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Fisierul de referinta (Inverted H&S): contradictie intre regula scrisa si cifre

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Agentul de audit a reparat eroarea mare de geometrie (proiectia tintei
desenata la 60px cand distanta neckline-head era 75px, plus "50 pct" in loc
de "$50" pe aur). Verificand independent, am gasit o problema mai adanca:

- regula scrisa spunea "proiectata de la punctul de breakout", dar TOATE
  cifrele din fisier proiecteaza de la neckline (1.0850 + 150 = 1.1000)
- o fraza afirma explicit ca de la 1.0855 la 1.1000 sunt "tot 150 pips" —
  sunt 145
- aceeasi discrepanta pe aur: eticheta zicea $50, desenul arata $45

Fix: convenția e acum declarata explicit (de la neckline), cu o nota despre
cealalta conventie si de ce castigul real al trade-ului e mai mic decat
miscarea masurata. Proiectiile pleaca acum din neckline in toate cele trei
diagrame, deci eticheta si desenul spun acelasi lucru.

Plus Modul 1 (raport agent, verificat): 11 probleme mecanice in
04_candele_ohlc, acelasi bug de scara in 06_divergente (4.80R desenat ca
0.91R) si 08_market_sentiment, si o gaura de continut — exemplul long din
market sentiment avea text complet dar nicio diagrama.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01MtSTyTmt6AbCL9j5ajEDm1
This commit is contained in:
Claude Agent
2026-09-12 21:35:54 +00:00
parent 841a5f828c
commit 464b01848f
74 changed files with 2199 additions and 1378 deletions
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summaries/03_MODUL_2/02_zone_cerere_oferta_support_resistance.html
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@@ -66,25 +66,22 @@ de zeci de ani):</p>
<p><strong>Exemplu real din curs (Q, daily):</strong> candela anterioară are high 370.68,
low 366.80, close 369.87 → PP = (370.68+366.80+369.87)/3 = <strong>369.12</strong>. Din
formulă: R1 = 371.44, R2 = 373.00, S1 = 367.56, S2 = 365.24.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 480 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">Q — daily, candela zilei anterioare</text>
<line x1="20" y1="20" x2="460" y2="20" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="16" fill="#c00">R2 373.00</text>
<line x1="20" y1="72" x2="460" y2="72" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="68" fill="#c88">R1 371.44</text>
<line x1="20" y1="150" x2="460" y2="150" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="360" y="146" fill="#1a5fb4">PP 369.12</text>
<line x1="20" y1="202" x2="460" y2="202" stroke="#188a3e" opacity="0.7" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="198" fill="#188a3e">S1 367.56</text>
<line x1="20" y1="280" x2="460" y2="280" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="276" fill="#188a3e">S2 365.24</text>
<line x1="140" y1="98" x2="140" y2="228" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="140" cy="98" r="3" fill="#1a1a1a"/>
<circle cx="140" cy="228" r="3" fill="#1a1a1a"/>
<line x1="130" y1="125" x2="150" y2="125" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="3"/>
<text x="150" y="102" fill="#333">high 370.68</text>
<text x="150" y="232" fill="#333">low 366.80</text>
<text x="150" y="120" fill="#333">close 369.87</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 440 357" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="426" y2="34.0" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="412" y="28.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="end">R2 373.00</text>
<line x1="24" y1="83.9" x2="426" y2="83.9" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="412" y="77.9" fill="#c88" text-anchor="end">R1 371.44</text>
<line x1="24" y1="158.2" x2="426" y2="158.2" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="412" y="152.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">PP 369.12</text>
<line x1="24" y1="208.1" x2="426" y2="208.1" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="412" y="202.1" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">S1 367.56</text>
<line x1="24" y1="282.3" x2="426" y2="282.3" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="412" y="276.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">S2 365.24</text>
<line x1="310" y1="108.2" x2="310" y2="232.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="297" y="134.2" width="26" height="31.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="310" y="300.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">candela anterioară</text>
<text x="24" y="320.3" fill="#188a3e">high 370.68, low 366.80, close 369.87</text>
<text x="24" y="345" fill="#555">Q — daily. PP = (370.68+366.80+369.87)/3 = 369.12.</text>
</svg></p>
<h2 id="de-ce-functioneaza-mecanismul-nu-doar-afirmatia">De ce funcționează — mecanismul, nu doar afirmația</h2>
<p>Cursul spune doar că "obții o medie și acolo ar trebui să se miște
@@ -111,19 +108,19 @@ predicție exactă, ci un ghid: dacă PP-ul curent e deasupra celui anterior
(proiecție bull), e mai probabil ca prețul să testeze ambele resistance
(R1, R2) și doar un support; dacă PP-ul curent e sub cel anterior
(proiecție bear), invers — două support-uri testate, o singură resistance.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 440 230" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:440px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 440 280" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:440px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="5" y="16" fill="#333">Proiecție BULL — PP curent peste PP anterior</text>
<line x1="20" y1="60" x2="180" y2="60" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="20" y="52" fill="#888">PP anterior 369.12</text>
<line x1="220" y1="35" x2="380" y2="35" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="220" y="27" fill="#1a5fb4">PP curent 371.00</text>
<text x="200" y="90" fill="#188a3e">așteptăm 2 resistance testate, 1 support</text>
<text x="5" y="140" fill="#333">Proiecție BEAR — PP curent sub PP anterior</text>
<line x1="20" y1="160" x2="180" y2="160" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="20" y="152" fill="#888">PP anterior 369.12</text>
<line x1="220" y1="185" x2="380" y2="185" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="220" y="202" fill="#c00">PP curent 367.50</text>
<text x="200" y="220" fill="#c00">așteptăm 2 support testate, 1 resistance</text>
<line x1="220" y1="55" x2="380" y2="55" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="220" y="45" fill="#1a5fb4">PP curent 371.00</text>
<line x1="20" y1="90" x2="180" y2="90" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="20" y="80" fill="#888">PP anterior 369.12</text>
<text x="200" y="115" fill="#188a3e">așteptăm 2 resistance testate, 1 support</text>
<text x="5" y="155" fill="#333">Proiecție BEAR — PP curent sub PP anterior</text>
<line x1="20" y1="195" x2="180" y2="195" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="20" y="185" fill="#888">PP anterior 369.12</text>
<line x1="220" y1="225" x2="380" y2="225" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="220" y="238" fill="#c00">PP curent 367.50</text>
<text x="200" y="258" fill="#c00">așteptăm 2 support testate, 1 resistance</text>
</svg></p>
<p><strong>Filtru avansat: PPA (pivot point average)</strong> — media ultimelor 3 PP-uri,
tratată ca un moving average "lent" față de PP-ul curent, "rapid" (exact
@@ -165,23 +162,26 @@ orice alt set-up (pattern, divergență).</p>
prețul coboară spre S1 (367.56), face un wick sub el la 367.40 dar
închide o candelă bullish la 367.80 (respinge nivelul) — asta e
trigger-ul. Intri la break-ul peste high-ul acelei candele.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑ — Q, 5 min, pivoți daily — DA: trigger valid, intri long</text>
<line x1="20" y1="29" x2="440" y2="29" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="350" y="25" fill="#c88">R1 371.44 — TP2</text>
<line x1="20" y1="155" x2="440" y2="155" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="350" y="151" fill="#1a5fb4">PP 369.12 — TP1</text>
<line x1="20" y1="240" x2="440" y2="240" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="236" fill="#188a3e">S1 367.56</text>
<line x1="20" y1="254" x2="440" y2="254" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="260" y="269" fill="#c00">SL 367.30</text>
<polyline points="20,100 90,180 150,248 170,227 200,221 260,180 310,155 360,100 410,29" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="150" cy="248" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="20" y="270" fill="#188a3e">wick 367.40 — trigger bullish</text>
<circle cx="200" cy="221" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="205" y="212" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare 367.90 (break peste trigger)</text>
<circle cx="310" cy="155" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<circle cx="410" cy="29" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 575" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="90.0" x2="446" y2="90.0" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="84.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="end">R1 371.44 — TP2</text>
<line x1="24" y1="310.4" x2="446" y2="310.4" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="304.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">PP 369.12 — TP1</text>
<line x1="24" y1="458.6" x2="446" y2="458.6" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="452.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">S1 367.56</text>
<line x1="24" y1="483.3" x2="446" y2="483.3" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="432" y="477.3" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 367.30</text>
<polyline points="24,385.0 102,431.0" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="373.0" fill="#999">downtrend anterior</text>
<line x1="110" y1="431.0" x2="110" y2="473.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="97" y="435.8" width="26" height="23.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="110" y="501.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">trigger</text>
<line x1="250" y1="418.7" x2="250" y2="440.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="237" y="421.6" width="26" height="14.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="250" y="501.3" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare</text>
<text x="24" y="521.3" fill="#188a3e">wick 367.40 — trigger bullish</text>
<text x="24" y="538.3" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare 367.90 (break peste trigger)</text>
<text x="24" y="563" fill="#555">Q, 5 min, pivoți daily. Scară: 1.00 = 95 px.</text>
</svg></p>
<p><strong>Intrare:</strong> 367.90 (break peste high-ul candelei de trigger). <strong>Stop-loss:</strong>
367.30 (sub wick-ul de trigger și sub S1 — dacă prețul recoboară acolo, S1
@@ -191,21 +191,26 @@ dacă proiecția e bull și lași parte din poziție să ruleze).</p>
<p><strong>NU — breakdown fără respingere, nu intri (sau ești stopat dacă ai
intrat orbește):</strong> prețul atinge S1 dar nu formează un bounce — trece
direct prin el, fără nicio pauză, spre S2.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑ — Q — NU: breakdown fără trigger, nu intri</text>
<line x1="20" y1="40" x2="440" y2="40" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="36" fill="#1a5fb4">PP 369.12</text>
<line x1="20" y1="121" x2="440" y2="121" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="117" fill="#188a3e">S1 367.56</text>
<line x1="20" y1="150" x2="440" y2="150" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="255" y="146" fill="#c00">ipotetic SL 367.00</text>
<line x1="20" y1="242" x2="440" y2="242" stroke="#188a3e" opacity="0.6" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="238" fill="#188a3e">S2 365.24</text>
<polyline points="20,50 90,80 150,121 190,124 230,170 280,220 330,242 380,254" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="190" cy="124" r="5" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="195" y="112" fill="#c88">NU — fără bounce, "pe atingere"</text>
<circle cx="230" cy="170" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="235" y="185" fill="#c00">SL 367.00 lovit — S1 nu a ținut</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 551" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="90.0" x2="446" y2="90.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="84.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">PP 369.12</text>
<line x1="24" y1="238.2" x2="446" y2="238.2" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="232.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">S1 367.56</text>
<line x1="24" y1="291.4" x2="446" y2="291.4" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="432" y="285.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 367.00 (ipotetic)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="458.6" x2="446" y2="458.6" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="452.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">S2 365.24</text>
<polyline points="24,155.2 102,201.2" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="143.2" fill="#999">downtrend anterior</text>
<line x1="110" y1="201.2" x2="110" y2="238.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="97" y="205.9" width="26" height="28.5" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="110" y="476.6" fill="#c88" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">atinge S1</text>
<line x1="250" y1="232.5" x2="250" y2="300.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="237" y="234.4" width="26" height="61.8" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="250" y="476.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakdown</text>
<text x="24" y="496.6" fill="#c88">fără wick de respingere</text>
<text x="24" y="513.6" fill="#c00">SL 367.00 lovit — S1 nu a ținut</text>
<text x="24" y="539" fill="#555">Q, pivoți daily. Fără respingere la S1: continuare spre S2.</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Diferența numerică față de cazul DA: la S1 nu apare nicio candelă bullish
de respingere — prețul continuă direct spre S2, la fel cum arăta și
@@ -218,23 +223,26 @@ short pe simpla atingere.</p>
S1 = 1.0863. Prețul urcă la R1, face un vârf tip shooting star la 1.0928,
închide la 1.0917 — trigger bearish. Intri la break-ul sub low-ul acelei
candele.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑ — EURUSD, 15 min, pivoți weekly — DA: trigger valid, intri short</text>
<line x1="20" y1="75" x2="440" y2="75" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="25" y="71" fill="#c00">SL 1.0935</text>
<line x1="20" y1="99" x2="440" y2="99" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="95" fill="#c88">R1 1.0923</text>
<line x1="20" y1="176" x2="440" y2="176" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="350" y="172" fill="#1a5fb4">PP 1.0892 — TP1</text>
<line x1="20" y1="248" x2="440" y2="248" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="350" y="244" fill="#188a3e">S1 1.0863 — TP2</text>
<polyline points="20,180 90,140 150,99 180,87 210,119 250,124 300,176 360,220 410,248" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="180" cy="87" r="5" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="110" y="108" fill="#c88">spike 1.0928 — shooting star</text>
<circle cx="250" cy="124" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="255" y="140" fill="#c00">intrare short 1.0913 (break sub trigger)</text>
<circle cx="300" cy="176" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<circle cx="410" cy="248" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 620" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="446" y2="34.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="432" y="28.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 1.0935</text>
<line x1="24" y1="106.0" x2="446" y2="106.0" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="100.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="end">R1 1.0923</text>
<line x1="24" y1="292.0" x2="446" y2="292.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="286.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">PP 1.0892 — TP1</text>
<line x1="24" y1="466.0" x2="446" y2="466.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="460.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">S1 1.0863 — TP2</text>
<polyline points="24,206.0 102,160.0" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="226.0" fill="#999">uptrend anterior</text>
<line x1="110" y1="76.0" x2="110" y2="160.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="97" y="130.0" width="26" height="12.0" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="110" y="546.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">shooting star</text>
<line x1="250" y1="142.0" x2="250" y2="196.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="237" y="148.0" width="26" height="36.0" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="250" y="546.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare</text>
<text x="24" y="566.0" fill="#c88">spike 1.0928 — trigger bearish</text>
<text x="24" y="583.0" fill="#c00">intrare short 1.0913 (break sub trigger)</text>
<text x="24" y="608" fill="#555">EURUSD, 15 min, pivoți weekly. Scară: 0.0010 = 60 px.</text>
</svg></p>
<p><strong>Intrare:</strong> 1.0913 (break sub low-ul candelei de trigger). <strong>Stop-loss:</strong>
1.0935 (peste spike-ul de la R1 — dacă prețul revine acolo, R1 nu a
@@ -243,19 +251,24 @@ candele.</p>
mai bun de urmărit dacă proiecția săptămânii e bear.</p>
<p><strong>NU — breakout peste R1 fără respingere, nu intri (sau ești stopat):</strong>
prețul nu se oprește la R1 — trece direct prin el, cu putere, spre R2.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 260" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑ — EURUSD — NU: breakout peste R1 fără respingere, nu intri short</text>
<line x1="20" y1="27" x2="440" y2="27" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="23" fill="#c88">R2 1.0952</text>
<line x1="20" y1="99" x2="440" y2="99" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="95" fill="#c88">R1 1.0923</text>
<line x1="20" y1="87" x2="440" y2="87" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="30" y="83" fill="#c00">ipotetic SL 1.0928</text>
<polyline points="20,176 100,140 160,99 220,87 300,50 380,27" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="160" cy="99" r="5" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="30" y="145" fill="#c88">NU — short "pe atingere", fără trigger</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="87" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="225" y="205" fill="#c00">SL 1.0928 lovit — R1 nu a ținut</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 452" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="446" y2="34.0" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="28.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="end">R2 1.0952</text>
<line x1="24" y1="178.0" x2="446" y2="178.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="432" y="172.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 1.0928 (ipotetic)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="208.0" x2="446" y2="208.0" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="202.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="end">R1 1.0923</text>
<polyline points="24,344.0 102,298.0" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="364.0" fill="#999">uptrend anterior</text>
<line x1="110" y1="220.0" x2="110" y2="298.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="97" y="226.0" width="26" height="60.0" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="110" y="378.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">atinge R1</text>
<line x1="250" y1="100.0" x2="250" y2="232.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="237" y="106.0" width="26" height="120.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="250" y="378.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakout</text>
<text x="24" y="398.0" fill="#c88">fără spike de respingere</text>
<text x="24" y="415.0" fill="#188a3e">SL 1.0928 lovit — R1 nu a ținut</text>
<text x="24" y="440" fill="#555">EURUSD, pivoți weekly. Fără respingere la R1: continuare spre R2.</text>
</svg></p>
<h2 id="gotchas-practice-cele-mai-importante">Gotchas practice — cele mai importante</h2>
<ul>

