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572 lines
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<nav class="crumbs"><a href="../index.html">Sumarizări</a><span class="sep">/</span><a href="../index.html#03_MODUL_2">Modulul 2</a><span class="sep">/</span>#9 — Indicatorul Power</nav><h1 id="modul-2-9-indicatorul-power">Modul 2 / #9 — Indicatorul Power</h1>
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<h2 id="tldr">TLDR</h2>
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<p>Power e o histogramă proprie cursului + o medie mobilă (MA) a histogramei,
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care măsoară <strong>cât de tare/susținut e trend-ul curent</strong> — nu performanța
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relativă la un benchmark, cum face Relative Strength
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(<a href="06_indicatorul_de_performanta.html"><code>06_indicatorul_de_performanta.md</code></a>), ci
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tăria mișcării în sine, plus cât de departe s-a dus prețul de mediile lui
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mobile (zonă de overbought/oversold). În modul "pro" ("color the stages"),
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histograma și panta MA se colorează în <strong>patru cadrane</strong>, aceeași logică
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1/2/3/4 ca la Relative Strength. Cea mai mare valoare practică din curs:
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Power e descris explicit ca <strong>cel mai rapid indicator leading</strong> din cei trei
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folosiți (Power, Relative Strength, Volum) — reacționează prin divergență
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înaintea celorlalți doi, deci anunță o schimbare de trend din timp.</p>
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<h2 id="cele-patru-cadrane-color-the-stages">Cele patru cadrane (color the stages)</h2>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 420 320" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">Power (histogramă) ↑</text>
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<line x1="20" y1="150" x2="380" y2="150" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
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<text x="385" y="155" fill="#666">0</text>
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<polyline points="70,80 160,215 250,80 340,190" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="20" y="300" fill="#333">- - - MA (media mobilă a histogramei Power)</text>
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<rect x="50" y="50" width="40" height="100" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<text x="15" y="40" fill="#1a5fb4">1: trend foarte puternic</text>
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<rect x="140" y="150" width="40" height="40" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<text x="100" y="207" fill="#c025b0">2: îmbunătățire (magenta)</text>
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<text x="205" y="92" fill="#0d3868">3: înrăutățire</text>
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<text x="292" y="236" fill="#c00">4: subperformanță</text>
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</svg></p>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>Cadranul 1 — trend foarte puternic:</strong> histograma peste 0 ȘI peste MA.
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Trend-ul e susținut și încă accelerează. De preferat pentru long.</li>
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<li><strong>Cadranul 2 — îmbunătățire (magenta):</strong> histograma sub 0, dar peste MA —
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în curs vine explicit din zona de downtrend, semn de posibilă revenire
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spre uptrend. De preferat, alături de cadranul 1, pentru long.</li>
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<li><strong>Cadranul 3 — înrăutățire:</strong> histograma peste 0, dar sub MA — trend-ul
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încă arată pozitiv per total, dar vine din cadranul 1 și pierde teren;
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primul semn că trend-ul "e pe sfârșite".</li>
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<li><strong>Cadranul 4 — subperformanță:</strong> histograma sub 0 ȘI sub MA, culoare
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roșie — schimbarea de trend e deja confirmată (downtrend sau consolidare).</li>
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</ul>
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<p><em>Notă despre transcriere: cursul descrie cadranele 1-2-4 relativ clar
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(cadranul 1 = trend strong, cadranul 2 = revenire din downtrend, cadranul 4 =
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subperformanță confirmată, histograma roșie sub 0), dar cadranul 3 e descris
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doar narativ ("vin din cadranul 1 și trec spre subperformanță"). Poziția
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exactă (peste 0, sub MA) e completarea mea, dedusă din aceeași logică
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folosită deja la Relative Strength — cadranele 1-2 trebuie să acopere "peste
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MA" iar 3-4 "sub MA", altfel cele patru cadrane nu s-ar acoperi complet.</em></p>
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<h2 id="ce-inseamna-mecanic-peste-0-si-peste-ma-aici-pe-power">Ce înseamnă mecanic "peste 0" și "peste MA" — aici, pe Power</h2>
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<p>Prima dată când introduc ideea în acest fișier, o explic o singură dată
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înainte de a o folosi mai jos. Linia de 0 nu compară cu un benchmark (ca la
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RS) — separă "trend activ, cu putere reală" (peste 0) de "trend slab sau
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inexistent" (sub 0). MA-ul histogramei e media ultimelor valori de putere a
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trend-ului: peste MA înseamnă puterea curentă <strong>crește</strong> față de recent
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(accelerare), sub MA înseamnă <strong>scade</strong> chiar dacă semnul nu s-a schimbat
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încă. De-aia cadranul 2 (sub 0, dar peste MA) prinde revenirea de trend
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<strong>înainte</strong> ca histograma să treacă efectiv peste 0 — arată accelerare a
