5dc4d821ba
Conversie facuta de un agent. Toate exemplele de pret din modul sunt acum serii de 17-33 de bare cu titlu, etichete ancorate si, unde textul le cere, panou de volum sau medie mobila: zone de suport/rezistenta cu pivoti calculati, VWAP calculat din volum, trailing pe MA cu iesirea exacta, money management cu dimensionarea pozitiei in actiuni si contracte, ATR calculat din True Range (5.52), relative strength cu cadrane calculate fata de MA-5, linii de trend care se rup pe close nu pe fitil, RSI(10) Wilder, volum cu histograma derivata, Power cu cadrane, cele doua medii cu valori exacte la bara de semnal, scanere cu doji la 0.39% de suport, si scalping cu inverted H&S. Nimic din folder nu e generat din gen/. Neatinse: schemele conceptuale, cadranele, barele de order flow si indicatorii fara pret. Semnalat de agent, de rezolvat separat: in 10_buysell_momentum_trigger.md, diagrama multi-timeframe (196.97 / 191.80) are textul in contradictie cu desenul; agentul n-a redesenat-o ca sa nu ghiceasca. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01MtSTyTmt6AbCL9j5ajEDm1
563 lines
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563 lines
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<h1 id="modul-2-9-indicatorul-power">Modul 2 / #9 — Indicatorul Power</h1>
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<h2 id="tldr">TLDR</h2>
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<p>Power e o histogramă proprie cursului + o medie mobilă (MA) a histogramei,
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care măsoară <strong>cât de tare/susținut e trend-ul curent</strong> — nu performanța
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relativă la un benchmark, cum face Relative Strength
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(<a href="06_indicatorul_de_performanta.md"><code>06_indicatorul_de_performanta.md</code></a>), ci
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tăria mișcării în sine, plus cât de departe s-a dus prețul de mediile lui
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mobile (zonă de overbought/oversold). În modul "pro" ("color the stages"),
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histograma și panta MA se colorează în <strong>patru cadrane</strong>, aceeași logică
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1/2/3/4 ca la Relative Strength. Cea mai mare valoare practică din curs:
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Power e descris explicit ca <strong>cel mai rapid indicator leading</strong> din cei trei
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folosiți (Power, Relative Strength, Volum) — reacționează prin divergență
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înaintea celorlalți doi, deci anunță o schimbare de trend din timp.</p>
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<h2 id="cele-patru-cadrane-color-the-stages">Cele patru cadrane (color the stages)</h2>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 420 320" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="10" y="15" fill="#666">Power (histogramă) ↑</text>
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<text x="385" y="155" fill="#666">0</text>
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<polyline points="70,80 160,215 250,80 340,190" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="20" y="300" fill="#333">- - - MA (media mobilă a histogramei Power)</text>
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<rect x="50" y="50" width="40" height="100" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<text x="15" y="40" fill="#1a5fb4">1: trend foarte puternic</text>
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<text x="100" y="207" fill="#c025b0">2: îmbunătățire (magenta)</text>
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<text x="205" y="92" fill="#0d3868">3: înrăutățire</text>
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<text x="292" y="236" fill="#c00">4: subperformanță</text>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>Cadranul 1 — trend foarte puternic:</strong> histograma peste 0 ȘI peste MA.