199
summaries/03_MODUL_2/02_zone_cerere_oferta_support_resistance.md
View File

@@ -53,25 +53,22 @@ de zeci de ani):
low 366.80, close 369.87 → PP = (370.68+366.80+369.87)/3 = **369.12**. Din
formulă: R1 = 371.44, R2 = 373.00, S1 = 367.56, S2 = 365.24.
<svg viewBox="0 0 480 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">Q — daily, candela zilei anterioare</text>
<line x1="20" y1="20" x2="460" y2="20" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="16" fill="#c00">R2 373.00</text>
<line x1="20" y1="72" x2="460" y2="72" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="68" fill="#c88">R1 371.44</text>
<line x1="20" y1="150" x2="460" y2="150" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="360" y="146" fill="#1a5fb4">PP 369.12</text>
<line x1="20" y1="202" x2="460" y2="202" stroke="#188a3e" opacity="0.7" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="198" fill="#188a3e">S1 367.56</text>
<line x1="20" y1="280" x2="460" y2="280" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="276" fill="#188a3e">S2 365.24</text>
<line x1="140" y1="98" x2="140" y2="228" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="140" cy="98" r="3" fill="#1a1a1a"/>
<circle cx="140" cy="228" r="3" fill="#1a1a1a"/>
<line x1="130" y1="125" x2="150" y2="125" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="3"/>
<text x="150" y="102" fill="#333">high 370.68</text>
<text x="150" y="232" fill="#333">low 366.80</text>
<text x="150" y="120" fill="#333">close 369.87</text>
<svg viewBox="0 0 440 357" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="426" y2="34.0" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="412" y="28.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="end">R2 373.00</text>
<line x1="24" y1="83.9" x2="426" y2="83.9" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="412" y="77.9" fill="#c88" text-anchor="end">R1 371.44</text>
<line x1="24" y1="158.2" x2="426" y2="158.2" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="412" y="152.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">PP 369.12</text>
<line x1="24" y1="208.1" x2="426" y2="208.1" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="412" y="202.1" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">S1 367.56</text>
<line x1="24" y1="282.3" x2="426" y2="282.3" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="412" y="276.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">S2 365.24</text>
<line x1="310" y1="108.2" x2="310" y2="232.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="297" y="134.2" width="26" height="31.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="310" y="300.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">candela anterioară</text>
<text x="24" y="320.3" fill="#188a3e">high 370.68, low 366.80, close 369.87</text>
<text x="24" y="345" fill="#555">Q — daily. PP = (370.68+366.80+369.87)/3 = 369.12.</text>
</svg>
## De ce funcționează — mecanismul, nu doar afirmația
@@ -102,19 +99,19 @@ predicție exactă, ci un ghid: dacă PP-ul curent e deasupra celui anterior
(R1, R2) și doar un support; dacă PP-ul curent e sub cel anterior
(proiecție bear), invers — două support-uri testate, o singură resistance.
<svg viewBox="0 0 440 230" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:440px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<svg viewBox="0 0 440 280" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:440px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="5" y="16" fill="#333">Proiecție BULL — PP curent peste PP anterior</text>
<line x1="20" y1="60" x2="180" y2="60" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="20" y="52" fill="#888">PP anterior 369.12</text>
<line x1="220" y1="35" x2="380" y2="35" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="220" y="27" fill="#1a5fb4">PP curent 371.00</text>
<text x="200" y="90" fill="#188a3e">așteptăm 2 resistance testate, 1 support</text>
<text x="5" y="140" fill="#333">Proiecție BEAR — PP curent sub PP anterior</text>
<line x1="20" y1="160" x2="180" y2="160" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="20" y="152" fill="#888">PP anterior 369.12</text>
<line x1="220" y1="185" x2="380" y2="185" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="220" y="202" fill="#c00">PP curent 367.50</text>
<text x="200" y="220" fill="#c00">așteptăm 2 support testate, 1 resistance</text>
<line x1="220" y1="55" x2="380" y2="55" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="220" y="45" fill="#1a5fb4">PP curent 371.00</text>
<line x1="20" y1="90" x2="180" y2="90" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="20" y="80" fill="#888">PP anterior 369.12</text>
<text x="200" y="115" fill="#188a3e">așteptăm 2 resistance testate, 1 support</text>
<text x="5" y="155" fill="#333">Proiecție BEAR — PP curent sub PP anterior</text>
<line x1="20" y1="195" x2="180" y2="195" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="20" y="185" fill="#888">PP anterior 369.12</text>
<line x1="220" y1="225" x2="380" y2="225" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="220" y="238" fill="#c00">PP curent 367.50</text>
<text x="200" y="258" fill="#c00">așteptăm 2 support testate, 1 resistance</text>
</svg>
**Filtru avansat: PPA (pivot point average)** — media ultimelor 3 PP-uri,
@@ -166,23 +163,26 @@ prețul coboară spre S1 (367.56), face un wick sub el la 367.40 dar
închide o candelă bullish la 367.80 (respinge nivelul) — asta e
trigger-ul. Intri la break-ul peste high-ul acelei candele.
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑ — Q, 5 min, pivoți daily — DA: trigger valid, intri long</text>
<line x1="20" y1="29" x2="440" y2="29" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="350" y="25" fill="#c88">R1 371.44 — TP2</text>
<line x1="20" y1="155" x2="440" y2="155" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="350" y="151" fill="#1a5fb4">PP 369.12 — TP1</text>
<line x1="20" y1="240" x2="440" y2="240" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="236" fill="#188a3e">S1 367.56</text>
<line x1="20" y1="254" x2="440" y2="254" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="260" y="269" fill="#c00">SL 367.30</text>
<polyline points="20,100 90,180 150,248 170,227 200,221 260,180 310,155 360,100 410,29" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="150" cy="248" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="20" y="270" fill="#188a3e">wick 367.40 — trigger bullish</text>
<circle cx="200" cy="221" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="205" y="212" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare 367.90 (break peste trigger)</text>
<circle cx="310" cy="155" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<circle cx="410" cy="29" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 575" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="90.0" x2="446" y2="90.0" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="84.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="end">R1 371.44 — TP2</text>
<line x1="24" y1="310.4" x2="446" y2="310.4" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="304.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">PP 369.12 — TP1</text>
<line x1="24" y1="458.6" x2="446" y2="458.6" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="452.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">S1 367.56</text>
<line x1="24" y1="483.3" x2="446" y2="483.3" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="432" y="477.3" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 367.30</text>
<polyline points="24,385.0 102,431.0" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="373.0" fill="#999">downtrend anterior</text>
<line x1="110" y1="431.0" x2="110" y2="473.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="97" y="435.8" width="26" height="23.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="110" y="501.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">trigger</text>
<line x1="250" y1="418.7" x2="250" y2="440.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="237" y="421.6" width="26" height="14.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="250" y="501.3" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare</text>
<text x="24" y="521.3" fill="#188a3e">wick 367.40 — trigger bullish</text>
<text x="24" y="538.3" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare 367.90 (break peste trigger)</text>
<text x="24" y="563" fill="#555">Q, 5 min, pivoți daily. Scară: 1.00 = 95 px.</text>
</svg>
**Intrare:** 367.90 (break peste high-ul candelei de trigger). **Stop-loss:**
@@ -195,21 +195,26 @@ dacă proiecția e bull și lași parte din poziție să ruleze).
intrat orbește):** prețul atinge S1 dar nu formează un bounce — trece
direct prin el, fără nicio pauză, spre S2.
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑ — Q — NU: breakdown fără trigger, nu intri</text>
<line x1="20" y1="40" x2="440" y2="40" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="36" fill="#1a5fb4">PP 369.12</text>
<line x1="20" y1="121" x2="440" y2="121" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="117" fill="#188a3e">S1 367.56</text>
<line x1="20" y1="150" x2="440" y2="150" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="255" y="146" fill="#c00">ipotetic SL 367.00</text>
<line x1="20" y1="242" x2="440" y2="242" stroke="#188a3e" opacity="0.6" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="238" fill="#188a3e">S2 365.24</text>
<polyline points="20,50 90,80 150,121 190,124 230,170 280,220 330,242 380,254" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="190" cy="124" r="5" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="195" y="112" fill="#c88">NU — fără bounce, "pe atingere"</text>
<circle cx="230" cy="170" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="235" y="185" fill="#c00">SL 367.00 lovit — S1 nu a ținut</text>
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 551" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="90.0" x2="446" y2="90.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="84.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">PP 369.12</text>
<line x1="24" y1="238.2" x2="446" y2="238.2" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="232.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">S1 367.56</text>
<line x1="24" y1="291.4" x2="446" y2="291.4" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="432" y="285.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 367.00 (ipotetic)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="458.6" x2="446" y2="458.6" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="452.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">S2 365.24</text>
<polyline points="24,155.2 102,201.2" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="143.2" fill="#999">downtrend anterior</text>
<line x1="110" y1="201.2" x2="110" y2="238.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="97" y="205.9" width="26" height="28.5" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="110" y="476.6" fill="#c88" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">atinge S1</text>
<line x1="250" y1="232.5" x2="250" y2="300.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="237" y="234.4" width="26" height="61.8" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="250" y="476.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakdown</text>
<text x="24" y="496.6" fill="#c88">fără wick de respingere</text>
<text x="24" y="513.6" fill="#c00">SL 367.00 lovit — S1 nu a ținut</text>
<text x="24" y="539" fill="#555">Q, pivoți daily. Fără respingere la S1: continuare spre S2.</text>
</svg>
Diferența numerică față de cazul DA: la S1 nu apare nicio candelă bullish
@@ -226,23 +231,26 @@ S1 = 1.0863. Prețul urcă la R1, face un vârf tip shooting star la 1.0928,
închide la 1.0917 — trigger bearish. Intri la break-ul sub low-ul acelei
candele.
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑ — EURUSD, 15 min, pivoți weekly — DA: trigger valid, intri short</text>
<line x1="20" y1="75" x2="440" y2="75" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="25" y="71" fill="#c00">SL 1.0935</text>
<line x1="20" y1="99" x2="440" y2="99" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="95" fill="#c88">R1 1.0923</text>
<line x1="20" y1="176" x2="440" y2="176" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="350" y="172" fill="#1a5fb4">PP 1.0892 — TP1</text>
<line x1="20" y1="248" x2="440" y2="248" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="350" y="244" fill="#188a3e">S1 1.0863 — TP2</text>
<polyline points="20,180 90,140 150,99 180,87 210,119 250,124 300,176 360,220 410,248" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="180" cy="87" r="5" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="110" y="108" fill="#c88">spike 1.0928 — shooting star</text>
<circle cx="250" cy="124" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="255" y="140" fill="#c00">intrare short 1.0913 (break sub trigger)</text>
<circle cx="300" cy="176" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<circle cx="410" cy="248" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 620" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="446" y2="34.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="432" y="28.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 1.0935</text>
<line x1="24" y1="106.0" x2="446" y2="106.0" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="100.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="end">R1 1.0923</text>
<line x1="24" y1="292.0" x2="446" y2="292.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="286.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">PP 1.0892 — TP1</text>
<line x1="24" y1="466.0" x2="446" y2="466.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="460.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">S1 1.0863 — TP2</text>
<polyline points="24,206.0 102,160.0" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="226.0" fill="#999">uptrend anterior</text>
<line x1="110" y1="76.0" x2="110" y2="160.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="97" y="130.0" width="26" height="12.0" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="110" y="546.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">shooting star</text>
<line x1="250" y1="142.0" x2="250" y2="196.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="237" y="148.0" width="26" height="36.0" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="250" y="546.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare</text>
<text x="24" y="566.0" fill="#c88">spike 1.0928 — trigger bearish</text>
<text x="24" y="583.0" fill="#c00">intrare short 1.0913 (break sub trigger)</text>
<text x="24" y="608" fill="#555">EURUSD, 15 min, pivoți weekly. Scară: 0.0010 = 60 px.</text>
</svg>
**Intrare:** 1.0913 (break sub low-ul candelei de trigger). **Stop-loss:**
@@ -254,19 +262,24 @@ mai bun de urmărit dacă proiecția săptămânii e bear.
**NU — breakout peste R1 fără respingere, nu intri (sau ești stopat):**
prețul nu se oprește la R1 — trece direct prin el, cu putere, spre R2.
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 260" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑ — EURUSD — NU: breakout peste R1 fără respingere, nu intri short</text>
<line x1="20" y1="27" x2="440" y2="27" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="23" fill="#c88">R2 1.0952</text>
<line x1="20" y1="99" x2="440" y2="99" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="360" y="95" fill="#c88">R1 1.0923</text>
<line x1="20" y1="87" x2="440" y2="87" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="30" y="83" fill="#c00">ipotetic SL 1.0928</text>
<polyline points="20,176 100,140 160,99 220,87 300,50 380,27" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="160" cy="99" r="5" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="30" y="145" fill="#c88">NU — short "pe atingere", fără trigger</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="87" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="225" y="205" fill="#c00">SL 1.0928 lovit — R1 nu a ținut</text>
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 452" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="446" y2="34.0" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="28.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="end">R2 1.0952</text>
<line x1="24" y1="178.0" x2="446" y2="178.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="432" y="172.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 1.0928 (ipotetic)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="208.0" x2="446" y2="208.0" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="432" y="202.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="end">R1 1.0923</text>
<polyline points="24,344.0 102,298.0" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="364.0" fill="#999">uptrend anterior</text>
<line x1="110" y1="220.0" x2="110" y2="298.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="97" y="226.0" width="26" height="60.0" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="110" y="378.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">atinge R1</text>
<line x1="250" y1="100.0" x2="250" y2="232.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="237" y="106.0" width="26" height="120.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="250" y="378.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakout</text>
<text x="24" y="398.0" fill="#c88">fără spike de respingere</text>
<text x="24" y="415.0" fill="#188a3e">SL 1.0928 lovit — R1 nu a ținut</text>
<text x="24" y="440" fill="#555">EURUSD, pivoți weekly. Fără respingere la R1: continuare spre R2.</text>
</svg>
## Gotchas practice — cele mai importante

92
summaries/03_MODUL_2/03_timeframes_set_up.html
View File

@@ -186,7 +186,7 @@ downtrend de 3 candele, 5 min încă în downtrend de 8 candele.</p>
<div style="display:flex;gap:10px;flex-wrap:wrap;align-items:flex-end">
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">Monthly</text><polyline points="5,45 30,30 55,20 80,10" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#188a3e">uptrend</text></svg>
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">Weekly</text><polyline points="5,15 30,25 55,35 80,45" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#c00">downtrend</text></svg>
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">Daily</text><polyline points="5,15 30,25 55,42 80,30" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><circle cx="55" cy="42" r="4" fill="#c88"/><text x="2" y="58" fill="#c88">downtrend+hammer</text></svg>
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 72" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">Daily</text><polyline points="5,15 30,25 55,42 80,30" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><circle cx="55" cy="42" r="4" fill="#c88"/><text x="5" y="57" fill="#c88">downtrend</text><text x="5" y="71" fill="#c88">+ hammer</text></svg>
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">60 min</text><polyline points="5,45 30,32 55,22 80,12" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#188a3e">uptrend</text></svg>
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">15 min</text><polyline points="5,15 30,25 55,33 80,42" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#c00">downtrend</text></svg>
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">5 min</text><polyline points="5,15 30,22 55,30 80,42" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#c00">downtrend</text></svg>
@@ -212,22 +212,24 @@ mea, transcrierea nu dă niveluri exacte):</strong></p>
trigger (15 min), nu doar unul din ele.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>Exemplul complet, de la identificare la ieșire din trade:</strong></p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 480 380" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț (MA) ↑</text>
<text x="8" y="30" fill="#999">weekly: pullback din 510</text>
<line x1="20" y1="75" x2="440" y2="75" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="8" y="60" fill="#188a3e">510 — TP (swing high weekly,</text>
<text x="8" y="73" fill="#188a3e">context monthly uptrend)</text>
<polyline points="20,75 140,170 240,278 300,225 420,75" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<rect x="235" y="214" width="10" height="4" fill="#c00"/>
<line x1="240" y1="214" x2="240" y2="278" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="8" y="300" fill="#c00">daily: hammer, low 458.00</text>
<rect x="295" y="205" width="10" height="25" fill="#188a3e"/>
<circle cx="300" cy="205" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="8" y="330" fill="#188a3e">intrare 471.20 (break 15 min</text>
<text x="8" y="343" fill="#188a3e">peste hammer-ul daily)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="290" x2="440" y2="290" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="8" y="365" fill="#888">457.50 — SL (sub hammer-ul daily)</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 387" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="90.0" x2="606" y2="90.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="84.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP 510 — swing high weekly, context monthly uptrend</text>
<line x1="24" y1="241.3" x2="606" y2="241.3" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="235.3" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">intrare 471.20 (break 15 min peste hammer-ul daily)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="294.8" x2="606" y2="294.8" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="288.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 457.50 — sub hammer-ul daily (458.00)</text>
<polyline points="24,240.9 102,286.9" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="228.9" fill="#999">downtrend anterior (weekly: pullback din 510)</text>
<line x1="110" y1="286.9" x2="110" y2="292.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="97" y="286.9" width="26" height="2.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="110" y="312.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">hammer daily</text>
<line x1="490" y1="240.9" x2="490" y2="246.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="477" y="241.3" width="26" height="4.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="490" y="312.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare 15 min</text>
<text x="24" y="332.8" fill="#188a3e">daily: hammer, low 458.00</text>
<text x="24" y="349.8" fill="#188a3e">confirmare 15 min: închide 471.20, peste high-ul candelei anterioare</text>
<text x="24" y="375" fill="#555">Scară: 10.00 = 39 px. Risc 13.70, câștig 38.80 — exact 1:2.8 (verificat: raport pixeli = raport preț).</text>
</svg></p>
<p><strong>Intrare:</strong> 471.20 (break peste high-ul candelei de 15 min care rupe
downtrend-ul intraday). <strong>Stop-loss:</strong> 457.50, sub low-ul hammer-ului
@@ -236,6 +238,49 @@ downtrend-ul de pe Weekly redevine dominant. <strong>Take-profit:</strong> 510,
high-ul de unde a pornit pullback-ul pe Weekly (ținta vine din context, nu
dintr-un calcul geometric ca la pattern-uri). Risc 13.70, câștig 38.80 →
risc/recompensă ~1:2.8.</p>
<p><strong>Exemplul 2 (short, oglindă) — mecanismul opus, alt instrument:</strong>
Monthly în downtrend, Weekly a urcat 2 săptămâni (bounce, nu inversare),
Daily încă în uptrend dar formează un <strong>shooting star</strong> (rejection la vârf).
60 min a întors deja în downtrend; 15 min și 5 min sunt încă în uptrend —
la fel ca la exemplul 1, timeframe-urile mici confirmă ultimele.</p>
<p><strong>Trigger valid:</strong> 15 min închide sub low-ul candelei anterioare, la
<strong>148.50</strong>, cu 60 min deja în downtrend și shooting star-ul deja confirmat
pe Daily (high 154.20). <strong>Trigger invalid:</strong> short imediat pe shooting
star, cât timp 60 min/15 min/5 min sunt încă toate în uptrend — bounce-ul
poate continua alte câteva candele.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 297" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="606" y2="34.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="28.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 154.30 — peste shooting star-ul daily (154.20)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="60.1" x2="606" y2="60.1" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="54.1" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">intrare 148.50 short (break 15 min sub prior low)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="143.4" x2="606" y2="143.4" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="137.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP 130.00 — swing low weekly (de unde a pornit bounce-ul)</text>
<polyline points="24,91.2 102,45.2" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="111.2" fill="#999">uptrend anterior</text>
<line x1="110" y1="34.5" x2="110" y2="45.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="97" y="44.4" width="26" height="2.0" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="110" y="223.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">shooting star daily</text>
<line x1="490" y1="56.1" x2="490" y2="60.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="477" y="57.0" width="26" height="3.1" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="490" y="223.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare 15 min</text>
<text x="24" y="243.4" fill="#c00">daily: shooting star, high 154.20</text>
<text x="24" y="260.4" fill="#c00">confirmare 15 min: închide 148.50, sub low-ul candelei anterioare</text>
<text x="24" y="285" fill="#555">Scară: 10.00 = 45 px. Risc 5.80, câștig 18.50 -&gt; risc/recompensă ~1:3.2.</text>
</svg></p>
<p><strong>Intrare:</strong> 148.50 short. <strong>Stop-loss:</strong> 154.30, peste high-ul shooting
star-ului (154.20) — dacă prețul revine acolo, rejection-ul e invalidat,
uptrend-ul redevine dominant. <strong>Take-profit:</strong> 130.00, swing low-ul weekly
de unde a pornit bounce-ul. Risc 5.80, câștig 18.50 → risc/recompensă
~1:3.2.</p>
<p><strong>Exemplul 3 (invalidare) — trigger corect, trade pierdut:</strong> regulile
respectate nu garantează câștigul, doar filtrează triggerele slabe. Pe
scenariul MasterCard de mai sus: intri corect la <strong>471.20</strong> (bias long
confirmat, trigger de 15 min valid), stop la <strong>457.50</strong>. Dacă imediat după
intrare apare o candelă de 60 min care închide sub 458.00 (sub hammer-ul
Daily), ipoteza de reversal e invalidată — Weekly redevine dominant, ieși
la stop, pierdere de 13.70. Diferența față de o intrare greșită: aici ai
urmat corect ordinea mare→mic, ai avut ambele confirmări, și tot ai
pierdut — asta e un risc de 13.70 acceptat dinainte, nu o eroare de proces.</p>
<h2 id="gotchas-practice-cele-mai-importante">Gotchas practice — cele mai importante</h2>
<ul>
<li><strong>Nu sări peste timeframe-urile mari ca să ajungi mai repede la
@@ -262,10 +307,13 @@ risc/recompensă ~1:2.8.</p>
<hr />
<p><em>Notă: mecanismul "de ce contează ordinea de citire" (participare
capital mare vs. zgomot pe TF mic), diagrama ierarhiei de pivoți, secțiunea
"Cum tranzacționezi efectiv" cu DA/NU și exemplul numeric complet
(niveluri MasterCard: 458.00, 471.20, 457.50, 510) sunt completări ale
mele — transcrierea arată cum se construiește workspace-ul în platformă și
citește calitativ trendul pe fiecare interval (fără cifre de intrare/SL/TP
sau explicația mecanismului), nu conturează un trade complet.</em></p>
"Cum tranzacționezi efectiv" cu DA/NU și cele trei exemple numerice complete
(MasterCard long: 458.00/471.20/457.50/510; exemplul 2 short:
154.20/148.50/154.30/130.00; exemplul 3, invalidare cu risc acceptat) sunt
completări ale mele — transcrierea arată cum se construiește workspace-ul
în platformă și citește calitativ trendul pe fiecare interval (fără cifre
de intrare/SL/TP sau explicația mecanismului), nu conturează un trade
complet. Diagramele cu candele și niveluri de entry/SL/TP sunt generate cu
<code>svg_candles.py</code>, care garantează scara corectă din construcție.</em></p>
</body>
</html>

