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844 lines
67 KiB
HTML
844 lines
67 KiB
HTML
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<title>Modul 2 / #7 — Determinarea trendului</title>
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<nav class="crumbs"><a href="../index.html">Sumarizări</a><span class="sep">/</span><a href="../index.html#03_MODUL_2">Modulul 2</a><span class="sep">/</span>#7 — Determinarea trendului</nav><h1 id="modul-2-7-determinarea-trendului">Modul 2 / #7 — Determinarea trendului</h1>
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<h2 id="tldr">TLDR</h2>
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<p>Nu există un singur mod "corect" de a stabili dacă piața e în uptrend sau
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downtrend — cursul dă 5 metode independente, care de obicei se confirmă
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reciproc: (1) linii de trend, (2) RSI(10) cu linia de 50, (3) higher highs/
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higher lows vs. lower highs/lower lows, (4) candela care închide deasupra
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high-ului precedent / sub low-ul precedent ("higher closing high" /
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"lower closing low"), (5) bull trail/bear trail — un stop-loss care se mută
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automat candelă cu candelă, plus bull reversal/bear reversal ca semnal de
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forță. Regula practică a mentorului: nu folosești una singură izolat — cu
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cât se confirmă mai multe simultan pe aceeași candelă, cu atât semnalul e
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mai puternic ("triplu semnal").</p>
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<h2 id="termeni-de-baza-swing-low-swing-high-trend-line">Termeni de bază: swing low, swing high, trend line</h2>
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<p><strong>Swing low</strong> = un minim mai jos decât candelele din jurul lui (minim 2
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puncte de acest fel se unesc pentru o linie de trend). <strong>Swing high</strong> =
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simetric, un maxim mai sus decât vecinii lui. <strong>Trend line</strong> (linie de
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trend) = o linie dreaptă care unește minim 2 swing lows (linie de suport,
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într-un uptrend) sau minim 2 swing highs (linie de rezistență, într-un
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downtrend).</p>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 230 90" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:230px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
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<polyline points="10,70 40,55 70,68 100,35 130,50 160,20" fill="none" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="2"/>
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<text x="5" y="85" fill="#1a5fb4">linie de trend = unește 2+ swing lows</text>
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</svg></p>
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<h2 id="metoda-1-linii-de-trend">Metoda 1 — Linii de trend</h2>
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<p>Unești minim 2 swing lows consecutive (uptrend) sau minim 2 swing highs
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consecutive (downtrend) cu o linie dreaptă și o extinzi spre dreapta.
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Trend-ul e valabil atât timp cât prețul respectă linia. Trend-ul se
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consideră <strong>violat</strong> abia când o candelă se <strong>închide</strong> dincolo de linie —
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nu doar atinge sau depășește linia cu fitilul (wick).</p>
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<p><strong>Long — downtrend care rupe linia de rezistență în sus:</strong></p>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 359" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — daily</text>
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<text x="134.0" y="86.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">swing high 1</text>
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<text x="254.0" y="174.7" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">swing high 2</text>
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<text x="419.0" y="156.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakout → long</text>
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<text x="24" y="347" fill="#555">Rezistența (linia roșie) unește swing high-urile; contează close-ul, nu fitilul.</text>
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</svg></p>
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<p><strong>Short — uptrend care rupe linia de suport în jos:</strong></p>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 359" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — daily</text>
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|
<line x1="389.0" y1="123.5" x2="389.0" y2="164.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="384.5" y="132.5" width="9" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="404.0" y1="132.5" x2="404.0" y2="164.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="399.5" y="141.5" width="9" height="13.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="419.0" y1="132.5" x2="419.0" y2="186.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="414.5" y="141.5" width="9" height="36.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="434.0" y1="168.5" x2="434.0" y2="213.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="429.5" y="177.5" width="9" height="27.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<text x="134.0" y="296.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">swing low 1</text>
|
|
<text x="254.0" y="208.3" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">swing low 2</text>
|
|
<text x="419.0" y="226.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakdown → short</text>
|
|
<text x="24" y="347" fill="#555">Suportul (linia albastră) unește swing low-urile; contează close-ul, nu fitilul.</text>
|
|
<polyline points="134.0,276.5 149.0,265.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="149.0,265.0 164.0,253.4" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="164.0,253.4 179.0,241.9" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="179.0,241.9 194.0,230.4" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="194.0,230.4 209.0,218.8" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="209.0,218.8 224.0,207.3" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="224.0,207.3 239.0,195.8" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="239.0,195.8 254.0,184.3" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="254.0,184.3 269.0,172.7" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="269.0,172.7 284.0,161.2" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="284.0,161.2 299.0,149.7" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="299.0,149.7 314.0,138.1" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="314.0,138.1 329.0,126.6" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="329.0,126.6 344.0,115.1" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="344.0,115.1 359.0,103.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="359.0,103.5 374.0,92.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="374.0,92.0 389.0,80.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
</svg></p>
|
|
<p><strong>Confirmare DA/NU — nu orice atingere a liniei e o violare:</strong></p>
|
|
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 398" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
