
Normal file
121
summaries/17_STRATEGII/fise/04_selectia_surse.md
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,121 @@
|
||||
# Surse — 4. Selecția simbolului
|
||||
|
||||
Trimiterile la material pentru [`04_selectia.md`](../04_selectia.md).
|
||||
Stau aici, nu în capitol: în corpul tutorialului îngreunează cititul, dar
|
||||
fără ele nu se mai poate verifica nimic. Cifrele sunt linii din fișierele
|
||||
de sumarizare, nu din transcrieri, acolo unde nu se spune altfel.
|
||||
|
||||
Textul fără trimitere e explicația mea și nu adaugă reguli; ce completez eu
|
||||
începe cu **Completare proprie**. Diagramele sunt exemple construite: la
|
||||
ULTA sunt ale cursului close 373.30, suportul monthly 355.48, pivotul
|
||||
monthly 383.74 și RVOL 0.61 (procentele sunt calculate din ele); la HIG sunt
|
||||
ale cursului doar simbolul, semnalul Sell Doji + Bear Reversal și RVOL 200 %
|
||||
— toate prețurile de pe desen sunt construite.
|
||||
|
||||
**Prescurtări:**
|
||||
`sel` = [`11_selectia_simbolului.md`](../../08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/11_selectia_simbolului.md)
|
||||
(fișierul principal al procesului) ·
|
||||
`fisa` = [`fise/selectia.md`](selectia.md) (fișa din care vine capitolul) ·
|
||||
`fscore` = [`08_piotrowski_f_score.md`](../../16_ANALIZA_FUNDAMENTALA/08_piotrowski_f_score.md) ·
|
||||
`impl` = [`09_implementare_f_score_tradestation.md`](../../16_ANALIZA_FUNDAMENTALA/09_implementare_f_score_tradestation.md) ·
|
||||
`perf` = [`06_indicatorul_de_performanta.md`](../../03_MODUL_2/06_indicatorul_de_performanta.md) ·
|
||||
`power` = [`09_indicatorul_power.md`](../../03_MODUL_2/09_indicatorul_power.md) ·
|
||||
`scanere` = [`11_construire_scanere_sf_byd_sld.md`](../../03_MODUL_2/11_construire_scanere_sf_byd_sld.md) ·
|
||||
`filtre` = [`01_filtre_scaner_bull_bear_reversal_pp.md`](../../04_MODUL_3/01_filtre_scaner_bull_bear_reversal_pp.md) ·
|
||||
`sinteza` = [`10_sinteza.md`](../../08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/10_sinteza.md) ·
|
||||
`volum` = [`05_volum.md`](../../08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/05_volum.md) ·
|
||||
`mdsrt` = [`02_strategia_5_mdsrt.md`](../../05_MODUL_4/02_strategia_5_mdsrt.md) ·
|
||||
`DECIZII` = [`triaj/DECIZII.md`](../../../triaj/DECIZII.md) (registrul de triaj
|
||||
al materialului) ·
|
||||
`SHORTLIST` = [`00_SHORTLIST.md`](../00_SHORTLIST.md) ·
|
||||
fișierele datate sunt sesiuni Q&A din `../../09_QA/`; fișierele `.txt` sunt
|
||||
transcrieri din `transcripts/`.
|
||||
|
||||
**Nivelul 1 (ce face selecția, ULTA, fraza de decizie)** — `sel`: 5-6, 37-40,
|
||||
831-833 · `DECIZII`: 23-26, 45 · `filtre`: 89-94, 174-183, 305-309.
|
||||
|
||||
**Mini-glosar** — `scanere`: 40-78, 53-57 (universuri), 70-73 (volum),
|
||||
296-304 · `sel`: 72, 158-164, 815-822 (radarscreen), 259-324 (P/E),
|
||||
393-408 (scor -1 / scor dubios), 439-442, 555-568 (trinity), 652-700
|
||||
(sectoare), 741-747 (RVOL) · `fscore`: 4-49, 70-72 · `impl`: 45-46, 91-96,
|
||||
268-269 · `perf`: 3-11, 60-70 · `power`: 3-14 · `09_2025-12-09`: 180-196
|
||||
(media pe 10, nu pe 50) · `19_2025-09-08`: 53-54 (numărătoarea de 5 stele) ·
|
||||
`mdsrt`: 4-9, 34-42 (celălalt sens al lui „trinity").
|
||||
|
||||
**Pasul 1 (univers, lichiditate, preț)** — `scanere`: 53-57, 70-73 ·
|
||||
`impl`: 70-76 · `28_2025-05-27`: 372-380, 390-391 (toate condițiile pe
|
||||
același timeframe).
|
||||
|
||||
**Pasul 2 (scorul fundamental)** — `sel`: 158-164 (scala), 199-221, 225-257
|
||||
(scannerul fundamental, cazurile de respingere), 204 (4/14 și 6/14
|
||||
continuă), 212-213 (citatul de departajare), 227-228, 248, 326-391
|
||||
(cash flow), 393-408 (scor anormal), 418-420 (ETF-uri), 863-865 (pragul de
|
||||
excludere, nespus) · `fscore`: 70-72, 74-84 · `impl`: 45-46, 91-96, 268-269 ·
|
||||
`DECIZII`: 48, 325-329.