97
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View File

@@ -168,7 +168,7 @@ downtrend de 3 candele, 5 min încă în downtrend de 8 candele.
<div style="display:flex;gap:10px;flex-wrap:wrap;align-items:flex-end">
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">Monthly</text><polyline points="5,45 30,30 55,20 80,10" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#188a3e">uptrend</text></svg>
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">Weekly</text><polyline points="5,15 30,25 55,35 80,45" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#c00">downtrend</text></svg>
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">Daily</text><polyline points="5,15 30,25 55,42 80,30" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><circle cx="55" cy="42" r="4" fill="#c88"/><text x="2" y="58" fill="#c88">downtrend+hammer</text></svg>
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 72" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">Daily</text><polyline points="5,15 30,25 55,42 80,30" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><circle cx="55" cy="42" r="4" fill="#c88"/><text x="5" y="57" fill="#c88">downtrend</text><text x="5" y="71" fill="#c88">+ hammer</text></svg>
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">60 min</text><polyline points="5,45 30,32 55,22 80,12" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#188a3e">uptrend</text></svg>
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">15 min</text><polyline points="5,15 30,25 55,33 80,42" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#c00">downtrend</text></svg>
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">5 min</text><polyline points="5,15 30,22 55,30 80,42" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#c00">downtrend</text></svg>
@@ -196,22 +196,24 @@ mea, transcrierea nu dă niveluri exacte):**
**Exemplul complet, de la identificare la ieșire din trade:**
<svg viewBox="0 0 480 380" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț (MA) ↑</text>
<text x="8" y="30" fill="#999">weekly: pullback din 510</text>
<line x1="20" y1="75" x2="440" y2="75" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="8" y="60" fill="#188a3e">510 — TP (swing high weekly,</text>
<text x="8" y="73" fill="#188a3e">context monthly uptrend)</text>
<polyline points="20,75 140,170 240,278 300,225 420,75" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<rect x="235" y="214" width="10" height="4" fill="#c00"/>
<line x1="240" y1="214" x2="240" y2="278" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="8" y="300" fill="#c00">daily: hammer, low 458.00</text>
<rect x="295" y="205" width="10" height="25" fill="#188a3e"/>
<circle cx="300" cy="205" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="8" y="330" fill="#188a3e">intrare 471.20 (break 15 min</text>
<text x="8" y="343" fill="#188a3e">peste hammer-ul daily)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="290" x2="440" y2="290" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="8" y="365" fill="#888">457.50 — SL (sub hammer-ul daily)</text>
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 387" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="90.0" x2="606" y2="90.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="84.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP 510 — swing high weekly, context monthly uptrend</text>
<line x1="24" y1="241.3" x2="606" y2="241.3" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="235.3" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">intrare 471.20 (break 15 min peste hammer-ul daily)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="294.8" x2="606" y2="294.8" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="288.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 457.50 — sub hammer-ul daily (458.00)</text>
<polyline points="24,240.9 102,286.9" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="228.9" fill="#999">downtrend anterior (weekly: pullback din 510)</text>
<line x1="110" y1="286.9" x2="110" y2="292.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="97" y="286.9" width="26" height="2.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="110" y="312.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">hammer daily</text>
<line x1="490" y1="240.9" x2="490" y2="246.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="477" y="241.3" width="26" height="4.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="490" y="312.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare 15 min</text>
<text x="24" y="332.8" fill="#188a3e">daily: hammer, low 458.00</text>
<text x="24" y="349.8" fill="#188a3e">confirmare 15 min: închide 471.20, peste high-ul candelei anterioare</text>
<text x="24" y="375" fill="#555">Scară: 10.00 = 39 px. Risc 13.70, câștig 38.80 — exact 1:2.8 (verificat: raport pixeli = raport preț).</text>
</svg>
**Intrare:** 471.20 (break peste high-ul candelei de 15 min care rupe
@@ -222,6 +224,54 @@ high-ul de unde a pornit pullback-ul pe Weekly (ținta vine din context, nu
dintr-un calcul geometric ca la pattern-uri). Risc 13.70, câștig 38.80 →
risc/recompensă ~1:2.8.
**Exemplul 2 (short, oglindă) — mecanismul opus, alt instrument:**
Monthly în downtrend, Weekly a urcat 2 săptămâni (bounce, nu inversare),
Daily încă în uptrend dar formează un **shooting star** (rejection la vârf).
60 min a întors deja în downtrend; 15 min și 5 min sunt încă în uptrend —
la fel ca la exemplul 1, timeframe-urile mici confirmă ultimele.
**Trigger valid:** 15 min închide sub low-ul candelei anterioare, la
**148.50**, cu 60 min deja în downtrend și shooting star-ul deja confirmat
pe Daily (high 154.20). **Trigger invalid:** short imediat pe shooting
star, cât timp 60 min/15 min/5 min sunt încă toate în uptrend — bounce-ul
poate continua alte câteva candele.
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 297" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="606" y2="34.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="28.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 154.30 — peste shooting star-ul daily (154.20)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="60.1" x2="606" y2="60.1" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="54.1" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">intrare 148.50 short (break 15 min sub prior low)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="143.4" x2="606" y2="143.4" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="137.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP 130.00 — swing low weekly (de unde a pornit bounce-ul)</text>
<polyline points="24,91.2 102,45.2" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="111.2" fill="#999">uptrend anterior</text>
<line x1="110" y1="34.5" x2="110" y2="45.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="97" y="44.4" width="26" height="2.0" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="110" y="223.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">shooting star daily</text>
<line x1="490" y1="56.1" x2="490" y2="60.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="477" y="57.0" width="26" height="3.1" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="490" y="223.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare 15 min</text>
<text x="24" y="243.4" fill="#c00">daily: shooting star, high 154.20</text>
<text x="24" y="260.4" fill="#c00">confirmare 15 min: închide 148.50, sub low-ul candelei anterioare</text>
<text x="24" y="285" fill="#555">Scară: 10.00 = 45 px. Risc 5.80, câștig 18.50 -> risc/recompensă ~1:3.2.</text>
</svg>
**Intrare:** 148.50 short. **Stop-loss:** 154.30, peste high-ul shooting
star-ului (154.20) — dacă prețul revine acolo, rejection-ul e invalidat,
uptrend-ul redevine dominant. **Take-profit:** 130.00, swing low-ul weekly
de unde a pornit bounce-ul. Risc 5.80, câștig 18.50 → risc/recompensă
~1:3.2.
**Exemplul 3 (invalidare) — trigger corect, trade pierdut:** regulile
respectate nu garantează câștigul, doar filtrează triggerele slabe. Pe
scenariul MasterCard de mai sus: intri corect la **471.20** (bias long
confirmat, trigger de 15 min valid), stop la **457.50**. Dacă imediat după
intrare apare o candelă de 60 min care închide sub 458.00 (sub hammer-ul
Daily), ipoteza de reversal e invalidată — Weekly redevine dominant, ieși
la stop, pierdere de 13.70. Diferența față de o intrare greșită: aici ai
urmat corect ordinea mare→mic, ai avut ambele confirmări, și tot ai
pierdut — asta e un risc de 13.70 acceptat dinainte, nu o eroare de proces.
## Gotchas practice — cele mai importante
- **Nu sări peste timeframe-urile mari ca să ajungi mai repede la
trigger.** Triggerul de pe 5 min care arată "perfect" izolat e cel mai
@@ -246,8 +296,11 @@ risc/recompensă ~1:2.8.
---
*Notă: mecanismul "de ce contează ordinea de citire" (participare
capital mare vs. zgomot pe TF mic), diagrama ierarhiei de pivoți, secțiunea
"Cum tranzacționezi efectiv" cu DA/NU și exemplul numeric complet
(niveluri MasterCard: 458.00, 471.20, 457.50, 510) sunt completări ale
mele — transcrierea arată cum se construiește workspace-ul în platformă și
citește calitativ trendul pe fiecare interval (fără cifre de intrare/SL/TP
sau explicația mecanismului), nu conturează un trade complet.*
"Cum tranzacționezi efectiv" cu DA/NU și cele trei exemple numerice complete
(MasterCard long: 458.00/471.20/457.50/510; exemplul 2 short:
154.20/148.50/154.30/130.00; exemplul 3, invalidare cu risc acceptat) sunt
completări ale mele — transcrierea arată cum se construiește workspace-ul
în platformă și citește calitativ trendul pe fiecare interval (fără cifre
de intrare/SL/TP sau explicația mecanismului), nu conturează un trade
complet. Diagramele cu candele și niveluri de entry/SL/TP sunt generate cu
`svg_candles.py`, care garantează scara corectă din construcție.*

187
summaries/03_MODUL_2/04_money_management_position_sizing.html
View File

@@ -67,10 +67,13 @@ market order.</p>
</svg></p>
<p>Consecință mecanică pentru money management: dacă intri long la 10.49 (Ask)
și ieși imediat la 10.47 (Bid), ai deja pierdut 0.02 <strong>înainte</strong> ca prețul să
se fi mișcat un cent. La un stop-loss LONG, ieșirea reală se face la Bid, deci
distanța de risc adevărată e (intrare − nivel_stop − spread), nu doar
se fi mișcat un cent. La un stop-loss LONG, nivelul tehnic (ex: low-ul unei
candele) e citit ca preț de piață, dar ieșirea reală pe stop se face la Bid —
adică sub nivelul tehnic — deci execuția e la (nivel_stop − spread), iar
distanța de risc reală e (intrare − nivel_stop) <strong>+ spread</strong>, mai mare decât
(intrare − nivel_stop). La un SHORT e simetric: intri la Bid, ieși (stop) la
Ask.</p>
Ask — adică peste nivelul tehnic — deci execuția e la (nivel_stop + spread),
iar distanța de risc e (nivel_stop − intrare) <strong>+ spread</strong>.</p>
<h2 id="formula-de-marime-a-pozitiei-mecanismul-nu-doar-rezultatul">Formula de mărime a poziției — mecanismul, nu doar rezultatul</h2>
<p>Motivul pentru care împarți risc$ la distanța risc: dacă o singură "unitate"
(o acțiune, un contract) te costă X în caz de stop-loss, iar tu nu ai voie să
@@ -91,34 +94,56 @@ la stop) — nu de leverage. Leverage schimbă câți dolari cash ai nevoie ca s
deschizi poziția, nu câți dolari poți pierde dacă stop-loss-ul se declanșează.
Exemplul 2 de mai jos arată exact asta cu cifre: leverage 1 vs leverage 5,
riscul în dolari rămâne identic, doar marja necesară scade.</p>
<h2 id="r-multiple-unitatea-in-care-se-exprima-risc-si-profit-completare-a-mea">R-multiple — unitatea în care se exprimă risc și profit (completare a mea)</h2>
<p>Termen nou, folosit mai jos și în secțiunea de risk/reward: <strong>1R</strong> = riscul$
asumat pe tranzacția respectivă (riscul calculat cu formula de mai sus, ex.
$20 în Exemplul 1 care urmează) — nu un preț fix, ci o unitate relativă la
acel trade. Un target la "2R" înseamnă profit potențial = 2 × riscul asumat;
dacă stopul e atins, pierderea e "-1R" (exact riscul calculat, dacă rotunjirea
și spread-ul au fost făcute corect). "Risk/reward 1:2" de mai jos e aceeași
idee spusă altfel: risc 1R, target 2R.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 360 90" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:360px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="18" fill="#333">exemplu generic: risc 1R vs. target 2R</text>
<rect x="120" y="35" width="40" height="16" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="70" y="47" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">-1R (risc)</text>
<rect x="120" y="60" width="80" height="16" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="70" y="72" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">+2R (target)</text>
</svg></p>
<p>De ce contează: R-multiple face comparabile tranzacții pe instrumente complet
diferite — Exemplul 1 e în acțiuni la ~$10, Exemplul 2 e în puncte de index
la ~$5000 — indiferent de preț, "+2R" înseamnă mereu "de două ori riscul
asumat pe acel trade specific", nu un număr fix de dolari sau puncte.</p>
<h2 id="exemplul-1-din-curs-amc-long-breakout-din-doji">Exemplul 1 (din curs) — AMC, long, breakout din doji</h2>
<p>Cont: <strong>$1.000</strong>. Risc acceptat: <strong>2% = $20</strong>. Fără margine de siguranță.</p>
<p>Setup: breakout din doji pe daily. Preț Ask (intrare) <strong>10.49</strong>, Bid
<strong>10.47</strong> (spread 0.02). Stop-loss la low-ul dojii, <strong>9.62</strong>, ajustat cu
spread-ul (ieșirea pe stop se face la Bid) → stop execuție efectiv <strong>9.60</strong>.
Distanța de risc folosită (cu buffer suplimentar de spread, ca în curs):
<strong>10.49 − 9.60 + 0.02 = 0.91</strong>/acțiune. Target 1:1: <strong>10.49 + 0.91 = 11.40</strong>.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="18" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,230 70,215 110,200 150,164 190,277 230,164 260,161" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="10" y="248" fill="#999">consolidare / doji (nu detaliat aici, vezi lecția de patternuri)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="40" x2="290" y2="40" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="34" fill="#188a3e">11.40 — take-profit (1:1)</text>
<circle cx="260" cy="161" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="265" y="156" fill="#1a5fb4">10.49 — intrare (Ask)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="280" x2="290" y2="280" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="296" fill="#c00">9.60 — stop-loss execuție (low doji 9.62 − spread)</text>
<line x1="300" y1="40" x2="300" y2="280" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1"/>
<line x1="300" y1="161" x2="300" y2="280" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="300" y1="40" x2="300" y2="161" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="308" y="105" fill="#188a3e">recompensă 0.91/acțiune</text>
<text x="308" y="225" fill="#c00">risc 0.91/acțiune</text>
spread-ul (ieșirea pe stop se face la Bid) → stop execuție efectiv
<strong>9.62 − 0.02 = 9.60</strong>. Distanța de risc: <strong>10.49 − 9.60 = 0.89</strong>/acțiune.
Target 1:1: <strong>10.49 + 0.89 = 11.38</strong>.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 273" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="90.0" x2="606" y2="90.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="84.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">11.38 — take-profit (1:1)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="143.4" x2="606" y2="143.4" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="137.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">10.49 — intrare (Ask)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="196.8" x2="606" y2="196.8" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="190.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">9.60 — stop-loss execuție (low doji 9.62 − spread)</text>
<polyline points="24,111.8 56,157.8" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="99.8" fill="#999">downtrend anterior</text>
<line x1="64" y1="157.8" x2="64" y2="195.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="51" y="160.8" width="26" height="2.0" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="64" y="214.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
<line x1="156" y1="139.8" x2="156" y2="163.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="143" y="143.4" width="26" height="17.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="156" y="214.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakout</text>
<text x="24" y="234.8" fill="#c00">doji: low 9.62 = nivel SL tehnic</text>
<text x="24" y="251.8" fill="#188a3e">breakout: close 10.49 = intrare (Ask)</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Calcul mărime poziție: <strong>$20 / 0.91 ≈ 21.98 acțiuni</strong> → rotunjești <strong>în jos</strong>,
nu în sus (regula DA/NU de mai sus): <strong>21 acțiuni</strong>. Risc real cu 21 acțiuni:
<strong>21 × 0.91 = $19.11</strong> (sub plafonul de $20, exact cum trebuie — rotunjirea
în jos e ceea ce ține riscul sub prag). Valoare tranzacție: 21 × 10.49 ≈
<strong>$220</strong>.</p>
<p>Calcul mărime poziție: <strong>$20 / 0.89 ≈ 22.47 acțiuni</strong> → rotunjești <strong>în jos</strong>,
nu în sus (regula DA/NU de mai sus): <strong>22 acțiuni</strong>. Risc real cu 22 acțiuni:
<strong>22 × 0.89 = $19.58</strong> (sub plafonul de $20, exact cum trebuie — rotunjirea
în jos e ceea ce ține riscul sub prag). Valoare tranzacție: 22 × 10.49 ≈
<strong>$231</strong>. La target: profit <strong>22 × 0.89 = $19.58</strong>, egal cu riscul asumat —
adică exact <strong>R:R 1:1</strong>, cum era anunțat.</p>
<h2 id="exemplul-2-construit-us500-short-cu-margine-de-siguranta-si-leverage">Exemplul 2 (construit) — US500, SHORT, cu margine de siguranță și leverage</h2>
<p>Cont: <strong>$5.000</strong>. Margine de siguranță <strong>20%</strong> (nu riști niciodată tot
contul — vezi secțiunea dedicată mai jos) → capital "tranzacționabil"
@@ -129,20 +154,23 @@ ajustat cu spread-ul (ieșirea pe stop la un short se face la Ask) → stop
execuție <strong>5025.4</strong>. Distanța de risc: <strong>5025.4 − 5000.0 = 25.4</strong> puncte.
Target 1:2 (risk/reward mai bun, vezi secțiunea de mai jos): <strong>5000.0 − 2 ×
25.4 = 4949.2</strong>.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="18" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,60 70,85 110,70 150,110 190,120" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="40" x2="290" y2="40" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="34" fill="#c00">5025.4 — stop-loss execuție (resistance 5025.0 + spread)</text>
<circle cx="190" cy="120" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="195" y="115" fill="#1a5fb4">5000.0 — intrare short (Bid)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="280" x2="290" y2="280" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="296" fill="#188a3e">4949.2 — take-profit (1:2)</text>
<line x1="300" y1="40" x2="300" y2="280" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1"/>
<line x1="300" y1="40" x2="300" y2="120" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="300" y1="120" x2="300" y2="280" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="308" y="80" fill="#c00">risc 25.4 pct</text>
<text x="308" y="205" fill="#188a3e">recompensă 50.8 pct</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 286" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="606" y2="34.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="28.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">5025.4 — stop-loss execuție (resistance 5025.0 + spread)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="72.1" x2="606" y2="72.1" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="66.1" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">5000.0 — intrare short (Bid)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="148.3" x2="606" y2="148.3" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="142.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">4949.2 — take-profit (1:2)</text>
<polyline points="24,155.6 56,109.6" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="175.6" fill="#999">uptrend anterior</text>
<line x1="64" y1="34.6" x2="64" y2="109.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="51" y="87.1" width="26" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="64" y="228.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">test resistance</text>
<line x1="156" y1="75.1" x2="156" y2="117.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="143" y="87.1" width="26" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="156" y="228.3" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">respingere</text>
<text x="24" y="248.3" fill="#188a3e">high 5025.0 = nivel SL tehnic (resistance)</text>
<text x="24" y="265.3" fill="#c00">respingere: închidere sub 5000.0 = intrare (Bid)</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Mărime poziție: <strong>$80 / 25.4 ≈ 3.15 unități</strong> → rotunjit în jos: <strong>3
unități</strong>. Risc real: <strong>3 × 25.4 = $76.20</strong>. Aceasta e distanța și mărimea
@@ -185,18 +213,21 @@ exemplul mentorului) și piața <strong>deschide</strong> direct la <strong>$42.
tău de $47.00. Ordinul de stop-loss nu se execută la $47.00 pentru că nu a
existat nicio tranzacție la acel preț în timpul gap-ului — se execută la
prețul de deschidere.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 400 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="18" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<line x1="20" y1="40" x2="380" y2="40" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="34" fill="#1a5fb4">50.00 — intrare</text>
<line x1="20" y1="130" x2="220" y2="130" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="124" fill="#c00">47.00 — stop-loss calculat (risc așteptat $39)</text>
<line x1="220" y1="130" x2="220" y2="280" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="1 3"/>
<text x="225" y="200" fill="#888">gap peste noapte —</text>
<text x="225" y="214" fill="#888">niciun preț tranzacționat aici</text>
<circle cx="280" cy="280" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<line x1="20" y1="280" x2="380" y2="280" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="296" fill="#c00">42.00 — deschidere reală, aici se execută stop-ul</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 167" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="37.0" x2="606" y2="37.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="31.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">50.00 — intrare</text>
<line x1="24" y1="55.0" x2="606" y2="55.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="49.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">47.00 — stop-loss calculat (risc așteptat $39)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="85.0" x2="606" y2="85.0" stroke="#a00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="0"/>
<text x="592" y="79.0" fill="#a00" text-anchor="end">42.00 — deschidere reală, aici se execută stopul</text>
<line x1="64" y1="34.0" x2="64" y2="46.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="51" y="37.0" width="26" height="6.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="64" y="109.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">zi 1</text>
<line x1="156" y1="79.0" x2="156" y2="91.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="143" y="85.0" width="26" height="3.0" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="156" y="109.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">gap peste noapte</text>
<text x="24" y="129.0" fill="#188a3e">închidere 50.00 = intrare</text>
<text x="24" y="146.0" fill="#c00">deschidere 42.00, sub stopul de 47.00</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Pierdere reală: <strong>13 × (50.00 − 42.00) = $104</strong>, adică <strong>5.2% din cont</strong>
(2000), nu 2% cum era calculat. Regula de 2% limitează riscul <strong>normal</strong>, de
@@ -293,11 +324,56 @@ matematic, iar cu comisioane incluse ești efectiv pe minus. Cu risk/reward
tranzacții: <strong>5×(+2) + 5×(−1) = +5</strong> — profitabil matematic chiar cu win
rate de doar 50%. De asta recomandarea minimă e 1:1, cu preferință pentru
1:2 — risk/reward-ul compensează un win rate mediocru, nu invers.</p>
<h2 id="risc-agregat-pe-mai-multe-pozitii-simultane-portfolio-heat-completare-a-mea">Risc agregat pe mai multe poziții simultane (portfolio heat) — completare a mea</h2>
<p>Termen nou: <strong>portfolio heat</strong> = suma riscurilor $ (sau %) ale <strong>tuturor</strong>
pozițiilor deschise în același moment. Regula de 2% e per tranzacție, nu per
cont — dacă ai mai multe poziții deschise deodată, riscul agregat nu e limitat
automat la 2%, trebuie calculat separat, adunând riscul fiecărei poziții
deschise.</p>
<p>Ce faci concret: înainte de a deschide o poziție nouă, aduni riscul$ al
pozițiilor deja deschise cu riscul noii poziții. Dacă suma trece un plafon
fixat dinainte (practică uzuală: <strong>6-8% risc agregat deschis</strong>) sau
pozițiile sunt puternic corelate (aceeași direcție de piață), reduci mărimea
noii poziții sau nu o mai deschizi.</p>
<p><strong>DA — heat controlat:</strong> cont <strong>$10.000</strong>, 3 poziții deschise simultan, fiecare
riscând 2% = $200: acțiune tech, o pereche forex, un index diferit —
instrumente puțin corelate. Risc agregat: <strong>3 × $200 = $600 = 6% din cont</strong>,
la limita plafonului, dar poziții necorelate → probabilitate mică ca toate 3
să atingă stop simultan.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 340 90" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:340px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="204" y1="20" x2="204" y2="70" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="208" y="18" fill="#333">prag heat 6%</text>
<rect x="24" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="54" y="53" fill="#fff" text-anchor="middle">2%</text>
<rect x="84" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="114" y="53" fill="#fff" text-anchor="middle">2%</text>
<rect x="144" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="174" y="53" fill="#fff" text-anchor="middle">2%</text>
<text x="24" y="80" fill="#188a3e">3 poziții necorelate = 6% agregat, la prag</text>
</svg></p>
<p><strong>NU — heat ascuns:</strong> același cont <strong>$10.000</strong>, 5 poziții deschise, fiecare
"doar 2%" ($200) — dar toate 5 pe acțiuni tech puternic corelate (ex. NVDA,
AMD, AVGO, MU, QCOM), care se mișcă împreună la o corecție de sector. Nominal
calculul arată <strong>5 × $200 = $1.000 = 10% din cont</strong>, dar riscul real, dat de
corelație, e mai apropiat de riscul unei <strong>singure</strong> poziții de 10% — exact
scenariul pe care regula de 2% per-trade, aplicată izolat pe fiecare poziție,
nu a fost gândită să-l prindă.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 340 90" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:340px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="204" y1="20" x2="204" y2="70" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="208" y="18" fill="#333">prag heat 6%</text>
<rect x="24" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
<rect x="84" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
<rect x="144" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
<rect x="204" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#c00"/>
<rect x="264" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="24" y="80" fill="#c00">5 poziții corelate = 10% agregat, peste prag</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Corelate ⇒ riscul real e mai mare decât suma nominală de 10%.</p>
<h2 id="gotchas-practice-cele-mai-importante">Gotchas practice — cele mai importante</h2>
<ul>
<li><strong>Rotunjește mărimea poziției în jos, niciodată în sus.</strong> 21.98 acțiuni
înseamnă 21, nu 22 — rotunjirea în sus e felul în care "calculul de 2%"
devine, în realitate, 2.1-2.5%.</li>
<li><strong>Rotunjește mărimea poziției în jos, niciodată în sus.</strong> 22.47 acțiuni
înseamnă 22, nu 23 — rotunjirea în sus e felul în care "calculul de 2%"
devine, în realitate, peste 2%.</li>
<li><strong>Nu uita spread-ul în calculul distanței de risc.</strong> Diferența e mică per
tranzacție (2 cenți la AMC), dar ignorată sistematic pe multe tranzacții
tot subestimezi riscul real cu un procent fix.</li>
@@ -325,6 +401,7 @@ pentru brokerul/platforma la care ai contul, nu pentru money management-ul
</ul>
<hr />
<p><em>Notă: secțiunile "Mecanismul spread-ului", "Leverage nu schimbă riscul",
"R-multiple", "Risc agregat pe mai multe poziții simultane (portfolio heat)",
Exemplul 2 (US500 short, construit), Exemplul 3 (gap peste noapte, construit),
tabelul de risc de ruină, tabelul de risk/reward și gotchas sunt completări
ale mele, dincolo de ce spune explicit transcrierea. Exemplul 1 (AMC) și