|
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — 60 min</text>
|
|
<line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="116.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="39.5" y="71.0" width="9" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="59.0" y1="86.0" x2="59.0" y2="146.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="54.5" y="101.0" width="9" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="74.0" y1="116.0" x2="74.0" y2="176.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="69.5" y="131.0" width="9" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="89.0" y1="146.0" x2="89.0" y2="197.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="84.5" y="161.0" width="9" height="15.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="104.0" y1="123.5" x2="104.0" y2="191.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="99.5" y="138.5" width="9" height="37.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="119.0" y1="93.5" x2="119.0" y2="153.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="114.5" y="108.5" width="9" height="30.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="134.0" y1="71.0" x2="134.0" y2="123.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="129.5" y="86.0" width="9" height="22.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="149.0" y1="71.0" x2="149.0" y2="131.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="144.5" y="86.0" width="9" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="164.0" y1="101.0" x2="164.0" y2="161.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="159.5" y="116.0" width="9" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="179.0" y1="131.0" x2="179.0" y2="191.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="174.5" y="146.0" width="9" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="194.0" y1="161.0" x2="194.0" y2="213.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="189.5" y="176.0" width="9" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="209.0" y1="183.5" x2="209.0" y2="239.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="204.5" y="198.5" width="9" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="224.0" y1="168.5" x2="224.0" y2="236.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="219.5" y="183.5" width="9" height="37.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="239.0" y1="146.0" x2="239.0" y2="198.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="234.5" y="161.0" width="9" height="22.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="254.0" y1="146.0" x2="254.0" y2="206.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="249.5" y="161.0" width="9" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="269.0" y1="176.0" x2="269.0" y2="281.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="264.5" y="191.0" width="9" height="37.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="284.0" y1="168.5" x2="284.0" y2="243.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="279.5" y="183.5" width="9" height="45.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="299.0" y1="131.0" x2="299.0" y2="198.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="294.5" y="146.0" width="9" height="37.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="314.0" y1="131.0" x2="314.0" y2="183.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="309.5" y="146.0" width="9" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="329.0" y1="116.0" x2="329.0" y2="183.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="324.5" y="131.0" width="9" height="37.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="344.0" y1="116.0" x2="344.0" y2="168.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="339.5" y="131.0" width="9" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="359.0" y1="138.5" x2="359.0" y2="198.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="354.5" y="153.5" width="9" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="374.0" y1="168.5" x2="374.0" y2="221.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="369.5" y="183.5" width="9" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="389.0" y1="191.0" x2="389.0" y2="251.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="384.5" y="206.0" width="9" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="404.0" y1="221.0" x2="404.0" y2="273.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="399.5" y="236.0" width="9" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="419.0" y1="243.5" x2="419.0" y2="288.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="414.5" y="258.5" width="9" height="15.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="434.0" y1="258.5" x2="434.0" y2="356.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="429.5" y="273.5" width="9" height="67.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<text x="269.0" y="319.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">DA: low 99.80, close 100.15</text>
|
|
<text x="434.0" y="370.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">NU: close 99.40 sub linie (99.55)</text>
|
|
<text x="24" y="386" fill="#555">Fitilul sub linie nu e violare; close-ul sub linie este.</text>
|
|
<polyline points="89.0,197.7 104.0,203.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="104.0,203.0 119.0,208.3" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="119.0,208.3 134.0,213.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="134.0,213.5 149.0,218.7" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="149.0,218.7 164.0,224.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="164.0,224.0 179.0,229.2" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="179.0,229.2 194.0,234.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="194.0,234.5 209.0,239.7" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="209.0,239.7 224.0,245.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="224.0,245.0 239.0,250.3" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="239.0,250.3 254.0,255.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="254.0,255.5 269.0,260.7" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="269.0,260.7 284.0,266.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="284.0,266.0 299.0,271.2" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="299.0,271.2 314.0,276.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="314.0,276.5 329.0,281.7" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="329.0,281.7 344.0,287.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="344.0,287.0 359.0,292.3" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="359.0,292.3 374.0,297.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="374.0,297.5 389.0,302.7" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="389.0,302.7 404.0,308.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="404.0,308.0 419.0,313.2" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="419.0,313.2 434.0,318.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
</svg></p>
|
|
<p>Linia din uptrend, o dată violată, devine adesea rezistență (rol invers) —
|
|
un retest tipic al liniei rupte confirmă schimbarea de trend, exact cum
|
|
"neckline"-ul devine suport la un pattern reversal.</p>
|
|
<h2 id="metoda-2-rsi10-cu-linia-de-50">Metoda 2 — RSI(10) cu linia de 50</h2>
|
|
<p>RSI (Relative Strength Index, aici setat la perioada 10, nu 14 default) e
|
|
un oscilator 0-100 care măsoară raportul mișcărilor de creștere vs. de
|
|
scădere din ultimele N candele. Regula de trend: când RSI <strong>traversează în
|
|
sus</strong> linia de 50 (venind de jos), se consideră trend ascendent; când
|
|
<strong>traversează în jos</strong> linia de 50, trend descendent. Nu contează valoarea
|
|
absolută (supracumpărat/supravândut) — contează doar de care parte a
|
|
liniei de 50 stă.</p>
|
|
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 440" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
|