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Trend-ul e susținut și încă accelerează. De preferat pentru long.</li>
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<li><strong>Cadranul 2 — îmbunătățire (magenta):</strong> histograma sub 0, dar peste MA —
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în curs vine explicit din zona de downtrend, semn de posibilă revenire
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spre uptrend. De preferat, alături de cadranul 1, pentru long.</li>
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<li><strong>Cadranul 3 — înrăutățire:</strong> histograma peste 0, dar sub MA — trend-ul
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încă arată pozitiv per total, dar vine din cadranul 1 și pierde teren;
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primul semn că trend-ul "e pe sfârșite".</li>
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<li><strong>Cadranul 4 — subperformanță:</strong> histograma sub 0 ȘI sub MA, culoare
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roșie — schimbarea de trend e deja confirmată (downtrend sau consolidare).</li>
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</ul>
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<p><em>Notă despre transcriere: cursul descrie cadranele 1-2-4 relativ clar
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(cadranul 1 = trend strong, cadranul 2 = revenire din downtrend, cadranul 4 =
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subperformanță confirmată, histograma roșie sub 0), dar cadranul 3 e descris
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doar narativ ("vin din cadranul 1 și trec spre subperformanță"). Poziția
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exactă (peste 0, sub MA) e completarea mea, dedusă din aceeași logică
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folosită deja la Relative Strength — cadranele 1-2 trebuie să acopere "peste
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MA" iar 3-4 "sub MA", altfel cele patru cadrane nu s-ar acoperi complet.</em></p>
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<h2 id="ce-inseamna-mecanic-peste-0-si-peste-ma-aici-pe-power">Ce înseamnă mecanic "peste 0" și "peste MA" — aici, pe Power</h2>
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<p>Prima dată când introduc ideea în acest fișier, o explic o singură dată
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înainte de a o folosi mai jos. Linia de 0 nu compară cu un benchmark (ca la
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RS) — separă "trend activ, cu putere reală" (peste 0) de "trend slab sau
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inexistent" (sub 0). MA-ul histogramei e media ultimelor valori de putere a
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trend-ului: peste MA înseamnă puterea curentă <strong>crește</strong> față de recent
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(accelerare), sub MA înseamnă <strong>scade</strong> chiar dacă semnul nu s-a schimbat
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încă. De-aia cadranul 2 (sub 0, dar peste MA) prinde revenirea de trend
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<strong>înainte</strong> ca histograma să treacă efectiv peste 0 — arată accelerare a
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puterii, nu putere pozitivă încă atinsă. Simetric, cadranul 3 (peste 0, dar
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sub MA) arată un trend încă pozitiv, dar care încetinește, cu bare tot mai
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mici — bară mai mare decât precedenta = trend care se întărește, bară mai
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mică decât precedenta = trend care slăbește, exact ce spune cursul explicit
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la început (linia 5 din transcriere).</p>
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<p>MA-ul reacționează mai lent decât histograma (transcriere, linia 9) — de-aia
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prima verificare e mereu histograma, panta MA e confirmarea de-al doilea
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pas, nu semnalul principal.</p>
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<h2 id="zone-de-overboughtoversold-mecanismul">Zone de overbought/oversold — mecanismul</h2>
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<p>Pe lângă tăria trend-ului, Power măsoară <strong>cât de departe e prețul de cele
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două medii mobile ale lui</strong>. Mecanismul, o singură dată: o medie mobilă e
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media prețurilor recente — cu cât prețul curent se îndepărtează mai mult de
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ea, cu atât mai mulți traderi din piață au poziții deschise departe de
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"prețul mediu recent", ceea ce înseamnă mai multă presiune latentă de
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revenire (profit-taking pentru cei care au prins mișcarea, sau mean
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reversion pentru cei care pariază pe revenire la medie) — de-aia distanța
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mare de MA tinde statistic să se reducă, fie prin corecție de preț, fie prin
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MA care "prinde din urmă" prețul.</p>
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — daily</text>
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<text x="389.0" y="42.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">distanță mare = overbought</text>
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<text x="24" y="411" fill="#555">Albastru punctat = moving average; roșu = distanța față de preț (risc de corecție).</text>
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</svg></p>
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<p>Aceeași logică, oglindit, pentru oversold: prețul mult sub mediile lui
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mobile → presiune latentă de revenire în sus.</p>
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<h2 id="divergente-bullbear-pe-power-cel-mai-rapid-dintre-cei-trei-indicatori">Divergențe bull/bear pe Power — cel mai rapid dintre cei trei indicatori</h2>
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<p>Aceeași idee ca divergența pe volum din
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<a href="../01_MODUL_1/06_divergente.md"><code>01_MODUL_1/06_divergente.md</code></a> — prețul face
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un nou extrem, dar histograma Power nu confirmă (face un extrem mai slab) —
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aplicată pe tăria trend-ului. Cursul insistă pe un punct specific: în
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exemplele reale (Google, Pfizer, McDonald's), divergența pe Power apare
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<strong>înaintea</strong> divergenței pe Relative Strength și pe Volum — de-aia e numit
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"leading, total leading" (transcriere, linia 96). Practic: dacă vezi
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divergență pe Power dar RS/Volum încă nu arată nimic, nu ignora semnalul
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doar pentru că celelalte două nu-l confirmă încă — ele pot confirma mai
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târziu, după ce mișcarea a pornit deja.</p>
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<h2 id="long-vs-short-dupa-cadran">Long vs short după cadran</h2>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>Long:</strong> cauți cadranul 1 sau 2, ideal cu prețul la suport.</li>
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<li><strong>Short:</strong> cauți cadranul 3 sau 4, ideal cu prețul la rezistență.</li>
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</ul>
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<p>La fel ca la RS, cadranul singur nu e un semnal de intrare — e context. Fără
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un nivel de preț (suport/rezistență) care să dea un stop-loss logic, un
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cadran favorabil e doar "trend-ul arată bine acum", nu un trigger.</p>
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<h2 id="cum-tranzactionezi-efectiv-power-de-la-filtru-la-trade">Cum tranzacționezi efectiv Power — de la filtru la trade</h2>
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<p><strong>De ce urmărești asta, concret:</strong> te ajută să detectezi o schimbare de
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trend cu câteva bare înainte ca prețul să o confirme vizual — reduce șansa
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să rămâi într-un trade după ce puterea reală din spatele mișcării a
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dispărut deja, chiar dacă prețul încă nu a întors.</p>
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<p><strong>Ce faci când îl vezi:</strong> verifici cadranul curent (1/2 pentru long, 3/4
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pentru short), cauți divergență bull/bear ca semnal timpuriu, și confirmi cu
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un nivel de preț (suport/rezistență) — nu intri doar pe divergența Power,
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la fel ca la orice set-up.</p>
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<p><strong>Trigger valid vs. prea devreme — DA/NU:</strong>
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- <strong>DA:</strong> divergență Power (histogramă face extrem mai slab decât prețul) +
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preț la suport/rezistență + candelă de confirmare pe preț.