199
summaries/03_MODUL_2/04_money_management_position_sizing.md
View File

@@ -55,10 +55,13 @@ market order.
Consecință mecanică pentru money management: dacă intri long la 10.49 (Ask)
și ieși imediat la 10.47 (Bid), ai deja pierdut 0.02 **înainte** ca prețul să
se fi mișcat un cent. La un stop-loss LONG, ieșirea reală se face la Bid, deci
distanța de risc adevărată e (intrare − nivel_stop − spread), nu doar
se fi mișcat un cent. La un stop-loss LONG, nivelul tehnic (ex: low-ul unei
candele) e citit ca preț de piață, dar ieșirea reală pe stop se face la Bid —
adică sub nivelul tehnic — deci execuția e la (nivel_stop − spread), iar
distanța de risc reală e (intrare − nivel_stop) **+ spread**, mai mare decât
(intrare − nivel_stop). La un SHORT e simetric: intri la Bid, ieși (stop) la
Ask.
Ask — adică peste nivelul tehnic — deci execuția e la (nivel_stop + spread),
iar distanța de risc e (nivel_stop − intrare) **+ spread**.
## Formula de mărime a poziției — mecanismul, nu doar rezultatul
@@ -85,38 +88,64 @@ deschizi poziția, nu câți dolari poți pierde dacă stop-loss-ul se declanșe
Exemplul 2 de mai jos arată exact asta cu cifre: leverage 1 vs leverage 5,
riscul în dolari rămâne identic, doar marja necesară scade.
## R-multiple — unitatea în care se exprimă risc și profit (completare a mea)
Termen nou, folosit mai jos și în secțiunea de risk/reward: **1R** = riscul$
asumat pe tranzacția respectivă (riscul calculat cu formula de mai sus, ex.
$20 în Exemplul 1 care urmează) — nu un preț fix, ci o unitate relativă la
acel trade. Un target la "2R" înseamnă profit potențial = 2 × riscul asumat;
dacă stopul e atins, pierderea e "-1R" (exact riscul calculat, dacă rotunjirea
și spread-ul au fost făcute corect). "Risk/reward 1:2" de mai jos e aceeași
idee spusă altfel: risc 1R, target 2R.
<svg viewBox="0 0 360 90" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:360px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="18" fill="#333">exemplu generic: risc 1R vs. target 2R</text>
<rect x="120" y="35" width="40" height="16" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="70" y="47" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">-1R (risc)</text>
<rect x="120" y="60" width="80" height="16" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="70" y="72" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">+2R (target)</text>
</svg>
De ce contează: R-multiple face comparabile tranzacții pe instrumente complet
diferite — Exemplul 1 e în acțiuni la ~$10, Exemplul 2 e în puncte de index
la ~$5000 — indiferent de preț, "+2R" înseamnă mereu "de două ori riscul
asumat pe acel trade specific", nu un număr fix de dolari sau puncte.
## Exemplul 1 (din curs) — AMC, long, breakout din doji
Cont: **$1.000**. Risc acceptat: **2% = $20**. Fără margine de siguranță.
Setup: breakout din doji pe daily. Preț Ask (intrare) **10.49**, Bid
**10.47** (spread 0.02). Stop-loss la low-ul dojii, **9.62**, ajustat cu
spread-ul (ieșirea pe stop se face la Bid) → stop execuție efectiv **9.60**.
Distanța de risc folosită (cu buffer suplimentar de spread, ca în curs):
**10.49 − 9.60 + 0.02 = 0.91**/acțiune. Target 1:1: **10.49 + 0.91 = 11.40**.
spread-ul (ieșirea pe stop se face la Bid) → stop execuție efectiv
**9.62 − 0.02 = 9.60**. Distanța de risc: **10.49 − 9.60 = 0.89**/acțiune.
Target 1:1: **10.49 + 0.89 = 11.38**.
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="18" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,230 70,215 110,200 150,164 190,277 230,164 260,161" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="10" y="248" fill="#999">consolidare / doji (nu detaliat aici, vezi lecția de patternuri)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="40" x2="290" y2="40" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="34" fill="#188a3e">11.40 — take-profit (1:1)</text>
<circle cx="260" cy="161" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="265" y="156" fill="#1a5fb4">10.49 — intrare (Ask)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="280" x2="290" y2="280" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="296" fill="#c00">9.60 — stop-loss execuție (low doji 9.62 − spread)</text>
<line x1="300" y1="40" x2="300" y2="280" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1"/>
<line x1="300" y1="161" x2="300" y2="280" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="300" y1="40" x2="300" y2="161" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="308" y="105" fill="#188a3e">recompensă 0.91/acțiune</text>
<text x="308" y="225" fill="#c00">risc 0.91/acțiune</text>
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 273" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="90.0" x2="606" y2="90.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="84.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">11.38 — take-profit (1:1)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="143.4" x2="606" y2="143.4" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="137.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">10.49 — intrare (Ask)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="196.8" x2="606" y2="196.8" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="190.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">9.60 — stop-loss execuție (low doji 9.62 − spread)</text>
<polyline points="24,111.8 56,157.8" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="99.8" fill="#999">downtrend anterior</text>
<line x1="64" y1="157.8" x2="64" y2="195.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="51" y="160.8" width="26" height="2.0" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="64" y="214.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
<line x1="156" y1="139.8" x2="156" y2="163.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="143" y="143.4" width="26" height="17.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="156" y="214.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakout</text>
<text x="24" y="234.8" fill="#c00">doji: low 9.62 = nivel SL tehnic</text>
<text x="24" y="251.8" fill="#188a3e">breakout: close 10.49 = intrare (Ask)</text>
</svg>
Calcul mărime poziție: **$20 / 0.91 ≈ 21.98 acțiuni** → rotunjești **în jos**,
nu în sus (regula DA/NU de mai sus): **21 acțiuni**. Risc real cu 21 acțiuni:
**21 × 0.91 = $19.11** (sub plafonul de $20, exact cum trebuie — rotunjirea
în jos e ceea ce ține riscul sub prag). Valoare tranzacție: 21 × 10.49 ≈
**$220**.
Calcul mărime poziție: **$20 / 0.89 ≈ 22.47 acțiuni** → rotunjești **în jos**,
nu în sus (regula DA/NU de mai sus): **22 acțiuni**. Risc real cu 22 acțiuni:
**22 × 0.89 = $19.58** (sub plafonul de $20, exact cum trebuie — rotunjirea
în jos e ceea ce ține riscul sub prag). Valoare tranzacție: 22 × 10.49 ≈
**$231**. La target: profit **22 × 0.89 = $19.58**, egal cu riscul asumat —
adică exact **R:R 1:1**, cum era anunțat.
## Exemplul 2 (construit) — US500, SHORT, cu margine de siguranță și leverage
@@ -131,20 +160,23 @@ execuție **5025.4**. Distanța de risc: **5025.4 − 5000.0 = 25.4** puncte.
Target 1:2 (risk/reward mai bun, vezi secțiunea de mai jos): **5000.0 − 2 ×
25.4 = 4949.2**.
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="18" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,60 70,85 110,70 150,110 190,120" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="40" x2="290" y2="40" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="34" fill="#c00">5025.4 — stop-loss execuție (resistance 5025.0 + spread)</text>
<circle cx="190" cy="120" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="195" y="115" fill="#1a5fb4">5000.0 — intrare short (Bid)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="280" x2="290" y2="280" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="296" fill="#188a3e">4949.2 — take-profit (1:2)</text>
<line x1="300" y1="40" x2="300" y2="280" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1"/>
<line x1="300" y1="40" x2="300" y2="120" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="300" y1="120" x2="300" y2="280" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="308" y="80" fill="#c00">risc 25.4 pct</text>
<text x="308" y="205" fill="#188a3e">recompensă 50.8 pct</text>
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 286" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="606" y2="34.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="28.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">5025.4 — stop-loss execuție (resistance 5025.0 + spread)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="72.1" x2="606" y2="72.1" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="66.1" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">5000.0 — intrare short (Bid)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="148.3" x2="606" y2="148.3" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="142.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">4949.2 — take-profit (1:2)</text>
<polyline points="24,155.6 56,109.6" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="175.6" fill="#999">uptrend anterior</text>
<line x1="64" y1="34.6" x2="64" y2="109.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="51" y="87.1" width="26" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="64" y="228.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">test resistance</text>
<line x1="156" y1="75.1" x2="156" y2="117.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="143" y="87.1" width="26" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="156" y="228.3" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">respingere</text>
<text x="24" y="248.3" fill="#188a3e">high 5025.0 = nivel SL tehnic (resistance)</text>
<text x="24" y="265.3" fill="#c00">respingere: închidere sub 5000.0 = intrare (Bid)</text>
</svg>
Mărime poziție: **$80 / 25.4 ≈ 3.15 unități** → rotunjit în jos: **3
@@ -174,18 +206,21 @@ tău de $47.00. Ordinul de stop-loss nu se execută la $47.00 pentru că nu a
existat nicio tranzacție la acel preț în timpul gap-ului — se execută la
prețul de deschidere.
<svg viewBox="0 0 400 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="18" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<line x1="20" y1="40" x2="380" y2="40" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="34" fill="#1a5fb4">50.00 — intrare</text>
<line x1="20" y1="130" x2="220" y2="130" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="124" fill="#c00">47.00 — stop-loss calculat (risc așteptat $39)</text>
<line x1="220" y1="130" x2="220" y2="280" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="1 3"/>
<text x="225" y="200" fill="#888">gap peste noapte —</text>
<text x="225" y="214" fill="#888">niciun preț tranzacționat aici</text>
<circle cx="280" cy="280" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<line x1="20" y1="280" x2="380" y2="280" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="296" fill="#c00">42.00 — deschidere reală, aici se execută stop-ul</text>
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 167" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="37.0" x2="606" y2="37.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="31.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">50.00 — intrare</text>
<line x1="24" y1="55.0" x2="606" y2="55.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="49.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">47.00 — stop-loss calculat (risc așteptat $39)</text>
<line x1="24" y1="85.0" x2="606" y2="85.0" stroke="#a00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="0"/>
<text x="592" y="79.0" fill="#a00" text-anchor="end">42.00 — deschidere reală, aici se execută stopul</text>
<line x1="64" y1="34.0" x2="64" y2="46.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="51" y="37.0" width="26" height="6.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="64" y="109.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">zi 1</text>
<line x1="156" y1="79.0" x2="156" y2="91.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="143" y="85.0" width="26" height="3.0" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="156" y="109.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">gap peste noapte</text>
<text x="24" y="129.0" fill="#188a3e">închidere 50.00 = intrare</text>
<text x="24" y="146.0" fill="#c00">deschidere 42.00, sub stopul de 47.00</text>
</svg>
Pierdere reală: **13 × (50.00 − 42.00) = $104**, adică **5.2% din cont**
@@ -250,10 +285,63 @@ tranzacții: **5×(+2) + 5×(−1) = +5** — profitabil matematic chiar cu win
rate de doar 50%. De asta recomandarea minimă e 1:1, cu preferință pentru
1:2 — risk/reward-ul compensează un win rate mediocru, nu invers.
## Risc agregat pe mai multe poziții simultane (portfolio heat) — completare a mea
Termen nou: **portfolio heat** = suma riscurilor $ (sau %) ale **tuturor**
pozițiilor deschise în același moment. Regula de 2% e per tranzacție, nu per
cont — dacă ai mai multe poziții deschise deodată, riscul agregat nu e limitat
automat la 2%, trebuie calculat separat, adunând riscul fiecărei poziții
deschise.
Ce faci concret: înainte de a deschide o poziție nouă, aduni riscul$ al
pozițiilor deja deschise cu riscul noii poziții. Dacă suma trece un plafon
fixat dinainte (practică uzuală: **6-8% risc agregat deschis**) sau
pozițiile sunt puternic corelate (aceeași direcție de piață), reduci mărimea
noii poziții sau nu o mai deschizi.
**DA — heat controlat:** cont **$10.000**, 3 poziții deschise simultan, fiecare
riscând 2% = $200: acțiune tech, o pereche forex, un index diferit —
instrumente puțin corelate. Risc agregat: **3 × $200 = $600 = 6% din cont**,
la limita plafonului, dar poziții necorelate → probabilitate mică ca toate 3
să atingă stop simultan.
<svg viewBox="0 0 340 90" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:340px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="204" y1="20" x2="204" y2="70" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="208" y="18" fill="#333">prag heat 6%</text>
<rect x="24" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="54" y="53" fill="#fff" text-anchor="middle">2%</text>
<rect x="84" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="114" y="53" fill="#fff" text-anchor="middle">2%</text>
<rect x="144" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="174" y="53" fill="#fff" text-anchor="middle">2%</text>
<text x="24" y="80" fill="#188a3e">3 poziții necorelate = 6% agregat, la prag</text>
</svg>
**NU — heat ascuns:** același cont **$10.000**, 5 poziții deschise, fiecare
"doar 2%" ($200) — dar toate 5 pe acțiuni tech puternic corelate (ex. NVDA,
AMD, AVGO, MU, QCOM), care se mișcă împreună la o corecție de sector. Nominal
calculul arată **5 × $200 = $1.000 = 10% din cont**, dar riscul real, dat de
corelație, e mai apropiat de riscul unei **singure** poziții de 10% — exact
scenariul pe care regula de 2% per-trade, aplicată izolat pe fiecare poziție,
nu a fost gândită să-l prindă.
<svg viewBox="0 0 340 90" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:340px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="204" y1="20" x2="204" y2="70" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="208" y="18" fill="#333">prag heat 6%</text>
<rect x="24" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
<rect x="84" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
<rect x="144" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
<rect x="204" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#c00"/>
<rect x="264" y="40" width="60" height="20" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="24" y="80" fill="#c00">5 poziții corelate = 10% agregat, peste prag</text>
</svg>
Corelate ⇒ riscul real e mai mare decât suma nominală de 10%.
## Gotchas practice — cele mai importante
- **Rotunjește mărimea poziției în jos, niciodată în sus.** 21.98 acțiuni
înseamnă 21, nu 22 — rotunjirea în sus e felul în care "calculul de 2%"
devine, în realitate, 2.1-2.5%.
- **Rotunjește mărimea poziției în jos, niciodată în sus.** 22.47 acțiuni
înseamnă 22, nu 23 — rotunjirea în sus e felul în care "calculul de 2%"
devine, în realitate, peste 2%.
- **Nu uita spread-ul în calculul distanței de risc.** Diferența e mică per
tranzacție (2 cenți la AMC), dar ignorată sistematic pe multe tranzacții
tot subestimezi riscul real cu un procent fix.
@@ -281,6 +369,7 @@ pentru brokerul/platforma la care ai contul, nu pentru money management-ul
---
*Notă: secțiunile "Mecanismul spread-ului", "Leverage nu schimbă riscul",
"R-multiple", "Risc agregat pe mai multe poziții simultane (portfolio heat)",
Exemplul 2 (US500 short, construit), Exemplul 3 (gap peste noapte, construit),
tabelul de risc de ruină, tabelul de risk/reward și gotchas sunt completări
ale mele, dincolo de ce spune explicit transcrierea. Exemplul 1 (AMC) și

16
summaries/03_MODUL_2/05_volatilitatea_beta_atr_vix.html
View File

@@ -164,7 +164,7 @@ candelei curente): dacă prețul face un gap (sare peste noapte), diferența
reală de volatilitate include și gap-ul, nu doar intervalul din candela
curentă.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 320 160" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:340px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑ (citire dreapta→stânga: 0 = candela curentă)</text>
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑ (citire dreapta → stânga)</text>
<line x1="60" y1="30" x2="60" y2="110" stroke="#333" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="35" y="125" fill="#333">candela 1 (anterioară)</text>
<circle cx="60" cy="70" r="3" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
@@ -244,7 +244,7 @@ ultimele 4 candele = <strong>387.98</strong>. ATR = <strong>5.52</strong> (aceea
<line x1="10" y1="108" x2="410" y2="108" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<polyline points="10,135 60,108 110,145 160,180 210,220" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="160" cy="180" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="165" y="200" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare short</text>
<text x="165" y="168" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare short</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Din training: close-ul candelei de semnal era 376.76. Distanță intrare→SL =
394.61 − 376.76 = <strong>17.85</strong> pe acțiune. Cu 10 acțiuni, riscul e 17.85 × 10 =
@@ -265,8 +265,8 @@ din acțiuni → risc pe leverage ~$900.</p>
<circle cx="165" cy="135" r="5" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="10" y="163" fill="#c00">351.36 — SL "la senzație"</text>
<text x="10" y="176" fill="#c00">(doar 2$ sub intrare, &lt; ATR)</text>
<text x="230" y="163" fill="#c88">retest normal atinge 351.10</text>
<text x="230" y="176" fill="#c88">— SL lovit</text>
<text x="200" y="163" fill="#c88">retest normal atinge 351.10</text>
<text x="200" y="176" fill="#c88">— SL lovit</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Retest-ul normal (mai jos decât 351.36, dar peste 344.73) lovește stop-ul de
2 dolari, tradeul e închis pe pierdere, deși ideea de trade rămâne validă și
@@ -295,12 +295,12 @@ mișcat între 9.14 și 82.69.</p>
scade, VIX-ul urcă adesea disproporționat (piață −2% poate însemna VIX
+10-15% sau mai mult), pentru că scăderile bruște generează cerere panicată
de opțiuni put de protecție.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 400 120" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:400px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 400 135" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:400px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="20" fill="#333">S&amp;P 500: −2%</text>
<rect x="10" y="28" width="40" height="20" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="10" y="75" fill="#333">VIX: +10% până +15% (disproporționat)</text>
<rect x="10" y="83" width="150" height="20" fill="#666"/>
<text x="165" y="98" fill="#666">cerere panicată de protecție (put)</text>
<text x="10" y="75" fill="#333">VIX: +10% până +15% (medie 12.5%, disproporționat)</text>
<rect x="10" y="83" width="250" height="20" fill="#666"/>
<text x="10" y="118" fill="#666">Aceeași scară: 1% = 20 px. Cerere panicată de protecție (put).</text>
</svg></p>
<p><strong>Important:</strong> VIX-ul nu e tranzacționabil direct — nu poți cumpăra "acțiuni
VIX". Expunere reală se ia prin futures și opțiuni pe VIX (produse CBOE).</p>

