Grafice reale in Modulele 3 si 4 si in Analiza Fundamentala (39 de diagrame)
Conversie facuta de un agent, in 14 fisiere. Exemplele de trade sunt acum serii continue cu volum: filtrele de scaner (ULTA, HIG cu RVOL 2.04x), patternurile din Modulul 3 cu DA/NU pe retest, strategia ATMI cu pragul de 4%, MP2 cu gap si cazurile de spike, head & shoulders in ambele directii pe EURUSD si XAU (cu volum maxim la cap si crescut la breakout), MDSRT cu short-ul in oglinda, MBP cu managementul pozitiei, plus exemplele din analiza fundamentala. Ramase deliberat in forma veche, cu motiv tehnic: diagramele cu pivoti in trepte din MP2 si cele cu TICUS din MBP - generatorul nu stie sa deseneze pivoti in trepte sau panouri de indicator cu benzi Bollinger, iar textul se refera explicit la ele. La fel, diagramele de order flow, locatoarele mici si schemele conceptuale. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01MtSTyTmt6AbCL9j5ajEDm1
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Claude Agent
@@ -155,35 +155,214 @@ dar decurge direct):</strong> volumul din ziua de witching <strong>nu confirmă
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breakout</strong>. Peste tot în curs, volumul mare la spargerea unui nivel e
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semnalul că mișcarea e reală. În ziua de witching, volumul e generat de
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obligații contractuale, nu de convingere.</p>
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<text x="20" y="18" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">DA — breakout cu volum, zi obișnuită</text>
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<text x="28" y="99" fill="#1a5fb4">nivel spart</text>
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<text x="28" y="292" fill="#188a3e">Volumul crește ODATĂ cu mișcarea</text>
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<text x="28" y="308" fill="#188a3e">și rămâne mare după.</text>
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<text x="350" y="18" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">NU — vinerea de witching</text>
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<text x="358" y="99" fill="#1a5fb4">același nivel</text>
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<text x="440" y="72" fill="#c00">spargere care nu ține</text>
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<text x="358" y="292" fill="#c00">Volum uriaș doar în ziua expirării,</text>
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<text x="358" y="308" fill="#c00">apoi revine la normal. Prețul se întoarce.</text>
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">DA — breakout cu volum, zi obișnuită (daily)</text>
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<text x="30" y="163.8" fill="#1a5fb4">nivel spart 100.00</text>
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<text x="24" y="267.3" fill="#555">volum — crește ODATĂ cu mișcarea și rămâne mare după</text>
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">NU — vinerea de witching (daily)</text>
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<text x="30" y="76.8" fill="#1a5fb4">același nivel 100.00</text>
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<text x="24" y="178.4" fill="#555">volum — uriaș doar în ziua expirării, apoi revine la normal</text>
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<text x="418.0" y="42.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">vinerea de witching</text>
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<text x="486.0" y="172.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">spargere care nu ține — prețul se întoarce</text>
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</svg></p>
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<p><strong>Testul practic:</strong> volumul de witching e <strong>izolat într-o singură zi</strong> și
|
||||
dispare luni. Volumul care confirmă un breakout <strong>persistă</strong> în zilele
|
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@@ -198,18 +377,90 @@ trader care nu tranzacționează opțiuni deloc.</p>
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neutri, își acoperă poziția cumpărând sau vânzând activul suport. Cât timp
|
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prețul e <strong>aproape de un strike cu volum mare</strong>, acoperirea lor merge
|
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<strong>împotriva</strong> mișcării:</p>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 290" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="8" y="14" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
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<text x="60" y="60" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">strike 600 — cel mai mare volum de opțiuni deschise</text>
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<text x="60" y="100" fill="#c00">peste strike: market makerii VÂND — împing prețul în jos</text>
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<text x="200" y="208" fill="#188a3e">sub strike: market makerii CUMPĂRĂ — împing prețul în sus</text>
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<text x="60" y="256" fill="#333">Prețul e tras înapoi spre strike de fiecare dată când se depărtează. Asta e <tspan style="font-weight:bold">pinning</tspan>.</text>
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<text x="60" y="270" fill="#555">Efectul dispare la închiderea sesiunii, când opțiunile expiră —</text>
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<text x="60" y="286" fill="#555">de aici mișcările bruște de la final de zi.</text>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 270" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 5 min, vineri de expirare (strike 600 = cel mai mare volum de opțiuni deschise)</text>
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<text x="209.0" y="119.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">peste strike: market makerii VÂND — împing prețul în jos</text>
|
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<text x="389.0" y="221.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sub strike: market makerii CUMPĂRĂ — împing prețul în sus</text>
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<text x="611.0" y="46.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">expirare</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="258" fill="#555">Tras înapoi spre strike de fiecare dată = pinning; dispare la final de sesiune.</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<p><strong>Ce faci cu asta, concret:</strong></p>
|
||||
<ol>
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -127,35 +127,215 @@ breakout**. Peste tot în curs, volumul mare la spargerea unui nivel e
|
||||
semnalul că mișcarea e reală. În ziua de witching, volumul e generat de
|
||||
obligații contractuale, nu de convingere.
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|
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<text x="28" y="308" fill="#188a3e">și rămâne mare după.</text>
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<text x="486.0" y="172.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">spargere care nu ține — prețul se întoarce</text>
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</svg>
|
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|
||||
**Testul practic:** volumul de witching e **izolat într-o singură zi** și
|
||||
@@ -176,18 +356,90 @@ neutri, își acoperă poziția cumpărând sau vânzând activul suport. Cât t
|
||||
prețul e **aproape de un strike cu volum mare**, acoperirea lor merge
|
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**împotriva** mișcării:
|
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<text x="8" y="14" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
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<text x="60" y="60" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">strike 600 — cel mai mare volum de opțiuni deschise</text>
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<text x="60" y="100" fill="#c00">peste strike: market makerii VÂND — împing prețul în jos</text>
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<text x="200" y="208" fill="#188a3e">sub strike: market makerii CUMPĂRĂ — împing prețul în sus</text>
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<text x="60" y="256" fill="#333">Prețul e tras înapoi spre strike de fiecare dată când se depărtează. Asta e <tspan style="font-weight:bold">pinning</tspan>.</text>
|
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<text x="60" y="270" fill="#555">Efectul dispare la închiderea sesiunii, când opțiunile expiră —</text>
|
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<text x="60" y="286" fill="#555">de aici mișcările bruște de la final de zi.</text>
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 5 min, vineri de expirare (strike 600 = cel mai mare volum de opțiuni deschise)</text>
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<text x="209.0" y="119.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">peste strike: market makerii VÂND — împing prețul în jos</text>
|
||||
<text x="389.0" y="221.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sub strike: market makerii CUMPĂRĂ — împing prețul în sus</text>
|
||||
<text x="611.0" y="46.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">expirare</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="258" fill="#555">Tras înapoi spre strike de fiecare dată = pinning; dispare la final de sesiune.</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
**Ce faci cu asta, concret:**
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -24,23 +24,137 @@ trend descendent într-unul ascendent. Se confirmă abia la break-out peste
|
||||
neckline, nu înainte. Target-ul de profit se calculează geometric: distanța
|
||||
dintre neckline și head, proiectată în sus <strong>de la neckline</strong>.</p>
|
||||
<h2 id="diagrama-la-scara-eurusd-exemplu-real-de-niveluri">Diagramă (la scară — EURUSD, exemplu real de niveluri)</h2>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 600 340" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
|
||||
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<text x="10" y="105" fill="#999">trend descendent anterior</text>
|
||||
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<text x="188" y="218" fill="#1a5fb4">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
||||
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|
||||
<text x="240" y="318" fill="#333">1.0700 — head (minim)</text>
|
||||
<text x="120" y="280" fill="#333">umăr stâng</text>
|
||||
<line x1="392" y1="270" x2="414" y2="286" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/><text x="418" y="292" fill="#333">~1.0770 — umăr drept</text>
|
||||
<text x="418" y="305" fill="#333">(și nivel de stop-loss)</text>
|
||||
<circle cx="440" cy="222.5" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
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||||
<text x="435" y="205" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">breakout / intrare ~1.0855</text>
|
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<line x1="440" y1="225" x2="440" y2="150" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
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<text x="318" y="176" fill="#188a3e">150 pips — aceeași</text>
|
||||
<text x="318" y="189" fill="#188a3e">distanță ca neckline-head</text>
|
||||
<text x="440" y="145" fill="#188a3e">1.1000 — target 1</text>
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 440" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">EURUSD — 4H</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="56.8" x2="606" y2="56.8" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="50.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">1.1000 — target 1</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="170.8" x2="606" y2="170.8" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="164.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="231.6" x2="606" y2="231.6" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="225.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="284.8" x2="606" y2="284.8" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="278.8" fill="#333" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="70.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.5" y="60.6" width="9" height="7.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="63.6" x2="59.0" y2="94.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="68.2" width="9" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="85.9" x2="74.0" y2="108.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="90.7" width="9" height="14.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="100.2" x2="89.0" y2="134.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="105.2" width="9" height="23.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="124.3" x2="104.0" y2="142.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="129.0" width="9" height="8.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="132.9" x2="119.0" y2="169.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="137.6" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="162.5" x2="134.0" y2="184.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="165.1" width="9" height="13.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="175.2" x2="149.0" y2="193.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="178.8" width="9" height="12.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="188.2" x2="164.0" y2="221.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="191.7" width="9" height="26.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="215.6" x2="179.0" y2="235.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="218.3" width="9" height="12.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="194.0" y1="209.6" x2="194.0" y2="234.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="212.1" width="9" height="19.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="195.7" x2="209.0" y2="214.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="199.6" width="9" height="12.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="182.9" x2="224.0" y2="203.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="186.2" width="9" height="13.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="170.8" x2="239.0" y2="190.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="175.0" width="9" height="11.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="171.4" x2="254.0" y2="196.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="175.0" width="9" height="16.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="186.8" x2="269.0" y2="219.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="191.6" width="9" height="23.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="209.8" x2="284.0" y2="246.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="215.1" width="9" height="26.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="237.1" x2="299.0" y2="258.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="241.3" width="9" height="13.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="250.6" x2="314.0" y2="284.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="254.4" width="9" height="26.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="258.3" x2="329.0" y2="282.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="263.4" width="9" height="17.1" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="227.0" x2="344.0" y2="265.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="231.8" width="9" height="31.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="207.5" x2="359.0" y2="234.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="211.0" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="196.7" x2="374.0" y2="214.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="200.7" width="9" height="10.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="170.8" x2="389.0" y2="205.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="175.0" width="9" height="25.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="172.2" x2="404.0" y2="194.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="175.0" width="9" height="14.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="185.6" x2="419.0" y2="204.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="189.6" width="9" height="11.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="196.2" x2="434.0" y2="213.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="201.5" width="9" height="10.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="449.0" y1="208.0" x2="449.0" y2="231.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="211.6" width="9" height="15.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="464.0" y1="214.2" x2="464.0" y2="230.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="459.5" y="218.2" width="9" height="9.1" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="479.0" y1="189.4" x2="479.0" y2="223.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="474.5" y="193.3" width="9" height="24.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="494.0" y1="173.8" x2="494.0" y2="197.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="489.5" y="176.8" width="9" height="16.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="509.0" y1="159.0" x2="509.0" y2="181.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="504.5" y="161.6" width="9" height="15.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="524.0" y1="151.9" x2="524.0" y2="166.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="519.5" y="155.3" width="9" height="6.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="539.0" y1="142.4" x2="539.0" y2="158.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="534.5" y="144.9" width="9" height="10.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="554.0" y1="123.2" x2="554.0" y2="147.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="549.5" y="128.4" width="9" height="16.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="569.0" y1="109.9" x2="569.0" y2="132.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="564.5" y="114.1" width="9" height="14.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="584.0" y1="104.0" x2="584.0" y2="118.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="579.5" y="108.4" width="9" height="5.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="24" y1="380.8" x2="606" y2="380.8" stroke="#888"/>
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<rect x="39.5" y="343.9" width="9" height="36.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="342.4" width="9" height="38.3" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="344.7" width="9" height="36.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="340.2" width="9" height="40.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="341.7" width="9" height="39.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="343.2" width="9" height="37.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="339.5" width="9" height="41.3" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="341.0" width="9" height="39.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="338.0" width="9" height="42.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="335.1" width="9" height="45.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="348.3" width="9" height="32.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="351.3" width="9" height="29.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="349.8" width="9" height="30.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="346.9" width="9" height="33.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="340.2" width="9" height="40.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="336.6" width="9" height="44.2" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="332.1" width="9" height="48.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="326.2" width="9" height="54.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="310.8" width="9" height="70.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="338.0" width="9" height="42.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="345.4" width="9" height="35.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="347.6" width="9" height="33.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="349.8" width="9" height="30.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="351.3" width="9" height="29.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="352.8" width="9" height="28.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="354.2" width="9" height="26.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="355.7" width="9" height="25.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="357.2" width="9" height="23.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="459.5" y="355.0" width="9" height="25.8" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="474.5" y="351.3" width="9" height="29.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="489.5" y="350.6" width="9" height="30.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="504.5" y="320.3" width="9" height="60.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="519.5" y="324.8" width="9" height="56.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="534.5" y="329.2" width="9" height="51.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="549.5" y="332.1" width="9" height="48.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="564.5" y="333.6" width="9" height="47.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="579.5" y="335.1" width="9" height="45.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<text x="24" y="304.8" fill="#555">volum</text>
|
||||
<text x="62.0" y="75.9" fill="#999" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">trend descendent anterior</text>
|
||||
<text x="179.0" y="253.4" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">umăr stâng</text>
|
||||
<text x="239.0" y="158.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
||||
<text x="389.0" y="158.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">neckline</text>
|
||||
<text x="449.0" y="249.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">~1.0770 — umăr drept = SL</text>
|
||||
<text x="314.0" y="298.8" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1.0700 — head (minim)</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="402.8" fill="#188a3e">breakout / intrare ~1.0855, cu volum crescut</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="428" fill="#555">150 pips neckline → head = 150 pips neckline → target. Intrare 1.0855: câștig efectiv 145 pips.</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Linia neagră e prețul în timp (stânga = mai vechi, dreapta = mai recent).