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — daily</text>
|
|
<line x1="44.0" y1="102.8" x2="44.0" y2="123.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="39.5" y="109.3" width="9" height="7.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="59.0" y1="110.6" x2="59.0" y2="139.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="54.5" y="117.1" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="74.0" y1="118.4" x2="74.0" y2="139.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="69.5" y="124.9" width="9" height="7.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="89.0" y1="118.4" x2="89.0" y2="154.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="84.5" y="124.9" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="104.0" y1="141.8" x2="104.0" y2="170.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="99.5" y="148.3" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="119.0" y1="147.0" x2="119.0" y2="170.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="114.5" y="153.5" width="9" height="10.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="134.0" y1="147.0" x2="134.0" y2="183.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="129.5" y="153.5" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="149.0" y1="170.4" x2="149.0" y2="199.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="144.5" y="176.9" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="164.0" y1="175.6" x2="164.0" y2="199.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="159.5" y="182.1" width="9" height="10.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="179.0" y1="175.6" x2="179.0" y2="212.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="174.5" y="182.1" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="194.0" y1="199.0" x2="194.0" y2="227.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="189.5" y="205.5" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="209.0" y1="206.8" x2="209.0" y2="227.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="204.5" y="213.3" width="9" height="7.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="224.0" y1="186.0" x2="224.0" y2="219.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="219.5" y="192.5" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="239.0" y1="165.2" x2="239.0" y2="199.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="234.5" y="171.7" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="254.0" y1="165.2" x2="254.0" y2="186.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="249.5" y="171.7" width="9" height="7.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="269.0" y1="147.0" x2="269.0" y2="186.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="264.5" y="153.5" width="9" height="26.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="284.0" y1="128.8" x2="284.0" y2="160.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="279.5" y="135.3" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="299.0" y1="128.8" x2="299.0" y2="149.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="294.5" y="135.3" width="9" height="7.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="314.0" y1="108.0" x2="314.0" y2="149.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="309.5" y="114.5" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="329.0" y1="89.8" x2="329.0" y2="121.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="324.5" y="96.3" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="344.0" y1="89.8" x2="344.0" y2="113.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="339.5" y="96.3" width="9" height="10.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="359.0" y1="71.6" x2="359.0" y2="113.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="354.5" y="78.1" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="56.0" x2="374.0" y2="84.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="62.5" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="56.0" x2="389.0" y2="89.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="62.5" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="76.8" x2="404.0" y2="108.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="83.3" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="87.2" x2="419.0" y2="108.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="93.7" width="9" height="7.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="87.2" x2="434.0" y2="128.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="93.7" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="449.0" y1="115.8" x2="449.0" y2="147.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="122.3" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="464.0" y1="126.2" x2="464.0" y2="147.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="459.5" y="132.7" width="9" height="7.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="479.0" y1="126.2" x2="479.0" y2="167.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="474.5" y="132.7" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="494.0" y1="154.8" x2="494.0" y2="183.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="489.5" y="161.3" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="509.0" y1="162.6" x2="509.0" y2="183.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="504.5" y="169.1" width="9" height="7.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="524.0" y1="162.6" x2="524.0" y2="201.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="519.5" y="169.1" width="9" height="26.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="539.0" y1="188.6" x2="539.0" y2="217.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="534.5" y="195.1" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="554.0" y1="193.8" x2="554.0" y2="217.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="549.5" y="200.3" width="9" height="10.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="569.0" y1="193.8" x2="569.0" y2="230.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="564.5" y="200.3" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<text x="24" y="274" fill="#555">RSI(10)</text>
|
|
<line x1="24" y1="406.0" x2="606" y2="406.0" stroke="#ccc"/>
|
|
<line x1="24" y1="351.0" x2="586" y2="351.0" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
|
|
<text x="590" y="355.0" fill="#888">50</text>
|
|
<line x1="284.0" y1="56.0" x2="284.0" y2="406.0" stroke="#bbb" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
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<line x1="434.0" y1="56.0" x2="434.0" y2="406.0" stroke="#bbb" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
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<polyline points="194.0,386.5 209.0,381.9 224.0,370.6 239.0,361.1 254.0,363.4 269.0,352.8 284.0,346.6 299.0,349.5 314.0,340.6 329.0,335.8 344.0,340.3 359.0,333.1 374.0,329.8 389.0,338.7 404.0,345.5 419.0,343.3 434.0,353.2 449.0,358.5 464.0,355.7 479.0,363.6 494.0,367.3 509.0,364.0 524.0,370.1 539.0,373.3 554.0,368.5 569.0,373.5" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="2"/>
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<circle cx="284.0" cy="346.6" r="4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<text x="284.0" y="332.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">cross peste 50 → uptrend</text>
|
|
<circle cx="434.0" cy="353.2" r="4" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<text x="434.0" y="387.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">cross sub 50 → downtrend</text>
|
|
<text x="24" y="430" fill="#555">Liniile punctate verticale leagă cross-ul RSI de bara de preț.</text>
|
|
</svg></p>
|
|
<p>Liniile punctate verticale leagă momentul crossing-ului pe RSI cu punctul
|
|
corespunzător pe preț — la primul cross (peste 50), prețul intră într-o
|
|
zonă de urcare; la al doilea (sub 50), într-o zonă de coborâre.</p>
|
|
<h2 id="metoda-3-higher-highshigher-lows-vs-lower-highslower-lows">Metoda 3 — Higher highs/higher lows vs. lower highs/lower lows</h2>