16
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View File

@@ -115,7 +115,7 @@ reală de volatilitate include și gap-ul, nu doar intervalul din candela
curentă.
<svg viewBox="0 0 320 160" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:340px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑ (citire dreapta→stânga: 0 = candela curentă)</text>
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑ (citire dreapta → stânga)</text>
<line x1="60" y1="30" x2="60" y2="110" stroke="#333" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="35" y="125" fill="#333">candela 1 (anterioară)</text>
<circle cx="60" cy="70" r="3" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
@@ -205,7 +205,7 @@ Calcul: 5.52 × 1.2 = 6.63. Stop = 387.98 + 6.63 = **394.61**.
<line x1="10" y1="108" x2="410" y2="108" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<polyline points="10,135 60,108 110,145 160,180 210,220" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="160" cy="180" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="165" y="200" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare short</text>
<text x="165" y="168" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare short</text>
</svg>
Din training: close-ul candelei de semnal era 376.76. Distanță intrare→SL =
@@ -229,8 +229,8 @@ Aceeași intrare long ca în exemplul 1 (351.36 low, ATR 5.52), dar cu un stop
<circle cx="165" cy="135" r="5" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="10" y="163" fill="#c00">351.36 — SL "la senzație"</text>
<text x="10" y="176" fill="#c00">(doar 2$ sub intrare, &lt; ATR)</text>
<text x="230" y="163" fill="#c88">retest normal atinge 351.10</text>
<text x="230" y="176" fill="#c88">— SL lovit</text>
<text x="200" y="163" fill="#c88">retest normal atinge 351.10</text>
<text x="200" y="176" fill="#c88">— SL lovit</text>
</svg>
Retest-ul normal (mai jos decât 351.36, dar peste 344.73) lovește stop-ul de
@@ -263,12 +263,12 @@ scade, VIX-ul urcă adesea disproporționat (piață −2% poate însemna VIX
+10-15% sau mai mult), pentru că scăderile bruște generează cerere panicată
de opțiuni put de protecție.
<svg viewBox="0 0 400 120" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:400px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<svg viewBox="0 0 400 135" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:400px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="20" fill="#333">S&amp;P 500: −2%</text>
<rect x="10" y="28" width="40" height="20" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="10" y="75" fill="#333">VIX: +10% până +15% (disproporționat)</text>
<rect x="10" y="83" width="150" height="20" fill="#666"/>
<text x="165" y="98" fill="#666">cerere panicată de protecție (put)</text>
<text x="10" y="75" fill="#333">VIX: +10% până +15% (medie 12.5%, disproporționat)</text>
<rect x="10" y="83" width="250" height="20" fill="#666"/>
<text x="10" y="118" fill="#666">Aceeași scară: 1% = 20 px. Cerere panicată de protecție (put).</text>
</svg>
**Important:** VIX-ul nu e tranzacționabil direct — nu poți cumpăra "acțiuni

106
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View File

@@ -114,26 +114,26 @@ rezistență, și cauți divergență pe RS ca argument suplimentar — nu ca
<h3 id="exemplu-1-long-qqq-cadranul-42-cu-divergenta-bull">Exemplu 1 — Long: QQQ, cadranul 4→2 cu divergență bull</h3>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 480" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț (QQQ) ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,40 70,75 120,110 170,128 220,100 270,165 320,136 370,90 420,40" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="145" x2="440" y2="145" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="140" fill="#1a5fb4">495.00 — suport weekly</text>
<circle cx="170" cy="128" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="130" y="118" fill="#c00">A: 496.20</text>
<circle cx="270" cy="165" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<polyline points="20,95 70,122 120,134.6 170,145.4 220,116.6 270,188.6 320,156.2 370,104 420,32" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="167" x2="440" y2="167" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="161" fill="#1a5fb4">495.00 — suport weekly</text>
<circle cx="170" cy="145.4" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="130" y="135" fill="#c00">A: 496.20</text>
<circle cx="270" cy="188.6" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="228" y="205" fill="#c00">B: 493.80 (nou minim)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="175" x2="440" y2="175" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="197.6" x2="440" y2="197.6" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="360" y="192" fill="#888">SL 493.30</text>
<rect x="313" y="130" width="10" height="16" fill="#188a3e"/>
<rect x="313" y="149" width="10" height="15" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="25" y="60" fill="#188a3e">trigger: candelă bullish</text>
<text x="25" y="73" fill="#188a3e">confirmare 495.60</text>
<circle cx="345" cy="130" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="270" y="160" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 496.10</text>
<text x="270" y="173" fill="#1a5fb4">(break peste high trigger)</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="40" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<circle cx="345" cy="147.2" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="300" y="140" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 496.10</text>
<text x="300" y="153" fill="#1a5fb4">(break peste high trigger)</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="32" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="225" y="28" fill="#188a3e">TP 502.50 — rezistența</text>
<text x="225" y="41" fill="#188a3e">anterioară</text>
<line x1="170" y1="128" x2="170" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="270" y1="165" x2="270" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="170" y1="145.4" x2="170" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="270" y1="188.6" x2="270" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="10" y1="210" x2="450" y2="210" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="227" fill="#666">Relative Strength (scor) ↑</text>
<line x1="20" y1="310" x2="440" y2="310" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
@@ -141,8 +141,8 @@ rezistență, și cauți divergență pe RS ca argument suplimentar — nu ca
<rect x="155" y="310" width="30" height="44" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="140" y="368" fill="#c00">A: -1.1 (cadranul 4)</text>
<rect x="255" y="310" width="30" height="16" fill="#62a0ea"/>
<text x="248" y="340" fill="#3584e4">B: -0.4 (cadranul 2)</text>
<text x="248" y="352" fill="#3584e4">higher low = divergență bull</text>
<text x="260" y="336" fill="#3584e4">B: -0.4 (cadranul 2)</text>
<text x="260" y="350" fill="#3584e4">higher low = divergență bull</text>
<polyline points="170,318 270,346" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30" y="400" fill="#333">- - - MA a histogramei RS</text>
</svg></p>
@@ -158,26 +158,26 @@ Risc 2.80, recompensă 6.40 → risc/recompensă ≈ 1:2.3.</p>
<h3 id="exemplu-2-short-xom-sector-energie-cadranul-13-cu-divergenta-bear">Exemplu 2 — Short: XOM (sector Energie), cadranul 1→3 cu divergență bear</h3>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 480" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț (XOM) ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,150 70,120 120,95 170,90 220,130 270,50 320,86 370,140 420,185" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="45" x2="440" y2="45" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="40" fill="#1a5fb4">118.00 — rezistență monthly</text>
<circle cx="170" cy="90" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="130" y="80" fill="#c00">A: 116.80</text>
<circle cx="270" cy="50" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="215" y="65" fill="#c00">B: 117.90 (maxim nou)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="35" x2="440" y2="35" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="20" y="28" fill="#888">SL 118.30</text>
<rect x="313" y="86" width="10" height="16" fill="#c00"/>
<polyline points="20,128 70,98 120,72 170,62 220,94 270,40 320,60 370,122 420,178" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="38" x2="440" y2="38" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="34" fill="#1a5fb4">118.00 — rezistență monthly</text>
<circle cx="170" cy="62" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="130" y="52" fill="#c00">A: 116.80</text>
<circle cx="270" cy="40" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="185" y="55" fill="#c00">B: 117.90 (maxim nou)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="32" x2="440" y2="32" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="436" y="28" fill="#888" text-anchor="end">SL 118.30</text>
<rect x="313" y="53" width="10" height="14" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="150" y="160" fill="#c00">trigger: candelă bearish</text>
<text x="150" y="173" fill="#c00">confirmare 116.90</text>
<circle cx="345" cy="100" r="5" fill="#1a1a1a"/>
<text x="270" y="118" fill="#1a1a1a">entry short 116.40</text>
<text x="270" y="131" fill="#1a1a1a">(break sub low trigger)</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="185" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="300" y="170" fill="#188a3e">TP 111.00 — suport</text>
<text x="300" y="183" fill="#188a3e">anterior</text>
<line x1="170" y1="90" x2="170" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="270" y1="50" x2="270" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<circle cx="345" cy="70" r="5" fill="#1a1a1a"/>
<text x="270" y="90" fill="#1a1a1a">entry short 116.40</text>
<text x="270" y="103" fill="#1a1a1a">(break sub low trigger)</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="178" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="300" y="163" fill="#188a3e">TP 111.00 — suport</text>
<text x="300" y="176" fill="#188a3e">anterior</text>
<line x1="170" y1="62" x2="170" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="270" y1="40" x2="270" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="10" y1="210" x2="450" y2="210" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="227" fill="#666">Relative Strength (scor) ↑</text>
<line x1="20" y1="310" x2="440" y2="310" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
@@ -186,7 +186,7 @@ Risc 2.80, recompensă 6.40 → risc/recompensă ≈ 1:2.3.</p>
<text x="140" y="250" fill="#1a5fb4">A: +1.3 (cadranul 1)</text>
<rect x="255" y="290" width="30" height="20" fill="#0d3868"/>
<text x="248" y="335" fill="#0d3868">B: +0.5 (cadranul 3)</text>
<text x="248" y="347" fill="#0d3868">lower high = divergență bear</text>
<text x="248" y="351" fill="#0d3868">lower high = divergență bear</text>
<polyline points="170,278 270,274" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30" y="400" fill="#333">- - - MA a histogramei RS</text>
</svg></p>
@@ -204,30 +204,30 @@ clară și prețul e la un suport major — cadranul spune "activul e slab", dar
divergența spune "slăbiciunea asta se termină".</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 310" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț (ACN) ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,50 60,75 100,90 140,95 180,70 220,115 260,98 300,60 340,40" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="100" x2="360" y2="100" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="96" fill="#1a5fb4">340.00 — suport monthly</text>
<circle cx="140" cy="95" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="60" y="80" fill="#c00">A: 341.50</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="115" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="165" y="150" fill="#c00">B: 338.50 (doji la suport)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="120" x2="360" y2="120" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="20" y="133" fill="#888">SL 337.80</text>
<circle cx="260" cy="98" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="270" y="80" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 341.00</text>
<text x="270" y="93" fill="#1a5fb4">(break peste high doji)</text>
<circle cx="340" cy="40" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="270" y="30" fill="#188a3e">TP 349.00</text>
<line x1="140" y1="95" x2="140" y2="280" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="220" y1="115" x2="220" y2="280" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="8" y="158" fill="#666">Relative Strength (scor) ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,89.8 60,102.3 100,106.6 140,110.8 180,95 220,142.2 260,116 300,79.2 340,32" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="126.5" x2="360" y2="126.5" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="122" fill="#1a5fb4">340.00 — suport monthly</text>
<circle cx="140" cy="110.8" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="60" y="100" fill="#c00">A: 341.50</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="142.2" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="165" y="158" fill="#c00">B: 338.50 (doji la suport)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="149.6" x2="360" y2="149.6" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="20" y="145" fill="#888">SL 337.80</text>
<circle cx="260" cy="116" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="270" y="100" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 341.00</text>
<text x="270" y="113" fill="#1a5fb4">(break peste high doji)</text>
<circle cx="340" cy="32" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="270" y="28" fill="#188a3e">TP 349.00</text>
<line x1="140" y1="110.8" x2="140" y2="280" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="220" y1="142.2" x2="220" y2="280" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="8" y="168" fill="#666">Relative Strength (scor) ↑</text>
<line x1="20" y1="220" x2="360" y2="220" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="363" y="225" fill="#666">0</text>
<rect x="127" y="220" width="26" height="54" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="90" y="290" fill="#c00">A: -1.8 (cadranul 4)</text>
<rect x="207" y="220" width="26" height="27" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="237" y="243" fill="#c00">B: -0.9, higher low</text>
<text x="237" y="255" fill="#c00">(divergență bull, tot cadranul 4)</text>
<text x="237" y="259" fill="#c00">(divergență bull, tot cadranul 4)</text>
<polyline points="140,255 220,235" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
</svg></p>
<p>ACN e la -1.8 la primul minim (cadranul 4, clar slab), dar la al doilea

106
summaries/03_MODUL_2/06_indicatorul_de_performanta.md
View File

@@ -109,26 +109,26 @@ rezistență, și cauți divergență pe RS ca argument suplimentar — nu ca
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 480" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț (QQQ) ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,40 70,75 120,110 170,128 220,100 270,165 320,136 370,90 420,40" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="145" x2="440" y2="145" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="140" fill="#1a5fb4">495.00 — suport weekly</text>
<circle cx="170" cy="128" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="130" y="118" fill="#c00">A: 496.20</text>
<circle cx="270" cy="165" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<polyline points="20,95 70,122 120,134.6 170,145.4 220,116.6 270,188.6 320,156.2 370,104 420,32" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="167" x2="440" y2="167" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="161" fill="#1a5fb4">495.00 — suport weekly</text>
<circle cx="170" cy="145.4" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="130" y="135" fill="#c00">A: 496.20</text>
<circle cx="270" cy="188.6" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="228" y="205" fill="#c00">B: 493.80 (nou minim)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="175" x2="440" y2="175" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="197.6" x2="440" y2="197.6" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="360" y="192" fill="#888">SL 493.30</text>
<rect x="313" y="130" width="10" height="16" fill="#188a3e"/>
<rect x="313" y="149" width="10" height="15" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="25" y="60" fill="#188a3e">trigger: candelă bullish</text>
<text x="25" y="73" fill="#188a3e">confirmare 495.60</text>
<circle cx="345" cy="130" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="270" y="160" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 496.10</text>
<text x="270" y="173" fill="#1a5fb4">(break peste high trigger)</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="40" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<circle cx="345" cy="147.2" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="300" y="118" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 496.10</text>
<text x="300" y="131" fill="#1a5fb4">(break peste high trigger)</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="32" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="225" y="28" fill="#188a3e">TP 502.50 — rezistența</text>
<text x="225" y="41" fill="#188a3e">anterioară</text>
<line x1="170" y1="128" x2="170" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="270" y1="165" x2="270" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="170" y1="145.4" x2="170" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="270" y1="188.6" x2="270" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="10" y1="210" x2="450" y2="210" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="227" fill="#666">Relative Strength (scor) ↑</text>
<line x1="20" y1="310" x2="440" y2="310" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
@@ -136,8 +136,8 @@ rezistență, și cauți divergență pe RS ca argument suplimentar — nu ca
<rect x="155" y="310" width="30" height="44" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="140" y="368" fill="#c00">A: -1.1 (cadranul 4)</text>
<rect x="255" y="310" width="30" height="16" fill="#62a0ea"/>
<text x="248" y="340" fill="#3584e4">B: -0.4 (cadranul 2)</text>
<text x="248" y="352" fill="#3584e4">higher low = divergență bull</text>
<text x="260" y="336" fill="#3584e4">B: -0.4 (cadranul 2)</text>
<text x="260" y="350" fill="#3584e4">higher low = divergență bull</text>
<polyline points="170,318 270,346" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30" y="400" fill="#333">- - - MA a histogramei RS</text>
</svg>
@@ -156,26 +156,26 @@ Risc 2.80, recompensă 6.40 → risc/recompensă ≈ 1:2.3.
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 480" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:480px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț (XOM) ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,150 70,120 120,95 170,90 220,130 270,50 320,86 370,140 420,185" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="45" x2="440" y2="45" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="40" fill="#1a5fb4">118.00 — rezistență monthly</text>
<circle cx="170" cy="90" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="130" y="80" fill="#c00">A: 116.80</text>
<circle cx="270" cy="50" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="215" y="65" fill="#c00">B: 117.90 (maxim nou)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="35" x2="440" y2="35" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="20" y="28" fill="#888">SL 118.30</text>
<rect x="313" y="86" width="10" height="16" fill="#c00"/>
<polyline points="20,128 70,98 120,72 170,62 220,94 270,40 320,60 370,122 420,178" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="38" x2="440" y2="38" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="34" fill="#1a5fb4">118.00 — rezistență monthly</text>
<circle cx="170" cy="62" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="130" y="52" fill="#c00">A: 116.80</text>
<circle cx="270" cy="40" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="185" y="55" fill="#c00">B: 117.90 (maxim nou)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="32" x2="440" y2="32" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="436" y="28" fill="#888" text-anchor="end">SL 118.30</text>
<rect x="313" y="53" width="10" height="14" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="150" y="160" fill="#c00">trigger: candelă bearish</text>
<text x="150" y="173" fill="#c00">confirmare 116.90</text>
<circle cx="345" cy="100" r="5" fill="#1a1a1a"/>
<text x="270" y="118" fill="#1a1a1a">entry short 116.40</text>
<text x="270" y="131" fill="#1a1a1a">(break sub low trigger)</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="185" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="300" y="170" fill="#188a3e">TP 111.00 — suport</text>
<text x="300" y="183" fill="#188a3e">anterior</text>
<line x1="170" y1="90" x2="170" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="270" y1="50" x2="270" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<circle cx="345" cy="70" r="5" fill="#1a1a1a"/>
<text x="270" y="90" fill="#1a1a1a">entry short 116.40</text>
<text x="270" y="103" fill="#1a1a1a">(break sub low trigger)</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="178" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="300" y="163" fill="#188a3e">TP 111.00 — suport</text>
<text x="300" y="176" fill="#188a3e">anterior</text>
<line x1="170" y1="62" x2="170" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="270" y1="40" x2="270" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="10" y1="210" x2="450" y2="210" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="227" fill="#666">Relative Strength (scor) ↑</text>
<line x1="20" y1="310" x2="440" y2="310" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
@@ -184,7 +184,7 @@ Risc 2.80, recompensă 6.40 → risc/recompensă ≈ 1:2.3.
<text x="140" y="250" fill="#1a5fb4">A: +1.3 (cadranul 1)</text>
<rect x="255" y="290" width="30" height="20" fill="#0d3868"/>
<text x="248" y="335" fill="#0d3868">B: +0.5 (cadranul 3)</text>
<text x="248" y="347" fill="#0d3868">lower high = divergență bear</text>
<text x="248" y="351" fill="#0d3868">lower high = divergență bear</text>
<polyline points="170,278 270,274" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30" y="400" fill="#333">- - - MA a histogramei RS</text>
</svg>
@@ -206,30 +206,30 @@ divergența spune "slăbiciunea asta se termină".
<svg viewBox="0 0 460 310" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț (ACN) ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,50 60,75 100,90 140,95 180,70 220,115 260,98 300,60 340,40" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="100" x2="360" y2="100" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="96" fill="#1a5fb4">340.00 — suport monthly</text>
<circle cx="140" cy="95" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="60" y="80" fill="#c00">A: 341.50</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="115" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="165" y="150" fill="#c00">B: 338.50 (doji la suport)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="120" x2="360" y2="120" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="20" y="133" fill="#888">SL 337.80</text>
<circle cx="260" cy="98" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="270" y="80" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 341.00</text>
<text x="270" y="93" fill="#1a5fb4">(break peste high doji)</text>
<circle cx="340" cy="40" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="270" y="30" fill="#188a3e">TP 349.00</text>
<line x1="140" y1="95" x2="140" y2="280" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="220" y1="115" x2="220" y2="280" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="8" y="158" fill="#666">Relative Strength (scor) ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,89.8 60,102.3 100,106.6 140,110.8 180,95 220,142.2 260,116 300,79.2 340,32" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<line x1="20" y1="126.5" x2="360" y2="126.5" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="122" fill="#1a5fb4">340.00 — suport monthly</text>
<circle cx="140" cy="110.8" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="60" y="100" fill="#c00">A: 341.50</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="142.2" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="165" y="158" fill="#c00">B: 338.50 (doji la suport)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="149.6" x2="360" y2="149.6" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="20" y="145" fill="#888">SL 337.80</text>
<circle cx="260" cy="116" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="270" y="100" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 341.00</text>
<text x="270" y="113" fill="#1a5fb4">(break peste high doji)</text>
<circle cx="340" cy="32" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="270" y="28" fill="#188a3e">TP 349.00</text>
<line x1="140" y1="110.8" x2="140" y2="280" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="220" y1="142.2" x2="220" y2="280" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="8" y="168" fill="#666">Relative Strength (scor) ↑</text>
<line x1="20" y1="220" x2="360" y2="220" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<text x="363" y="225" fill="#666">0</text>
<rect x="127" y="220" width="26" height="54" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="90" y="290" fill="#c00">A: -1.8 (cadranul 4)</text>
<rect x="207" y="220" width="26" height="27" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="237" y="243" fill="#c00">B: -0.9, higher low</text>
<text x="237" y="255" fill="#c00">(divergență bull, tot cadranul 4)</text>
<text x="237" y="259" fill="#c00">(divergență bull, tot cadranul 4)</text>
<polyline points="140,255 220,235" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
</svg>