|
||||
Segmentul gri din stânga e trend-ul descendent care exista deja înainte —
|
||||
@@ -146,31 +260,211 @@ sau la breakout confirmat cu volum — nu la ghicitul formei înainte să existe
|
||||
diferența dintre "DA, e valid" și "NU, e capcană" se vede doar în ce se
|
||||
întâmplă după, cu cifre concrete:</p>
|
||||
<p><strong>DA — retest valid, intri</strong></p>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 320 150" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<line x1="20" y1="70" x2="300" y2="70" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="23" y="63" fill="#1a5fb4">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
||||
<rect x="105" y="64" width="75" height="14" fill="#1a5fb4" opacity="0.15"/>
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<polyline points="20,120 90,45 145,75 230,10" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
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<circle cx="90" cy="45" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<text x="55" y="32" fill="#188a3e">breakout ~1.0860</text>
|
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<circle cx="145" cy="75" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<text x="150" y="98" fill="#188a3e">retest — atinge din nou</text>
|
||||
<text x="150" y="111" fill="#188a3e">1.0850, ține ca suport</text>
|
||||
<text x="310" y="18" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">continuă — intri aici</text>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 359" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">EURUSD — 1H (DA)</text>
|
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<text x="30" y="141.2" fill="#1a5fb4">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
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<line x1="44.0" y1="192.9" x2="44.0" y2="211.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.0" y="200.4" width="10" height="7.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="62.0" y1="183.5" x2="62.0" y2="204.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="57.0" y="190.5" width="10" height="9.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="80.0" y1="176.8" x2="80.0" y2="194.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="75.0" y="180.5" width="10" height="10.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="98.0" y1="154.2" x2="98.0" y2="187.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="93.0" y="158.6" width="10" height="21.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="116.0" y1="154.7" x2="116.0" y2="184.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="111.0" y="158.6" width="10" height="20.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="173.3" x2="134.0" y2="221.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.0" y="179.2" width="10" height="37.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="152.0" y1="210.9" x2="152.0" y2="230.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="147.0" y="216.5" width="10" height="8.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="170.0" y1="207.7" x2="170.0" y2="228.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="165.0" y="211.0" width="10" height="13.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="24" y="250.8" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="476.0" y="167.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest — ține ca suport</text>
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<text x="24" y="347" fill="#555">retest-ul atinge din nou 1.0850 și ține; continuă — intri aici</text>
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</svg></p>
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<p>Prețul sparge 1.0850, revine exact la 1.0850 (nu mai jos), se oprește și
|
||||
urcă la loc — nivelul a ținut ca suport. Asta confirmă că vânzătorii de la
|
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1.0850 chiar au dispărut (au devenit cumpărători la retest).</p>
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<p><strong>NU — fals breakout, nu intri</strong></p>
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<text x="200" y="63" fill="#1a5fb4">1.0850 — neckline</text>
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<text x="95" y="25" fill="#c88">poke slab ~1.0855</text>
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<text x="95" y="38" fill="#c88">(volum mic)</text>
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<text x="160" y="140" fill="#c00">revine sub 1.0850 —</text>
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<text x="160" y="153" fill="#c00">nu ține, nu intri</text>
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">EURUSD — 1H (NU)</text>
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<text x="592" y="51.9" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">1.0850 — neckline</text>
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<rect x="327.0" y="245.5" width="10" height="42.1" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="345.0" y="243.4" width="10" height="44.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="363.0" y="260.2" width="10" height="27.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="381.0" y="237.1" width="10" height="50.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="399.0" y="235.0" width="10" height="52.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="417.0" y="239.2" width="10" height="48.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="435.0" y="232.9" width="10" height="54.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="453.0" y="236.0" width="10" height="51.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="471.0" y="229.7" width="10" height="57.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="489.0" y="233.9" width="10" height="53.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="507.0" y="227.6" width="10" height="60.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="525.0" y="231.8" width="10" height="55.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="543.0" y="235.0" width="10" height="52.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="561.0" y="237.1" width="10" height="50.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<text x="24" y="221.6" fill="#555">volum</text>
|
||||
<text x="368.0" y="38.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">poke slab ~1.0855 (volum mic)</text>
|
||||
<text x="386.0" y="180.3" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">revine sub 1.0850 — nu ține, nu intri</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Prețul atinge doar 1.0855 (5 pips peste neckline, nu 10-ish ca la retest-ul
|
||||
valid), cu volum vizibil mai mic, apoi cade înapoi sub 1.0850 fără să se mai
|
||||
@@ -186,20 +480,95 @@ invalidat, nu doar "întârziat". Risc 85 pips ca să câștigi 150 → risc/rec
|
||||
<h3 id="exemplu-2-alt-instrument-xauusd-aur">Exemplu 2 — alt instrument: XAUUSD (aur)</h3>
|
||||
<p>Aceeași formă, alte cifre, ca să vezi că patternul nu e specific unei
|
||||
singure perechi valutare.</p>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 440 240" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<polyline points="10,100 40,140 70,170 110,200 150,170 190,220 230,170 270,200 310,165 360,120" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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<line x1="90" y1="170" x2="360" y2="170" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="93" y="163" fill="#1a5fb4">1950 — neckline</text>
|
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<line x1="190" y1="170" x2="190" y2="220" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
||||
<text x="160" y="235" fill="#333">1900 — head</text>
|
||||
<text x="240" y="195" fill="#333">~1920 — umăr drept</text>
|
||||
<text x="240" y="208" fill="#333">(stop-loss)</text>
|
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<circle cx="310" cy="165" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="295" y="176" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">breakout / intrare ~1955</text>
|
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<line x1="310" y1="170" x2="310" y2="120" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
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<text x="315" y="135" fill="#188a3e">$50 — aceeași</text>
|
||||
<text x="435" y="148" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">distanță ca neckline-head</text>
|
||||
<text x="310" y="112" fill="#188a3e">2000 — target 1</text>
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 419" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">XAUUSD — 4H</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">2000 — target 1 ($50 = neckline−head)</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="216.0" x2="606" y2="216.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="210.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="312.0" x2="606" y2="312.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="306.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="376.0" x2="606" y2="376.0" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="370.0" fill="#333" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="44.0" y1="65.6" x2="44.0" y2="89.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.5" y="72.0" width="9" height="9.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="75.8" x2="59.0" y2="101.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="81.6" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="91.9" x2="74.0" y2="150.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="97.6" width="9" height="47.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="140.9" x2="89.0" y2="160.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="145.0" width="9" height="11.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="152.4" x2="104.0" y2="195.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="156.5" width="9" height="32.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="181.4" x2="119.0" y2="211.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="188.5" width="9" height="16.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="199.9" x2="134.0" y2="247.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="205.1" width="9" height="38.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="240.6" x2="149.0" y2="265.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="243.8" width="9" height="15.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="253.1" x2="164.0" y2="308.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="258.9" width="9" height="43.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="298.7" x2="179.0" y2="321.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="302.7" width="9" height="12.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="194.0" y1="280.1" x2="194.0" y2="319.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="284.2" width="9" height="31.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="264.6" x2="209.0" y2="288.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="270.7" width="9" height="13.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="243.7" x2="224.0" y2="276.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="249.6" width="9" height="21.1" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="216.0" x2="239.0" y2="256.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="222.4" width="9" height="27.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="217.0" x2="254.0" y2="255.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="222.4" width="9" height="29.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="243.7" x2="269.0" y2="284.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="270.0" x2="284.0" y2="327.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="314.8" x2="299.0" y2="353.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="322.6" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="342.2" x2="314.0" y2="376.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="346.6" width="9" height="23.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="347.6" x2="329.0" y2="369.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="354.9" width="9" height="14.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="314.1" x2="344.0" y2="360.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="321.6" width="9" height="33.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="280.9" x2="359.0" y2="325.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="287.4" width="9" height="34.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="247.7" x2="374.0" y2="291.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="254.1" width="9" height="33.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="216.0" x2="389.0" y2="261.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="222.4" width="9" height="31.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="217.6" x2="404.0" y2="248.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="222.4" width="9" height="22.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="241.7" x2="419.0" y2="263.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="245.1" width="9" height="12.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="254.0" x2="434.0" y2="296.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="257.9" width="9" height="32.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="449.0" y1="283.8" x2="449.0" y2="312.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="289.9" width="9" height="15.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="464.0" y1="269.7" x2="464.0" y2="309.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="459.5" y="276.2" width="9" height="29.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="479.0" y1="242.3" x2="479.0" y2="279.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="474.5" y="247.7" width="9" height="28.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="494.0" y1="223.0" x2="494.0" y2="254.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="489.5" y="228.8" width="9" height="18.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="509.0" y1="189.7" x2="509.0" y2="235.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="504.5" y="193.6" width="9" height="35.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="524.0" y1="167.1" x2="524.0" y2="198.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="519.5" y="175.0" width="9" height="18.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="539.0" y1="170.2" x2="539.0" y2="179.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="534.5" y="174.4" width="9" height="1.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="554.0" y1="141.3" x2="554.0" y2="178.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="549.5" y="148.5" width="9" height="25.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="569.0" y1="133.9" x2="569.0" y2="152.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="564.5" y="140.8" width="9" height="7.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="584.0" y1="119.6" x2="584.0" y2="148.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="579.5" y="126.4" width="9" height="14.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<text x="239.0" y="204.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1950 — neckline</text>
|
||||
<text x="389.0" y="204.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">neckline</text>
|
||||
<text x="314.0" y="390.0" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1900 — head</text>
|
||||
<text x="449.0" y="346.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">~1920 — umăr drept = SL</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="398.0" fill="#188a3e">breakout / intrare ~1955</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Neckline 1950, head 1900 ($50 distanță) → breakout peste 1950 → intrare
|
||||
~1955 → target 1 = neckline + $50 = 2000 → stop sub umărul drept (~1920). Risc $35,
|
||||
@@ -207,17 +576,92 @@ recompensă $45 → risc/recompensă ~1:1.3 (mai slab ca la EURUSD — nu toate
|
||||
setup-urile au același raport, verifică-l de fiecare dată, nu presupune).</p>
|
||||
<h3 id="exemplu-3-cand-patternul-esueaza-invalidare-nu-intri">Exemplu 3 — când patternul EȘUEAZĂ (invalidare, nu intri)</h3>
|
||||
<p>Nu orice "cap și umeri" aparent se confirmă. Așa arată numeric un eșec:</p>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 360" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<polyline points="10,90 55,160 100,225 160,265 210,225 270,300 330,225 390,325" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
|
||||
<line x1="185" y1="225" x2="390" y2="225" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="188" y="218" fill="#1a5fb4">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
||||
<line x1="270" y1="225" x2="270" y2="300" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
||||
<text x="240" y="318" fill="#333">1.0700 — head</text>
|
||||
<text x="120" y="280" fill="#333">umăr stâng</text>
|
||||
<text x="300" y="212" fill="#333">părea umăr drept...</text>
|
||||
<circle cx="390" cy="325" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="230" y="345" fill="#c00">1.0650 — al treilea minim, SUB head</text>
|
||||
<text x="230" y="358" fill="#c00">pattern invalidat — nu intri</text>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 364" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">EURUSD — 4H (invalidare)</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="170.5" x2="606" y2="170.5" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="164.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end"></text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="284.5" x2="606" y2="284.5" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="278.5" fill="#333">1.0700 — head</text>
|
||||
<line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="71.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.5" y="60.3" width="9" height="7.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="64.4" x2="59.0" y2="87.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="67.9" width="9" height="16.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="74.0" y1="80.1" x2="74.0" y2="103.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="69.5" y="84.7" width="9" height="14.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="89.0" y1="95.6" x2="89.0" y2="129.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="84.5" y="99.1" width="9" height="25.2" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="104.0" y1="121.4" x2="104.0" y2="142.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="99.5" y="124.3" width="9" height="14.7" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="119.0" y1="133.8" x2="119.0" y2="157.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="114.5" y="138.9" width="9" height="15.2" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="134.0" y1="151.6" x2="134.0" y2="181.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="129.5" y="154.1" width="9" height="24.9" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="149.0" y1="174.8" x2="149.0" y2="199.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="144.5" y="179.1" width="9" height="15.3" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="164.0" y1="192.1" x2="164.0" y2="216.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="194.4" width="9" height="18.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="209.7" x2="179.0" y2="235.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="213.0" width="9" height="17.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="194.0" y1="210.6" x2="194.0" y2="234.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="189.5" y="213.5" width="9" height="17.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="207.3" x2="209.0" y2="218.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="204.5" y="209.9" width="9" height="3.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="188.9" x2="224.0" y2="213.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="191.7" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="239.0" y1="170.5" x2="239.0" y2="195.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<text x="179.0" y="253.1" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">umăr stâng</text>
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<text x="449.0" y="247.8" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">părea umăr drept...</text>
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<text x="239.0" y="158.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1.0850 — neckline</text>
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<text x="389.0" y="158.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">neckline</text>
|
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<text x="566.0" y="336.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">1.0650 — al treilea minim, SUB head</text>
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<text x="24" y="352" fill="#555">pattern invalidat — nu intri</text>
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</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Prețul pare să formeze umărul drept (~1.0770), dar în loc să se oprească
|
||||
acolo și să spargă neckline-ul în sus, face un al treilea minim sub head
|
||||
@@ -228,23 +672,137 @@ mai jos), aici ai fi pe pierdere, nu doar "în așteptare".</p>
|
||||
<p>Aceeași logică, oglindită. Head & Shoulders normal e reversal bearish —
|
||||
prețul trece dintr-un uptrend într-un downtrend, iar tu intri <strong>short</strong> la
|
||||
break-out sub neckline, nu long.</p>
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 600 340" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
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<text x="10" y="278" fill="#999">trend ascendent anterior</text>
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<text x="188" y="218" fill="#1a5fb4">1.0850 — neckline</text>
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<line x1="270" y1="150" x2="270" y2="225" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
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<text x="230" y="140" fill="#333">1.1000 — head (maxim)</text>
|
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<text x="120" y="175" fill="#333">umăr stâng</text>
|
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<text x="345" y="178" fill="#333">~1.0930 — umăr drept</text>
|
||||
<text x="345" y="191" fill="#333">(și nivel de stop-loss)</text>
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<circle cx="440" cy="228" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="435" y="245" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">breakout / intrare short ~1.0845</text>
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<text x="450" y="255" fill="#188a3e">150 pips — aceeași</text>
|
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<text x="450" y="268" fill="#188a3e">distanță ca neckline-head</text>
|
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<text x="440" y="315" fill="#188a3e">1.0700 — target 1</text>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 439" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">EURUSD — 4H</text>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#333" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="109.2" x2="606" y2="109.2" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="103.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="170.0" x2="606" y2="170.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="164.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="284.0" x2="606" y2="284.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="278.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">1.0700 — target 1</text>
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<rect x="459.5" y="113.5" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="539.0" y1="183.7" x2="539.0" y2="200.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="569.0" y1="199.5" x2="569.0" y2="224.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="564.5" y="201.9" width="9" height="20.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="584.0" y1="219.5" x2="584.0" y2="235.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="343.9" width="9" height="36.1" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="340.2" width="9" height="39.8" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="334.3" width="9" height="45.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="347.6" width="9" height="32.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="350.5" width="9" height="29.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="349.1" width="9" height="30.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="346.1" width="9" height="33.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="339.5" width="9" height="40.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="335.8" width="9" height="44.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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||||
<rect x="279.5" y="331.4" width="9" height="48.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="294.5" y="325.5" width="9" height="54.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="309.5" y="310.0" width="9" height="70.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="324.5" y="337.3" width="9" height="42.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="339.5" y="344.6" width="9" height="35.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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||||
<rect x="354.5" y="346.8" width="9" height="33.2" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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||||
<rect x="369.5" y="349.1" width="9" height="30.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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||||
<rect x="384.5" y="350.5" width="9" height="29.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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||||
<rect x="399.5" y="352.0" width="9" height="28.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="414.5" y="353.5" width="9" height="26.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="429.5" y="354.9" width="9" height="25.1" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="444.5" y="356.4" width="9" height="23.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="459.5" y="354.2" width="9" height="25.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="474.5" y="350.5" width="9" height="29.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="489.5" y="349.8" width="9" height="30.2" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="504.5" y="319.6" width="9" height="60.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="519.5" y="324.0" width="9" height="56.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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||||
<rect x="534.5" y="328.4" width="9" height="51.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="549.5" y="331.4" width="9" height="48.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="564.5" y="332.8" width="9" height="47.2" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="579.5" y="334.3" width="9" height="45.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="304.0" fill="#555">volum</text>
|
||||
<text x="62.0" y="272.2" fill="#999" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">trend ascendent anterior</text>
|
||||
<text x="179.0" y="95.4" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">umăr stâng</text>
|
||||
<text x="314.0" y="44.0" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1.1000 — head (maxim)</text>
|
||||
<text x="239.0" y="188.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
||||
<text x="389.0" y="188.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">neckline</text>
|
||||
<text x="449.0" y="97.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">~1.0930 — umăr drept = SL</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="402.0" fill="#c00">breakout / intrare short ~1.0845</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="427" fill="#555">150 pips head → neckline = 150 pips neckline → target.</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Mecanismul e oglindit, nu nou: la umărul stâng cumpărătorii încă domină
|
||||
(fiecare scădere găsește cumpărători noi, prețul face un nou maxim); la
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -8,23 +8,137 @@ dintre neckline și head, proiectată în sus **de la neckline**.