|
|
<p><strong>Higher highs, higher lows</strong> (HH/HL) = fiecare swing high nou e mai sus
|
|
ca precedentul, ȘI fiecare swing low nou e mai sus ca precedentul —
|
|
definește uptrend. <strong>Lower highs, lower lows</strong> (LH/LL) = simetric, fiecare
|
|
extremă nouă e mai jos — definește downtrend. Mentorul nu dă un număr fix
|
|
de candele consecutive necesare — e o citire vizuală, de obicei 2-3 swing-uri
|
|
consecutive sunt suficiente ca să considere trend-ul stabilit.</p>
|
|
<p><strong>Long (HH/HL):</strong></p>
|
|
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 526" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
|
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — daily</text>
|
|
<polyline points="329.0,314.2 344.0,301.6 359.0,290.0 374.0,279.6 389.0,269.1 404.0,257.6 419.0,245.5 434.0,232.8 449.0,219.6" fill="none" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<text x="455" y="214" fill="#b06000">SMA-20</text>
|
|
<line x1="44.0" y1="452.0" x2="44.0" y2="500.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="39.5" y="465.2" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="419.0" x2="59.0" y2="478.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="432.2" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="419.0" x2="74.0" y2="467.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="69.5" y="432.2" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#c00"/>
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|
<line x1="89.0" y1="397.0" x2="89.0" y2="467.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="410.2" width="9" height="44.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="364.0" x2="104.0" y2="423.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="377.2" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="364.0" x2="119.0" y2="412.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="114.5" y="377.2" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="342.0" x2="134.0" y2="412.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="355.2" width="9" height="44.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="320.0" x2="149.0" y2="368.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="333.2" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="289.2" x2="164.0" y2="344.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="159.5" y="305.7" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="292.5" x2="179.0" y2="346.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="305.7" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="194.0" y1="303.5" x2="194.0" y2="346.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="316.7" width="9" height="16.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="303.5" x2="209.0" y2="349.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="316.7" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="327.7" x2="224.0" y2="355.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="338.7" width="9" height="5.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="287.0" x2="239.0" y2="351.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="300.2" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="243.0" x2="254.0" y2="313.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="256.2" width="9" height="44.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="199.0" x2="269.0" y2="269.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="212.2" width="9" height="44.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="166.0" x2="284.0" y2="225.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="179.2" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="144.0" x2="299.0" y2="192.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="157.2" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="113.2" x2="314.0" y2="168.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="135.2" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="122.0" x2="329.0" y2="192.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="135.2" width="9" height="44.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="166.0" x2="344.0" y2="225.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="179.2" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="188.0" x2="359.0" y2="225.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="354.5" y="201.2" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="374.0" y1="190.2" x2="374.0" y2="267.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="369.5" y="201.2" width="9" height="44.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="389.0" y1="188.0" x2="389.0" y2="258.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="384.5" y="201.2" width="9" height="44.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="404.0" y1="133.0" x2="404.0" y2="214.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="399.5" y="146.2" width="9" height="55.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="419.0" y1="133.0" x2="419.0" y2="170.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="414.5" y="146.2" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="434.0" y1="89.0" x2="434.0" y2="170.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="429.5" y="102.2" width="9" height="55.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="449.0" y1="56.0" x2="449.0" y2="115.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="444.5" y="69.2" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<text x="164.0" y="279.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">HH1: 101.20</text>
|
|
<text x="314.0" y="103.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">HH2: 102.80 (mai sus)</text>
|
|
<text x="224.0" y="375.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">HL1: 100.60</text>
|
|
<text x="374.0" y="287.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">HL2: 101.40 (mai sus)</text>
|
|
</svg></p>
|
|
<p><strong>Short (LH/LL):</strong></p>
|
|
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 365" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
|
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — daily</text>
|
|
<polyline points="355.0,141.5 370.0,141.5 385.0,143.7 400.0,147.0 415.0,154.1 430.0,161.9 445.0,173.0 460.0,184.4 475.0,196.1" fill="none" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<text x="481" y="190" fill="#b06000">SMA-20</text>
|
|
<line x1="70.0" y1="221.1" x2="70.0" y2="254.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="65.5" y="225.0" width="9" height="26.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="85.0" y1="182.1" x2="85.0" y2="228.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="80.5" y="186.0" width="9" height="39.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="100.0" y1="182.1" x2="100.0" y2="202.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="95.5" y="186.0" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="115.0" y1="143.1" x2="115.0" y2="202.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="110.5" y="147.0" width="9" height="52.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="130.0" y1="117.1" x2="130.0" y2="150.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="125.5" y="121.0" width="9" height="26.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="145.0" y1="91.1" x2="145.0" y2="124.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="140.5" y="95.0" width="9" height="26.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="160.0" y1="56.0" x2="160.0" y2="98.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="155.5" y="75.5" width="9" height="19.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="175.0" y1="71.6" x2="175.0" y2="105.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="170.5" y="75.5" width="9" height="26.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="190.0" y1="97.6" x2="190.0" y2="118.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="185.5" y="101.5" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="205.0" y1="110.6" x2="205.0" y2="124.