Versiunea finala a sumarizarii Q&A 15.07.2025
Commit-ul 9c5556c a prins fisierul la mijlocul scrierii, cu marcatorii
<!--SVG:...--> inca nesubstituiti, deci fara nicio diagrama randata.
Acum sunt cele patru diagrame generate cu svg_candles: double bottom-ul
pe SPY 5 min, capcana de breakeven la 50%, si perechea DA/NU de Fair
Value Gap pe NVDA.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01MtSTyTmt6AbCL9j5ajEDm1
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@@ -21,7 +21,112 @@ Short-urile intrate pe breakdown rămân prinse pe pierdere. Al doilea picior a
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fost "spike-ul [...] să-i scoată pe ăștia care au swing low-ul de-aici" —
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adică să atingă stopurile puse sub primul low.
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 5 min</text>
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<text x="592" y="254.7" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">swing low 1 = 622.40</text>
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<text x="24" y="325.7" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="231.0" y="302.7" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">picior 1</text>
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<text x="350.0" y="148.7" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakdown: intră short-urile</text>
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<text x="384.0" y="319.7" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">picior 2 = 621.40 (mai jos) · buy hammer</text>
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<text x="24" y="432" fill="#555">9 candele între picioare (minimul cerut: 5). Hammer-ul închide la 622.60, înapoi peste pivot.</text>
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</svg>
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**Ce se întâmplă mecanic la spike (completarea mea):** stopurile long-urilor
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de sub swing low-ul 1 sunt ordine de vânzare la piață, iar short-urile de pe
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@@ -62,14 +167,93 @@ jos. Tot ultimele două swing low-uri importante contează.
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Întrebare: cum știi că ai ajuns la jumătate din câștig?
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**Răspunsul:** măsori distanța până la stop. "Dacă toblosul tău e 100 [...],
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când ai atunci 50, pac, ți-ai mutat" stopul la breakeven.
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**Răspunsul:** măsori distanța până la stop. "Dacă toblosul tău e 100 să
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spunem, când ai atunci 50, pac, ți-ai mutat la 50 toblosul" — adică la
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jumătatea drumului muți stopul (la breakeven, cum era regula din întrebare).
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**Dar recomandarea lui e să lași mai mult de 50%**, pentru că "s-ar putea să
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o căla 50, bang, înapoi te-a scoate și la revedere". Prețul face pullback, te
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o căla 50, bang, înapoi te-a scos și la revedere". Prețul face pullback, te
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scoate la breakeven, apoi urcă fără tine. Motivul: "știți cum retestează".
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">AMD — 60 min</text>
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<text x="30" y="63.2" fill="#188a3e">163.00 = 2R</text>
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<text x="30" y="195.2" fill="#b06000">157.00 = 50% din drum (0.5R)</text>
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<text x="30" y="239.2" fill="#1a1a1a">intrare 155.00 = BE</text>
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<text x="592" y="327.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL inițial 151.00 (R = 4.00)</text>
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<rect x="362.0" y="214.4" width="10" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="515.0" y="95.6" width="10" height="19.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="537.0" y1="71.4" x2="537.0" y2="102.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="549.0" y="62.6" width="10" height="15.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="571.0" y1="56.0" x2="571.0" y2="78.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="566.0" y="62.6" width="10" height="8.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="282.0" y="216.6" fill="#1a1a1a" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">intrare</text>
|
||||
<text x="333.0" y="178.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">SL → BE</text>
|
||||
<text x="384.0" y="270.7" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest 154.75: scos la BE</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="387" fill="#555">Cu SL-ul inițial 151.00 rămâneai în trade (minimul retestului 154.75). Cifre construite de mine.</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
**Alternativa pe care a dat-o:** intri cu 2 poziții (sau 3). Una o închizi la
|
||||
1:2, restul ține cu stopul la breakeven și vezi mai departe ce se întâmplă. A
|
||||
@@ -98,11 +282,135 @@ gap-ului, prima atinsă la pullback. Plasarea exactă e alegerea mea.