38
summaries/03_MODUL_2/07_determinare_trend.html
View File

@@ -36,7 +36,7 @@ simetric, un maxim mai sus decât vecinii lui. <strong>Trend line</strong> (lini
trend) = o linie dreaptă care unește minim 2 swing lows (linie de suport,
într-un uptrend) sau minim 2 swing highs (linie de rezistență, într-un
downtrend).</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 200 90" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:200px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 230 90" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:230px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<polyline points="10,70 40,55 70,68 100,35 130,50 160,20" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="40" cy="55" r="4" fill="#c00"/>
<circle cx="100" cy="35" r="4" fill="#c00"/>
@@ -76,15 +76,17 @@ nu doar atinge sau depășește linia cu fitilul (wick).</p>
<text x="140" y="168" fill="#c00">intri short</text>
</svg></p>
<p><strong>Confirmare DA/NU — nu orice atingere a liniei e o violare:</strong></p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 420 160" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#188a3e">DA: candelă cu low sub linie, dar</text>
<text x="10" y="29" fill="#188a3e">close deasupra — nu e violare</text>
<line x1="10" y1="45" x2="410" y2="80" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="12" y="40" fill="#1a5fb4">linie de suport</text>
<line x1="60" y1="25" x2="60" y2="60" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="3"/>
<line x1="240" y1="65" x2="240" y2="110" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="3"/>
<text x="10" y="128" fill="#c00">NU (semnal de vânzare): close sub</text>
<text x="10" y="142" fill="#c00">linie — violare confirmată</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 420 180" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#188a3e">DA: low 99.80 sub linie, dar close</text>
<text x="10" y="29" fill="#188a3e">100.15 deasupra — nu e violare</text>
<line x1="10" y1="50" x2="400" y2="88" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="405" y="92" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">suport 99.9x</text>
<line x1="70" y1="30" x2="70" y2="78" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="62" y="38" width="16" height="14" fill="#188a3e"/>
<line x1="290" y1="65" x2="290" y2="120" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="282" y="95" width="16" height="18" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="170" y="150" fill="#c00">NU (semnal de vânzare): close 99.40</text>
<text x="170" y="164" fill="#c00">sub linie (99.55) — violare confirmată</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Linia din uptrend, o dată violată, devine adesea rezistență (rol invers) —
un retest tipic al liniei rupte confirmă schimbarea de trend, exact cum
@@ -208,28 +210,28 @@ candelei devine trail, ieși pe close deasupra lui).</p>
<p><strong>Bull trail — stop-ul urcă treaptă cu treaptă (extensia exemplului de la Metoda 4):</strong></p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 400 200" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:400px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,150 80,120 140,95 200,70 260,50 320,90" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<polyline points="20,150 80,120 140,95 200,70 260,50 320,115" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="80" cy="120" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="15" y="138" fill="#188a3e">entry 138.23</text>
<line x1="80" y1="130" x2="200" y2="130" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="85" y="145" fill="#1a5fb4">trail 1: 137.85</text>
<line x1="200" y1="105" x2="320" y2="105" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="205" y="120" fill="#1a5fb4">trail 2: 138.30</text>
<circle cx="320" cy="90" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="245" y="70" fill="#c00">close sub 138.30 → exit</text>
<text x="205" y="98" fill="#1a5fb4">trail 2: 138.30</text>
<circle cx="320" cy="115" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="230" y="140" fill="#c00">close sub 138.30 → exit</text>
</svg></p>
<p><strong>Bear trail — stop-ul coboară treaptă cu treaptă (exemplu construit, direcție short):</strong></p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 400 210" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:400px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,60 80,90 140,110 200,140 260,165 320,125" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<polyline points="20,60 80,90 140,110 200,140 260,165 320,95" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="80" cy="90" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="15" y="35" fill="#c00">entry short 100.00</text>
<line x1="80" y1="75" x2="200" y2="75" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="85" y="70" fill="#1a5fb4">trail 1: 100.60</text>
<line x1="200" y1="105" x2="320" y2="105" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="205" y="100" fill="#1a5fb4">trail 2: 99.80</text>
<circle cx="320" cy="125" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="245" y="150" fill="#188a3e">close peste 99.80 → exit</text>
<text x="205" y="120" fill="#1a5fb4">trail 2: 99.80</text>
<circle cx="320" cy="95" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="220" y="80" fill="#188a3e">close peste 99.80 → exit</text>
</svg></p>
<p><strong>Bull reversal / bear reversal</strong> — nu un stop, ci un semnal de forță.
<strong>Bull reversal</strong> = după un downtrend (unde stop-ul trail era deasupra

38
summaries/03_MODUL_2/07_determinare_trend.md
View File

@@ -20,7 +20,7 @@ trend) = o linie dreaptă care unește minim 2 swing lows (linie de suport,
într-un uptrend) sau minim 2 swing highs (linie de rezistență, într-un
downtrend).
<svg viewBox="0 0 200 90" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:200px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<svg viewBox="0 0 230 90" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:230px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<polyline points="10,70 40,55 70,68 100,35 130,50 160,20" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="40" cy="55" r="4" fill="#c00"/>
<circle cx="100" cy="35" r="4" fill="#c00"/>
@@ -67,15 +67,17 @@ nu doar atinge sau depășește linia cu fitilul (wick).
**Confirmare DA/NU — nu orice atingere a liniei e o violare:**
<svg viewBox="0 0 420 160" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#188a3e">DA: candelă cu low sub linie, dar</text>
<text x="10" y="29" fill="#188a3e">close deasupra — nu e violare</text>
<line x1="10" y1="45" x2="410" y2="80" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="12" y="40" fill="#1a5fb4">linie de suport</text>
<line x1="60" y1="25" x2="60" y2="60" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="3"/>
<line x1="240" y1="65" x2="240" y2="110" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="3"/>
<text x="10" y="128" fill="#c00">NU (semnal de vânzare): close sub</text>
<text x="10" y="142" fill="#c00">linie — violare confirmată</text>
<svg viewBox="0 0 420 180" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#188a3e">DA: low 99.80 sub linie, dar close</text>
<text x="10" y="29" fill="#188a3e">100.15 deasupra — nu e violare</text>
<line x1="10" y1="50" x2="400" y2="88" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="405" y="92" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">suport 99.9x</text>
<line x1="70" y1="30" x2="70" y2="78" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="62" y="38" width="16" height="14" fill="#188a3e"/>
<line x1="290" y1="65" x2="290" y2="120" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="282" y="95" width="16" height="18" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="170" y="150" fill="#c00">NU (semnal de vânzare): close 99.40</text>
<text x="170" y="164" fill="#c00">sub linie (99.55) — violare confirmată</text>
</svg>
Linia din uptrend, o dată violată, devine adesea rezistență (rol invers) —
@@ -218,30 +220,30 @@ candelei devine trail, ieși pe close deasupra lui).
<svg viewBox="0 0 400 200" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:400px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,150 80,120 140,95 200,70 260,50 320,90" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<polyline points="20,150 80,120 140,95 200,70 260,50 320,115" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="80" cy="120" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="15" y="138" fill="#188a3e">entry 138.23</text>
<line x1="80" y1="130" x2="200" y2="130" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="85" y="145" fill="#1a5fb4">trail 1: 137.85</text>
<line x1="200" y1="105" x2="320" y2="105" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="205" y="120" fill="#1a5fb4">trail 2: 138.30</text>
<circle cx="320" cy="90" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="245" y="70" fill="#c00">close sub 138.30 → exit</text>
<text x="205" y="98" fill="#1a5fb4">trail 2: 138.30</text>
<circle cx="320" cy="115" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="230" y="140" fill="#c00">close sub 138.30 → exit</text>
</svg>
**Bear trail — stop-ul coboară treaptă cu treaptă (exemplu construit, direcție short):**
<svg viewBox="0 0 400 210" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:400px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,60 80,90 140,110 200,140 260,165 320,125" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<polyline points="20,60 80,90 140,110 200,140 260,165 320,95" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="80" cy="90" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="15" y="35" fill="#c00">entry short 100.00</text>
<line x1="80" y1="75" x2="200" y2="75" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="85" y="70" fill="#1a5fb4">trail 1: 100.60</text>
<line x1="200" y1="105" x2="320" y2="105" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="205" y="100" fill="#1a5fb4">trail 2: 99.80</text>
<circle cx="320" cy="125" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="245" y="150" fill="#188a3e">close peste 99.80 → exit</text>
<text x="205" y="120" fill="#1a5fb4">trail 2: 99.80</text>
<circle cx="320" cy="95" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="220" y="80" fill="#188a3e">close peste 99.80 → exit</text>
</svg>
**Bull reversal / bear reversal** — nu un stop, ci un semnal de forță.

134
summaries/03_MODUL_2/08_volumul_sangele_pietei.html
View File

@@ -49,12 +49,12 @@ Nu spune dacă acumularea de volum crește sau scade în timp, care e chiar
întrebarea utilă pentru un trade.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 300 140" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:320px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="10" y1="120" x2="280" y2="120" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1"/>
<rect x="40" y="55" width="30" height="65" fill="#888"/>
<rect x="40" y="66.3" width="30" height="53.7" fill="#888"/>
<text x="20" y="135" fill="#666">bară normală</text>
<rect x="110" y="20" width="30" height="100" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="90" y="14" fill="#c00">121% — bara cu doji</text>
<line x1="10" y1="55" x2="280" y2="55" stroke="#333" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="185" y="50" fill="#333">65% — average</text>
<line x1="10" y1="66.3" x2="280" y2="66.3" stroke="#333" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="185" y="61.3" fill="#333">65% — average</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Vezi doar "azi e mult volum"; nu vezi dacă volumul, per total, se
acumulează sau se distribuie de mai multe candele încoace — de-aia lecția
@@ -65,7 +65,7 @@ cumulativă: adaugă volumul zilei dacă închiderea e mai sus decât precedenta
îl scade dacă e mai jos. Rezultatul e o linie care, la fel ca prețul, poate
face higher-highs/higher-lows (uptrend de volum) sau lower-highs/lower-lows
(downtrend de volum) — și care poate diverge de linia de preț.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 340 150" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:360px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 340 162" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:360px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">OBV ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,120 70,95 120,105 170,70 220,80 270,45" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="70" cy="95" r="4" fill="#188a3e"/>
@@ -74,7 +74,8 @@ face higher-highs/higher-lows (uptrend de volum) sau lower-highs/lower-lows
<text x="45" y="112" fill="#188a3e">higher low</text>
<text x="145" y="62" fill="#188a3e">higher low</text>
<text x="245" y="35" fill="#188a3e">higher high</text>
<text x="20" y="140" fill="#333">trend de volum ascendent — la fel ca la preț, se citesc higher/lower</text>
<text x="20" y="138" fill="#333">trend de volum ascendent — la fel ca la preț,</text>
<text x="20" y="153" fill="#333">se citesc higher/lower</text>
</svg></p>
<h2 id="varianta-din-curs-volum-h-obv-modificat-medie-mobila-histograma">Varianta din curs — "Volum H" (OBV modificat + medie mobilă + histogramă)</h2>
<p>Indicatorul folosit efectiv în mentorat (parte din curriculumul avansat) e o
@@ -96,7 +97,7 @@ traversează linia de 0.</p>
<polyline points="20,80 80,65 140,50 200,35 260,20" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
<polyline points="20,55 80,53 140,52 200,50 260,48" fill="none" stroke="#c26ba0" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
<circle cx="140" cy="51" r="4" fill="#333"/>
<text x="100" y="40" fill="#333">crossing verde peste MA = acumulare</text>
<text x="95" y="72" fill="#333">crossing verde peste MA = acumulare</text>
<line x1="10" y1="140" x2="390" y2="140" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="130" fill="#666">0</text>
<rect x="35" y="140" width="20" height="18" fill="#d08a1e"/>
@@ -111,17 +112,17 @@ alta (ex. -44.929 apoi -7.526), înseamnă că distribuția slăbește — volum
se acumulează încet, chiar dacă prețul încă face un minim nou și histograma
e tehnic tot sub 0. Nu ai nevoie ca bara să treacă peste 0 ca să vezi
acumulare — ai nevoie doar ca ea să se scurteze constant.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 260 165" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:260px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 260 178" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:260px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<line x1="10" y1="30" x2="250" y2="30" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="215" y="25" fill="#666">0</text>
<rect x="30" y="30" width="25" height="85" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="10" y="128" fill="#d08a1e">-44.929</text>
<rect x="90" y="30" width="25" height="50" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="70" y="93" fill="#d08a1e">-25.000</text>
<rect x="150" y="30" width="25" height="15" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="130" y="58" fill="#d08a1e">-7.526</text>
<text x="10" y="140" fill="#333">3 candele: distribuția se scurtează —</text>
<text x="10" y="155" fill="#333">acumulare tăcută, deși încă sub 0</text>
<rect x="90" y="30" width="25" height="47.3" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="70" y="90.3" fill="#d08a1e">-25.000</text>
<rect x="150" y="30" width="25" height="14.2" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="130" y="57.2" fill="#d08a1e">-7.526</text>
<text x="10" y="145" fill="#333">3 candele: distribuția se scurtează —</text>
<text x="10" y="160" fill="#333">acumulare tăcută, deși încă sub 0</text>
</svg></p>
<h2 id="divergenta-pretvolum-aplicata-cu-acest-indicator">Divergență preț/volum aplicată cu acest indicator</h2>
<p>Mecanismul divergenței preț/volum (de ce mai puțină "presiune" reală care
@@ -146,10 +147,10 @@ preț.</p>
<text x="215" y="165" fill="#c00">low B (mai jos)</text>
<line x1="10" y1="200" x2="370" y2="200" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="192" fill="#666">histogramă 0</text>
<rect x="150" y="200" width="20" height="38" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="128" y="250" fill="#d08a1e">-31.500 (la A)</text>
<rect x="220" y="200" width="20" height="10" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="198" y="222" fill="#188a3e">-6.200 (la B) — mai scurtă</text>
<rect x="150" y="200" width="20" height="40" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="128" y="253" fill="#d08a1e">-31.500 (la A)</text>
<rect x="220" y="200" width="20" height="7.9" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="198" y="221" fill="#188a3e">-6.200 (la B) — mai scurtă</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Prețul face minim nou (B sub A), dar bara de distribuție la B e mult mai
scurtă decât la A — vânzarea reală s-a stins. Aștepți trigger-ul de preț
@@ -164,10 +165,10 @@ scurtă decât la A — vânzarea reală s-a stins. Aștepți trigger-ul de pre
<text x="215" y="165" fill="#c00">low B (mai jos)</text>
<line x1="10" y1="200" x2="370" y2="200" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="192" fill="#666">histogramă 0</text>
<rect x="150" y="200" width="20" height="28" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="128" y="250" fill="#d08a1e">-22.000 (la A)</text>
<rect x="150" y="200" width="20" height="26.4" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="128" y="239" fill="#d08a1e">-22.000 (la A)</text>
<rect x="220" y="200" width="20" height="42" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="196" y="265" fill="#c00">-35.000 (la B) — mai adâncă</text>
<text x="196" y="255" fill="#c00">-35.000 (la B) — mai adâncă</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Bara la B e mai adâncă decât la A — vânzarea reală s-a intensificat odată cu
prețul, nicio divergență. Cumperi aici pe simplul fapt că "e la suport" ar
@@ -187,20 +188,33 @@ sus. "DA" = histogramă din ce în ce mai scurtă + candelă de confirmare +
break peste high-ul ei. "NU" = histogramă din ce în ce mai adâncă, indiferent
cât de "aproape de suport" arată prețul.</p>
<h3 id="exemplu-1-long-btcusd-weekly-acumulare-la-suport">Exemplu 1 — long, BTCUSD (weekly), acumulare la suport</h3>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 440 320" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="10,54 90,232 150,190 230,284 280,270 320,260 400,136" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="10" y="70" fill="#999">downtrend anterior</text>
<circle cx="90" cy="232" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="60" y="222" fill="#333">A: 17.500</text>
<circle cx="230" cy="284" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="200" y="300" fill="#c00">B: 15.600 (nou minim)</text>
<circle cx="320" cy="260" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="245" y="245" fill="#1a5fb4">breakout / intrare 16.450</text>
<line x1="10" y1="287.7" x2="440" y2="287.7" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="345" y="300" fill="#888">15.450 — SL</text>
<line x1="10" y1="135.8" x2="440" y2="135.8" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="345" y="130" fill="#188a3e">21.000 — TP1</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 560 456" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="323.1" x2="546" y2="323.1" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="532" y="317.1" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">15.45 — SL</text>
<line x1="24" y1="90.0" x2="546" y2="90.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="532" y="84.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">21.00 — TP1</text>
<polyline points="24,153.2 52,199.2" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="141.2" fill="#999">downtrend anterior</text>
<line x1="60" y1="199.2" x2="60" y2="237.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="47" y="203.4" width="26" height="25.2" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="60" y="341.1" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A</text>
<line x1="155" y1="226.5" x2="155" y2="266.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="142" y="228.6" width="26" height="29.4" fill="#c00"/>
<line x1="250" y1="253.8" x2="250" y2="316.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="237" y="258.0" width="26" height="46.2" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="250" y="341.1" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B</text>
<line x1="345" y1="293.7" x2="345" y2="310.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="332" y="295.8" width="26" height="8.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="345" y="341.1" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare</text>
<line x1="440" y1="279.0" x2="440" y2="297.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="427" y="281.1" width="26" height="14.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="440" y="341.1" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">entry 16.45</text>
<line x1="24" y1="363.1" x2="546" y2="363.1" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="357.1" fill="#666">volum (histograma % schimbare)</text>
<rect x="46" y="363.1" width="28" height="68.4" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="60" y="444.5" fill="#d08a1e" text-anchor="middle">-38%</text>
<rect x="236" y="363.1" width="28" height="16.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="250" y="392.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle">-9% (stins)</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Histograma: la A (17.500) distribuție -38% față de candela precedentă; la B
(15.600, minim nou de preț) distribuție doar -9% — vânzarea reală s-a
@@ -211,20 +225,30 @@ intrare la break-ul peste high-ul ei, <strong>16.450 long</strong>. Stop-loss <s
<strong>21.000</strong> (rezistența anterioară dinaintea căderii). Risc 1.000, recompensă
4.550 → risc/recompensă ~1:4.5.</p>
<h3 id="exemplu-2-short-spy-daily-distributie-la-rezistenta">Exemplu 2 — short, SPY (daily), distribuție la rezistență</h3>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 400 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="10,217 60,144 110,196 170,71 220,113 260,134 340,248" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="10" y="30" fill="#999">uptrend anterior</text>
<circle cx="60" cy="144" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="30" y="134" fill="#333">A: 455</text>
<circle cx="170" cy="71" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="150" y="58" fill="#c00">B: 462 (maxim nou)</text>
<circle cx="260" cy="134" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="190" y="150" fill="#1a5fb4">break sub 456 — intrare 455.80 short</text>
<line x1="10" y1="58.7" x2="390" y2="58.7" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="300" y="52" fill="#888">463.20 — SL</text>
<line x1="10" y1="248" x2="390" y2="248" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="300" y="262" fill="#188a3e">445 — TP1</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 520 335" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="506" y2="34.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="492" y="28.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">463.20 — SL</text>
<line x1="24" y1="143.2" x2="506" y2="143.2" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="492" y="137.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">445 — TP1</text>
<polyline points="24,156.2 52,110.2" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="176.2" fill="#999">uptrend anterior</text>
<line x1="60" y1="80.2" x2="60" y2="110.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="47" y="83.2" width="26" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="60" y="223.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A</text>
<line x1="160" y1="59.2" x2="160" y2="89.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="147" y="65.2" width="26" height="18.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<line x1="260" y1="41.2" x2="260" y2="72.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="247" y="65.2" width="26" height="6.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="260" y="223.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B</text>
<line x1="360" y1="64.0" x2="360" y2="80.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="347" y="65.2" width="26" height="13.2" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="360" y="223.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">entry 455.80</text>
<line x1="24" y1="245.2" x2="506" y2="245.2" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="239.2" fill="#666">volum (histograma % schimbare)</text>
<rect x="46" y="245.2" width="28" height="65.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="60" y="323.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle">+25%</text>
<rect x="246" y="245.2" width="28" height="15.6" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="260" y="273.8" fill="#d08a1e" text-anchor="middle">+6% (slăbit)</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Histograma: la A (455) acumulare +25% (rally susținut real); la B (462,
maxim nou) acumulare doar +6% — cumpărarea reală se subțiază, iar linia
@@ -236,6 +260,20 @@ consolidarea anterioară). Risc 7.40, recompensă 10.80 → risc/recompensă
~1:1.5 — mai slab ca la exemplul 1, nu presupune același raport de fiecare
dată.</p>
<h3 id="exemplu-3-esec-acumulare-aparenta-care-nu-s-a-confirmat-nu-intri">Exemplu 3 — eșec: acumulare aparentă care nu s-a confirmat (nu intri)</h3>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 260 172" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:260px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<line x1="10" y1="30" x2="250" y2="30" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="215" y="25" fill="#666">0</text>
<rect x="20" y="30" width="25" height="78.3" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="6" y="121.3" fill="#d08a1e">-40%</text>
<rect x="75" y="30" width="25" height="76.3" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="61" y="119.3" fill="#d08a1e">-39%</text>
<rect x="130" y="30" width="25" height="72.4" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="116" y="115.4" fill="#d08a1e">-37%</text>
<rect x="190" y="30" width="25" height="90.0" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="176" y="133" fill="#c00">-46%</text>
<text x="10" y="152" fill="#333">3 bare aproape egale, apoi una mult mai</text>
<text x="10" y="165" fill="#333">adâncă — scurtarea nu s-a confirmat</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Pe Boeing (weekly), la un minim aproape de suport, distribuția părea să se
scurteze (-40% apoi -39% apoi -37%, deci minim, aproape la fel) — suficient
de aproape încât, la prima vedere, să pară acumulare care începe. Dar