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puterii, nu putere pozitivă încă atinsă. Simetric, cadranul 3 (peste 0, dar
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sub MA) arată un trend încă pozitiv, dar care încetinește, cu bare tot mai
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mici — bară mai mare decât precedenta = trend care se întărește, bară mai
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mică decât precedenta = trend care slăbește, exact ce spune cursul explicit
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la început (linia 5 din transcriere).</p>
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<p>MA-ul reacționează mai lent decât histograma (transcriere, linia 9) — de-aia
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prima verificare e mereu histograma, panta MA e confirmarea de-al doilea
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pas, nu semnalul principal.</p>
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<h2 id="zone-de-overboughtoversold-mecanismul">Zone de overbought/oversold — mecanismul</h2>
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<p>Pe lângă tăria trend-ului, Power măsoară <strong>cât de departe e prețul de cele
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două medii mobile ale lui</strong>. Mecanismul, o singură dată: o medie mobilă e
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media prețurilor recente — cu cât prețul curent se îndepărtează mai mult de
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ea, cu atât mai mulți traderi din piață au poziții deschise departe de
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"prețul mediu recent", ceea ce înseamnă mai multă presiune latentă de
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revenire (profit-taking pentru cei care au prins mișcarea, sau mean
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reversion pentru cei care pariază pe revenire la medie) — de-aia distanța
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mare de MA tinde statistic să se reducă, fie prin corecție de preț, fie prin
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MA care "prinde din urmă" prețul.</p>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 423" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — daily</text>
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<text x="389.0" y="42.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">distanță mare = overbought</text>
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<text x="24" y="411" fill="#555">Albastru punctat = moving average; roșu = distanța față de preț (risc de corecție).</text>
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</svg></p>
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<p>Aceeași logică, oglindit, pentru oversold: prețul mult sub mediile lui
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mobile → presiune latentă de revenire în sus.</p>
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<h2 id="divergente-bullbear-pe-power-cel-mai-rapid-dintre-cei-trei-indicatori">Divergențe bull/bear pe Power — cel mai rapid dintre cei trei indicatori</h2>
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<p>Aceeași idee ca divergența pe volum din
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<a href="../01_MODUL_1/06_divergente.html"><code>01_MODUL_1/06_divergente.md</code></a> — prețul face
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un nou extrem, dar histograma Power nu confirmă (face un extrem mai slab) —
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aplicată pe tăria trend-ului. Cursul insistă pe un punct specific: în
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exemplele reale (Google, Pfizer, McDonald's), divergența pe Power apare
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<strong>înaintea</strong> divergenței pe Relative Strength și pe Volum — de-aia e numit
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"leading, total leading" (transcriere, linia 96). Practic: dacă vezi
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divergență pe Power dar RS/Volum încă nu arată nimic, nu ignora semnalul
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doar pentru că celelalte două nu-l confirmă încă — ele pot confirma mai
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târziu, după ce mișcarea a pornit deja.</p>
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<h2 id="long-vs-short-dupa-cadran">Long vs short după cadran</h2>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>Long:</strong> cauți cadranul 1 sau 2, ideal cu prețul la suport.</li>
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<li><strong>Short:</strong> cauți cadranul 3 sau 4, ideal cu prețul la rezistență.</li>
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</ul>
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<p>La fel ca la RS, cadranul singur nu e un semnal de intrare — e context. Fără
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un nivel de preț (suport/rezistență) care să dea un stop-loss logic, un
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cadran favorabil e doar "trend-ul arată bine acum", nu un trigger.</p>
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<h2 id="cum-tranzactionezi-efectiv-power-de-la-filtru-la-trade">Cum tranzacționezi efectiv Power — de la filtru la trade</h2>
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<p><strong>De ce urmărești asta, concret:</strong> te ajută să detectezi o schimbare de
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trend cu câteva bare înainte ca prețul să o confirme vizual — reduce șansa
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să rămâi într-un trade după ce puterea reală din spatele mișcării a
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dispărut deja, chiar dacă prețul încă nu a întors.</p>
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<p><strong>Ce faci când îl vezi:</strong> verifici cadranul curent (1/2 pentru long, 3/4
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pentru short), cauți divergență bull/bear ca semnal timpuriu, și confirmi cu
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un nivel de preț (suport/rezistență) — nu intri doar pe divergența Power,
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la fel ca la orice set-up.</p>
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<p><strong>Trigger valid vs. prea devreme — DA/NU:</strong>
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- <strong>DA:</strong> divergență Power (histogramă face extrem mai slab decât prețul) +
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preț la suport/rezistență + candelă de confirmare pe preț.