|
||||
|
||||
**Pasul 3 (sectorul dominant)** — `sel`: 88 (sortarea „săptămânal", doar în
|
||||
tabelul introductiv), 639-657, 679, 701-717 · `volum`: 1494-1506 ·
|
||||
`DECIZII`: 45, 182, 318.
|
||||
|
||||
**Pasul 4 (suport / pivot, 3 %)** — `sel`: 719-728, 787-803 · `filtre`:
|
||||
36-42 · `09_2025-12-09`: 1177-1180 (pivoții sunt „1 la 1" cu cei clasici).
|
||||
|
||||
**Pasul 5 (cadranele RS)** — `sel`: 486-499, 501-508, 538-545, 730-739,
|
||||
856-859 · `perf`: 3-11, 60-70 · `19_2025-09-08`: 56-60 (nu merge pe
|
||||
commodities) · `INDEX_TEMATIC` (Q&A): 518-520 ·
|
||||
`transcripts/03_MODUL_2/06_6_INDICATORUL_DE_PERFORMANTA.txt`: 6 (definiția
|
||||
cadranului 3) · `transcripts/08_ANALIZĂ_ZILNICĂ/122_23022026.txt`: 87, 103-106 ·
|
||||
`DECIZII`: 320, 323.
|
||||
|
||||
**Pasul 6 (relative volume)** — `sel`: 741-747, 749-751, 766-770, 836-838,
|
||||
866-867 · `filtre`: 303-327 (scanerul real: 0.86 / 1.03 / 0.61; recomandarea
|
||||
de `Display`, nu filtru dur) · `09_2025-12-09`: 180-196, 198-207 ·
|
||||
`DECIZII`: 319, 321.
|
||||
|
||||
**Oglinda pe short** — `sel`: 486-499 (cadranele 3-4) · `filtre`: 185-201.
|
||||
|
||||
**Cele 3 stele (Trinity)** — `sel`: 555-568, 555-627, 776-785 · `power`:
|
||||
3-14 · `transcripts/03_MODUL_2/09_9_INDICATORUL_POWER.txt`: 1, 4-12 ·
|
||||
`DECIZII`: 322.
|
||||
|
||||
**Radarscreen** — `sel`: 72, 815-825.
|
||||
|
||||
**Departajarea (trend → volum → fundamental)** — `sel`: 805-813.
|
||||
|
||||
**A+ vs. mediocru** — `sel`: 202-203, 488, 493-499, 639-651, 719-728,
|
||||
766-770, 805-813 · `perf`: 490-504.
|
||||
|
||||
**ULTA** — `filtre`: 89-94 (close 373.30, suport monthly 355.48, pivot
|
||||
monthly 383.74, procentele), 174-183 (estimările de intrare, stop și ținte,
|
||||
care aparțin capitolului de intrare), 305-309 (RVOL 0.61).
|
||||
|
||||
**HIG** — `filtre`: 185-201 (simbolul, semnalul, lista de 16), 196-199
|
||||
(RVOL 200 %), 199-201, 293-296 (prețurile lipsesc din curs).
|
||||
|
||||
**Ce nu acoperă selecția** — `sel`: 831-833 (trigger-ul) · `fisa`: 43-45
|
||||
(durata), 145-153, 161-166 (stop-loss), 168-172 (TP / tranșe), 294-309
|
||||
(sizing).
|
||||
|
||||
**Gotchas** — `sel`: 393-408, 493-499, 749-770, 831-833, 841-846, 847-850 ·
|
||||
`sinteza`: 564-573 · `impl`: 45-46, 268-269.
|
||||
|
||||
**Contradicții** — (1) `sel`: 493-499, 501-508 · `perf`: 337-342, 441-452,
|
||||
494-496 (ACN) · `transcripts/08_ANALIZĂ_ZILNICĂ/122_23022026.txt`: 103-106;
|
||||
(2) `sel`: 439-442, 856-859 ·
|
||||
`transcripts/03_MODUL_2/06_6_INDICATORUL_DE_PERFORMANTA.txt`: 6 ·
|
||||
`transcripts/08_ANALIZĂ_ZILNICĂ/122_23022026.txt`: 87 ·
|
||||
`transcripts/08_ANALIZĂ_ZILNICĂ/99_27032026.txt`: 89 (scăparea
|
||||
„îmbunătățire"); (3) `sel`: 555-568 · `mdsrt`: 4-9, 34-42 ·
|
||||
`19_2025-09-08`: 53-54; (4) `sel`: 204, 863-865; (5) `sel`: 866-867;
|
||||
(6) `power`: 3-14 · `sel`: 860-862; (7) `sel`: 88, 679, 707.
|
||||
|
||||
**Transfer** — `impl`: 91-96 (ATM-score cere premium) · `fisa`: 311-333,
|
||||
315-321 (procentele de supraviețuire) · `SHORTLIST`: 84-86 (0,5 % risc pe
|
||||
trade, pe prop) · `fscore`: 24-49, 70-72 (rețeta F-score) · `perf`: 3-11
|
||||
(conceptul de RS) · `09_2025-12-09`: 1177-1180 (pivoții) · `sel`: 259-324
|
||||
(P/E față de minimul de 5 ani), 787-803 (pragul de 3 %).
|
||||
|
||||
**Exerciții** — `filtre`: 185-201 (lista de 16 rezultate).
|
||||
|
||||
**Exemplul complet, absent** — `fisa`: 290-292 (materialul nu duce niciun
|
||||
simbol real prin tot fluxul).
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user