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="200.5" y="114.5" width="9" height="6.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="220.0" y1="114.5" x2="220.0" y2="134.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="215.5" y="118.4" width="9" height="2.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="235.0" y1="104.1" x2="235.0" y2="122.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="230.5" y="108.0" width="9" height="10.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="250.0" y1="97.6" x2="250.0" y2="111.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="245.5" y="101.5" width="9" height="6.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="265.0" y1="93.7" x2="265.0" y2="105.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="260.5" y="97.6" width="9" height="3.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="335.5" y="192.5" width="9" height="39.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="350.5" y="218.5" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="365.5" y="218.5" width="9" height="6.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="380.5" y="225.0" width="9" height="6.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="425.5" y="277.0" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="440.5" y="277.0" width="9" height="39.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="460.0" y1="299.1" x2="460.0" y2="319.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="455.5" y="303.0" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="475.0" y1="299.1" x2="475.0" y2="339.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="470.5" y="303.0" width="9" height="32.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<text x="160.0" y="46.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">LH1: 101.20</text>
|
|
<text x="280.0" y="78.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">LH2: 100.95 (mai jos)</text>
|
|
<text x="220.0" y="154.0" fill="#d08a1e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">LL1: 100.60</text>
|
|
<text x="340.0" y="271.0" fill="#d08a1e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">LL2: 99.70 (mai jos)</text>
|
|
</svg></p>
|
|
<h2 id="metoda-4-higher-closing-high-lower-closing-low-candela-strong-trend">Metoda 4 — Higher closing high / lower closing low ("candelă strong trend")</h2>
|
|
<p>Termen nou: o candelă e "higher closing high" dacă se <strong>închide</strong> deasupra
|
|
high-ului candelei precedente (nu doar face un high mai mare — trebuie ca
|
|
ÎNCHIDEREA să fie peste vechiul maxim). Simetric, "lower closing low" =
|
|
închiderea e sub low-ul candelei precedente.</p>
|
|
<p><strong>De ce contează exact închiderea, nu high-ul/low-ul brut</strong> — mecanism,
|
|
explicat o singură dată aici, aplicat mai jos: high-ul unei candele e doar
|
|
prețul maxim atins temporar — poate fi un exces de moment, respins imediat
|
|
(revine mai jos până la close). Închiderea, în schimb, e prețul la care
|
|
piața a rămas de acord cea mai lungă porțiune de timp din acea candelă —
|
|
e ultima "licitație" câștigată. Dacă închiderea candelei curente depășește
|
|
chiar maximul întregii candele precedente, înseamnă că nu doar a atins
|
|
un nivel nou, ci participanții au fost dispuși să <strong>rămână</strong> la un preț mai
|
|
bun decât orice preț acceptat în toată candela dinainte — un semnal de
|
|
convingere mai puternic decât un simplu high nou (care ar putea fi doar un
|
|
fitil ignorat).</p>
|
|
<p><strong>Exemplu real (din training):</strong> candela precedentă are high-ul la
|
|
<strong>138.03</strong>. Candela curentă se închide la <strong>138.23</strong> — cu 20 de cenți
|
|
deasupra high-ului precedent.</p>
|
|
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 340 150" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:340px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
|
|
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#333">candela curentă = higher closing high</text>
|
|
<line x1="20" y1="70" x2="220" y2="70" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
|
|
<text x="225" y="74" fill="#888">138.03 (high prec.)</text>
|
|
<line x1="80" y1="90" x2="80" y2="130" stroke="#333" stroke-width="2"/>
|
|
<rect x="72" y="105" width="16" height="20" fill="#333"/>
|
|
<text x="35" y="145" fill="#333">candela precedentă</text>
|
|
<line x1="160" y1="30" x2="160" y2="80" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
|
|
<rect x="152" y="40" width="16" height="25" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<text x="180" y="55" fill="#188a3e">close 138.23</text>
|
|
</svg></p>
|
|
<p><strong>Simetric, lower closing low (construit):</strong> candela precedentă are low
|
|
la <strong>92.65</strong>. Candela curentă se închide la <strong>92.40</strong>, sub acel low —
|
|
"strong downtrend" în termenii mentorului.</p>
|
|
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 340 150" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:340px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
|
|
<text x="10" y="15" fill="#333">candela curentă = lower closing low</text>
|
|
<line x1="20" y1="80" x2="220" y2="80" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
|
|
<text x="225" y="84" fill="#888">92.65 (low prec.)</text>
|
|
<line x1="80" y1="35" x2="80" y2="80" stroke="#333" stroke-width="2"/>
|
|
<rect x="72" y="45" width="16" height="20" fill="#333"/>
|
|
<text x="35" y="98" fill="#333">candela precedentă</text>
|
|
<line x1="160" y1="75" x2="160" y2="125" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/>
|
|
<rect x="152" y="90" width="16" height="25" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<text x="130" y="142" fill="#c00">close 92.40</text>
|
|
</svg></p>
|
|
<p>Notă de vocabular: o candelă al cărei close e foarte aproape de high-ul ei
|
|
propriu e "foarte bull"; una al cărei close e foarte aproape de low-ul ei
|
|
propriu e "foarte bear". Un <strong>doji</strong> = candela unde open și close sunt
|
|
aproape identice (indiferent de cât de departe sunt high-ul și low-ul) —
|
|
semnalează indecizie, nu convingere într-o direcție.</p>
|
|
<h2 id="metoda-5-bull-trail-bear-trail-si-bull-reversal-bear-reversal">Metoda 5 — Bull trail / bear trail și bull reversal / bear reversal</h2>
|
|
<p>Termen nou: <strong>trailing stop</strong> = un stop-loss care se mută (doar în direcția
|
|
profitului, niciodată înapoi) pe măsură ce trend-ul continuă, ca să
|
|
protejezi profitul acumulat fără să închizi poziția. Regula "bull trail":
|
|
de fiecare dată când o candelă se închide deasupra high-ului candelei
|
|
precedente (higher closing high, Metoda 4), low-ul acelei candele devine
|
|
noul nivel de stop. Ieși din tranzacție când o candelă viitoare se închide
|
|
sub ultimul nivel de trail. "Bear trail" e regula oglindită (high-ul
|
|
candelei devine trail, ieși pe close deasupra lui).</p>
|
|
<p><strong>Bull trail — stop-ul urcă treaptă cu treaptă (extensia exemplului de la Metoda 4):</strong></p>
|
|
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 452" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
|
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — daily</text>
|
|
<line x1="24" y1="309.4" x2="606" y2="309.4" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<text x="30" y="303.4" fill="#188a3e">entry 138.23</text>
|
|
<line x1="24" y1="409.5" x2="606" y2="409.5" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
|
<text x="592" y="403.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL inițial 136.80</text>
|
|