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- <strong>NU:</strong> divergență Power vizibilă, dar prețul e la mijlocul range-ului,
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fără nivel care să dea un stop-loss logic ("chasing" pe un singur
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indicator).
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- <strong>NU:</strong> cadranul potrivit (1/2), dar fără nicio schimbare recentă de
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cadran și fără divergență — doar "trend-ul e puternic acum" nu e un
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trigger de intrare, e confirmare pentru un trigger găsit în altă parte.</p>
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<h3 id="exemplu-1-long-eurusd-divergenta-bull-la-suport-cadranul-42">Exemplu 1 — Long: EURUSD, divergență bull la suport, cadranul 4→2</h3>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 556" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">EURUSD — daily</text>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP 1.0925 — rezistența anterioară</text>
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<text x="592" y="242.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">entry 1.0861 (break peste trigger 1.0856)</text>
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<text x="592" y="275.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">1.0850 — suport weekly</text>
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<text x="592" y="326.0" fill="#888" text-anchor="end">SL 1.0833</text>
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<rect x="39.5" y="95.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="65.0" x2="59.0" y2="104.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="74.0" width="9" height="21.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="56.0" x2="74.0" y2="110.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="74.0" width="9" height="27.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="92.0" x2="89.0" y2="134.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="101.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="104.0" x2="104.0" y2="134.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="113.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="104.0" x2="119.0" y2="158.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="113.0" width="9" height="36.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="140.0" x2="134.0" y2="185.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="149.0" width="9" height="27.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="155.0" x2="149.0" y2="185.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="164.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="164.0" width="9" height="39.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="170.0" x2="389.0" y2="200.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="179.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="146.0" x2="404.0" y2="200.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="155.0" width="9" height="36.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="119.0" x2="419.0" y2="164.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="128.0" width="9" height="27.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="119.0" x2="434.0" y2="149.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<text x="179.0" y="267.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A: 1.0862</text>
|
||
<text x="314.0" y="341.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B: 1.0838</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="376" fill="#555">Power (histogramă) + MA-5 punctat</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="453.0" x2="606" y2="453.0" stroke="#888"/>
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<text x="600" y="457.0" fill="#666">0</text>
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<rect x="39.5" y="442.1" width="9" height="10.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="449.4" width="9" height="3.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="7.3" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="14.6" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="21.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="29.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="36.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="40.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="47.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="51.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="40.1" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="32.8" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="29.1" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="32.8" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="36.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="32.8" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="29.1" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="25.5" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="10.9" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="3.6" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="449.4" width="9" height="3.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="442.1" width="9" height="10.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="438.4" width="9" height="14.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="434.8" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="431.1" width="9" height="21.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="427.5" width="9" height="25.5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<polyline points="104.0,458.8 119.0,466.8 134.0,474.9 149.0,481.4 164.0,488.0 179.0,493.8 194.0,496.0 209.0,495.3 224.0,493.1 239.0,490.2 254.0,487.2 269.0,485.8 284.0,485.1 299.0,484.3 314.0,481.4 329.0,476.3 344.0,470.5 359.0,463.9 374.0,456.6 389.0,450.1 404.0,444.3 419.0,439.2 434.0,434.8" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="179.0" y="519.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A: -1.4 (cadran 4)</text>