136
summaries/03_MODUL_2/08_volumul_sangele_pietei.md
View File

@@ -34,12 +34,12 @@ Nu spune dacă acumularea de volum crește sau scade în timp, care e chiar
<svg viewBox="0 0 300 140" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:320px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="10" y1="120" x2="280" y2="120" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1"/>
<rect x="40" y="55" width="30" height="65" fill="#888"/>
<rect x="40" y="66.3" width="30" height="53.7" fill="#888"/>
<text x="20" y="135" fill="#666">bară normală</text>
<rect x="110" y="20" width="30" height="100" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="90" y="14" fill="#c00">121% — bara cu doji</text>
<line x1="10" y1="55" x2="280" y2="55" stroke="#333" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="185" y="50" fill="#333">65% — average</text>
<line x1="10" y1="66.3" x2="280" y2="66.3" stroke="#333" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="185" y="61.3" fill="#333">65% — average</text>
</svg>
Vezi doar "azi e mult volum"; nu vezi dacă volumul, per total, se
@@ -53,7 +53,7 @@ cumulativă: adaugă volumul zilei dacă închiderea e mai sus decât precedenta
face higher-highs/higher-lows (uptrend de volum) sau lower-highs/lower-lows
(downtrend de volum) — și care poate diverge de linia de preț.
<svg viewBox="0 0 340 150" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:360px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<svg viewBox="0 0 340 162" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:360px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">OBV ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,120 70,95 120,105 170,70 220,80 270,45" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="70" cy="95" r="4" fill="#188a3e"/>
@@ -62,7 +62,8 @@ face higher-highs/higher-lows (uptrend de volum) sau lower-highs/lower-lows
<text x="45" y="112" fill="#188a3e">higher low</text>
<text x="145" y="62" fill="#188a3e">higher low</text>
<text x="245" y="35" fill="#188a3e">higher high</text>
<text x="20" y="140" fill="#333">trend de volum ascendent — la fel ca la preț, se citesc higher/lower</text>
<text x="20" y="138" fill="#333">trend de volum ascendent — la fel ca la preț,</text>
<text x="20" y="153" fill="#333">se citesc higher/lower</text>
</svg>
## Varianta din curs — "Volum H" (OBV modificat + medie mobilă + histogramă)
@@ -87,7 +88,7 @@ traversează linia de 0.
<polyline points="20,80 80,65 140,50 200,35 260,20" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
<polyline points="20,55 80,53 140,52 200,50 260,48" fill="none" stroke="#c26ba0" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
<circle cx="140" cy="51" r="4" fill="#333"/>
<text x="100" y="40" fill="#333">crossing verde peste MA = acumulare</text>
<text x="95" y="72" fill="#333">crossing verde peste MA = acumulare</text>
<line x1="10" y1="140" x2="390" y2="140" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="130" fill="#666">0</text>
<rect x="35" y="140" width="20" height="18" fill="#d08a1e"/>
@@ -104,17 +105,17 @@ se acumulează încet, chiar dacă prețul încă face un minim nou și histogra
e tehnic tot sub 0. Nu ai nevoie ca bara să treacă peste 0 ca să vezi
acumulare — ai nevoie doar ca ea să se scurteze constant.
<svg viewBox="0 0 260 165" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:260px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<svg viewBox="0 0 260 178" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:260px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<line x1="10" y1="30" x2="250" y2="30" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="215" y="25" fill="#666">0</text>
<rect x="30" y="30" width="25" height="85" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="10" y="128" fill="#d08a1e">-44.929</text>
<rect x="90" y="30" width="25" height="50" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="70" y="93" fill="#d08a1e">-25.000</text>
<rect x="150" y="30" width="25" height="15" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="130" y="58" fill="#d08a1e">-7.526</text>
<text x="10" y="140" fill="#333">3 candele: distribuția se scurtează —</text>
<text x="10" y="155" fill="#333">acumulare tăcută, deși încă sub 0</text>
<rect x="90" y="30" width="25" height="47.3" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="70" y="90.3" fill="#d08a1e">-25.000</text>
<rect x="150" y="30" width="25" height="14.2" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="130" y="57.2" fill="#d08a1e">-7.526</text>
<text x="10" y="145" fill="#333">3 candele: distribuția se scurtează —</text>
<text x="10" y="160" fill="#333">acumulare tăcută, deși încă sub 0</text>
</svg>
## Divergență preț/volum aplicată cu acest indicator
@@ -143,10 +144,10 @@ preț.
<text x="215" y="165" fill="#c00">low B (mai jos)</text>
<line x1="10" y1="200" x2="370" y2="200" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="192" fill="#666">histogramă 0</text>
<rect x="150" y="200" width="20" height="38" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="128" y="250" fill="#d08a1e">-31.500 (la A)</text>
<rect x="220" y="200" width="20" height="10" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="198" y="222" fill="#188a3e">-6.200 (la B) — mai scurtă</text>
<rect x="150" y="200" width="20" height="40" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="128" y="253" fill="#d08a1e">-31.500 (la A)</text>
<rect x="220" y="200" width="20" height="7.9" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="198" y="221" fill="#188a3e">-6.200 (la B) — mai scurtă</text>
</svg>
Prețul face minim nou (B sub A), dar bara de distribuție la B e mult mai
@@ -164,10 +165,10 @@ scurtă decât la A — vânzarea reală s-a stins. Aștepți trigger-ul de pre
<text x="215" y="165" fill="#c00">low B (mai jos)</text>
<line x1="10" y1="200" x2="370" y2="200" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="192" fill="#666">histogramă 0</text>
<rect x="150" y="200" width="20" height="28" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="128" y="250" fill="#d08a1e">-22.000 (la A)</text>
<rect x="150" y="200" width="20" height="26.4" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="128" y="239" fill="#d08a1e">-22.000 (la A)</text>
<rect x="220" y="200" width="20" height="42" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="196" y="265" fill="#c00">-35.000 (la B) — mai adâncă</text>
<text x="196" y="255" fill="#c00">-35.000 (la B) — mai adâncă</text>
</svg>
Bara la B e mai adâncă decât la A — vânzarea reală s-a intensificat odată cu
@@ -194,20 +195,33 @@ cât de "aproape de suport" arată prețul.
### Exemplu 1 — long, BTCUSD (weekly), acumulare la suport
<svg viewBox="0 0 440 320" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="10,54 90,232 150,190 230,284 280,270 320,260 400,136" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="10" y="70" fill="#999">downtrend anterior</text>
<circle cx="90" cy="232" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="60" y="222" fill="#333">A: 17.500</text>
<circle cx="230" cy="284" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="200" y="300" fill="#c00">B: 15.600 (nou minim)</text>
<circle cx="320" cy="260" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="245" y="245" fill="#1a5fb4">breakout / intrare 16.450</text>
<line x1="10" y1="287.7" x2="440" y2="287.7" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="345" y="300" fill="#888">15.450 — SL</text>
<line x1="10" y1="135.8" x2="440" y2="135.8" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="345" y="130" fill="#188a3e">21.000 — TP1</text>
<svg viewBox="0 0 560 456" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="323.1" x2="546" y2="323.1" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="532" y="317.1" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">15.45 — SL</text>
<line x1="24" y1="90.0" x2="546" y2="90.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="532" y="84.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">21.00 — TP1</text>
<polyline points="24,153.2 52,199.2" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="141.2" fill="#999">downtrend anterior</text>
<line x1="60" y1="199.2" x2="60" y2="237.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="47" y="203.4" width="26" height="25.2" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="60" y="341.1" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A</text>
<line x1="155" y1="226.5" x2="155" y2="266.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="142" y="228.6" width="26" height="29.4" fill="#c00"/>
<line x1="250" y1="253.8" x2="250" y2="316.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="237" y="258.0" width="26" height="46.2" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="250" y="341.1" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B</text>
<line x1="345" y1="293.7" x2="345" y2="310.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="332" y="295.8" width="26" height="8.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="345" y="341.1" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare</text>
<line x1="440" y1="279.0" x2="440" y2="297.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="427" y="281.1" width="26" height="14.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="440" y="341.1" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">entry 16.45</text>
<line x1="24" y1="363.1" x2="546" y2="363.1" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="357.1" fill="#666">volum (histograma % schimbare)</text>
<rect x="46" y="363.1" width="28" height="68.4" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="60" y="444.5" fill="#d08a1e" text-anchor="middle">-38%</text>
<rect x="236" y="363.1" width="28" height="16.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="250" y="392.3" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle">-9% (stins)</text>
</svg>
Histograma: la A (17.500) distribuție -38% față de candela precedentă; la B
@@ -221,20 +235,30 @@ intrare la break-ul peste high-ul ei, **16.450 long**. Stop-loss **15.450**
### Exemplu 2 — short, SPY (daily), distribuție la rezistență
<svg viewBox="0 0 400 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:420px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="10,217 60,144 110,196 170,71 220,113 260,134 340,248" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="10" y="30" fill="#999">uptrend anterior</text>
<circle cx="60" cy="144" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="30" y="134" fill="#333">A: 455</text>
<circle cx="170" cy="71" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="150" y="58" fill="#c00">B: 462 (maxim nou)</text>
<circle cx="260" cy="134" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="190" y="150" fill="#1a5fb4">break sub 456 — intrare 455.80 short</text>
<line x1="10" y1="58.7" x2="390" y2="58.7" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="300" y="52" fill="#888">463.20 — SL</text>
<line x1="10" y1="248" x2="390" y2="248" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="300" y="262" fill="#188a3e">445 — TP1</text>
<svg viewBox="0 0 520 335" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="506" y2="34.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="492" y="28.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">463.20 — SL</text>
<line x1="24" y1="143.2" x2="506" y2="143.2" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="492" y="137.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">445 — TP1</text>
<polyline points="24,156.2 52,110.2" fill="none" stroke="#999" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="24" y="176.2" fill="#999">uptrend anterior</text>
<line x1="60" y1="80.2" x2="60" y2="110.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="47" y="83.2" width="26" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="60" y="223.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A</text>
<line x1="160" y1="59.2" x2="160" y2="89.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="147" y="65.2" width="26" height="18.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<line x1="260" y1="41.2" x2="260" y2="72.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="247" y="65.2" width="26" height="6.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="260" y="223.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B</text>
<line x1="360" y1="64.0" x2="360" y2="80.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5"/>
<rect x="347" y="65.2" width="26" height="13.2" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="360" y="223.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">entry 455.80</text>
<line x1="24" y1="245.2" x2="506" y2="245.2" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="8" y="239.2" fill="#666">volum (histograma % schimbare)</text>
<rect x="46" y="245.2" width="28" height="65.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="60" y="323.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle">+25%</text>
<rect x="246" y="245.2" width="28" height="15.6" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="260" y="273.8" fill="#d08a1e" text-anchor="middle">+6% (slăbit)</text>
</svg>
Histograma: la A (455) acumulare +25% (rally susținut real); la B (462,
@@ -248,6 +272,22 @@ consolidarea anterioară). Risc 7.40, recompensă 10.80 → risc/recompensă
dată.
### Exemplu 3 — eșec: acumulare aparentă care nu s-a confirmat (nu intri)
<svg viewBox="0 0 260 172" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:260px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
<line x1="10" y1="30" x2="250" y2="30" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="215" y="25" fill="#666">0</text>
<rect x="20" y="30" width="25" height="78.3" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="6" y="121.3" fill="#d08a1e">-40%</text>
<rect x="75" y="30" width="25" height="76.3" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="61" y="119.3" fill="#d08a1e">-39%</text>
<rect x="130" y="30" width="25" height="72.4" fill="#d08a1e"/>
<text x="116" y="115.4" fill="#d08a1e">-37%</text>
<rect x="190" y="30" width="25" height="90.0" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="176" y="133" fill="#c00">-46%</text>
<text x="10" y="152" fill="#333">3 bare aproape egale, apoi una mult mai</text>
<text x="10" y="165" fill="#333">adâncă — scurtarea nu s-a confirmat</text>
</svg>
Pe Boeing (weekly), la un minim aproape de suport, distribuția părea să se
scurteze (-40% apoi -39% apoi -37%, deci minim, aproape la fel) — suficient
de aproape încât, la prima vedere, să pară acumulare care începe. Dar

35
summaries/03_MODUL_2/09_indicatorul_power.html
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@@ -158,9 +158,9 @@ la fel ca la orice set-up.</p>
<circle cx="345" cy="130" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="270" y="160" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 1.0861</text>
<text x="270" y="173" fill="#1a5fb4">(break peste high trigger)</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="40" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="225" y="28" fill="#188a3e">TP 1.0925 — rezistența</text>
<text x="225" y="41" fill="#188a3e">anterioară</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="27" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="225" y="40" fill="#188a3e">TP 1.0925 — rezistența</text>
<text x="225" y="53" fill="#188a3e">anterioară</text>
<line x1="170" y1="128" x2="170" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="270" y1="165" x2="270" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="10" y1="210" x2="450" y2="210" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
@@ -171,7 +171,7 @@ la fel ca la orice set-up.</p>
<text x="140" y="368" fill="#c00">A: -1.4 (cadranul 4)</text>
<rect x="255" y="310" width="30" height="16" fill="#e05fd0"/>
<text x="248" y="340" fill="#c025b0">B: -0.5 (cadranul 2)</text>
<text x="248" y="352" fill="#c025b0">higher low = divergență bull</text>
<text x="248" y="354" fill="#c025b0">higher low = divergență bull</text>
<polyline points="170,318 270,346" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30" y="400" fill="#333">- - - MA a histogramei Power</text>
</svg></p>
@@ -194,17 +194,17 @@ recoboară acolo, divergența e invalidată). Take-profit <strong>1.0925</strong
<text x="130" y="80" fill="#c00">A: 116.80</text>
<circle cx="270" cy="50" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="215" y="65" fill="#c00">B: 117.90 (maxim nou)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="35" x2="440" y2="35" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="20" y="28" fill="#888">SL 118.30</text>
<line x1="20" y1="67" x2="440" y2="67" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="20" y="60" fill="#888">SL 118.30</text>
<rect x="313" y="86" width="10" height="16" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="150" y="160" fill="#c00">trigger: candelă bearish</text>
<text x="150" y="173" fill="#c00">confirmare 116.90</text>
<circle cx="345" cy="100" r="5" fill="#1a1a1a"/>
<text x="270" y="118" fill="#1a1a1a">entry short 116.40</text>
<text x="270" y="131" fill="#1a1a1a">(break sub low trigger)</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="185" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="300" y="170" fill="#188a3e">TP 111.00 — suport</text>
<text x="300" y="183" fill="#188a3e">anterior</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="194" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="300" y="179" fill="#188a3e">TP 111.00 — suport</text>
<text x="300" y="192" fill="#188a3e">anterior</text>
<line x1="170" y1="90" x2="170" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="270" y1="50" x2="270" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="10" y1="210" x2="450" y2="210" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
@@ -215,7 +215,7 @@ recoboară acolo, divergența e invalidată). Take-profit <strong>1.0925</strong
<text x="140" y="250" fill="#1a5fb4">A: +1.6 (cadranul 1)</text>
<rect x="255" y="290" width="30" height="20" fill="#0d3868"/>
<text x="248" y="335" fill="#0d3868">B: +0.6 (cadranul 3)</text>
<text x="248" y="347" fill="#0d3868">lower high = divergență bear</text>
<text x="248" y="349" fill="#0d3868">lower high = divergență bear</text>
<polyline points="170,278 270,274" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30" y="400" fill="#333">- - - MA a histogramei Power</text>
</svg></p>
@@ -225,11 +225,12 @@ nou), Power scade la +0.6 și trece sub propriul MA — cadranul 3,
înrăutățire — deși prețul a urcat mai sus. Divergență bear. Confirmare:
candelă bearish, închide la 116.90. Intrare <strong>short 116.40</strong> (break sub
low-ul candelei). Stop-loss <strong>118.30</strong> (peste B). Take-profit <strong>111.00</strong>
(suportul anterior). Risc 5.90, recompensă 5.40 — notă: risc/recompensă sub
1:1 aici pentru că stop-loss-ul e departe de rezistență; în practică ai
reduce stop-ul cu un nivel mai apropiat sau ai sări trade-ul dacă
risc/recompensă nu iese, exact genul de decizie pe care Power singur nu o
ia în locul tău.</p>
(suportul anterior). Risc 1.90 (118.30 − 116.40), recompensă 5.40 (116.40 −
111.00) → risc/recompensă ≈ 1:2.8 — un stop strâns, chiar deasupra
rezistenței sparte, e ce face raportul favorabil aici; dacă stop-loss-ul
ar fi trebuit plasat mult mai departe de rezistență (de ex. peste un swing
high mai vechi), raportul s-ar deteriora rapid, exact genul de calcul pe
care Power singur nu-l face în locul tău.</p>
<h3 id="exemplu-3-folosirea-power-ca-semnal-de-marcare-partiala-de-profit">Exemplu 3 — folosirea Power ca semnal de marcare parțială de profit</h3>
<p>Cursul descrie explicit acest caz (transcriere, liniile 98-104): ești deja
<strong>long</strong> dintr-un trade anterior; nu ai nevoie de un semnal nou de intrare,
@@ -254,8 +255,8 @@ cunoscută.</p>
<rect x="280" y="255" width="30" height="15" fill="#0d3868"/>
<text x="265" y="290" fill="#0d3868">cadranul 3</text>
<polyline points="75,250 295,258" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="330" y="245" fill="#c00">← aici marchezi profit,</text>
<text x="330" y="258" fill="#c00">nu ieși din tot trade-ul</text>
<text x="300" y="245" fill="#c00">← aici marchezi profit,</text>
<text x="300" y="258" fill="#c00">nu ieși din tot trade-ul</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Intrare inițială long 100.00. Prețul urcă, Power stă în cadranul 1 tot
drumul — nimic de făcut, lași profitul să curgă. Când prețul se apropie de