|
||||
|
||||
**DA — pullback-ul vine și atinge 1:1:**
|
||||
|
||||
<!--SVG:fvg_da-->
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 463" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">NVDA — 60 min · DA</text>
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<text x="592" y="103.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP 1:1 = 173.70</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="227.0" x2="606" y2="227.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="221.0" fill="#1a1a1a" text-anchor="end">limit 170.60 = low-ul candelei C</text>
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<text x="30" y="312.2" fill="#1a5fb4">high-ul candelei A = 168.20</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="344.8" x2="606" y2="344.8" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
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<text x="592" y="338.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 167.50 = low-ul candelei A</text>
|
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<rect x="39.0" y="379.0" width="10" height="15.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="56.0" y="394.2" width="10" height="15.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="78.0" y1="375.2" x2="78.0" y2="420.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="73.0" y="386.6" width="10" height="22.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="95.0" y1="375.2" x2="95.0" y2="413.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="90.0" y="386.6" width="10" height="15.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="180.0" y1="333.4" x2="180.0" y2="382.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="214.0" y1="318.2" x2="214.0" y2="344.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="209.0" y="325.8" width="10" height="3.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="231.0" y1="208.0" x2="231.0" y2="329.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="248.0" y1="185.2" x2="248.0" y2="227.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="265.0" y1="166.2" x2="265.0" y2="208.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="260.0" y="173.8" width="10" height="22.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="282.0" y1="147.2" x2="282.0" y2="185.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="277.0" y="154.8" width="10" height="19.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="147.2" x2="299.0" y2="192.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.0" y="154.8" width="10" height="26.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="316.0" y1="173.8" x2="316.0" y2="215.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="328.0" y="204.2" width="10" height="11.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="350.0" y1="181.4" x2="350.0" y2="227.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="345.0" y="189.0" width="10" height="26.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="367.0" y1="151.0" x2="367.0" y2="196.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="362.0" y="158.6" width="10" height="30.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="384.0" y1="128.2" x2="384.0" y2="166.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="379.0" y="135.8" width="10" height="22.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="401.0" y1="94.0" x2="401.0" y2="143.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="396.0" y="101.6" width="10" height="34.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="418.0" y1="75.0" x2="418.0" y2="113.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="413.0" y="86.4" width="10" height="15.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="435.0" y1="75.0" x2="435.0" y2="109.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="430.0" y="86.4" width="10" height="11.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="452.0" y1="56.0" x2="452.0" y2="109.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="447.0" y="67.4" width="10" height="30.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="214.0" y="364.8" fill="#1a1a1a" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A</text>
|
||||
<text x="248.0" y="175.2" fill="#1a1a1a" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">C</text>
|
||||
<text x="333.0" y="254.6" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">pullback în gap: limit executat</text>
|
||||
<text x="418.0" y="65.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">TP</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="451" fill="#555">A, marubozu, C. Gap 168.20–170.60. Risc 3.10 = țintă 3.10 (1:1). Cifre construite de mine.</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
**NU — prețul nu mai revine:**
|
||||
|
||||
<!--SVG:fvg_nu-->
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 392" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">NVDA — 60 min · NU</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="217.2" x2="606" y2="217.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="211.2" fill="#1a1a1a" text-anchor="end">limit 170.60 — neexecutat</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="279.6" x2="606" y2="279.6" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="273.6" fill="#1a5fb4">168.20</text>
|
||||