|
||
<text x="314.0" y="447.0" fill="#c025b0" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B: -0.5 (cadran 2)</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="546" fill="#555">Higher low pe Power în timp ce prețul face minim nou = divergență bull.</text>
|
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</svg></p>
|
||
<p>La primul minim (A, 1.0862) Power e la -1.4, cadranul 4 — trend-ul de
|
||
scădere e confirmat și puternic. La al doilea minim (B, 1.0838, sub suportul
|
||
de 1.0850), Power urcă la -0.5 și trece peste propriul MA — cadranul 2,
|
||
îmbunătățire — deși prețul a coborât mai jos. Divergență bull. Confirmare:
|
||
candelă bullish, închide la 1.0856. Intrare <strong>long 1.0861</strong> (break peste
|
||
high-ul candelei de confirmare). Stop-loss <strong>1.0833</strong> (sub B — dacă prețul
|
||
recoboară acolo, divergența e invalidată). Take-profit <strong>1.0925</strong>
|
||
(rezistența anterioară). Risc 28 pips, recompensă 64 pips → risc/recompensă
|
||
≈ 1:2.3.</p>
|
||
<h3 id="exemplu-2-short-xom-divergenta-bear-la-rezistenta-cadranul-13">Exemplu 2 — Short: XOM, divergență bear la rezistență, cadranul 1→3</h3>
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 681" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">XOM — daily</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 118.30 — peste maximul B</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="72.5" x2="606" y2="72.5" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="66.5" fill="#1a5fb4">118.00 — rezistență monthly</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="160.5" x2="606" y2="160.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="154.5" fill="#1a1a1a" text-anchor="end">intrare short 116.40</text>
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<text x="592" y="451.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP 111.00 — suportul anterior</text>
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<rect x="39.5" y="424.5" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="388.7" x2="59.0" y2="432.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="397.0" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="388.7" x2="74.0" y2="421.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="397.0" width="9" height="16.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="361.2" x2="89.0" y2="421.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="331.0" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="251.2" x2="134.0" y2="306.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="259.5" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="207.2" x2="149.0" y2="267.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="188.0" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="138.5" x2="179.0" y2="196.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="155.0" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="155.0" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="179.7" x2="209.0" y2="234.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="218.2" x2="224.0" y2="256.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="226.5" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="212.7" x2="239.0" y2="256.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="221.0" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="174.2" x2="254.0" y2="229.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="182.5" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="141.2" x2="269.0" y2="190.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="113.7" x2="284.0" y2="157.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="122.0" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="102.7" x2="299.0" y2="130.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="111.0" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="78.0" x2="314.0" y2="119.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="94.5" width="9" height="16.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="89.0" x2="329.0" y2="157.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="94.5" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="127.5" x2="344.0" y2="179.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="339.5" y="133.0" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="163.2" x2="359.0" y2="212.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="171.5" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="196.2" x2="374.0" y2="251.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="204.5" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="212.7" x2="389.0" y2="251.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="221.0" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="212.7" x2="404.0" y2="273.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="221.0" width="9" height="44.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="256.7" x2="419.0" y2="311.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="265.0" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="295.2" x2="434.0" y2="344.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="303.5" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="449.0" y1="311.7" x2="449.0" y2="344.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="320.0" width="9" height="16.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<text x="179.0" y="128.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A: 116.80</text>
|
||