|
||||
|
||||
## Diagramă (la scară — EURUSD, exemplu real de niveluri)
|
||||
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 600 340" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
|
||||
<polyline points="10,90 55,160 100,225 160,265 210,225 270,300 330,225 390,265 440,222.5 510,150" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
|
||||
<text x="10" y="105" fill="#999">trend descendent anterior</text>
|
||||
<line x1="185" y1="225" x2="510" y2="225" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="188" y="218" fill="#1a5fb4">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
||||
<line x1="270" y1="225" x2="270" y2="300" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
||||
<text x="240" y="318" fill="#333">1.0700 — head (minim)</text>
|
||||
<text x="120" y="280" fill="#333">umăr stâng</text>
|
||||
<line x1="392" y1="270" x2="414" y2="286" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/><text x="418" y="292" fill="#333">~1.0770 — umăr drept</text>
|
||||
<text x="418" y="305" fill="#333">(și nivel de stop-loss)</text>
|
||||
<circle cx="440" cy="222.5" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="435" y="205" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">breakout / intrare ~1.0855</text>
|
||||
<line x1="440" y1="225" x2="440" y2="150" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
||||
<text x="318" y="176" fill="#188a3e">150 pips — aceeași</text>
|
||||
<text x="318" y="189" fill="#188a3e">distanță ca neckline-head</text>
|
||||
<text x="440" y="145" fill="#188a3e">1.1000 — target 1</text>
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 440" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">EURUSD — 4H</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="56.8" x2="606" y2="56.8" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="50.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">1.1000 — target 1</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="170.8" x2="606" y2="170.8" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="164.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end"></text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="231.6" x2="606" y2="231.6" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="225.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end"></text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="284.8" x2="606" y2="284.8" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="278.8" fill="#333" text-anchor="end"></text>
|
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<line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="70.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.5" y="60.6" width="9" height="7.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="63.6" x2="59.0" y2="94.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="68.2" width="9" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="85.9" x2="74.0" y2="108.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="90.7" width="9" height="14.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="100.2" x2="89.0" y2="134.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="105.2" width="9" height="23.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="124.3" x2="104.0" y2="142.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="129.0" width="9" height="8.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="132.9" x2="119.0" y2="169.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="137.6" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="162.5" x2="134.0" y2="184.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="165.1" width="9" height="13.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="175.2" x2="149.0" y2="193.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="178.8" width="9" height="12.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="188.2" x2="164.0" y2="221.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="191.7" width="9" height="26.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="215.6" x2="179.0" y2="235.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="218.3" width="9" height="12.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="194.0" y1="209.6" x2="194.0" y2="234.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="212.1" width="9" height="19.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="195.7" x2="209.0" y2="214.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="199.6" width="9" height="12.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="182.9" x2="224.0" y2="203.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="186.2" width="9" height="13.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="170.8" x2="239.0" y2="190.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="175.0" width="9" height="11.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="171.4" x2="254.0" y2="196.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="175.0" width="9" height="16.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="186.8" x2="269.0" y2="219.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="191.6" width="9" height="23.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="209.8" x2="284.0" y2="246.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="215.1" width="9" height="26.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="237.1" x2="299.0" y2="258.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="241.3" width="9" height="13.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="250.6" x2="314.0" y2="284.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="254.4" width="9" height="26.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="258.3" x2="329.0" y2="282.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="263.4" width="9" height="17.1" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="227.0" x2="344.0" y2="265.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="231.8" width="9" height="31.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="207.5" x2="359.0" y2="234.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="211.0" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="196.7" x2="374.0" y2="214.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="200.7" width="9" height="10.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="170.8" x2="389.0" y2="205.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="175.0" width="9" height="25.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="172.2" x2="404.0" y2="194.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="175.0" width="9" height="14.6" fill="#c00"/>
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||||
<line x1="419.0" y1="185.6" x2="419.0" y2="204.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="189.6" width="9" height="11.9" fill="#c00"/>
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||||
<line x1="434.0" y1="196.2" x2="434.0" y2="213.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="429.5" y="201.5" width="9" height="10.1" fill="#c00"/>
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||||
<line x1="449.0" y1="208.0" x2="449.0" y2="231.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="444.5" y="211.6" width="9" height="15.7" fill="#c00"/>
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||||
<line x1="464.0" y1="214.2" x2="464.0" y2="230.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="459.5" y="218.2" width="9" height="9.1" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="479.0" y1="189.4" x2="479.0" y2="223.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="474.5" y="193.3" width="9" height="24.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="494.0" y1="173.8" x2="494.0" y2="197.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="489.5" y="176.8" width="9" height="16.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="509.0" y1="159.0" x2="509.0" y2="181.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="504.5" y="161.6" width="9" height="15.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="524.0" y1="151.9" x2="524.0" y2="166.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="519.5" y="155.3" width="9" height="6.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="539.0" y1="142.4" x2="539.0" y2="158.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="534.5" y="144.9" width="9" height="10.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="554.0" y1="123.2" x2="554.0" y2="147.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="549.5" y="128.4" width="9" height="16.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="569.0" y1="109.9" x2="569.0" y2="132.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="564.5" y="114.1" width="9" height="14.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="584.0" y1="104.0" x2="584.0" y2="118.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="579.5" y="108.4" width="9" height="5.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="380.8" x2="606" y2="380.8" stroke="#888"/>
|
||||
<rect x="39.5" y="343.9" width="9" height="36.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="54.5" y="342.4" width="9" height="38.3" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="69.5" y="344.7" width="9" height="36.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="84.5" y="340.2" width="9" height="40.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="99.5" y="341.7" width="9" height="39.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="114.5" y="343.2" width="9" height="37.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="129.5" y="339.5" width="9" height="41.3" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="144.5" y="341.0" width="9" height="39.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="159.5" y="338.0" width="9" height="42.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="174.5" y="335.1" width="9" height="45.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="189.5" y="348.3" width="9" height="32.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="204.5" y="351.3" width="9" height="29.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="219.5" y="349.8" width="9" height="30.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="234.5" y="346.9" width="9" height="33.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="249.5" y="340.2" width="9" height="40.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="264.5" y="336.6" width="9" height="44.2" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="279.5" y="332.1" width="9" height="48.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="294.5" y="326.2" width="9" height="54.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="309.5" y="310.8" width="9" height="70.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="324.5" y="338.0" width="9" height="42.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="339.5" y="345.4" width="9" height="35.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="354.5" y="347.6" width="9" height="33.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="369.5" y="349.8" width="9" height="30.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="384.5" y="351.3" width="9" height="29.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="399.5" y="352.8" width="9" height="28.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="414.5" y="354.2" width="9" height="26.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="429.5" y="355.7" width="9" height="25.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="444.5" y="357.2" width="9" height="23.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="459.5" y="355.0" width="9" height="25.8" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="474.5" y="351.3" width="9" height="29.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="489.5" y="350.6" width="9" height="30.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="504.5" y="320.3" width="9" height="60.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="519.5" y="324.8" width="9" height="56.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="534.5" y="329.2" width="9" height="51.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="549.5" y="332.1" width="9" height="48.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="564.5" y="333.6" width="9" height="47.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="579.5" y="335.1" width="9" height="45.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="304.8" fill="#555">volum</text>
|
||||
<text x="62.0" y="75.9" fill="#999" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">trend descendent anterior</text>
|
||||
<text x="179.0" y="253.4" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">umăr stâng</text>
|
||||
<text x="239.0" y="158.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
||||
<text x="389.0" y="158.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">neckline</text>
|
||||
<text x="449.0" y="249.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">~1.0770 — umăr drept = SL</text>
|
||||
<text x="314.0" y="298.8" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1.0700 — head (minim)</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="402.8" fill="#188a3e">breakout / intrare ~1.0855, cu volum crescut</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="428" fill="#555">150 pips neckline → head = 150 pips neckline → target. Intrare 1.0855: câștig efectiv 145 pips.</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Linia neagră e prețul în timp (stânga = mai vechi, dreapta = mai recent).
|
||||
@@ -151,17 +265,108 @@ diferența dintre "DA, e valid" și "NU, e capcană" se vede doar în ce se
|
||||
|
||||
**DA — retest valid, intri**
|
||||
|
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<text x="23" y="63" fill="#1a5fb4">1.0850 — neckline</text>
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<text x="55" y="32" fill="#188a3e">breakout ~1.0860</text>
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<text x="150" y="98" fill="#188a3e">retest — atinge din nou</text>
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<text x="150" y="111" fill="#188a3e">1.0850, ține ca suport</text>
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<text x="310" y="18" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">continuă — intri aici</text>
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">EURUSD — 1H (DA)</text>
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<rect x="291.0" y="291.1" width="10" height="25.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="327.0" y="288.2" width="10" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="381.0" y="265.4" width="10" height="51.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="399.0" y="273.9" width="10" height="42.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="417.0" y="281.1" width="10" height="35.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="435.0" y="285.4" width="10" height="31.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="471.0" y="289.7" width="10" height="27.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="489.0" y="272.5" width="10" height="44.3" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="507.0" y="266.8" width="10" height="50.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="525.0" y="269.7" width="10" height="47.1" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="543.0" y="271.1" width="10" height="45.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="561.0" y="273.9" width="10" height="42.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="579.0" y="275.4" width="10" height="41.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<text x="24" y="250.8" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="368.0" y="90.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakout ~1.0860</text>
|
||||
<text x="476.0" y="167.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest — ține ca suport</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="347" fill="#555">retest-ul atinge din nou 1.0850 și ține; continuă — intri aici</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Prețul sparge 1.0850, revine exact la 1.0850 (nu mai jos), se oprește și
|
||||
@@ -170,15 +375,104 @@ urcă la loc — nivelul a ținut ca suport. Asta confirmă că vânzătorii de
|
||||
|
||||
**NU — fals breakout, nu intri**
|
||||
|
||||
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<text x="200" y="63" fill="#1a5fb4">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
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<circle cx="90" cy="55" r="5" fill="#c88"/>
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<text x="95" y="25" fill="#c88">poke slab ~1.0855</text>
|
||||
<text x="95" y="38" fill="#c88">(volum mic)</text>
|
||||
<text x="160" y="140" fill="#c00">revine sub 1.0850 —</text>
|
||||
<text x="160" y="153" fill="#c00">nu ține, nu intri</text>
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 314" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">EURUSD — 1H (NU)</text>
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<text x="592" y="51.9" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
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<rect x="291.0" y="249.7" width="10" height="37.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="309.0" y="246.5" width="10" height="41.1" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="327.0" y="245.5" width="10" height="42.1" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="345.0" y="243.4" width="10" height="44.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="363.0" y="260.2" width="10" height="27.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="381.0" y="237.1" width="10" height="50.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="399.0" y="235.0" width="10" height="52.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="417.0" y="239.2" width="10" height="48.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="435.0" y="232.9" width="10" height="54.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="453.0" y="236.0" width="10" height="51.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="471.0" y="229.7" width="10" height="57.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="489.0" y="233.9" width="10" height="53.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="507.0" y="227.6" width="10" height="60.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="525.0" y="231.8" width="10" height="55.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="543.0" y="235.0" width="10" height="52.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="561.0" y="237.1" width="10" height="50.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<text x="24" y="221.6" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="368.0" y="38.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">poke slab ~1.0855 (volum mic)</text>
|
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<text x="386.0" y="180.3" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">revine sub 1.0850 — nu ține, nu intri</text>
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</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Prețul atinge doar 1.0855 (5 pips peste neckline, nu 10-ish ca la retest-ul
|
||||
@@ -198,20 +492,95 @@ invalidat, nu doar "întârziat". Risc 85 pips ca să câștigi 150 → risc/rec
|
||||
Aceeași formă, alte cifre, ca să vezi că patternul nu e specific unei
|
||||
singure perechi valutare.
|
||||
|
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<text x="93" y="163" fill="#1a5fb4">1950 — neckline</text>
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<text x="160" y="235" fill="#333">1900 — head</text>
|
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<text x="240" y="195" fill="#333">~1920 — umăr drept</text>
|
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<text x="240" y="208" fill="#333">(stop-loss)</text>
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<circle cx="310" cy="165" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="295" y="176" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">breakout / intrare ~1955</text>
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<line x1="310" y1="170" x2="310" y2="120" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
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<text x="315" y="135" fill="#188a3e">$50 — aceeași</text>
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<text x="435" y="148" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">distanță ca neckline-head</text>
|
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<text x="310" y="112" fill="#188a3e">2000 — target 1</text>
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<svg viewBox="0 0 620 419" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">XAUUSD — 4H</text>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">2000 — target 1 ($50 = neckline−head)</text>
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<text x="592" y="210.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="312.0" x2="606" y2="312.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="306.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="376.0" x2="606" y2="376.0" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="370.0" fill="#333" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<rect x="39.5" y="72.0" width="9" height="9.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="75.8" x2="59.0" y2="101.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="81.6" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="91.9" x2="74.0" y2="150.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="97.6" width="9" height="47.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="287.4" width="9" height="34.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="254.1" width="9" height="33.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="216.0" x2="389.0" y2="261.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="222.4" width="9" height="31.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="217.6" x2="404.0" y2="248.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="222.4" width="9" height="22.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="241.7" x2="419.0" y2="263.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="245.1" width="9" height="12.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="254.0" x2="434.0" y2="296.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="257.9" width="9" height="32.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="449.0" y1="283.8" x2="449.0" y2="312.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="289.9" width="9" height="15.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="464.0" y1="269.7" x2="464.0" y2="309.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="459.5" y="276.2" width="9" height="29.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="479.0" y1="242.3" x2="479.0" y2="279.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="474.5" y="247.7" width="9" height="28.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="494.0" y1="223.0" x2="494.0" y2="254.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="489.5" y="228.8" width="9" height="18.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="509.0" y1="189.7" x2="509.0" y2="235.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="504.5" y="193.6" width="9" height="35.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="524.0" y1="167.1" x2="524.0" y2="198.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="519.5" y="175.0" width="9" height="18.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="539.0" y1="170.2" x2="539.0" y2="179.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="534.5" y="174.4" width="9" height="1.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="554.0" y1="141.3" x2="554.0" y2="178.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="549.5" y="148.5" width="9" height="25.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="569.0" y1="133.9" x2="569.0" y2="152.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="564.5" y="140.8" width="9" height="7.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="584.0" y1="119.6" x2="584.0" y2="148.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="579.5" y="126.4" width="9" height="14.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<text x="239.0" y="204.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1950 — neckline</text>
|
||||
<text x="389.0" y="204.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">neckline</text>
|
||||
<text x="314.0" y="390.0" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1900 — head</text>
|
||||
<text x="449.0" y="346.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">~1920 — umăr drept = SL</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="398.0" fill="#188a3e">breakout / intrare ~1955</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Neckline 1950, head 1900 ($50 distanță) → breakout peste 1950 → intrare
|
||||
@@ -222,17 +591,92 @@ setup-urile au același raport, verifică-l de fiecare dată, nu presupune).