<line x1="44.0" y1="313.4" x2="44.0" y2="339.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.0" y="321.2" width="10" height="10.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="61.0" y1="323.8" x2="61.0" y2="349.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="56.0" y="331.6" width="10" height="10.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="78.0" y1="318.6" x2="78.0" y2="349.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="73.0" y="326.4" width="10" height="15.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="95.0" y1="318.6" x2="95.0" y2="344.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="90.0" y="326.4" width="10" height="10.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="112.0" y1="305.6" x2="112.0" y2="344.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="107.0" y="313.4" width="10" height="23.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="129.0" y1="305.6" x2="129.0" y2="331.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="124.0" y="313.4" width="10" height="10.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="146.0" y1="297.8" x2="146.0" y2="331.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="141.0" y="305.6" width="10" height="18.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="163.0" y1="297.8" x2="163.0" y2="323.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="158.0" y="305.6" width="10" height="10.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="180.0" y1="290.0" x2="180.0" y2="323.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="175.0" y="297.8" width="10" height="18.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="197.0" y1="279.6" x2="197.0" y2="305.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="192.0" y="287.4" width="10" height="10.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="214.0" y1="279.6" x2="214.0" y2="297.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="209.0" y="284.8" width="10" height="2.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="231.0" y1="204.2" x2="231.0" y2="287.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="226.0" y="206.8" width="10" height="78.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="248.0" y1="188.6" x2="248.0" y2="217.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="243.0" y="196.4" width="10" height="10.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="265.0" y1="170.4" x2="265.0" y2="204.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="260.0" y="175.6" width="10" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="282.0" y1="152.2" x2="282.0" y2="183.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="277.0" y="157.4" width="10" height="18.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="294.0" y="157.4" width="10" height="10.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="345.0" y="126.2" width="10" height="7.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<rect x="362.0" y="113.2" width="10" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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|
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<line x1="401.0" y1="89.8" x2="401.0" y2="108.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="396.0" y="95.0" width="10" height="7.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="418.0" y1="71.6" x2="418.0" y2="110.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="413.0" y="79.4" width="10" height="23.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="435.0" y1="56.0" x2="435.0" y2="87.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="430.0" y="63.8" width="10" height="15.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="452.0" y1="56.0" x2="452.0" y2="79.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="447.0" y="63.8" width="10" height="7.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="214.0" y="317.8" fill="#1a1a1a" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A</text>
|
||||
<text x="248.0" y="237.2" fill="#1a1a1a" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">C</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="380" fill="#555">A, marubozu, C. Minimul de după C: 171.10, peste limit. Ordinul nu se execută, ratezi mișcarea.</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
**De ce nu-l folosește:** în exemplele arătate live, pullback-ul în gap nu a
|
||||
venit: "Zici-mi unde s-a întâmplat pullback. Never ever, la revedere."
|
||||
@@ -152,7 +460,7 @@ pieței". Nu judeci o strategie după primul trade.
|
||||
vârful anterior cu un Buy Doji. "By doji în situația asta are rol de
|
||||
breakout peste un preview swing high." Urmează un pullback care se oprește
|
||||
mai sus decât swing low-ul anterior, deci higher low.
|
||||
- **Trigger MP²:** AMD era în MP² 1 pe daily. Trigger-ul a venit la 19:30,
|
||||
- **Trigger MP²:** AMD era în MP² 1. Trigger-ul a venit la 19:30,
|
||||
piața a închis, a doua zi gap-up. Low-urile citite pe grafic: 141.60 și
|
||||
141.90. Pe ziua sesiunii, AMD a urcat 6,50 (unitatea nu e clară în
|
||||
înregistrare).
|
||||
@@ -203,13 +511,15 @@ inovație.
|
||||
|
||||
Ce a arătat pe grafic:
|
||||
|
||||
- **XLE** (sectorul de energie): -1.48, într-un suport. **CVX** a picat sub
|
||||
- **XLE** (sectorul de energie): "minus 148" (probabil -1.48%), într-un suport. **CVX** a picat sub
|
||||
pivot.
|
||||
- **CEG** (Constellation Energy): ~300 de dolari, prezent în portofoliile
|
||||
fondurilor mari.
|
||||
- **NLR** (ETF VanEck pe uraniu): downtrend, apoi breakout cu Buy Hammer din
|
||||
pivotul monthly.
|
||||
- **IONQ**: de la 18 la 30, aproape +100%.
|
||||
- **IONQ** nu mai făcuse nimic. Un alt small cap de AI (numele nu se înțelege
|
||||
în înregistrare) urcase de la 18 la 30. El a zis "100% aproape"; calculul dă
|
||||
+67%.
|
||||
- **NVDA**: urcase după ridicarea restricției de vânzare către China.
|
||||
Descending wedge, breakout, apoi bull flag. Acum aproape de rezistența
|
||||
monthly, 174.
|
||||
@@ -223,7 +533,8 @@ Ce a arătat pe grafic:
|
||||
dar suma cu care intri e de trei ori mai mică.
|
||||
- **Levierul costă overnight.** Dacă ai levier, plătești comisioane ca să
|
||||
rămâi peste noapte ("cămătari legali"). Fără levier poți sta cât vrei.
|
||||
Trading 212 l-a recomandat pentru ETF-urile cu levier deja inclus.
|
||||
A recomandat Trading 212 pentru ETF-uri ca UDOW și a spus că e bun și pe
|
||||
futures, cu comisioane overnight mici.
|
||||
- **UDOW** = DIA cu levier 3. **SDOW** = DIA short cu levier 3, deci merge
|
||||
invers.
|
||||
- **Short pe acțiuni HTB (hard to borrow) în TradeStation:** în general te
|
||||
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user