<text x="314.0" y="199.3" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B: 117.90</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="501" fill="#555">Power (histogramă) + MA-5 punctat</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="578.0" x2="606" y2="578.0" stroke="#888"/>
|
||
<text x="600" y="582.0" fill="#666">0</text>
|
||
<rect x="39.5" y="574.8" width="9" height="3.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="54.5" y="568.4" width="9" height="9.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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||
<rect x="69.5" y="562.1" width="9" height="15.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="84.5" y="555.7" width="9" height="22.3" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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||
<rect x="99.5" y="552.5" width="9" height="25.5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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||
<rect x="114.5" y="549.3" width="9" height="28.7" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="129.5" y="542.9" width="9" height="35.1" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="539.8" width="9" height="38.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="533.4" width="9" height="44.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="527.0" width="9" height="51.0" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="536.6" width="9" height="41.4" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="542.9" width="9" height="35.1" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="546.1" width="9" height="31.9" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="542.9" width="9" height="35.1" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="542.9" width="9" height="35.1" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="546.1" width="9" height="31.9" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="549.3" width="9" height="28.7" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="552.5" width="9" height="25.5" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="558.9" width="9" height="19.1" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="568.4" width="9" height="9.6" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="574.8" width="9" height="3.2" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="3.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="9.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="6.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="12.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="15.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="19.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="15.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<polyline points="104.0,562.7 119.0,557.6 134.0,552.5 149.0,548.0 164.0,543.6 179.0,538.5 194.0,535.9 209.0,535.9 224.0,537.2 239.0,539.1 254.0,542.3 269.0,544.2 284.0,545.5 299.0,546.8 314.0,550.0 329.0,555.0 344.0,560.8 359.0,567.2 374.0,574.2 389.0,579.3 404.0,583.7 419.0,587.6 434.0,590.8 449.0,592.0" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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||
<text x="179.0" y="521.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A: +1.6 (cadran 1)</text>
|
||
<text x="314.0" y="593.0" fill="#0d3868" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B: +0.6 (cadran 3)</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="671" fill="#555">Risc 1.90, câștig 5.40 (2.84R). Power face maxim mai mic: divergență bear.</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<p>La primul maxim (A, 116.80) Power e la +1.6, cadranul 1 — trend-ul de
|
||
creștere era încă foarte puternic. La al doilea maxim (B, 117.90, maxim
|
||
nou), Power scade la +0.6 și trece sub propriul MA — cadranul 3,
|
||
înrăutățire — deși prețul a urcat mai sus. Divergență bear. Confirmare:
|
||
candelă bearish, închide la 116.90. Intrare <strong>short 116.40</strong> (break sub
|
||
low-ul candelei). Stop-loss <strong>118.30</strong> (peste B). Take-profit <strong>111.00</strong>
|
||
(suportul anterior). Risc 1.90 (118.30 − 116.40), recompensă 5.40 (116.40 −
|
||
111.00) → risc/recompensă ≈ 1:2.8 — un stop strâns, chiar deasupra
|
||
rezistenței sparte, e ce face raportul favorabil aici; dacă stop-loss-ul
|
||
ar fi trebuit plasat mult mai departe de rezistență (de ex. peste un swing
|
||
high mai vechi), raportul s-ar deteriora rapid, exact genul de calcul pe
|
||
care Power singur nu-l face în locul tău.</p>
|
||
<h3 id="exemplu-3-folosirea-power-ca-semnal-de-marcare-partiala-de-profit">Exemplu 3 — folosirea Power ca semnal de marcare parțială de profit</h3>
|
||
<p>Cursul descrie explicit acest caz (transcriere, liniile 98-104): ești deja
|
||
<strong>long</strong> dintr-un trade anterior; nu ai nevoie de un semnal nou de intrare,
|
||
ci de un semnal de ieșire parțială. Pe măsură ce trend-ul avansează, Power
|
||
trece din cadranul 1 în cadranul 3 (înrăutățire) — asta nu invalidează încă
|
||
trade-ul (nu e cadranul 4), dar e semnalul să începi să marchezi profit pe o
|
||
parte din poziție, mai ales dacă prețul se apropie de o rezistență
|
||
cunoscută.</p>
|
||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 525" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — daily</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">118.00 — rezistență</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="290.0" x2="606" y2="290.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
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<text x="592" y="284.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">entry inițial 100.00</text>