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- <strong>NU:</strong> divergență Power vizibilă, dar prețul e la mijlocul range-ului,
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fără nivel care să dea un stop-loss logic ("chasing" pe un singur
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indicator).
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- <strong>NU:</strong> cadranul potrivit (1/2), dar fără nicio schimbare recentă de
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cadran și fără divergență — doar "trend-ul e puternic acum" nu e un
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trigger de intrare, e confirmare pentru un trigger găsit în altă parte.</p>
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<h3 id="exemplu-1-long-eurusd-divergenta-bull-la-suport-cadranul-42">Exemplu 1 — Long: EURUSD, divergență bull la suport, cadranul 4→2</h3>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 556" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">EURUSD — daily</text>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP 1.0925 — rezistența anterioară</text>
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<text x="592" y="242.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">entry 1.0861 (break peste trigger 1.0856)</text>
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<text x="592" y="275.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">1.0850 — suport weekly</text>
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<rect x="114.5" y="113.0" width="9" height="36.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="140.0" x2="134.0" y2="185.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="164.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="164.0" width="9" height="39.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="170.0" x2="389.0" y2="200.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="179.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="146.0" x2="404.0" y2="200.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="155.0" width="9" height="36.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="119.0" x2="419.0" y2="164.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="128.0" width="9" height="27.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="119.0" x2="434.0" y2="149.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<text x="179.0" y="267.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A: 1.0862</text>
|
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<text x="314.0" y="341.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B: 1.0838</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="376" fill="#555">Power (histogramă) + MA-5 punctat</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="453.0" x2="606" y2="453.0" stroke="#888"/>
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<text x="600" y="457.0" fill="#666">0</text>
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<rect x="39.5" y="442.1" width="9" height="10.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="449.4" width="9" height="3.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="7.3" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="14.6" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="21.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="29.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="36.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="40.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="47.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="51.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="40.1" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="32.8" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="29.1" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="32.8" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="36.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="32.8" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="29.1" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="25.5" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="10.9" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="453.0" width="9" height="3.6" fill="#e05fd0"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="449.4" width="9" height="3.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="442.1" width="9" height="10.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="438.4" width="9" height="14.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="434.8" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="431.1" width="9" height="21.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="427.5" width="9" height="25.5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<polyline points="104.0,458.8 119.0,466.8 134.0,474.9 149.0,481.4 164.0,488.0 179.0,493.8 194.0,496.0 209.0,495.3 224.0,493.1 239.0,490.2 254.0,487.2 269.0,485.8 284.0,485.1 299.0,484.3 314.0,481.4 329.0,476.3 344.0,470.5 359.0,463.9 374.0,456.6 389.0,450.1 404.0,444.3 419.0,439.2 434.0,434.8" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="179.0" y="519.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A: -1.4 (cadran 4)</text>
|
||
<text x="314.0" y="447.0" fill="#c025b0" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B: -0.5 (cadran 2)</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="546" fill="#555">Higher low pe Power în timp ce prețul face minim nou = divergență bull.</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<p>La primul minim (A, 1.0862) Power e la -1.4, cadranul 4 — trend-ul de
|
||
scădere e confirmat și puternic. La al doilea minim (B, 1.0838, sub suportul
|
||
de 1.0850), Power urcă la -0.5 și trece peste propriul MA — cadranul 2,
|
||
îmbunătățire — deși prețul a coborât mai jos. Divergență bull. Confirmare:
|
||
candelă bullish, închide la 1.0856. Intrare <strong>long 1.0861</strong> (break peste
|
||
high-ul candelei de confirmare). Stop-loss <strong>1.0833</strong> (sub B — dacă prețul
|
||
recoboară acolo, divergența e invalidată). Take-profit <strong>1.0925</strong>
|
||
(rezistența anterioară). Risc 28 pips, recompensă 64 pips → risc/recompensă
|
||
≈ 1:2.3.</p>
|
||
<h3 id="exemplu-2-short-xom-divergenta-bear-la-rezistenta-cadranul-13">Exemplu 2 — Short: XOM, divergență bear la rezistență, cadranul 1→3</h3>
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 681" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">XOM — daily</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 118.30 — peste maximul B</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="72.5" x2="606" y2="72.5" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="66.5" fill="#1a5fb4">118.00 — rezistență monthly</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="160.5" x2="606" y2="160.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="154.5" fill="#1a1a1a" text-anchor="end">intrare short 116.40</text>