|
||||
### Exemplu 3 — când patternul EȘUEAZĂ (invalidare, nu intri)
|
||||
Nu orice "cap și umeri" aparent se confirmă. Așa arată numeric un eșec:
|
||||
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 360" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<polyline points="10,90 55,160 100,225 160,265 210,225 270,300 330,225 390,325" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
|
||||
<line x1="185" y1="225" x2="390" y2="225" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="188" y="218" fill="#1a5fb4">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
||||
<line x1="270" y1="225" x2="270" y2="300" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
||||
<text x="240" y="318" fill="#333">1.0700 — head</text>
|
||||
<text x="120" y="280" fill="#333">umăr stâng</text>
|
||||
<text x="300" y="212" fill="#333">părea umăr drept...</text>
|
||||
<circle cx="390" cy="325" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="230" y="345" fill="#c00">1.0650 — al treilea minim, SUB head</text>
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<text x="230" y="358" fill="#c00">pattern invalidat — nu intri</text>
|
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<svg viewBox="0 0 620 364" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">EURUSD — 4H (invalidare)</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="284.5" x2="606" y2="284.5" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="278.5" fill="#333">1.0700 — head</text>
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<rect x="69.5" y="84.7" width="9" height="14.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="99.1" width="9" height="25.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="124.3" width="9" height="14.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="133.8" x2="119.0" y2="157.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="138.9" width="9" height="15.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="154.1" width="9" height="24.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="489.5" y="203.6" width="9" height="17.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="509.0" y1="218.2" x2="509.0" y2="244.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="504.5" y="221.6" width="9" height="19.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="524.0" y1="237.0" x2="524.0" y2="283.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="519.5" y="241.3" width="9" height="38.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="539.0" y1="275.9" x2="539.0" y2="306.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="534.5" y="280.0" width="9" height="21.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="554.0" y1="296.1" x2="554.0" y2="322.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="549.5" y="301.2" width="9" height="17.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="569.0" y1="314.2" x2="569.0" y2="321.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="564.5" y="318.2" width="9" height="2.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="584.0" y1="301.8" x2="584.0" y2="321.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="579.5" y="306.5" width="9" height="14.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="179.0" y="253.1" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">umăr stâng</text>
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<text x="449.0" y="247.8" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">părea umăr drept...</text>
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<text x="239.0" y="158.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1.0850 — neckline</text>
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<text x="389.0" y="158.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">neckline</text>
|
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<text x="566.0" y="336.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">1.0650 — al treilea minim, SUB head</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="352" fill="#555">pattern invalidat — nu intri</text>
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</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Prețul pare să formeze umărul drept (~1.0770), dar în loc să se oprească
|
||||
@@ -246,23 +690,137 @@ Aceeași logică, oglindită. Head & Shoulders normal e reversal bearish —
|
||||
prețul trece dintr-un uptrend într-un downtrend, iar tu intri **short** la
|
||||
break-out sub neckline, nu long.
|
||||
|
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<svg viewBox="0 0 600 340" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
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<polyline points="10,290 55,255 100,225 160,185 210,225 270,150 330,225 390,185 440,228 510,300" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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<text x="10" y="278" fill="#999">trend ascendent anterior</text>
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<line x1="185" y1="225" x2="510" y2="225" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="188" y="218" fill="#1a5fb4">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
||||
<line x1="270" y1="150" x2="270" y2="225" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
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<text x="230" y="140" fill="#333">1.1000 — head (maxim)</text>
|
||||
<text x="120" y="175" fill="#333">umăr stâng</text>
|
||||
<text x="345" y="178" fill="#333">~1.0930 — umăr drept</text>
|
||||
<text x="345" y="191" fill="#333">(și nivel de stop-loss)</text>
|
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<circle cx="440" cy="228" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="435" y="245" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">breakout / intrare short ~1.0845</text>
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<text x="450" y="255" fill="#188a3e">150 pips — aceeași</text>
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<text x="450" y="268" fill="#188a3e">distanță ca neckline-head</text>
|
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<text x="440" y="315" fill="#188a3e">1.0700 — target 1</text>
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">EURUSD — 4H</text>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#333" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="109.2" x2="606" y2="109.2" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="103.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="170.0" x2="606" y2="170.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="164.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="284.0" x2="606" y2="284.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="278.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">1.0700 — target 1</text>
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<rect x="39.5" y="272.6" width="9" height="7.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="244.9" x2="59.0" y2="274.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="247.7" width="9" height="24.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="236.0" x2="74.0" y2="252.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="241.0" width="9" height="6.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="198.6" width="9" height="17.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="169.2" x2="119.0" y2="202.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="172.7" width="9" height="25.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="143.4" width="9" height="19.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="119.1" x2="164.0" y2="146.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="122.8" width="9" height="20.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="105.4" x2="179.0" y2="126.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="109.7" width="9" height="13.1" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="109.7" width="9" height="13.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="140.5" x2="254.0" y2="169.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="77.3" width="9" height="23.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="96.3" x2="359.0" y2="128.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="119.1" x2="374.0" y2="144.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="124.2" width="9" height="16.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="155.7" x2="404.0" y2="169.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="158.2" width="9" height="7.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="141.4" x2="419.0" y2="163.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="145.1" width="9" height="13.1" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="112.8" x2="434.0" y2="147.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="116.8" width="9" height="28.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="449.0" y1="109.2" x2="449.0" y2="120.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="113.5" width="9" height="3.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="24" y="304.0" fill="#555">volum</text>
|
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<text x="62.0" y="272.2" fill="#999" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">trend ascendent anterior</text>
|
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<text x="179.0" y="95.4" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">umăr stâng</text>
|
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<text x="314.0" y="44.0" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1.1000 — head (maxim)</text>
|
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<text x="239.0" y="188.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1.0850 — neckline</text>
|
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<text x="389.0" y="188.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">neckline</text>
|
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<text x="449.0" y="97.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">~1.0930 — umăr drept = SL</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="402.0" fill="#c00">breakout / intrare short ~1.0845</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="427" fill="#555">150 pips head → neckline = 150 pips neckline → target.</text>
|
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</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Mecanismul e oglindit, nu nou: la umărul stâng cumpărătorii încă domină
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -97,21 +97,73 @@ din cele două, nu doar volumul.</p>
|
||||
<li>Dacă toți trei indicatorii sunt în divergență → varianta Trinity, semnal
|
||||
mai puternic (vezi diagrama de mai sus).</li>
|
||||
</ul>
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 500 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
|
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<text x="15" y="30" fill="#999">downtrend anterior (min. 5-10 candele, culoare mixtă)</text>
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<text x="300" y="68" fill="#188a3e">591.00 — target 1 (1:1)</text>
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<text x="300" y="168" fill="#1a5fb4">590.00 — suport / pivot</text>
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<text x="10" y="222" fill="#c00">589.80 — minim, divergență (M)</text>
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<circle cx="320" cy="155" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="290" y="140" fill="#188a3e">590.20 — entry (trigger Buy Doji)</text>
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<text x="300" y="250" fill="#666">589.40 — stop-loss</text>
|
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<text x="10" y="280" fill="#333">M → A (trigger) → P: risc 0.80, țintă simetrică 0.80 (1:1)</text>
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 428" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 5 min (long) · downtrend anterior: min. 5-10 candele, culoare mixtă</text>
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<text x="30" y="260.0" fill="#188a3e">591.00 — target 1 (1:1)</text>
|
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<text x="30" y="320.0" fill="#188a3e">590.20 — entry (trigger Buy Doji)</text>
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<text x="592" y="335.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">590.00 — suport / pivot</text>
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<text x="592" y="380.0" fill="#666" text-anchor="end">589.40 — stop-loss</text>
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<rect x="255.0" y="209.8" width="10" height="33.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="309.0" y="254.8" width="10" height="33.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="345.0" y="311.0" width="10" height="45.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="368.0" y1="329.8" x2="368.0" y2="377.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="363.0" y="353.0" width="10" height="3.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="386.0" y1="307.3" x2="386.0" y2="359.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="381.0" y="314.8" width="10" height="38.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="292.3" x2="404.0" y2="322.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.0" y="299.8" width="10" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="422.0" y1="292.3" x2="422.0" y2="314.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="417.0" y="299.8" width="10" height="7.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="440.0" y1="277.3" x2="440.0" y2="314.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="435.0" y="284.8" width="10" height="22.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="458.0" y1="262.2" x2="458.0" y2="292.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="453.0" y="269.8" width="10" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="476.0" y1="247.3" x2="476.0" y2="277.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="471.0" y="254.8" width="10" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="494.0" y1="247.3" x2="494.0" y2="269.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="489.0" y="254.8" width="10" height="7.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="512.0" y1="236.0" x2="512.0" y2="269.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="507.0" y="243.5" width="10" height="18.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="350.0" y="400.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">589.80 — minim, divergență (M)</text>
|
||||
<text x="368.0" y="303.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">Buy Doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="416" fill="#555">M → A (trigger) → P: risc 0.80, țintă simetrică 0.80 (1:1)</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Exemplul din transcris (SPY, live): mentorul discută un posibil Inverted
|
||||
Head & Shoulders exact în această zonă, cu stop-loss plasat puțin sub minimul
|
||||
@@ -143,21 +195,116 @@ trigger dacă apare <strong>înainte</strong> ca M să fie complet (preț nu e
|
||||
sau divergența nu s-a confirmat). Aceeași formă de candelă poate fi validă
|
||||
sau prematură, în funcție doar de unde e prețul când apare:</p>
|
||||
<p><strong>DA — trigger valid: apare după M complet</strong></p>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 300 150" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:320px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
|
||||
<line x1="20" y1="100" x2="280" y2="100" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="93" fill="#1a5fb4">590.00 — suport</text>
|
||||
<polyline points="20,40 90,60 160,85 220,102 260,85" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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||||
<circle cx="220" cy="102" r="4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="20" y="125" fill="#c00">589.80, divergență confirmată — Doji aici, DA</text>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 412" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 5 min (DA)</text>
|
||||
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||||
<text x="592" y="335.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">590.00 — suport</text>
|
||||
<line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="82.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.0" y="63.5" width="10" height="11.3" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="62.0" y1="67.3" x2="62.0" y2="101.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="57.0" y="74.8" width="10" height="18.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="80.0" y1="74.8" x2="80.0" y2="101.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="75.0" y="82.3" width="10" height="11.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="98.0" y1="74.8" x2="98.0" y2="119.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="93.0" y="82.3" width="10" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="116.0" y1="104.8" x2="116.0" y2="138.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="183.0" y="164.8" width="10" height="11.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="219.0" y="198.5" width="10" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="242.0" y1="202.3" x2="242.0" y2="228.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="255.0" y="209.8" width="10" height="33.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="399.0" y="299.8" width="10" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="435.0" y="284.8" width="10" height="22.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="368.0" y="395.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">589.80, divergență confirmată — Doji aici, DA</text>
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</svg></p>
|
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<p><strong>NU — trigger prematur: apare înainte ca prețul să ajungă în zonă</strong></p>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 300 150" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:320px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="93" fill="#1a5fb4">590.00 — suport</text>
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<circle cx="160" cy="50" r="4" fill="#c88"/>
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<text x="20" y="70" fill="#c88">592.50 — Doji aici, încă deasupra zonei</text>
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<text x="20" y="125" fill="#c00">fără divergență confirmată — prematur, NU</text>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 475" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 5 min (NU)</text>
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<text x="30" y="398.7" fill="#1a5fb4">590.00 — suport</text>
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<rect x="435.0" y="382.3" width="10" height="26.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="242.0" y="184.5" fill="#c88" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">Doji</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="438.0" fill="#188a3e">592.50 — Doji aici, încă deasupra zonei</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="463" fill="#555">fără divergență confirmată — prematur, NU</text>
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</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Diferența numerică: în cazul DA, candela-trigger apare la 589.80, în interiorul
|
||||
zonei de suport (590.00), cu divergența deja confirmată acolo. În cazul NU,
|
||||
@@ -192,21 +339,74 @@ logică aplicată în oglindă, ca la toate celelalte strategii din curs):</p>
|
||||
<li><strong>P</strong>: stop-loss simetric (extrema ultimelor N candele sau ATR), target
|
||||
simetric, trail pe Bear Trail sau swing high.</li>
|
||||
</ul>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 500 260" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
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<polyline points="15,220 55,190 95,165 135,145 175,110 215,85 255,65 295,82" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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<text x="15" y="235" fill="#999">uptrend anterior (min. 5-10 candele)</text>
|
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|
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<text x="300" y="18" fill="#666">610.60 — stop-loss</text>
|
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<line x1="215" y1="85" x2="470" y2="85" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="300" y="78" fill="#1a5fb4">610.00 — rezistență / pivot</text>
|
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<circle cx="255" cy="65" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="10" y="52" fill="#c00">610.20 — maxim, divergență (M)</text>
|
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<circle cx="320" cy="105" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<text x="290" y="130" fill="#188a3e">609.80 — entry (trigger Sell Doji)</text>
|
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<line x1="215" y1="185" x2="470" y2="185" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="300" y="198" fill="#188a3e">609.00 — target 1 (1:1)</text>
|
||||
<text x="10" y="255" fill="#333">M → A (trigger) → P: risc 0.80, țintă simetrică 0.80 (1:1)</text>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 445" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 5 min (short, oglindit)</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#666" text-anchor="end">610.60 — stop-loss</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="101.0" x2="606" y2="101.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="95.0" fill="#1a5fb4">610.00 — rezistență / pivot</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="116.0" x2="606" y2="116.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="110.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">609.80 — entry (Sell Doji)</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="176.0" x2="606" y2="176.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="170.0" fill="#188a3e">609.00 — target 1 (1:1)</text>
|
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<rect x="39.0" y="367.2" width="10" height="11.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="62.0" y1="341.0" x2="62.0" y2="374.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="57.0" y="348.5" width="10" height="18.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="80.0" y1="341.0" x2="80.0" y2="367.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="75.0" y="348.5" width="10" height="11.3" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="98.0" y1="322.2" x2="98.0" y2="367.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="93.0" y="329.7" width="10" height="30.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="116.0" y1="303.5" x2="116.0" y2="337.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="111.0" y="311.0" width="10" height="18.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="303.5" x2="134.0" y2="329.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.0" y="311.0" width="10" height="11.3" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="165.0" y="266.0" width="10" height="22.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="188.0" y1="258.5" x2="188.0" y2="284.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="183.0" y="266.0" width="10" height="11.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="206.0" y1="236.0" x2="206.0" y2="284.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="201.0" y="243.5" width="10" height="33.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="213.5" x2="224.0" y2="251.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.0" y="221.0" width="10" height="22.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="242.0" y1="213.5" x2="242.0" y2="239.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="237.0" y="221.0" width="10" height="11.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="260.0" y1="191.0" x2="260.0" y2="239.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="255.0" y="198.5" width="10" height="33.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="291.0" y="176.0" width="10" height="11.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="146.0" x2="314.0" y2="194.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.0" y="153.5" width="10" height="33.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="381.0" y="89.0" width="10" height="38.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="489.0" y="179.7" width="10" height="7.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="350.0" y="44.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">610.20 — maxim, divergență (M)</text>
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<text x="368.0" y="148.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">Sell Doji</text>
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<text x="24" y="408.0" fill="#188a3e">uptrend anterior (min. 5-10 candele)</text>
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<text x="24" y="433" fill="#555">M → A (trigger) → P: risc 0.80, țintă simetrică 0.80 (1:1)</text>
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||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Exemplu complet, mirror numeric al celui de la Long (aceeași construcție, nu
|
||||
din curs): M — maxim la 610.20 în zona de rezistență (610.00), Power în
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -87,21 +87,73 @@ din cele două, nu doar volumul.