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<line x1="44.0" y1="285.5" x2="44.0" y2="301.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.5" y="290.0" width="9" height="6.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="273.8" x2="59.0" y2="294.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="278.3" width="9" height="11.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="264.7" x2="74.0" y2="282.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="269.2" width="9" height="9.1" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="264.7" x2="89.0" y2="278.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="269.2" width="9" height="5.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="254.2" x2="104.0" y2="278.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="258.8" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="242.6" x2="119.0" y2="263.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="247.1" width="9" height="11.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="242.6" x2="134.0" y2="255.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="247.1" width="9" height="3.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="230.9" x2="149.0" y2="255.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="235.4" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="219.2" x2="164.0" y2="239.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="223.7" width="9" height="11.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="219.2" x2="179.0" y2="232.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="223.7" width="9" height="3.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="194.0" y1="207.5" x2="194.0" y2="232.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="212.0" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="194.5" x2="209.0" y2="216.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="199.0" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="194.5" x2="224.0" y2="208.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="199.0" width="9" height="5.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="182.8" x2="239.0" y2="208.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="187.3" width="9" height="16.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="171.1" x2="254.0" y2="191.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="175.6" width="9" height="11.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="171.1" x2="269.0" y2="184.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="161.3" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="145.1" x2="299.0" y2="165.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="149.6" width="9" height="11.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="145.1" x2="314.0" y2="158.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="149.6" width="9" height="3.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="130.8" x2="329.0" y2="158.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="135.3" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="117.8" x2="344.0" y2="139.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="122.3" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="106.1" x2="359.0" y2="126.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="110.6" width="9" height="11.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="91.8" x2="374.0" y2="115.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="96.3" width="9" height="14.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="76.2" x2="389.0" y2="100.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="80.7" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="58.0" x2="404.0" y2="85.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="62.5" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="58.0" x2="419.0" y2="72.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="62.5" width="9" height="5.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="56.7" x2="434.0" y2="72.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="61.2" width="9" height="6.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="449.0" y1="56.7" x2="449.0" y2="69.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="61.2" width="9" height="3.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="404.0" y="145.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">50% la ~117.50</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="345" fill="#555">Power (histogramă) + MA-5 punctat</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="422.0" x2="606" y2="422.0" stroke="#888"/>
|
||
<text x="600" y="426.0" fill="#666">0</text>
|
||
<rect x="39.5" y="417.8" width="9" height="4.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="415.6" width="9" height="6.4" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="69.5" y="413.5" width="9" height="8.5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="84.5" y="411.4" width="9" height="10.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="99.5" y="409.2" width="9" height="12.8" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="114.5" y="407.1" width="9" height="14.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="129.5" y="405.0" width="9" height="17.0" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="144.5" y="402.9" width="9" height="19.1" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="159.5" y="400.8" width="9" height="21.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="174.5" y="398.6" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="189.5" y="396.5" width="9" height="25.5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="204.5" y="394.4" width="9" height="27.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="219.5" y="392.2" width="9" height="29.8" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="234.5" y="390.1" width="9" height="31.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="249.5" y="388.0" width="9" height="34.0" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="264.5" y="385.9" width="9" height="36.1" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="279.5" y="383.8" width="9" height="38.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="294.5" y="381.6" width="9" height="40.4" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="309.5" y="379.5" width="9" height="42.5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="324.5" y="377.4" width="9" height="44.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="339.5" y="375.2" width="9" height="46.8" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="354.5" y="373.1" width="9" height="48.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="369.5" y="372.1" width="9" height="49.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="384.5" y="371.0" width="9" height="51.0" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="399.5" y="379.5" width="9" height="42.5" fill="#0d3868"/>