35
summaries/03_MODUL_2/09_indicatorul_power.md
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@@ -154,9 +154,9 @@ la fel ca la orice set-up.
<circle cx="345" cy="130" r="5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="270" y="160" fill="#1a5fb4">entry 1.0861</text>
<text x="270" y="173" fill="#1a5fb4">(break peste high trigger)</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="40" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="225" y="28" fill="#188a3e">TP 1.0925 — rezistența</text>
<text x="225" y="41" fill="#188a3e">anterioară</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="27" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="225" y="40" fill="#188a3e">TP 1.0925 — rezistența</text>
<text x="225" y="53" fill="#188a3e">anterioară</text>
<line x1="170" y1="128" x2="170" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="270" y1="165" x2="270" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="10" y1="210" x2="450" y2="210" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
@@ -167,7 +167,7 @@ la fel ca la orice set-up.
<text x="140" y="368" fill="#c00">A: -1.4 (cadranul 4)</text>
<rect x="255" y="310" width="30" height="16" fill="#e05fd0"/>
<text x="248" y="340" fill="#c025b0">B: -0.5 (cadranul 2)</text>
<text x="248" y="352" fill="#c025b0">higher low = divergență bull</text>
<text x="248" y="354" fill="#c025b0">higher low = divergență bull</text>
<polyline points="170,318 270,346" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30" y="400" fill="#333">- - - MA a histogramei Power</text>
</svg>
@@ -193,17 +193,17 @@ recoboară acolo, divergența e invalidată). Take-profit **1.0925**
<text x="130" y="80" fill="#c00">A: 116.80</text>
<circle cx="270" cy="50" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="215" y="65" fill="#c00">B: 117.90 (maxim nou)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="35" x2="440" y2="35" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="20" y="28" fill="#888">SL 118.30</text>
<line x1="20" y1="67" x2="440" y2="67" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="20" y="60" fill="#888">SL 118.30</text>
<rect x="313" y="86" width="10" height="16" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="150" y="160" fill="#c00">trigger: candelă bearish</text>
<text x="150" y="173" fill="#c00">confirmare 116.90</text>
<circle cx="345" cy="100" r="5" fill="#1a1a1a"/>
<text x="270" y="118" fill="#1a1a1a">entry short 116.40</text>
<text x="270" y="131" fill="#1a1a1a">(break sub low trigger)</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="185" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="300" y="170" fill="#188a3e">TP 111.00 — suport</text>
<text x="300" y="183" fill="#188a3e">anterior</text>
<circle cx="420" cy="194" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="300" y="179" fill="#188a3e">TP 111.00 — suport</text>
<text x="300" y="192" fill="#188a3e">anterior</text>
<line x1="170" y1="90" x2="170" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="270" y1="50" x2="270" y2="405" stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<line x1="10" y1="210" x2="450" y2="210" stroke="#999" stroke-width="1"/>
@@ -214,7 +214,7 @@ recoboară acolo, divergența e invalidată). Take-profit **1.0925**
<text x="140" y="250" fill="#1a5fb4">A: +1.6 (cadranul 1)</text>
<rect x="255" y="290" width="30" height="20" fill="#0d3868"/>
<text x="248" y="335" fill="#0d3868">B: +0.6 (cadranul 3)</text>
<text x="248" y="347" fill="#0d3868">lower high = divergență bear</text>
<text x="248" y="349" fill="#0d3868">lower high = divergență bear</text>
<polyline points="170,278 270,274" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30" y="400" fill="#333">- - - MA a histogramei Power</text>
</svg>
@@ -225,11 +225,12 @@ nou), Power scade la +0.6 și trece sub propriul MA — cadranul 3,
înrăutățire — deși prețul a urcat mai sus. Divergență bear. Confirmare:
candelă bearish, închide la 116.90. Intrare **short 116.40** (break sub
low-ul candelei). Stop-loss **118.30** (peste B). Take-profit **111.00**
(suportul anterior). Risc 5.90, recompensă 5.40 — notă: risc/recompensă sub
1:1 aici pentru că stop-loss-ul e departe de rezistență; în practică ai
reduce stop-ul cu un nivel mai apropiat sau ai sări trade-ul dacă
risc/recompensă nu iese, exact genul de decizie pe care Power singur nu o
ia în locul tău.
(suportul anterior). Risc 1.90 (118.30 − 116.40), recompensă 5.40 (116.40 −
111.00) → risc/recompensă ≈ 1:2.8 — un stop strâns, chiar deasupra
rezistenței sparte, e ce face raportul favorabil aici; dacă stop-loss-ul
ar fi trebuit plasat mult mai departe de rezistență (de ex. peste un swing
high mai vechi), raportul s-ar deteriora rapid, exact genul de calcul pe
care Power singur nu-l face în locul tău.
### Exemplu 3 — folosirea Power ca semnal de marcare parțială de profit
Cursul descrie explicit acest caz (transcriere, liniile 98-104): ești deja
@@ -256,8 +257,8 @@ cunoscută.
<rect x="280" y="255" width="30" height="15" fill="#0d3868"/>
<text x="265" y="290" fill="#0d3868">cadranul 3</text>
<polyline points="75,250 295,258" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="330" y="245" fill="#c00">← aici marchezi profit,</text>
<text x="330" y="258" fill="#c00">nu ieși din tot trade-ul</text>
<text x="300" y="245" fill="#c00">← aici marchezi profit,</text>
<text x="300" y="258" fill="#c00">nu ieși din tot trade-ul</text>
</svg>
Intrare inițială long 100.00. Prețul urcă, Power stă în cadranul 1 tot

8
summaries/03_MODUL_2/10_buysell_momentum_trigger.html
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@@ -119,7 +119,7 @@ the rally</strong>.</p>
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,30 90,160 140,110 220,240" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="20" cy="30" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="10" y="22" fill="#c00">A: sell trigger 1.2740</text>
<text x="26" y="50" fill="#c00">A: sell trigger 1.2740</text>
<circle cx="90" cy="160" r="4" fill="#333"/>
<text x="60" y="180" fill="#333">B: 1.2680</text>
<line x1="15" y1="100" x2="240" y2="100" stroke="#7b52ab" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
@@ -237,9 +237,9 @@ rezistența nu mai ține). Take-profit <strong>106.00</strong> (suport anterior)
<text x="155" y="160" fill="#c00">C: retest 1.0858</text>
<text x="155" y="174" fill="#c00">— intrare aici</text>
<line x1="15" y1="236" x2="340" y2="236" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="155" y="252" fill="#c00">SL 1.0830 (sub ambele MA)</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="32" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="230" y="28" fill="#188a3e">D / TP 1.0920</text>
<text x="210" y="252" fill="#c00">SL 1.0830 (sub ambele MA)</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="21" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="230" y="17" fill="#188a3e">D / TP 1.0920</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Ai ratat săgeata de buy la A (1.0830). Prețul urcă la B (1.0890), apoi
revine spre punctul C, testează MA galben (1.0850) fără să închidă sub

8
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@@ -111,7 +111,7 @@ the rally**.
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">preț ↑</text>
<polyline points="20,30 90,160 140,110 220,240" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="20" cy="30" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="10" y="22" fill="#c00">A: sell trigger 1.2740</text>
<text x="26" y="50" fill="#c00">A: sell trigger 1.2740</text>
<circle cx="90" cy="160" r="4" fill="#333"/>
<text x="60" y="180" fill="#333">B: 1.2680</text>
<line x1="15" y1="100" x2="240" y2="100" stroke="#7b52ab" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
@@ -243,9 +243,9 @@ rezistența nu mai ține). Take-profit **106.00** (suport anterior). Risc
<text x="155" y="160" fill="#c00">C: retest 1.0858</text>
<text x="155" y="174" fill="#c00">— intrare aici</text>
<line x1="15" y1="236" x2="340" y2="236" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="155" y="252" fill="#c00">SL 1.0830 (sub ambele MA)</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="32" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="230" y="28" fill="#188a3e">D / TP 1.0920</text>
<text x="210" y="252" fill="#c00">SL 1.0830 (sub ambele MA)</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="21" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="230" y="17" fill="#188a3e">D / TP 1.0920</text>
</svg>
Ai ratat săgeata de buy la A (1.0830). Prețul urcă la B (1.0890), apoi

18
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@@ -172,7 +172,7 @@ lecția 10.</p>
<line x1="15" y1="150" x2="405" y2="150" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="18" y="143" fill="#1a5fb4">42.00 — suport (pivot)</text>
<circle cx="330" cy="105" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="200" y="100" fill="#c00">43.30 (3.1% deasupra) — prea departe</text>
<text x="200" y="125" fill="#c00">43.30 (3.1% deasupra) — prea departe</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Diferența nu e vizuală (ambele arată "aproape" pe un grafic zoom-out) — e
strict numerică, exact motivul pentru care se folosește un prag explicit
@@ -188,10 +188,10 @@ mea, pe scara reală a acțiunii la momentul lecției (ULTA ~ 400-410 USD):</p>
<text x="24" y="200" fill="#1a5fb4">402.00 — suport (pivot monthly, găsit de scanner la 0.4%)</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="175" r="5" fill="#00b8c4"/>
<text x="30" y="230" fill="#00b8c4">doji găsit de scanner ~403.60</text>
<line x1="20" y1="205" x2="400" y2="205" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="230" y="222" fill="#c00">SL 396.00 (sub suport)</text>
<circle cx="370" cy="55" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="230" y="45" fill="#188a3e">TP 418.00 — rezistență anterioară</text>
<line x1="20" y1="223" x2="400" y2="223" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="230" y="240" fill="#c00">SL 396.00 (sub suport)</text>
<circle cx="370" cy="85" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="230" y="75" fill="#188a3e">TP 418.00 — rezistență anterioară</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Doji găsit de scanner la 403.60, la 0.4% deasupra suportului de 402.00 —
sub pragul de 0.5% folosit în scanare. Confirmarea de trigger (candela
@@ -210,10 +210,10 @@ cifre exacte nu sunt date, completare a mea pe scara reală (Marriott
<text x="24" y="83" fill="#1a5fb4">248.00 — rezistență (pivot weekly, găsit la 0.3%)</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="95" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="30" y="115" fill="#c00">doji găsit de scanner ~247.30</text>
<line x1="20" y1="70" x2="400" y2="70" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="220" y="60" fill="#188a3e">SL 251.50 (peste rezistență)</text>
<circle cx="370" cy="205" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="200" y="225" fill="#188a3e">TP 236.00 — suport anterior</text>
<line x1="20" y1="67" x2="400" y2="67" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="220" y="57" fill="#c00">SL 251.50 (peste rezistență)</text>
<circle cx="370" cy="168" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="200" y="188" fill="#188a3e">TP 236.00 — suport anterior</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Doji la 247.30, 0.3% sub rezistența 248.00. Confirmare (candela următoare
închide sub low-ul dojii) → intrare short <strong>246.70</strong>. Stop-loss <strong>251.50</strong>

20
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@@ -129,7 +129,7 @@ lecția 10.
<line x1="15" y1="150" x2="405" y2="150" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="18" y="143" fill="#1a5fb4">42.00 — suport (pivot)</text>
<circle cx="330" cy="105" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="200" y="100" fill="#c00">43.30 (3.1% deasupra) — prea departe</text>
<text x="200" y="125" fill="#c00">43.30 (3.1% deasupra) — prea departe</text>
</svg>
Diferența nu e vizuală (ambele arată "aproape" pe un grafic zoom-out) — e
@@ -147,11 +147,11 @@ mea, pe scara reală a acțiunii la momentul lecției (ULTA ~ 400-410 USD):
<line x1="20" y1="185" x2="400" y2="185" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="24" y="200" fill="#1a5fb4">402.00 — suport (pivot monthly, găsit de scanner la 0.4%)</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="175" r="5" fill="#00b8c4"/>
<text x="30" y="230" fill="#00b8c4">doji găsit de scanner ~403.60</text>
<line x1="20" y1="205" x2="400" y2="205" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="230" y="222" fill="#c00">SL 396.00 (sub suport)</text>
<circle cx="370" cy="55" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="230" y="45" fill="#188a3e">TP 418.00 — rezistență anterioară</text>
<text x="30" y="248" fill="#00b8c4">doji găsit de scanner ~403.60</text>
<line x1="20" y1="223" x2="400" y2="223" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="230" y="240" fill="#c00">SL 396.00 (sub suport)</text>
<circle cx="370" cy="85" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="230" y="75" fill="#188a3e">TP 418.00 — rezistență anterioară</text>
</svg>
Doji găsit de scanner la 403.60, la 0.4% deasupra suportului de 402.00 —
@@ -173,10 +173,10 @@ cifre exacte nu sunt date, completare a mea pe scara reală (Marriott
<text x="24" y="83" fill="#1a5fb4">248.00 — rezistență (pivot weekly, găsit la 0.3%)</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="95" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="30" y="115" fill="#c00">doji găsit de scanner ~247.30</text>
<line x1="20" y1="70" x2="400" y2="70" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="220" y="60" fill="#188a3e">SL 251.50 (peste rezistență)</text>
<circle cx="370" cy="205" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="200" y="225" fill="#188a3e">TP 236.00 — suport anterior</text>
<line x1="20" y1="67" x2="400" y2="67" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="220" y="57" fill="#c00">SL 251.50 (peste rezistență)</text>
<circle cx="370" cy="168" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="200" y="188" fill="#188a3e">TP 236.00 — suport anterior</text>
</svg>
Doji la 247.30, 0.3% sub rezistența 248.00. Confirmare (candela următoare

8
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@@ -76,7 +76,7 @@ nu dă nivelurile exacte de intrare/oprire pentru acest trade):</p>
<circle cx="260" cy="150" r="5" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="175" y="133" fill="#c88">retrage spre breakeven (pullback)</text>
<circle cx="320" cy="140" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="255" y="190" fill="#c00">ieșire parțială ~+70 (jumătate profit)</text>
<text x="180" y="190" fill="#c00">ieșire parțială ~+70 (jumătate profit)</text>
<text x="330" y="55" fill="#188a3e">poziția rămasă continuă</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Secvența, așa cum a comentat-o trainerul: intră pe breakout-ul doji-ului,
@@ -100,9 +100,9 @@ poziții noi</strong>, cu stop-loss plasat explicit sub swing low-ul recent:</p>
<text x="24" y="220" fill="#c00">5993 — stop-loss (sub swing low)</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="150" r="5" fill="#333"/>
<text x="225" y="145" fill="#333">intrare ~6049 (SL + 56 puncte)</text>
<line x1="370" y1="60" x2="370" y2="235" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<circle cx="370" cy="60" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="240" y="50" fill="#188a3e">target ~6105-6109 (56-60 puncte, ~1:1)</text>
<line x1="370" y1="93" x2="370" y2="235" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<circle cx="370" cy="93" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="240" y="83" fill="#188a3e">target ~6105-6109 (56-60 puncte, ~1:1)</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Cifrele astea sunt reale, citate direct în timp real: stop-loss pus la
<strong>5993</strong>, "sub low-ul candelei, sub acest swing low" — trainerul numără

8
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@@ -65,7 +65,7 @@ nu dă nivelurile exacte de intrare/oprire pentru acest trade):
<circle cx="260" cy="150" r="5" fill="#c88"/>
<text x="175" y="133" fill="#c88">retrage spre breakeven (pullback)</text>
<circle cx="320" cy="140" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="255" y="190" fill="#c00">ieșire parțială ~+70 (jumătate profit)</text>
<text x="180" y="190" fill="#c00">ieșire parțială ~+70 (jumătate profit)</text>
<text x="330" y="55" fill="#188a3e">poziția rămasă continuă</text>
</svg>
@@ -92,9 +92,9 @@ poziții noi**, cu stop-loss plasat explicit sub swing low-ul recent:
<text x="24" y="220" fill="#c00">5993 — stop-loss (sub swing low)</text>
<circle cx="220" cy="150" r="5" fill="#333"/>
<text x="225" y="145" fill="#333">intrare ~6049 (SL + 56 puncte)</text>
<line x1="370" y1="60" x2="370" y2="235" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<circle cx="370" cy="60" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="240" y="50" fill="#188a3e">target ~6105-6109 (56-60 puncte, ~1:1)</text>
<line x1="370" y1="93" x2="370" y2="235" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<circle cx="370" cy="93" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="240" y="83" fill="#188a3e">target ~6105-6109 (56-60 puncte, ~1:1)</text>
</svg>
Cifrele astea sunt reale, citate direct în timp real: stop-loss pus la

4
summaries/03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.html
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@@ -59,8 +59,8 @@ inversarea chiar la doji — ideea revine în tot restul lecției.</p>
<circle cx="330" cy="230" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="345" y="200" fill="#188a3e">intrare 50.40</text>
<text x="345" y="216" fill="#188a3e">(confirmare, candela +2)</text>
<line x1="260" y1="300" x2="660" y2="300" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="500" y="316" fill="#c00">SL 49.20</text>
<line x1="260" y1="302" x2="660" y2="302" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="500" y="318" fill="#c00">SL 49.20</text>
<line x1="330" y1="158" x2="660" y2="158" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="500" y="150" fill="#188a3e">TP 51.60 (1:1)</text>
<polyline points="330,230 400,158 460,140 490,105 530,125" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>

4
summaries/03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.md
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@@ -46,8 +46,8 @@ inversarea chiar la doji — ideea revine în tot restul lecției.
<circle cx="330" cy="230" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="345" y="200" fill="#188a3e">intrare 50.40</text>
<text x="345" y="216" fill="#188a3e">(confirmare, candela +2)</text>
<line x1="260" y1="300" x2="660" y2="300" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="500" y="316" fill="#c00">SL 49.20</text>
<line x1="260" y1="302" x2="660" y2="302" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="500" y="318" fill="#c00">SL 49.20</text>
<line x1="330" y1="158" x2="660" y2="158" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="500" y="150" fill="#188a3e">TP 51.60 (1:1)</text>
<polyline points="330,230 400,158 460,140 490,105 530,125" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>

8
summaries/03_MODUL_2/14_strategia_1_m2d.html
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@@ -179,14 +179,14 @@ violarea reală a trail-ului) a fost la <strong>4.55%</strong> profit.</p>
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">Riot, 3 min — short</text>
<line x1="20" y1="35" x2="400" y2="35" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="20" y="28" fill="#c00">SL +0.85% (peste ultimele 4 candele)</text>
<polyline points="20,60 70,75 110,70 150,110 200,140 250,180 300,210 350,230 400,245" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<polyline points="20,60 70,75 110,70 150,120 200,150 250,190 300,220 350,242 400,257" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="110" cy="70" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="115" y="60" fill="#c00">trigger / entry (0% ref)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="85" x2="400" y2="85" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="3 2" opacity="0.6"/>
<text x="270" y="100" fill="#188a3e">TP1 (1:1) = -0.85%</text>
<line x1="20" y1="105" x2="400" y2="105" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="3 2" opacity="0.6"/>
<text x="270" y="120" fill="#188a3e">TP1 (1:1) = -0.85%</text>
<text x="140" y="165" fill="#188a3e">prin trail, la jumătatea</text>
<text x="140" y="180" fill="#188a3e">drumului spre TP1: deja -1.42%</text>
<circle cx="400" cy="245" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<circle cx="400" cy="257" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="230" y="270" fill="#188a3e">ieșire finală pe trail: -4.55%</text>
</svg></p>
<p>Risc/recompensă efectiv: 4.55 / 0.85 ≈ <strong>1:5.3</strong> — cursul insistă că astfel

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summaries/03_MODUL_2/14_strategia_1_m2d.md
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@@ -183,14 +183,14 @@ violarea reală a trail-ului) a fost la **4.55%** profit.
<text x="8" y="15" fill="#666">Riot, 3 min — short</text>
<line x1="20" y1="35" x2="400" y2="35" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
<text x="20" y="28" fill="#c00">SL +0.85% (peste ultimele 4 candele)</text>
<polyline points="20,60 70,75 110,70 150,110 200,140 250,180 300,210 350,230 400,245" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<polyline points="20,60 70,75 110,70 150,120 200,150 250,190 300,220 350,242 400,257" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
<circle cx="110" cy="70" r="5" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="115" y="60" fill="#c00">trigger / entry (0% ref)</text>
<line x1="20" y1="85" x2="400" y2="85" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="3 2" opacity="0.6"/>
<text x="270" y="100" fill="#188a3e">TP1 (1:1) = -0.85%</text>
<line x1="20" y1="105" x2="400" y2="105" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="3 2" opacity="0.6"/>
<text x="270" y="120" fill="#188a3e">TP1 (1:1) = -0.85%</text>
<text x="140" y="165" fill="#188a3e">prin trail, la jumătatea</text>
<text x="140" y="180" fill="#188a3e">drumului spre TP1: deja -1.42%</text>
<circle cx="400" cy="245" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<circle cx="400" cy="257" r="5" fill="#188a3e"/>
<text x="230" y="270" fill="#188a3e">ieșire finală pe trail: -4.55%</text>
</svg>