|
||||
- Dacă toți trei indicatorii sunt în divergență → varianta Trinity, semnal
|
||||
mai puternic (vezi diagrama de mai sus).
|
||||
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 500 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
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<text x="15" y="30" fill="#999">downtrend anterior (min. 5-10 candele, culoare mixtă)</text>
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<text x="300" y="68" fill="#188a3e">591.00 — target 1 (1:1)</text>
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<text x="300" y="168" fill="#1a5fb4">590.00 — suport / pivot</text>
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<text x="10" y="222" fill="#c00">589.80 — minim, divergență (M)</text>
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<text x="290" y="140" fill="#188a3e">590.20 — entry (trigger Buy Doji)</text>
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<text x="300" y="250" fill="#666">589.40 — stop-loss</text>
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<text x="10" y="280" fill="#333">M → A (trigger) → P: risc 0.80, țintă simetrică 0.80 (1:1)</text>
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 5 min (long) · downtrend anterior: min. 5-10 candele, culoare mixtă</text>
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<text x="30" y="260.0" fill="#188a3e">591.00 — target 1 (1:1)</text>
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<text x="30" y="320.0" fill="#188a3e">590.20 — entry (trigger Buy Doji)</text>
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<text x="592" y="335.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">590.00 — suport / pivot</text>
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<text x="592" y="380.0" fill="#666" text-anchor="end">589.40 — stop-loss</text>
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<rect x="57.0" y="74.8" width="10" height="18.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="75.0" y="82.3" width="10" height="11.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="147.0" y="119.8" width="10" height="33.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="170.0" y1="146.0" x2="170.0" y2="183.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="188.0" y1="157.3" x2="188.0" y2="183.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="183.0" y="164.8" width="10" height="11.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="201.0" y="164.8" width="10" height="33.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="327.0" y="288.5" width="10" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="350.0" y1="303.5" x2="350.0" y2="386.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="345.0" y="311.0" width="10" height="45.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="368.0" y1="329.8" x2="368.0" y2="377.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="363.0" y="353.0" width="10" height="3.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="386.0" y1="307.3" x2="386.0" y2="359.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="381.0" y="314.8" width="10" height="38.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="292.3" x2="404.0" y2="322.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.0" y="299.8" width="10" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="422.0" y1="292.3" x2="422.0" y2="314.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="417.0" y="299.8" width="10" height="7.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="440.0" y1="277.3" x2="440.0" y2="314.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="435.0" y="284.8" width="10" height="22.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="458.0" y1="262.2" x2="458.0" y2="292.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="453.0" y="269.8" width="10" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="476.0" y1="247.3" x2="476.0" y2="277.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="471.0" y="254.8" width="10" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="494.0" y1="247.3" x2="494.0" y2="269.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="489.0" y="254.8" width="10" height="7.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="512.0" y1="236.0" x2="512.0" y2="269.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="507.0" y="243.5" width="10" height="18.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="350.0" y="400.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">589.80 — minim, divergență (M)</text>
|
||||
<text x="368.0" y="303.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">Buy Doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="416" fill="#555">M → A (trigger) → P: risc 0.80, țintă simetrică 0.80 (1:1)</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Exemplul din transcris (SPY, live): mentorul discută un posibil Inverted
|
||||
@@ -139,23 +191,118 @@ sau prematură, în funcție doar de unde e prețul când apare:
|
||||
|
||||
**DA — trigger valid: apare după M complet**
|
||||
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 300 150" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:320px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
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<line x1="20" y1="100" x2="280" y2="100" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="24" y="93" fill="#1a5fb4">590.00 — suport</text>
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<polyline points="20,40 90,60 160,85 220,102 260,85" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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<circle cx="220" cy="102" r="4" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="20" y="125" fill="#c00">589.80, divergență confirmată — Doji aici, DA</text>
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||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 412" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 5 min (DA)</text>
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<text x="592" y="335.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">590.00 — suport</text>
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<line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="82.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.0" y="63.5" width="10" height="11.3" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="62.0" y1="67.3" x2="62.0" y2="101.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="57.0" y="74.8" width="10" height="18.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="80.0" y1="74.8" x2="80.0" y2="101.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="75.0" y="82.3" width="10" height="11.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="98.0" y1="74.8" x2="98.0" y2="119.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="93.0" y="82.3" width="10" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="116.0" y1="104.8" x2="116.0" y2="138.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="111.0" y="112.3" width="10" height="18.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="112.2" x2="134.0" y2="138.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.0" y="119.8" width="10" height="11.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="152.0" y1="112.2" x2="152.0" y2="161.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="147.0" y="119.8" width="10" height="33.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="170.0" y1="146.0" x2="170.0" y2="183.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="165.0" y="153.5" width="10" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="188.0" y1="157.3" x2="188.0" y2="183.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="183.0" y="164.8" width="10" height="11.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="206.0" y1="157.3" x2="206.0" y2="206.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="201.0" y="164.8" width="10" height="33.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="191.0" x2="224.0" y2="228.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="219.0" y="198.5" width="10" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="242.0" y1="202.3" x2="242.0" y2="228.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="237.0" y="209.8" width="10" height="11.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="260.0" y1="202.3" x2="260.0" y2="251.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="255.0" y="209.8" width="10" height="33.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="278.0" y1="236.0" x2="278.0" y2="273.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="273.0" y="243.5" width="10" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="296.0" y1="247.3" x2="296.0" y2="273.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="291.0" y="254.8" width="10" height="11.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="247.3" x2="314.0" y2="296.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.0" y="254.8" width="10" height="33.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="332.0" y1="281.0" x2="332.0" y2="318.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="327.0" y="288.5" width="10" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="350.0" y1="303.5" x2="350.0" y2="386.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="345.0" y="311.0" width="10" height="45.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="368.0" y1="329.8" x2="368.0" y2="377.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="363.0" y="353.0" width="10" height="3.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="386.0" y1="307.3" x2="386.0" y2="359.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="381.0" y="314.8" width="10" height="38.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="292.3" x2="404.0" y2="322.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.0" y="299.8" width="10" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="453.0" y="269.8" width="10" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="368.0" y="395.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">589.80, divergență confirmată — Doji aici, DA</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
**NU — trigger prematur: apare înainte ca prețul să ajungă în zonă**
|
||||
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 300 150" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:320px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="93" fill="#1a5fb4">590.00 — suport</text>
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<circle cx="160" cy="50" r="4" fill="#c88"/>
|
||||
<text x="20" y="70" fill="#c88">592.50 — Doji aici, încă deasupra zonei</text>
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<text x="20" y="125" fill="#c00">fără divergență confirmată — prematur, NU</text>
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<svg viewBox="0 0 620 475" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 5 min (NU)</text>
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<text x="242.0" y="184.5" fill="#c88" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">Doji</text>
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<text x="24" y="438.0" fill="#188a3e">592.50 — Doji aici, încă deasupra zonei</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="463" fill="#555">fără divergență confirmată — prematur, NU</text>
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</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Diferența numerică: în cazul DA, candela-trigger apare la 589.80, în interiorul
|
||||
@@ -194,21 +341,74 @@ logică aplicată în oglindă, ca la toate celelalte strategii din curs):
|
||||
- **P**: stop-loss simetric (extrema ultimelor N candele sau ATR), target
|
||||
simetric, trail pe Bear Trail sau swing high.
|
||||
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 500 260" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
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<polyline points="15,220 55,190 95,165 135,145 175,110 215,85 255,65 295,82" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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<text x="15" y="235" fill="#999">uptrend anterior (min. 5-10 candele)</text>
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<line x1="215" y1="25" x2="470" y2="25" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
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<text x="300" y="18" fill="#666">610.60 — stop-loss</text>
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<line x1="215" y1="85" x2="470" y2="85" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="300" y="78" fill="#1a5fb4">610.00 — rezistență / pivot</text>
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<circle cx="255" cy="65" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="10" y="52" fill="#c00">610.20 — maxim, divergență (M)</text>
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<circle cx="320" cy="105" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="290" y="130" fill="#188a3e">609.80 — entry (trigger Sell Doji)</text>
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<line x1="215" y1="185" x2="470" y2="185" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="300" y="198" fill="#188a3e">609.00 — target 1 (1:1)</text>
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<text x="10" y="255" fill="#333">M → A (trigger) → P: risc 0.80, țintă simetrică 0.80 (1:1)</text>
|
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<svg viewBox="0 0 620 445" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 5 min (short, oglindit)</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#666" text-anchor="end">610.60 — stop-loss</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="101.0" x2="606" y2="101.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="95.0" fill="#1a5fb4">610.00 — rezistență / pivot</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="116.0" x2="606" y2="116.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="110.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">609.80 — entry (Sell Doji)</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="176.0" x2="606" y2="176.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="170.0" fill="#188a3e">609.00 — target 1 (1:1)</text>
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<rect x="39.0" y="367.2" width="10" height="11.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="75.0" y="348.5" width="10" height="11.3" fill="#c00"/>
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|
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<rect x="435.0" y="134.8" width="10" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
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|
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<rect x="471.0" y="172.3" width="10" height="15.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="494.0" y1="172.2" x2="494.0" y2="194.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="489.0" y="179.7" width="10" height="7.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="512.0" y1="172.2" x2="512.0" y2="206.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="507.0" y="179.7" width="10" height="18.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="350.0" y="44.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">610.20 — maxim, divergență (M)</text>
|
||||
<text x="368.0" y="148.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">Sell Doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="408.0" fill="#188a3e">uptrend anterior (min. 5-10 candele)</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="433" fill="#555">M → A (trigger) → P: risc 0.80, țintă simetrică 0.80 (1:1)</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Exemplu complet, mirror numeric al celui de la Long (aceeași construcție, nu
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -228,19 +228,76 @@ cursului, cu o nuanță specifică MBP:
|
||||
- După ce prețul ajunge la un raport risc/recompensă de 1:2, se mută
|
||||
stop-loss-ul rămas la breakeven (intrare) — nu se mai lasă poziția expusă
|
||||
la risc inițial după acel punct.</p>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 260" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț (long, continuare după TP1) ↑</text>
|
||||
<polyline points="20,220 80,190 130,160 180,120 220,105 260,140 300,100 340,70 390,55 430,90" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
|
||||
<circle cx="20" cy="220" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
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<text x="10" y="240" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 623.95</text>
|
||||
<circle cx="220" cy="105" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<text x="150" y="95" fill="#188a3e">TP1 624.30 — poziția 1 iese</text>
|
||||
<circle cx="300" cy="100" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="240" y="185" fill="#c00">poziția 2 — iese la reversal</text>
|
||||
<circle cx="390" cy="55" r="5" fill="#333"/>
|
||||
<text x="180" y="40" fill="#333">poziția 3 — trail pe swing low</text>
|
||||
<line x1="260" y1="140" x2="260" y2="235" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
||||
<text x="180" y="250" fill="#888">swing low — aici se mută trail SL</text>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 548" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 15 min (long, continuare după TP1)</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="295.2" x2="606" y2="295.2" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="289.2" fill="#888" text-anchor="end"></text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="323.8" x2="606" y2="323.8" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="317.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP1 624.30 — poziția 1 iese</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="414.8" x2="606" y2="414.8" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="408.8" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 623.95</text>
|
||||
<line x1="44.0" y1="147.0" x2="44.0" y2="188.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.0" y="154.8" width="10" height="26.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="62.0" y1="173.0" x2="62.0" y2="222.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="57.0" y="180.8" width="10" height="33.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="80.0" y1="191.2" x2="80.0" y2="222.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="75.0" y="199.0" width="10" height="15.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="368.0" y="192.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">poziția 2 — iese la reversal</text>
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<text x="24" y="536" fill="#555">linia gri = swing low 624.41 — aici se mută trail SL (deasupra intrării, după 1:2)</text>
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</svg></p>
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<h2 id="de-ce-functioneaza-mecanismul-dincolo-de-metafora">De ce funcționează — mecanismul, dincolo de metaforă</h2>
|
||||
<p>Instructorul explică asta metaforic ("e ca un elastic întins prea mult") — mai
|
||||
@@ -286,15 +343,66 @@ intrare <strong>short 624.75</strong>. Stop-loss <strong>625.20</strong> (highes
|
||||
<p>Nu orice candelă care închide dincolo de bandă cu TICUS la extrem are imediat
|
||||
un trigger de moment în spate. Așa arată o instalare M validă care rămâne fără
|
||||
intrare:</p>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 420 240" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:440px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="250" y="53" fill="#1a5fb4">623.90 — bandă inferioară</text>
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<text x="60" y="100" fill="#c00">M: close 623.85, TICUS -1200 (condiție OK)</text>
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<text x="20" y="130" fill="#333">dar candelele următoare rămân roșii, plate —</text>
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<text x="20" y="146" fill="#333">niciun buy momentum/doji/hammer</text>
|
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<text x="20" y="166" fill="#c00">nu intri — M fără trigger e doar o ipoteză</text>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 501" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 15 min</text>
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<text x="367.0" y="473.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">M: close 623.85, TICUS -1200 (condiție OK)</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="489" fill="#555">dar candelele următoare rămân roșii, plate — niciun buy momentum/doji/hammer → nu intri</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Regula practică e simetrică cu ce ai vedea în H&S sau alte pattern-uri din
|
||||
curs: condiția de context (M) nu e trigger de intrare — dacă trigger-ul nu
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -230,19 +230,76 @@ cursului, cu o nuanță specifică MBP:
|
||||
stop-loss-ul rămas la breakeven (intrare) — nu se mai lasă poziția expusă
|
||||
la risc inițial după acel punct.