|
||
<rect x="414.5" y="383.8" width="9" height="38.2" fill="#0d3868"/>
|
||
<rect x="429.5" y="381.6" width="9" height="40.4" fill="#0d3868"/>
|
||
<rect x="444.5" y="388.0" width="9" height="34.0" fill="#0d3868"/>
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||
<polyline points="104.0,413.5 119.0,411.4 134.0,409.2 149.0,407.1 164.0,405.0 179.0,402.9 194.0,400.8 209.0,398.6 224.0,396.5 239.0,394.4 254.0,392.2 269.0,390.1 284.0,388.0 299.0,385.9 314.0,383.8 329.0,381.6 344.0,379.5 359.0,377.4 374.0,375.5 389.0,373.8 404.0,374.2 419.0,375.9 434.0,377.6 449.0,380.8" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="224.0" y="386.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">cadranul 1</text>
|
||
<text x="404.0" y="355.5" fill="#0d3868" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">cadranul 3 → marchezi profit</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="515" fill="#555">Long deja deschis: marchezi 50%, restul rulează cu stop la break-even.</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<p>Intrare inițială long 100.00. Prețul urcă, Power stă în cadranul 1 tot
|
||
drumul — nimic de făcut, lași profitul să curgă. Când prețul se apropie de
|
||
rezistența 118.00 și Power trece în cadranul 3, marchezi profit pe jumătate
|
||
din poziție (~117.50) și, pentru restul, urci stop-loss-ul la break-even
|
||
(100.00) sau mai sus — prețul poate continua (cum s-a și întâmplat în
|
||
exemplul din curs), dar dacă Power trece mai departe în cadranul 4 confirmi
|
||
că trend-ul chiar s-a schimbat și ieși complet din rest.</p>
|
||
<h2 id="gotchas-practice-cele-mai-importante">Gotchas practice — cele mai importante</h2>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><strong>Nu aștepta cadranul 4 ca să reacționezi dacă ești deja în profit.</strong>
|
||
Cadranul 3 (înrăutățire) e semnalul de "începe să te pregătești", nu
|
||
cadranul 4 — până acolo poți pierde deja o parte din profit acumulat.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Divergența pe Power poate apărea înaintea RS și Volumului — nu aștepta
|
||
confirmarea lor ca să iei semnalul în calcul</strong>, dar tot ai nevoie de un
|
||
nivel de preț și o candelă de confirmare înainte să intri, nu doar de
|
||
divergența singură.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Nu tranzacționa doar pe cadran, fără nivel de preț</strong> — la fel ca la
|
||
Relative Strength, cadranul 1 fără context de suport/rezistență nu-ți dă
|
||
un punct de intrare, stop sau target.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Panta MA-ului reacționează cu întârziere</strong> — folosește-o ca a doua
|
||
confirmare, nu ca primul semnal; primul e mereu histograma.</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
<h2 id="referinte">Referințe</h2>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><a href="https://chartschool.stockcharts.com/table-of-contents/chart-analysis/chart-types/relative-rotation-graphs-rrg-charts">StockCharts ChartSchool — Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG Charts)</a> — aceeași structură conceptuală de patru cadrane (leading/weakening/lagging/improving) ca "color the stages" de aici.</li>
|
||
<li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/articles/technical/03/052103.asp">Investopedia — Overbought or Oversold? Use the Relative Strength Index to Find Out</a> — mecanismul general al distanței preț-medie mobilă ca semnal de overbought/oversold, aceeași idee ca zona respectivă a Power-ului.</li>
|
||
<li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/divergence.asp">Investopedia — Divergence: What It Means and How It Works in Investing</a> — definiția generală a divergenței bull/bear folosită și aici.</li>
|
||
<li><a href="https://chartschool.stockcharts.com/table-of-contents/technical-indicators-and-overlays/technical-overlays/moving-averages">StockCharts ChartSchool — Moving Averages</a> — rolul mediei mobile ca linie de referință pentru "cât de departe s-a dus prețul".</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
<hr />
|
||
<p><em>Notă: secțiunea "Ce înseamnă mecanic", "Zone de overbought/oversold" (cu
|
||
diagramă), poziția exactă a cadranului 3, secțiunea "Cum tranzacționezi
|
||
efectiv", toate cele trei exemple numerice cu diagrame (EURUSD, XOM, marcare
|
||
parțială de profit) și gotchas-urile sunt completări ale mele, dincolo de ce
|
||
spune explicit transcrierea — cursul descrie mecanismul calitativ (cadrane,
|
||
divergență, overbought/oversold, marcare de profit) pe grafice live din
|
||
TradeStation, fără niveluri de intrare/stop/target explicite.</em></p><nav class="pager"><a class="prev" href="08_volumul_sangele_pietei.html">← 08. #8 — Volumul: sângele pieței</a><a class="up" href="../index.html#03_MODUL_2">↑ index</a><a class="next" href="10_buysell_momentum_trigger.html">10. #10 — Buy/Sell Momentum Trigger →</a></nav>
|
||
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|
||
</html>
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