<line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="98.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="39.5" y="66.5" width="9" height="21.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="59.0" y1="77.0" x2="59.0" y2="126.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="54.5" y="87.5" width="9" height="28.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="74.0" y1="91.0" x2="74.0" y2="126.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="69.5" y="101.5" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="89.0" y1="91.0" x2="89.0" y2="161.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="84.5" y="101.5" width="9" height="49.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="104.0" y1="140.0" x2="104.0" y2="203.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="99.5" y="150.5" width="9" height="42.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="119.0" y1="168.0" x2="119.0" y2="203.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="114.5" y="178.5" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="134.0" y1="168.0" x2="134.0" y2="238.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="129.5" y="178.5" width="9" height="49.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="149.0" y1="217.0" x2="149.0" y2="280.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="144.5" y="227.5" width="9" height="42.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="164.0" y1="245.0" x2="164.0" y2="280.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="159.5" y="255.5" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="179.0" y1="245.0" x2="179.0" y2="322.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="174.5" y="255.5" width="9" height="56.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="194.0" y1="301.0" x2="194.0" y2="364.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="189.5" y="311.5" width="9" height="42.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="209.0" y1="346.5" x2="209.0" y2="409.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="204.5" y="353.5" width="9" height="35.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="224.0" y1="364.0" x2="224.0" y2="399.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="219.5" y="374.5" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="239.0" y1="323.4" x2="239.0" y2="381.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="234.5" y="332.5" width="9" height="42.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="301.0" x2="254.0" y2="336.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="249.5" y="309.4" width="9" height="23.1" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="269.0" y1="282.1" x2="269.0" y2="336.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="264.5" y="287.0" width="9" height="22.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="276.5" x2="284.0" y2="301.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="279.5" y="287.0" width="9" height="7.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="299.0" y1="283.5" x2="299.0" y2="301.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="294.5" y="283.5" width="9" height="10.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="314.0" y1="280.0" x2="314.0" y2="297.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="309.5" y="283.5" width="9" height="7.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="329.0" y1="262.5" x2="329.0" y2="304.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="324.5" y="266.0" width="9" height="24.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="344.0" y1="266.0" x2="344.0" y2="283.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="339.5" y="266.0" width="9" height="10.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="359.0" y1="269.5" x2="359.0" y2="294.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="354.5" y="276.5" width="9" height="10.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="374.0" y1="280.0" x2="374.0" y2="325.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="369.5" y="287.0" width="9" height="31.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="389.0" y1="308.0" x2="389.0" y2="343.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="384.5" y="318.5" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="404.0" y1="301.0" x2="404.0" y2="343.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="399.5" y="311.5" width="9" height="21.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<text x="269.0" y="376.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">trail 1: 137.85</text>
|
|
<text x="329.0" y="248.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">trail 2: 138.30</text>
|
|
<text x="389.0" y="393.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">close sub 138.30 → exit</text>
|
|
<text x="24" y="440" fill="#555">Trail (linia punctată) = low-ul candelei cu close peste high-ul precedentei.</text>
|
|
<polyline points="246.5,336.0 261.5,336.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="261.5,336.0 276.5,336.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="276.5,336.0 291.5,336.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="291.5,336.0 306.5,336.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="306.5,336.0 321.5,336.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="321.5,304.5 336.5,304.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="336.5,304.5 351.5,304.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="351.5,304.5 366.5,304.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
</svg></p>
|
|
<p><strong>Bear trail — stop-ul coboară treaptă cu treaptă (exemplu construit, direcție short):</strong></p>
|
|
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 402" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
|
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — daily</text>
|
|
<line x1="24" y1="252.0" x2="606" y2="252.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<text x="592" y="246.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">entry short 100.00</text>
|
|
<line x1="44.0" y1="320.0" x2="44.0" y2="360.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="39.5" y="332.0" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="59.0" y1="288.0" x2="59.0" y2="344.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="54.5" y="300.0" width="9" height="32.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="74.0" y1="288.0" x2="74.0" y2="328.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="69.5" y="300.0" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="89.0" y1="256.0" x2="89.0" y2="328.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="84.5" y="268.0" width="9" height="48.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="104.0" y1="216.0" x2="104.0" y2="280.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="99.5" y="228.0" width="9" height="40.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="119.0" y1="216.0" x2="119.0" y2="256.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="114.5" y="228.0" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="134.0" y1="176.0" x2="134.0" y2="256.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="129.5" y="188.0" width="9" height="56.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="149.0" y1="128.0" x2="149.0" y2="200.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="144.5" y="140.0" width="9" height="48.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="164.0" y1="128.0" x2="164.0" y2="168.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="159.5" y="140.0" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="179.0" y1="88.0" x2="179.0" y2="168.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="174.5" y="100.0" width="9" height="56.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="194.0" y1="56.0" x2="194.0" y2="112.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="189.5" y="68.0" width="9" height="32.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="209.0" y1="56.0" x2="209.0" y2="136.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="204.5" y="68.0" width="9" height="56.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="224.0" y1="112.0" x2="224.0" y2="192.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="219.5" y="124.0" width="9" height="56.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="239.0" y1="172.0" x2="239.0" y2="236.