|
||||
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 260" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț (long, continuare după TP1) ↑</text>
|
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<text x="10" y="240" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 623.95</text>
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<circle cx="220" cy="105" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="150" y="95" fill="#188a3e">TP1 624.30 — poziția 1 iese</text>
|
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<circle cx="300" cy="100" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<text x="240" y="185" fill="#c00">poziția 2 — iese la reversal</text>
|
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<circle cx="390" cy="55" r="5" fill="#333"/>
|
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<text x="180" y="40" fill="#333">poziția 3 — trail pe swing low</text>
|
||||
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|
||||
<text x="180" y="250" fill="#888">swing low — aici se mută trail SL</text>
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 548" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 15 min (long, continuare după TP1)</text>
|
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<text x="592" y="317.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP1 624.30 — poziția 1 iese</text>
|
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<text x="30" y="408.8" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 623.95</text>
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<text x="404.0" y="315.2" fill="#888" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">swing low</text>
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<text x="24" y="536" fill="#555">linia gri = swing low 624.41 — aici se mută trail SL (deasupra intrării, după 1:2)</text>
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</svg>
|
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|
||||
## De ce funcționează — mecanismul, dincolo de metaforă
|
||||
@@ -296,15 +353,66 @@ Nu orice candelă care închide dincolo de bandă cu TICUS la extrem are imediat
|
||||
un trigger de moment în spate. Așa arată o instalare M validă care rămâne fără
|
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intrare:
|
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|
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<text x="250" y="53" fill="#1a5fb4">623.90 — bandă inferioară</text>
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<text x="60" y="100" fill="#c00">M: close 623.85, TICUS -1200 (condiție OK)</text>
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<text x="20" y="130" fill="#333">dar candelele următoare rămân roșii, plate —</text>
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<text x="20" y="146" fill="#333">niciun buy momentum/doji/hammer</text>
|
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<text x="20" y="166" fill="#c00">nu intri — M fără trigger e doar o ipoteză</text>
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<svg viewBox="0 0 620 501" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">SPY — 15 min</text>
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<text x="592" y="393.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">623.90 — bandă inferioară</text>
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<text x="367.0" y="473.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">M: close 623.85, TICUS -1200 (condiție OK)</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="489" fill="#555">dar candelele următoare rămân roșii, plate — niciun buy momentum/doji/hammer → nu intri</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Regula practică e simetrică cu ce ai vedea în H&S sau alte pattern-uri din
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -70,27 +70,246 @@ identice la grafic" pot avea rezultate opuse. Cifrele de mai jos sunt un
|
||||
exemplu construit de mine, la o scară plauzibilă, ca să arate ideea din curs
|
||||
cu numere, nu doar afirmativ.</p>
|
||||
<p><strong>Firma A — breakout confirmat de fundamental solid (DA, poziția rezistă)</strong></p>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 420 170" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<line x1="20" y1="70" x2="400" y2="70" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="23" y="63" fill="#1a5fb4">42.00 — rezistență / breakout</text>
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<circle cx="150" cy="70" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="155" y="93" fill="#188a3e">breakout 42.10, cash net pozitiv,</text>
|
||||
<text x="155" y="106" fill="#188a3e">datorie în scădere</text>
|
||||
<text x="20" y="155" fill="#188a3e">corecția pieței nu o oprește — continuă să urce</text>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 414" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Firma A — daily (construit)</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="166.3" x2="606" y2="166.3" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="160.3" fill="#1a5fb4">42.00 — rezistență / breakout</text>
|
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<rect x="39.0" y="272.7" width="10" height="7.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="244.6" x2="59.0" y2="276.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.0" y="249.9" width="10" height="22.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="69.0" y="226.3" width="10" height="23.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="24" y="306.1" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="24" y="402" fill="#555">cash net pozitiv, datorie în scădere — corecția nu o oprește, continuă să urce</text>
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<p>Firma A trece de 42.00 cu volum, iar bilanțul arată cash mai mare decât
|
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datoria pe termen scurt și profit în creștere trimestru după trimestru.
|
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Când piața generală intră în corecție, firma A doar încetinește, nu se
|
||||
prăbușește — fundamentul solid "absoarbe" șocul.</p>
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<p><strong>Firma B — aceeași formă tehnică, fundamental fragil (NU, eșuează la corecție)</strong></p>
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<text x="23" y="63" fill="#1a5fb4">42.00 — rezistență / breakout</text>
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<text x="20" y="150" fill="#c00">breakout 42.10, datorie mare, cash flow negativ —</text>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 333" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Firma B — daily (construit)</text>
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<text x="30" y="78.5" fill="#1a5fb4">42.00 — rezistență / breakout</text>
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<text x="479.0" y="119.7" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">corecția pieței</text>
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<text x="24" y="321" fill="#555">datorie mare, cash flow negativ — corecția o trage rapid înapoi sub 42.00</text>
|
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</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Firma B sparge exact aceeași rezistență (42.10), grafic identic până în
|
||||
acel punct. Dar are datorie mare scadentă curând și cash flow negativ (arde
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -61,14 +61,123 @@ cu numere, nu doar afirmativ.
|
||||
|
||||
**Firma A — breakout confirmat de fundamental solid (DA, poziția rezistă)**
|
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<text x="20" y="155" fill="#188a3e">corecția pieței nu o oprește — continuă să urce</text>
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<text x="344.0" y="116.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakout 42.10</text>
|
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|
||||
<text x="24" y="402" fill="#555">cash net pozitiv, datorie în scădere — corecția nu o oprește, continuă să urce</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Firma A trece de 42.00 cu volum, iar bilanțul arată cash mai mare decât
|
||||
@@ -78,13 +187,123 @@ prăbușește — fundamentul solid "absoarbe" șocul.
|
||||
|
||||
**Firma B — aceeași formă tehnică, fundamental fragil (NU, eșuează la corecție)**
|
||||
|
||||
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<text x="23" y="63" fill="#1a5fb4">42.00 — rezistență / breakout</text>
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<text x="20" y="150" fill="#c00">breakout 42.10, datorie mare, cash flow negativ —</text>
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<text x="20" y="163" fill="#c00">corecția pieței o trage rapid înapoi sub 42.00</text>
|
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|
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Firma B — daily (construit)</text>
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<text x="30" y="78.5" fill="#1a5fb4">42.00 — rezistență / breakout</text>
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Firma B sparge exact aceeași rezistență (42.10), grafic identic până în
|
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@@ -154,15 +154,87 @@ titlu. Verifici (1) dacă cash flow-ul operațional confirmă profitul net
|
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(raport apropiat de 1, ca la Compania A) și (2) dacă datoria a crescut
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proporțional mai mult decât veniturile (ca la Compania B).</p>
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<p><strong>Trigger valid vs. prea devreme</strong>, aplicat pe un breakout tehnic real (long):</p>
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<text x="15" y="93" fill="#1a5fb4">45.00 — rezistență (range 40-45)</text>
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<text x="120" y="41" fill="#188a3e">cash flow confirmă profitul</text>
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<text x="15" y="135" fill="#c00">43.50 — SL, sub zona de breakout</text>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 410" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Compania A — daily (construit)</text>
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<text x="30" y="206.0" fill="#1a5fb4">45.00 — rezistență (range 39-45)</text>
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<text x="592" y="245.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">43.50 — SL</text>
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<rect x="391.0" y="225.8" width="10" height="14.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="412.0" y1="215.5" x2="412.0" y2="233.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="407.0" y="219.8" width="10" height="6.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="428.0" y1="188.6" x2="428.0" y2="227.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="423.0" y="196.4" width="10" height="23.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="439.0" y="192.2" width="10" height="4.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="460.0" y1="183.4" x2="460.0" y2="199.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="455.0" y="189.6" width="10" height="2.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="476.0" y1="184.6" x2="476.0" y2="195.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="471.0" y="189.6" width="10" height="2.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="492.0" y1="185.0" x2="492.0" y2="211.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="487.0" y="192.5" width="10" height="11.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="508.0" y1="193.9" x2="508.0" y2="209.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="503.0" y="198.2" width="10" height="6.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="524.0" y1="182.0" x2="524.0" y2="204.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="519.0" y="186.3" width="10" height="12.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="540.0" y1="166.5" x2="540.0" y2="193.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="535.0" y="170.4" width="10" height="15.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="556.0" y1="163.2" x2="556.0" y2="175.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="551.0" y="166.5" width="10" height="3.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="572.0" y1="142.0" x2="572.0" y2="171.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="567.0" y="148.8" width="10" height="17.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="588.0" y1="135.4" x2="588.0" y2="152.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="583.0" y="139.2" width="10" height="9.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="428.0" y="156.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakout ~45.30</text>
|
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<text x="492.0" y="231.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest 45.30</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="398" fill="#555">cash flow confirmă profitul (18M$ ≈ 17M$); SL 43.50 sub zona de breakout</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<p><strong>Exemplu complet — long, Compania A:</strong> intri long la retest 45.30 după
|
||||
breakout peste 45.00 (raportul confirmă: profit 18M$ ≈ cash flow 17M$, datorie
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -136,15 +136,87 @@ proporțional mai mult decât veniturile (ca la Compania B).
|
||||
|
||||
**Trigger valid vs. prea devreme**, aplicat pe un breakout tehnic real (long):
|
||||
|
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<text x="15" y="93" fill="#1a5fb4">45.00 — rezistență (range 40-45)</text>
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<text x="120" y="28" fill="#188a3e">breakout ~45.30</text>
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<text x="120" y="41" fill="#188a3e">cash flow confirmă profitul</text>
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<text x="15" y="135" fill="#c00">43.50 — SL, sub zona de breakout</text>
|
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<svg viewBox="0 0 620 410" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Compania A — daily (construit)</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">51.00 — TP (6 puncte proiectate)</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="212.0" x2="606" y2="212.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="206.0" fill="#1a5fb4">45.00 — rezistență (range 39-45)</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="251.0" x2="606" y2="251.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="245.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">43.50 — SL</text>
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<line x1="44.0" y1="341.4" x2="44.0" y2="363.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.0" y="347.2" width="10" height="10.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="60.0" y1="296.5" x2="60.0" y2="362.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="55.0" y="304.0" width="10" height="53.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="76.0" y1="264.5" x2="76.0" y2="309.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="71.0" y="269.2" width="10" height="34.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="92.0" y1="212.0" x2="92.0" y2="273.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="87.0" y="217.2" width="10" height="52.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="108.0" y1="212.7" x2="108.0" y2="265.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="103.0" y="217.2" width="10" height="42.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="124.0" y1="253.8" x2="124.0" y2="326.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="119.0" y="260.1" width="10" height="61.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="140.0" y1="317.8" x2="140.0" y2="368.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="135.0" y="321.7" width="10" height="40.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="364.0" y1="223.3" x2="364.0" y2="239.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="359.0" y="228.9" width="10" height="5.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="380.0" y1="228.2" x2="380.0" y2="244.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="391.0" y="225.8" width="10" height="14.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="412.0" y1="215.5" x2="412.0" y2="233.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="407.0" y="219.8" width="10" height="6.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="428.0" y1="188.6" x2="428.0" y2="227.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="423.0" y="196.4" width="10" height="23.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="444.0" y1="184.8" x2="444.0" y2="203.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="439.0" y="192.2" width="10" height="4.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="460.0" y1="183.4" x2="460.0" y2="199.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="455.0" y="189.6" width="10" height="2.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="476.0" y1="184.6" x2="476.0" y2="195.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="471.0" y="189.6" width="10" height="2.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="492.0" y1="185.0" x2="492.0" y2="211.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="487.0" y="192.5" width="10" height="11.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="508.0" y1="193.9" x2="508.0" y2="209.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="503.0" y="198.2" width="10" height="6.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="524.0" y1="182.0" x2="524.0" y2="204.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="519.0" y="186.3" width="10" height="12.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="540.0" y1="166.5" x2="540.0" y2="193.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="535.0" y="170.4" width="10" height="15.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="556.0" y1="163.2" x2="556.0" y2="175.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="551.0" y="166.5" width="10" height="3.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="572.0" y1="142.0" x2="572.0" y2="171.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="567.0" y="148.8" width="10" height="17.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="588.0" y1="135.4" x2="588.0" y2="152.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="583.0" y="139.2" width="10" height="9.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="428.0" y="156.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakout ~45.30</text>
|
||||
<text x="492.0" y="231.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest 45.30</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="398" fill="#555">cash flow confirmă profitul (18M$ ≈ 17M$); SL 43.50 sub zona de breakout</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
**Exemplu complet — long, Compania A:** intri long la retest 45.30 după
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -150,17 +150,90 @@ datorie. Un trimestru izolat nu strică teza; 2-3 trimestre la rând ar fi
|
||||
motiv să investighezi structura de capital.</p>
|
||||
<p><strong>Exemplu complet — decizie de poziție pe termen lung (construcție proprie,
|
||||
niveluri de preț ilustrative, nu cotații reale):</strong></p>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 260" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">KO (ilustrativ) — preț ↑</text>
|
||||
<polyline points="20,60 80,90 140,130 200,150 260,140 320,120 380,95 430,80" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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||||
<line x1="20" y1="150" x2="430" y2="150" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="143" fill="#1a5fb4">$59 — zonă suport + confirmare fundamentală (OCF/NI stabil)</text>
|
||||
<circle cx="200" cy="150" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
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<text x="205" y="168" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare $59</text>
|
||||
<line x1="20" y1="185" x2="430" y2="185" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="200" fill="#c00">$54 — sub suport SAU OCF/NI < 0,60 două trimestre la rând → ieși</text>
|
||||
<line x1="20" y1="70" x2="430" y2="70" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="63" fill="#188a3e">$72 — target (randament FCF revine la nivelul istoric)</text>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 350" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">KO (ilustrativ) — weekly</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">$72 — target (randament FCF revine la nivelul istoric)</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="238.0" x2="606" y2="238.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
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<text x="30" y="232.0" fill="#1a5fb4">$59 — zonă suport</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="308.0" x2="606" y2="308.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
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<text x="30" y="302.0" fill="#c00">$54 — sub suport SAU OCF/NI < 0,60 două trimestre la rând → ieși</text>
|
||||
<line x1="44.0" y1="125.2" x2="44.0" y2="136.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="39.5" y="128.8" width="9" height="4.2" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="59.0" y1="128.4" x2="59.0" y2="145.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="54.5" y="133.0" width="9" height="7.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="74.0" y1="135.7" x2="74.0" y2="151.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="69.5" y="140.6" width="9" height="8.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="89.0" y1="142.5" x2="89.0" y2="153.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="84.5" y="148.0" width="9" height="1.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="104.0" y1="144.8" x2="104.0" y2="162.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="99.5" y="148.0" width="9" height="11.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="119.0" y1="155.8" x2="119.0" y2="168.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="114.5" y="159.5" width="9" height="5.7" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="134.0" y1="155.8" x2="134.0" y2="167.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="129.5" y="161.0" width="9" height="4.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="149.0" y1="151.8" x2="149.0" y2="163.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="156.8" width="9" height="4.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="164.0" y1="150.7" x2="164.0" y2="160.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="159.5" y="155.7" width="9" height="1.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="179.0" y1="147.1" x2="179.0" y2="161.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="149.8" width="9" height="5.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="194.0" y1="146.2" x2="194.0" y2="168.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="149.8" width="9" height="12.9" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="209.0" y1="159.4" x2="209.0" y2="177.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="549.5" y="170.7" width="9" height="8.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="569.0" y1="165.4" x2="569.0" y2="174.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="564.5" y="170.7" width="9" height="1.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="584.0" y1="164.4" x2="584.0" y2="173.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<text x="419.0" y="258.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">intrare $59</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="338" fill="#555">suport $59 + confirmare fundamentală (OCF/NI stabil) → intrare $59</text>
|
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</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Intrare <strong>$59</strong> — declanșată de o combinație de tehnic (suport) și
|
||||
fundamental (OCF/Net Income stabil, fără deteriorare pe 4 trimestre).
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -158,17 +158,90 @@ motiv să investighezi structura de capital.
|
||||
**Exemplu complet — decizie de poziție pe termen lung (construcție proprie,
|
||||
niveluri de preț ilustrative, nu cotații reale):**
|
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|
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<svg viewBox="0 0 460 260" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">KO (ilustrativ) — preț ↑</text>
|
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<polyline points="20,60 80,90 140,130 200,150 260,140 320,120 380,95 430,80" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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<line x1="20" y1="150" x2="430" y2="150" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="24" y="143" fill="#1a5fb4">$59 — zonă suport + confirmare fundamentală (OCF/NI stabil)</text>
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<circle cx="200" cy="150" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<text x="205" y="168" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare $59</text>
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<text x="24" y="200" fill="#c00">$54 — sub suport SAU OCF/NI < 0,60 două trimestre la rând → ieși</text>
|
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<line x1="20" y1="70" x2="430" y2="70" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="24" y="63" fill="#188a3e">$72 — target (randament FCF revine la nivelul istoric)</text>
|
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<svg viewBox="0 0 620 350" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">KO (ilustrativ) — weekly</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">$72 — target (randament FCF revine la nivelul istoric)</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="238.0" x2="606" y2="238.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="232.0" fill="#1a5fb4">$59 — zonă suport</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="308.0" x2="606" y2="308.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="302.0" fill="#c00">$54 — sub suport SAU OCF/NI < 0,60 două trimestre la rând → ieși</text>
|
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<line x1="44.0" y1="125.2" x2="44.0" y2="136.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.5" y="128.8" width="9" height="4.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="128.4" x2="59.0" y2="145.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="133.0" width="9" height="7.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="135.7" x2="74.0" y2="151.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="140.6" width="9" height="8.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="142.5" x2="89.0" y2="153.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="148.0" width="9" height="1.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="144.8" x2="104.0" y2="162.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="148.0" width="9" height="11.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="155.8" x2="119.0" y2="168.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="159.5" width="9" height="5.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="161.0" width="9" height="4.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="194.9" width="9" height="13.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="191.1" x2="344.0" y2="210.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="194.9" width="9" height="10.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="200.0" x2="359.0" y2="215.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="205.1" width="9" height="4.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="204.3" x2="374.0" y2="219.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="209.6" width="9" height="5.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="211.7" x2="389.0" y2="232.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="215.3" width="9" height="14.3" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="224.5" x2="404.0" y2="233.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="229.6" width="9" height="1.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="226.1" x2="419.0" y2="238.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="230.0" width="9" height="3.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="221.5" x2="434.0" y2="237.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="224.8" width="9" height="8.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="449.0" y1="220.0" x2="449.0" y2="228.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="224.4" width="9" height="1.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="464.0" y1="209.8" x2="464.0" y2="228.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="459.5" y="212.5" width="9" height="11.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="479.0" y1="196.2" x2="479.0" y2="216.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="474.5" y="201.6" width="9" height="10.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="494.0" y1="189.5" x2="494.0" y2="204.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="489.5" y="195.0" width="9" height="6.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="509.0" y1="187.2" x2="509.0" y2="199.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="504.5" y="192.1" width="9" height="2.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="524.0" y1="185.8" x2="524.0" y2="194.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="519.5" y="188.2" width="9" height="3.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="539.0" y1="174.5" x2="539.0" y2="193.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||||
<rect x="534.5" y="179.2" width="9" height="9.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="554.0" y1="168.0" x2="554.0" y2="183.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="549.5" y="170.7" width="9" height="8.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="569.0" y1="165.4" x2="569.0" y2="174.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="564.5" y="170.7" width="9" height="1.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="584.0" y1="164.4" x2="584.0" y2="173.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="579.5" y="169.4" width="9" height="1.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="419.0" y="258.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">intrare $59</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="338" fill="#555">suport $59 + confirmare fundamentală (OCF/NI stabil) → intrare $59</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Intrare **$59** — declanșată de o combinație de tehnic (suport) și
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -193,19 +193,127 @@ preț construit, plauzibil pe scara deja folosită mai sus):</strong></p>
|
||||
între 52.80$ și 56$ în ultimele 3 săptămâni de tranzacționare — piața încă
|
||||
"digeră" vestea. Ziua raportului Q4, acțiunea rupe baza cu volum peste
|
||||
medie.</p>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 440 220" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:440px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">NOVA Corp ↑ (scară: 7,57px/$)</text>
|
||||
<line x1="20" y1="150" x2="420" y2="150" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="10" y="163" fill="#999">52.80 — baza (SL sub acest nivel)</text>
|
||||
<line x1="20" y1="126" x2="420" y2="126" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
||||
<text x="10" y="121" fill="#888">56.00 — rezistența bazei</text>
|
||||
<polyline points="20,148 90,145 160,137 220,130 260,124 320,88 380,35" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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<circle cx="260" cy="124" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||||
<text x="195" y="138" fill="#1a5fb4">breakout raport Q4, volum mare</text>
|
||||
<line x1="20" y1="35" x2="420" y2="35" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
||||
<text x="10" y="30" fill="#188a3e">68.00 — TP (maxim anterior)</text>
|
||||
<text x="10" y="200" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare long 56.20 — break confirmat peste 56.00, cu volum</text>
|
||||
<text x="10" y="216" fill="#c00">SL 52.80 — sub bază: dacă cedează, teza "trend confirmat" e invalidată</text>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 452" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">NOVA Corp — daily (construit)</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">68.00 — TP (maxim anterior)</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="260.0" x2="606" y2="260.0" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="254.0" fill="#888">56.00 — rezistența bazei</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="314.4" x2="606" y2="314.4" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="308.4" fill="#999">52.80 — baza (SL sub acest nivel)</text>
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<rect x="69.5" y="81.7" width="9" height="25.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="57.7" x2="89.0" y2="85.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="63.7" width="9" height="18.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="60.8" width="9" height="2.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="74.4" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="103.5" x2="164.0" y2="127.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="108.0" width="9" height="14.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="117.6" x2="179.0" y2="146.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="141.0" width="9" height="9.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="150.9" width="9" height="27.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="178.2" width="9" height="18.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="211.2" width="9" height="11.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="24" y="334.4" fill="#555">volum — breakout cu volum mare</text>
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<text x="581.0" y="231.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">breakout raport Q4</text>
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<text x="449.0" y="328.4" fill="#999" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">baza, 3 săptămâni</text>
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<text x="24" y="440" fill="#555">intrare long 56.20 (break confirmat peste 56.00, cu volum); SL 52.80 sub bază</text>
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</svg></p>
|
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<p>Intrare: <strong>56.20</strong> (break confirmat peste rezistența bazei, cu volum, în
|
||||
ziua raportului). Stop-loss: <strong>52.80</strong> — sub baza de acumulare; dacă prețul
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -203,19 +203,127 @@ După al 4-lea raport trimestrial care confirmă toate cele patru unghiuri
|
||||
"digeră" vestea. Ziua raportului Q4, acțiunea rupe baza cu volum peste
|
||||
medie.
|
||||
|
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<svg viewBox="0 0 440 220" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:440px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">NOVA Corp ↑ (scară: 7,57px/$)</text>
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<text x="10" y="163" fill="#999">52.80 — baza (SL sub acest nivel)</text>
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<line x1="20" y1="126" x2="420" y2="126" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
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<text x="10" y="121" fill="#888">56.00 — rezistența bazei</text>
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<polyline points="20,148 90,145 160,137 220,130 260,124 320,88 380,35" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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<circle cx="260" cy="124" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<text x="195" y="138" fill="#1a5fb4">breakout raport Q4, volum mare</text>
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<line x1="20" y1="35" x2="420" y2="35" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
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<text x="10" y="30" fill="#188a3e">68.00 — TP (maxim anterior)</text>
|
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<text x="10" y="200" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare long 56.20 — break confirmat peste 56.00, cu volum</text>
|
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<text x="10" y="216" fill="#c00">SL 52.80 — sub bază: dacă cedează, teza "trend confirmat" e invalidată</text>
|
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<svg viewBox="0 0 620 452" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">NOVA Corp — daily (construit)</text>
|
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">68.00 — TP (maxim anterior)</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="260.0" x2="606" y2="260.0" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="254.0" fill="#888">56.00 — rezistența bazei</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="314.4" x2="606" y2="314.4" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="308.4" fill="#999">52.80 — baza (SL sub acest nivel)</text>
|
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<line x1="44.0" y1="111.8" x2="44.0" y2="126.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.5" y="115.5" width="9" height="8.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="101.3" x2="59.0" y2="120.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="107.2" width="9" height="8.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="76.4" x2="74.0" y2="111.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="81.7" width="9" height="25.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="211.2" width="9" height="11.4" fill="#c00"/>
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</svg>
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Intrare: **56.20** (break confirmat peste rezistența bazei, cu volum, în
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@@ -171,19 +171,82 @@ trigger-ul tehnic de intrare.</p>
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traversare a unui nivel de rezistență în direcția mișcării; <strong>retest</strong> =
|
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după breakout, prețul revine să atingă din nou acel nivel (acum ca suport)
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înainte să continue — intrarea la retest confirmă că nivelul chiar ține.</p>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 400 220" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="180" y="105" fill="#c00">breakout ~63,60 $</text>
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<text x="215" y="140" fill="#188a3e">retest — ține ca suport</text>
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<text x="230" y="55" fill="#333">intrare 63,70 $</text>
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<text x="23" y="158" fill="#c00">61,80 $ — stop-loss (sub rezistența spartă)</text>
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<text x="23" y="17" fill="#188a3e">68,00 $ — target (rezistență următoare)</text>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 351" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Coca-Cola (KO) — daily (construit)</text>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">68,00 $ — target (rezistență următoare)</text>
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<text x="30" y="221.0" fill="#1a5fb4">63,50 $ — rezistență</text>
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<text x="592" y="285.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">61,80 $ — stop-loss (sub rezistența spartă)</text>
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<rect x="583.0" y="151.0" width="10" height="10.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="384.0" y="183.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakout ~63,60 $</text>
|
||||
<text x="469.0" y="257.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest — ține ca suport → intrare 63,70 $</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Intrare long <strong>63,70 $</strong> la retest-ul confirmat peste 63,50 $. Stop-loss
|
||||
<strong>61,80 $</strong> — sub nivelul de breakout; dacă prețul recoboară acolo, intrarea
|
||||
@@ -195,19 +258,117 @@ continuând scara F-Score-ului real din exemplul Coca-Cola.</p>
|
||||
<p>Continuăm exemplul RetailCo (F-Score 2/9, deteriorare fundamentală). Prețul
|
||||
confirmă cu o rupere de suport pe volum — piața începe să "prețuiască"
|
||||
deteriorarea deja vizibilă în fundament.</p>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 400 220" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="23" y="51" fill="#1a5fb4">18,20 $ — suport</text>
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<polyline points="20,15 80,30 140,45 170,58 210,50 260,140 320,195" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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<circle cx="170" cy="58" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="175" y="45" fill="#c00">breakdown ~17,95 $</text>
|
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<circle cx="210" cy="50" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="215" y="68" fill="#188a3e">retest — respinsă ca rezistență</text>
|
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<text x="230" y="130" fill="#333">intrare short 17,90 $</text>
|
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<text x="23" y="17" fill="#c00">19,10 $ — stop-loss (peste suportul spart)</text>
|
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<text x="23" y="212" fill="#188a3e">14,50 $ — target (suport următor)</text>
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 476" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">RetailCo — daily (construit)</text>
|
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<text x="592" y="66.1" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">19,10 $ — stop-loss (peste suportul spart)</text>
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<text x="30" y="120.1" fill="#1a5fb4">18,20 $ — suport</text>
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<text x="30" y="342.1" fill="#188a3e">14,50 $ — target (suport următor)</text>
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<line x1="44.0" y1="56.2" x2="44.0" y2="69.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.0" y="60.1" width="10" height="6.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="61.0" y1="56.0" x2="61.0" y2="74.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="56.0" y="60.1" width="10" height="10.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="78.0" y1="66.0" x2="78.0" y2="89.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="73.0" y="70.3" width="10" height="17.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="95.0" y1="84.7" x2="95.0" y2="102.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="90.0" y="87.7" width="10" height="11.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="112.0" y1="97.0" x2="112.0" y2="112.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="107.0" y="99.1" width="10" height="9.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="129.0" y1="95.7" x2="129.0" y2="111.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="124.0" y="99.7" width="10" height="8.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="146.0" y1="92.9" x2="146.0" y2="101.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="141.0" y="94.9" width="10" height="4.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="163.0" y1="79.7" x2="163.0" y2="97.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="158.0" y="81.7" width="10" height="13.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="180.0" y1="78.1" x2="180.0" y2="84.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="175.0" y="81.7" width="10" height="1.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="197.0" y1="78.7" x2="197.0" y2="91.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="192.0" y="81.7" width="10" height="5.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="214.0" y1="83.2" x2="214.0" y2="102.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="520.0" y1="154.4" x2="520.0" y2="178.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="24" y1="434.1" x2="606" y2="434.1" stroke="#888"/>
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<rect x="90.0" y="408.2" width="10" height="25.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="107.0" y="409.5" width="10" height="24.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="124.0" y="406.9" width="10" height="27.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="141.0" y="408.8" width="10" height="25.3" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="158.0" y="410.7" width="10" height="23.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="175.0" y="407.6" width="10" height="26.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="192.0" y="409.5" width="10" height="24.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="209.0" y="408.2" width="10" height="25.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="226.0" y="410.1" width="10" height="24.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="243.0" y="408.8" width="10" height="25.3" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="260.0" y="406.9" width="10" height="27.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="277.0" y="409.5" width="10" height="24.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="294.0" y="408.2" width="10" height="25.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="311.0" y="410.1" width="10" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="328.0" y="407.6" width="10" height="26.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="345.0" y="408.8" width="10" height="25.3" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="362.0" y="409.5" width="10" height="24.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="379.0" y="374.1" width="10" height="60.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="396.0" y="389.9" width="10" height="44.2" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="413.0" y="401.3" width="10" height="32.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="430.0" y="406.3" width="10" height="27.8" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="447.0" y="408.8" width="10" height="25.3" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="464.0" y="407.6" width="10" height="26.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="481.0" y="396.2" width="10" height="37.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="498.0" y="397.5" width="10" height="36.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="515.0" y="399.4" width="10" height="34.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="532.0" y="401.3" width="10" height="32.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="549.0" y="402.5" width="10" height="31.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="566.0" y="403.1" width="10" height="30.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="583.0" y="403.8" width="10" height="30.3" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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||||
<text x="24" y="368.1" fill="#555">volum — breakdown ~17,95 $ pe volum</text>
|
||||
<text x="469.0" y="112.1" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest respins → short 17,90 $</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="464" fill="#555">retest-ul la 18,20 $ e respins — fostul suport ține acum ca rezistență</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Intrare short <strong>17,90 $</strong> după ce retest-ul de la 18,20 $ e respins (nivelul
|
||||
fostului suport ține acum ca rezistență). Stop-loss <strong>19,10 $</strong> — peste
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -174,19 +174,82 @@ traversare a unui nivel de rezistență în direcția mișcării; **retest** =
|
||||
după breakout, prețul revine să atingă din nou acel nivel (acum ca suport)
|
||||
înainte să continue — intrarea la retest confirmă că nivelul chiar ține.