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="234.5" y="180.0" width="9" height="32.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="254.0" y1="204.0" x2="254.0" y2="264.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="249.5" y="212.0" width="9" height="40.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="269.0" y1="252.0" x2="269.0" y2="284.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="264.5" y="252.0" width="9" height="8.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="284.0" y1="260.0" x2="284.0" y2="292.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="279.5" y="260.0" width="9" height="20.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="299.0" y1="280.0" x2="299.0" y2="304.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="294.5" y="280.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="314.0" y1="268.0" x2="314.0" y2="332.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="309.5" y="292.0" width="9" height="32.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="329.0" y1="284.0" x2="329.0" y2="332.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="324.5" y="288.0" width="9" height="36.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="344.0" y1="244.0" x2="344.0" y2="300.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="339.5" y="256.0" width="9" height="32.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="359.0" y1="224.0" x2="359.0" y2="268.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="354.5" y="236.0" width="9" height="20.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="374.0" y1="224.0" x2="374.0" y2="256.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="369.5" y="236.0" width="9" height="8.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<text x="314.0" y="358.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">trail 2: 99.80</text>
|
|
<text x="344.0" y="226.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">close peste 99.80 → exit</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="390" fill="#555">Trail (punctat) = high-ul candelei cu close sub low-ul precedentei: 100.60, apoi 99.80.</text>
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<polyline points="246.5,204.0 261.5,204.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<polyline points="261.5,204.0 276.5,204.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<polyline points="276.5,204.0 291.5,204.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<polyline points="291.5,204.0 306.5,204.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<polyline points="306.5,268.0 321.5,268.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<polyline points="321.5,268.0 336.5,268.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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</svg></p>
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<p><strong>Bull reversal / bear reversal</strong> — nu un stop, ci un semnal de forță.
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<strong>Bull reversal</strong> = după un downtrend (unde stop-ul trail era deasupra
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prețului, la high-uri succesive), prima candelă care se închide deasupra
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celui mai recent nivel de trail marchează schimbarea de trend — cu atât
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mai puternic semnalul cu cât acel nivel fusese respectat mai multe candele
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la rând (arată epuizarea vânzătorilor). <strong>Bear reversal</strong> = simetric,
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prima închidere sub trail-ul unui uptrend.</p>
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<h2 id="cum-tranzactionezi-efectiv-determinarea-trendului">Cum tranzacționezi efectiv determinarea trendului</h2>
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<p><strong>De ce urmărești asta:</strong> direcția trend-ului decide direcția în care ai
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voie să cauți trade-uri (nu iei long-uri într-un downtrend confirmat) și,
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prin bull/bear trail, îți dă și mecanismul concret de a-ți muta stop-loss-ul
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pe măsură ce trade-ul merge în profit, în loc să-l lași fix sau să-l ghicești.</p>
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<p><strong>Ce faci când vezi un semnal de schimbare de trend:</strong> nu intri pe un
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singur indicator izolat. Verifici confluența: linia de trend a fost
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violată ȘI RSI a trecut de 50 ȘI/SAU ai o candelă higher/lower closing —
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cu cât se aliniază mai multe metode pe aceeași candelă, cu atât semnalul e
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mai de încredere ("triplu semnal" din training: buy momentum + doji + bull
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reversal pe aceeași candelă).</p>
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<p><strong>Trigger valid vs. prea devreme — DA/NU:</strong></p>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 400 170" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:400px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
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<text x="10" y="20" fill="#188a3e">DA — intri: candelă închisă peste high-ul precedent</text>
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<text x="10" y="35" fill="#188a3e">(higher closing high) + RSI peste 50 + linie de trend violată</text>
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<line x1="20" y1="55" x2="200" y2="55" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
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<rect x="60" y="35" width="16" height="20" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="10" y="90" fill="#c00">NU — nu intri: doar un fitil (wick) trece peste high sau linie,</text>
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<text x="10" y="105" fill="#c00">close-ul revine sub nivel — nicio confirmare reală</text>
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<line x1="220" y1="130" x2="380" y2="130" stroke="#888" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
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<line x1="260" y1="110" x2="260" y2="150" stroke="#c88" stroke-width="2"/>
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<rect x="252" y="128" width="16" height="18" fill="#c88"/>
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</svg></p>
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<h3 id="exemplu-complet-long">Exemplu complet — LONG</h3>
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<p>Context: downtrend anterior, apoi linia de rezistență e violată în sus,
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RSI(10) trece peste 50, iar candela curentă se închide la <strong>138.23</strong>,
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peste high-ul precedent de <strong>138.03</strong> (higher closing high, Metoda 4) —
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triplă confirmare.</p>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>Intrare:</strong> long la 138.23 (pe close-ul candelei de confirmare).</li>
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<li><strong>Stop-loss inițial:</strong> 136.80 — cel mai jos low din ultimele 4 candele
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(regula standard din training). Risc: 1.43.</li>
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<li><strong>Trailing:</strong> următoarea candelă închide peste high-ul candelei de
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intrare → stop-ul se mută la low-ul candelei de intrare, <strong>137.85</strong>.
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Câteva candele mai târziu, o nouă candelă cu close peste high-ul
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anterior mută trail-ul la <strong>138.30</strong>.</li>
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<li><strong>Ieșire (take-profit prin trail, nu target fix):</strong> o candelă se închide
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sub 138.30 → ieși la <strong>138.30</strong>. Profit: 0.07 (mic, dar trail-ul a
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protejat câștigul acumulat în loc să lași tot trade-ul să se întoarcă pe
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minus, exact scenariul "am intrat aici și am ieșit foarte puțin pe
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profit" din training).</li>
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</ul>
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<h3 id="exemplu-complet-short">Exemplu complet — SHORT</h3>
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<p>Context: uptrend anterior, linia de suport violată în jos, RSI(10) trece
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sub 50, candela curentă se închide la <strong>100.00</strong>, sub low-ul precedent de
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<strong>100.20</strong> (lower closing low).</p>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>Intrare:</strong> short la 100.00.</li>
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<li><strong>Stop-loss inițial:</strong> 102.50 — cel mai înalt high din ultimele 4
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candele. Risc: 2.50.</li>
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<li><strong>Trailing:</strong> trail-ul coboară treptat, de la 100.60 la 99.80 pe măsură
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ce apar noi candele cu close sub low-ul precedentei.</li>
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<li><strong>Ieșire:</strong> o candelă se închide peste ultimul nivel de trail, la
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<strong>92.50</strong> — mișcare totală de 7.5% pe short, cifra exactă citată în
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training pentru acest tip de tranzacție cu bear trail.</li>
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</ul>
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<h3 id="exemplu-de-esec-semnal-care-nu-confirma">Exemplu de eșec (semnal care nu confirmă)</h3>
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<p>Nu orice schimbare de trend "pe hârtie" continuă. În training, un semnal
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de short avea și schimbare de linie de trend ȘI bear reversal (dublu
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semnal) — dar RSI(10) nu a căzut sub 50, iar prețul a revenit rapid peste
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nivelul de intrare. Concluzie practică: chiar și cu 2 din 5 metode aliniate,
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lipsa unei a treia confirmări (aici RSI) a fost suficientă ca trade-ul să
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nu meargă — de-aia SL-ul e obligatoriu, nu opțional, indiferent de câte
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confirmări ai.</p>
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<h2 id="gotchas-practice">Gotchas practice</h2>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>RSI(10) peste/sub 50 poate fi tardiv.</strong> Chiar mentorul recunoaște: când
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RSI a trecut înapoi peste 50 după ce căzuse dedesubt, trend-ul se
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inversase deja — semnalul confirmă cu întârziere, nu prezice.</li>
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<li><strong>O singură metodă, izolat, e un semnal slab.</strong> Cele mai convingătoare
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cazuri din training au 2-3 metode aliniate pe aceeași candelă (ex: RSI +
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linie de trend + higher closing high). Nu tranzacționa pe una singură.</li>
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<li><strong>Liniile de trend sunt subiective.</strong> Două persoane pot uni puncte diferite
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și obține linii ușor diferite — folosește-le ca confirmare, nu ca sursă
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unică de semnal (chiar mentorul spune că nu e "mare fan" de linii de trend
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izolate).</li>
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<li><strong>Nu toate semnalele merg — SL e obligatoriu.</strong> Exemplul de eșec de mai
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sus arată explicit că dublu/triplu semnal nu garantează succesul; poziția
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fără stop-loss pregătit dinainte e greșeala reală, nu semnalul fals.</li>
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</ul>
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<h2 id="referinte">Referințe</h2>
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<ul>
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<li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/articles/active-trading/052014/how-use-moving-average-buy-stocks.asp">Investopedia — How to Use a Moving Average to Buy Stocks</a> — trend lines și medii mobile ca filtru de trend.</li>
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<li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/rsi.asp">Investopedia — Relative Strength Index (RSI) Indicator Explained</a> — mecanismul RSI și interpretarea liniei de 50.</li>
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<li><a href="https://www.ig.com/en/trading-strategies/how-to-identify-and-trade-market-trends--230217">IG — How to identify and trade market trends</a> — higher highs/higher lows vs. lower highs/lower lows.</li>
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<li><a href="https://www.oanda.com/us-en/trade-tap-blog/education/risk-management/trailing-stop-loss/">OANDA — Trailing stop loss: what it is and how to use it</a> — mecanismul de trailing stop, aplicabil 1-la-1 la bull/bear trail.</li>
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</ul>
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<hr />
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<p><em>Notă: secțiunea "De ce contează exact închiderea" (mecanismul closing high/
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low), toate diagramele, exemplele numerice complete (long/short cu SL/TP),
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exemplul de eșec și secțiunea de gotchas sunt completări ale mele, dincolo
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de ce spune explicit transcrierea — cursul arată live în TradeStation cele
|
|
5 metode, fără să construiască un exemplu numeric complet de intrare/ieșire
|
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pentru fiecare. Cifrele 138.23/138.03 (higher closing high, bull trail) și
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procentul de 7.5% (bear trail short) sunt citate exact din transcriere;
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restul nivelurilor (stop-loss inițial, trail-urile intermediare, exemplul
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short complet) sunt construite plauzibil pe aceeași scară.</em></p><nav class="pager"><a class="prev" href="06_indicatorul_de_performanta.html">← 06. #6 — Indicatorul de performanță (Relative Strength)</a><a class="up" href="../index.html#03_MODUL_2">↑ index</a><a class="next" href="08_volumul_sangele_pietei.html">08. #8 — Volumul: sângele pieței →</a></nav>
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