|
||||
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 400 220" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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||||
<line x1="20" y1="112" x2="380" y2="112" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="23" y="105" fill="#1a5fb4">63,50 $ — rezistență</text>
|
||||
<polyline points="20,170 80,150 140,120 170,112 210,122 260,90 320,25" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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<circle cx="170" cy="112" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
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||||
<text x="180" y="105" fill="#c00">breakout ~63,60 $</text>
|
||||
<circle cx="210" cy="122" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<text x="215" y="140" fill="#188a3e">retest — ține ca suport</text>
|
||||
<text x="230" y="55" fill="#333">intrare 63,70 $</text>
|
||||
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|
||||
<text x="23" y="158" fill="#c00">61,80 $ — stop-loss (sub rezistența spartă)</text>
|
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|
||||
<text x="23" y="17" fill="#188a3e">68,00 $ — target (rezistență următoare)</text>
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 351" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Coca-Cola (KO) — daily (construit)</text>
|
||||
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">68,00 $ — target (rezistență următoare)</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="227.0" x2="606" y2="227.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="221.0" fill="#1a5fb4">63,50 $ — rezistență</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="291.6" x2="606" y2="291.6" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="285.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">61,80 $ — stop-loss (sub rezistența spartă)</text>
|
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<rect x="39.0" y="314.4" width="10" height="7.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="61.0" y1="287.5" x2="61.0" y2="318.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="56.0" y="291.6" width="10" height="22.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="78.0" y1="265.4" x2="78.0" y2="295.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="73.0" y="269.6" width="10" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="95.0" y1="247.0" x2="95.0" y2="274.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="90.0" y="251.7" width="10" height="17.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="112.0" y1="229.0" x2="112.0" y2="256.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="107.0" y="234.6" width="10" height="17.1" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="129.0" y1="230.2" x2="129.0" y2="245.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="124.0" y="234.6" width="10" height="6.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="146.0" y1="238.0" x2="146.0" y2="266.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="141.0" y="241.4" width="10" height="20.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="163.0" y1="259.3" x2="163.0" y2="273.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="158.0" y="262.0" width="10" height="6.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="384.0" y="183.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakout ~63,60 $</text>
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<text x="469.0" y="257.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest — ține ca suport → intrare 63,70 $</text>
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</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Intrare long **63,70 $** la retest-ul confirmat peste 63,50 $. Stop-loss
|
||||
@@ -201,19 +264,117 @@ Continuăm exemplul RetailCo (F-Score 2/9, deteriorare fundamentală). Prețul
|
||||
confirmă cu o rupere de suport pe volum — piața începe să "prețuiască"
|
||||
deteriorarea deja vizibilă în fundament.
|
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|
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<text x="23" y="51" fill="#1a5fb4">18,20 $ — suport</text>
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<text x="175" y="45" fill="#c00">breakdown ~17,95 $</text>
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<text x="215" y="68" fill="#188a3e">retest — respinsă ca rezistență</text>
|
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<text x="230" y="130" fill="#333">intrare short 17,90 $</text>
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<text x="23" y="17" fill="#c00">19,10 $ — stop-loss (peste suportul spart)</text>
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<text x="23" y="212" fill="#188a3e">14,50 $ — target (suport următor)</text>
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<svg viewBox="0 0 620 476" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">RetailCo — daily (construit)</text>
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<text x="592" y="66.1" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">19,10 $ — stop-loss (peste suportul spart)</text>
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<text x="30" y="120.1" fill="#1a5fb4">18,20 $ — suport</text>
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<text x="30" y="342.1" fill="#188a3e">14,50 $ — target (suport următor)</text>
|
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<rect x="56.0" y="60.1" width="10" height="10.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="73.0" y="70.3" width="10" height="17.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="566.0" y="403.1" width="10" height="30.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="583.0" y="403.8" width="10" height="30.3" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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||||
<text x="24" y="368.1" fill="#555">volum — breakdown ~17,95 $ pe volum</text>
|
||||
<text x="469.0" y="112.1" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest respins → short 17,90 $</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="464" fill="#555">retest-ul la 18,20 $ e respins — fostul suport ține acum ca rezistență</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
|
||||
Intrare short **17,90 $** după ce retest-ul de la 18,20 $ e respins (nivelul
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -152,19 +152,128 @@ transcrierea nu dă prețuri, doar scorul 8/9 pentru Bloom Energy/BE): BE trece
|
||||
filtrul (F-Score 8, Scanner cu prag ≥7). Pe chart-ul lui BE, prețul consolidează
|
||||
între suport 16.50 și rezistență 18.20 (bază de 1.70 înălțime) timp de câteva
|
||||
săptămâni, apoi sparge 18.20 cu volum crescut.</p>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 420 260" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:440px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">BE — bază + breakout (filtru F-Score 8/9 deja trecut)</text>
|
||||
<polyline points="10,195 50,215 90,165 130,210 170,155 210,205 250,160 290,150 340,110 380,84" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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<line x1="10" y1="220" x2="290" y2="220" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="15" y="234" fill="#666">16.50 — suport bază</text>
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<line x1="10" y1="152" x2="290" y2="152" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="15" y="146" fill="#1a5fb4">18.20 — rezistență / nivel breakout</text>
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<line x1="10" y1="176" x2="130" y2="176" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="135" y="180" fill="#c00">17.60 — stop-loss (sub ultimul minim din bază)</text>
|
||||
<circle cx="290" cy="150" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="140" y="50" fill="#c00">entry 18.25 — breakout cu volum</text>
|
||||
<line x1="380" y1="84" x2="10" y2="84" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="15" y="78" fill="#188a3e">19.90 — target (1.70 proiectat de la breakout)</text>
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 558" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">BE — daily (filtru F-Score 8/9 deja trecut)</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">19.90 — target (1.70 proiectat de la breakout)</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="243.0" x2="606" y2="243.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="237.0" fill="#1a5fb4">18.20 — rezistență / nivel breakout</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="309.0" x2="606" y2="309.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="303.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end"></text>
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<line x1="24" y1="430.0" x2="606" y2="430.0" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="424.0" fill="#666">16.50 — suport bază</text>
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<rect x="39.0" y="375.0" width="10" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="315.3" x2="59.0" y2="384.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.0" y="325.5" width="10" height="49.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="283.9" x2="74.0" y2="336.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.0" y="289.2" width="10" height="36.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="243.0" x2="89.0" y2="298.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.0" y="251.8" width="10" height="37.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="244.3" x2="104.0" y2="298.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.0" y="251.8" width="10" height="38.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="280.9" x2="119.0" y2="350.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="114.0" y="290.3" width="10" height="50.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="331.2" x2="134.0" y2="383.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.0" y="340.9" width="10" height="36.3" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="366.4" x2="149.0" y2="430.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.0" y="377.2" width="10" height="44.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="382.5" x2="164.0" y2="426.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.0" y="389.3" width="10" height="31.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="326.6" x2="179.0" y2="400.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.0" y="336.5" width="10" height="52.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="194.0" y1="282.3" x2="194.0" y2="345.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.0" y="292.5" width="10" height="44.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="243.0" x2="209.0" y2="299.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="204.0" y="248.5" width="10" height="44.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="243.1" x2="224.0" y2="296.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.0" y="248.5" width="10" height="37.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="276.4" x2="239.0" y2="337.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.0" y="285.9" width="10" height="44.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="319.7" x2="254.0" y2="374.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.0" y="329.9" width="10" height="39.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="364.4" x2="269.0" y2="414.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="264.0" y="369.5" width="10" height="38.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="358.1" x2="284.0" y2="414.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.0" y="368.4" width="10" height="39.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="294.0" y="331.0" width="10" height="37.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="281.8" x2="314.0" y2="341.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.0" y="287.0" width="10" height="44.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="243.6" x2="374.0" y2="268.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.0" y="252.9" width="10" height="11.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="255.7" x2="389.0" y2="277.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.0" y="263.9" width="10" height="6.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="265.3" x2="404.0" y2="295.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.0" y="270.5" width="10" height="14.3" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="277.3" x2="419.0" y2="296.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.0" y="284.8" width="10" height="9.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="283.6" x2="434.0" y2="298.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="429.0" y="289.2" width="10" height="5.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="449.0" y1="275.7" x2="449.0" y2="292.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="444.0" y="285.9" width="10" height="3.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="464.0" y1="252.0" x2="464.0" y2="292.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="479.0" y1="243.1" x2="479.0" y2="269.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="474.0" y="254.0" width="10" height="8.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="494.0" y1="207.7" x2="494.0" y2="264.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="504.0" y="196.8" width="10" height="18.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="524.0" y1="161.5" x2="524.0" y2="202.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="519.0" y="166.0" width="10" height="30.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="539.0" y1="141.2" x2="539.0" y2="172.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="534.0" y="148.4" width="10" height="17.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="554.0" y1="120.4" x2="554.0" y2="153.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="549.0" y="125.3" width="10" height="23.1" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="569.0" y1="102.2" x2="569.0" y2="135.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="564.0" y="111.0" width="10" height="14.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="24" y1="516.0" x2="606" y2="516.0" stroke="#888"/>
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<rect x="39.0" y="491.5" width="10" height="24.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="54.0" y="490.3" width="10" height="25.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="69.0" y="492.7" width="10" height="23.3" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="84.0" y="490.9" width="10" height="25.1" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="99.0" y="492.1" width="10" height="23.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="114.0" y="489.7" width="10" height="26.3" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="129.0" y="491.5" width="10" height="24.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="144.0" y="493.3" width="10" height="22.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="159.0" y="490.3" width="10" height="25.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="174.0" y="492.1" width="10" height="23.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="189.0" y="490.9" width="10" height="25.1" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="204.0" y="492.7" width="10" height="23.3" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="219.0" y="491.5" width="10" height="24.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="234.0" y="489.7" width="10" height="26.3" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="249.0" y="492.1" width="10" height="23.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="264.0" y="490.9" width="10" height="25.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="279.0" y="492.7" width="10" height="23.3" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="294.0" y="490.3" width="10" height="25.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="309.0" y="491.5" width="10" height="24.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="324.0" y="492.1" width="10" height="23.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="339.0" y="493.3" width="10" height="22.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="354.0" y="492.7" width="10" height="23.3" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="369.0" y="494.0" width="10" height="22.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="384.0" y="492.1" width="10" height="23.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="399.0" y="493.3" width="10" height="22.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="414.0" y="494.6" width="10" height="21.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="429.0" y="492.7" width="10" height="23.3" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="444.0" y="491.5" width="10" height="24.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="459.0" y="492.1" width="10" height="23.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="474.0" y="490.9" width="10" height="25.1" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="489.0" y="456.0" width="10" height="60.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="504.0" y="467.0" width="10" height="49.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="519.0" y="471.9" width="10" height="44.1" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="534.0" y="475.6" width="10" height="40.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="549.0" y="479.3" width="10" height="36.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="564.0" y="480.5" width="10" height="35.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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||||
<text x="24" y="450.0" fill="#555">volum — entry 18.25, breakout cu volum</text>
|
||||
<text x="434.0" y="324.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">17.60 — stop-loss</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="546" fill="#555">SL 17.60 = sub ultimul minim din bază (17.70)</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<p>Entry 18.25 (breakout confirmat, nu vârful primei candele). Stop-loss 17.60
|
||||
(sub ultimul minim din bază — dacă prețul revine acolo, breakout-ul e
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -129,19 +129,128 @@ filtrul (F-Score 8, Scanner cu prag ≥7). Pe chart-ul lui BE, prețul consolide
|
||||
între suport 16.50 și rezistență 18.20 (bază de 1.70 înălțime) timp de câteva
|
||||
săptămâni, apoi sparge 18.20 cu volum crescut.
|
||||
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 420 260" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:440px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">BE — bază + breakout (filtru F-Score 8/9 deja trecut)</text>
|
||||
<polyline points="10,195 50,215 90,165 130,210 170,155 210,205 250,160 290,150 340,110 380,84" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
|
||||
<line x1="10" y1="220" x2="290" y2="220" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="15" y="234" fill="#666">16.50 — suport bază</text>
|
||||
<line x1="10" y1="152" x2="290" y2="152" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="15" y="146" fill="#1a5fb4">18.20 — rezistență / nivel breakout</text>
|
||||
<line x1="10" y1="176" x2="130" y2="176" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="135" y="180" fill="#c00">17.60 — stop-loss (sub ultimul minim din bază)</text>
|
||||
<circle cx="290" cy="150" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="140" y="50" fill="#c00">entry 18.25 — breakout cu volum</text>
|
||||
<line x1="380" y1="84" x2="10" y2="84" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="15" y="78" fill="#188a3e">19.90 — target (1.70 proiectat de la breakout)</text>
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 558" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">BE — daily (filtru F-Score 8/9 deja trecut)</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">19.90 — target (1.70 proiectat de la breakout)</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="243.0" x2="606" y2="243.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="237.0" fill="#1a5fb4">18.20 — rezistență / nivel breakout</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="309.0" x2="606" y2="309.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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||||
<text x="592" y="303.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end"></text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="430.0" x2="606" y2="430.0" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="424.0" fill="#666">16.50 — suport bază</text>
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<text x="24" y="450.0" fill="#555">volum — entry 18.25, breakout cu volum</text>
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<text x="434.0" y="324.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">17.60 — stop-loss</text>
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<text x="24" y="546" fill="#555">SL 17.60 = sub ultimul minim din bază (17.70)</text>
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</svg>
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||||
Entry 18.25 (breakout confirmat, nu vârful primei candele). Stop-loss 17.60
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||||
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||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user