|
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<text x="592" y="451.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP 111.00 — suportul anterior</text>
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<rect x="39.5" y="424.5" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="388.7" x2="59.0" y2="432.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="397.0" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="388.7" x2="74.0" y2="421.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="397.0" width="9" height="16.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="361.2" x2="89.0" y2="421.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="369.5" width="9" height="44.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="331.0" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="298.0" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="251.2" x2="134.0" y2="306.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="259.5" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="207.2" x2="149.0" y2="267.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="188.0" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="138.5" x2="179.0" y2="196.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="155.0" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="179.7" x2="209.0" y2="234.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="218.2" x2="224.0" y2="256.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="226.5" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="212.7" x2="239.0" y2="256.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="221.0" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="174.2" x2="254.0" y2="229.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="182.5" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="141.2" x2="269.0" y2="190.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="149.5" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="113.7" x2="284.0" y2="157.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="122.0" width="9" height="27.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="102.7" x2="299.0" y2="130.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="111.0" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="78.0" x2="314.0" y2="119.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="94.5" width="9" height="16.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="89.0" x2="329.0" y2="157.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="94.5" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="127.5" x2="344.0" y2="179.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="339.5" y="133.0" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="359.0" y1="163.2" x2="359.0" y2="212.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="354.5" y="171.5" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="196.2" x2="374.0" y2="251.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="204.5" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="212.7" x2="389.0" y2="251.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="221.0" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="212.7" x2="404.0" y2="273.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||
<rect x="399.5" y="221.0" width="9" height="44.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="256.7" x2="419.0" y2="311.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="265.0" width="9" height="38.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="434.0" y1="295.2" x2="434.0" y2="344.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="303.5" width="9" height="33.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="449.0" y1="311.7" x2="449.0" y2="344.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="320.0" width="9" height="16.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<text x="179.0" y="128.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A: 116.80</text>
|
||
<text x="314.0" y="199.3" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B: 117.90</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="501" fill="#555">Power (histogramă) + MA-5 punctat</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="578.0" x2="606" y2="578.0" stroke="#888"/>
|
||
<text x="600" y="582.0" fill="#666">0</text>
|
||
<rect x="39.5" y="574.8" width="9" height="3.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="54.5" y="568.4" width="9" height="9.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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||
<rect x="69.5" y="562.1" width="9" height="15.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="84.5" y="555.7" width="9" height="22.3" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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||
<rect x="99.5" y="552.5" width="9" height="25.5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="114.5" y="549.3" width="9" height="28.7" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="129.5" y="542.9" width="9" height="35.1" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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||
<rect x="144.5" y="539.8" width="9" height="38.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="159.5" y="533.4" width="9" height="44.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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||
<rect x="174.5" y="527.0" width="9" height="51.0" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="189.5" y="536.6" width="9" height="41.4" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="542.9" width="9" height="35.1" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="546.1" width="9" height="31.9" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="542.9" width="9" height="35.1" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="542.9" width="9" height="35.1" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="546.1" width="9" height="31.9" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="549.3" width="9" height="28.7" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="552.5" width="9" height="25.5" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="558.9" width="9" height="19.1" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="568.4" width="9" height="9.6" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="574.8" width="9" height="3.2" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="3.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="9.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="6.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="12.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="15.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="19.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="578.0" width="9" height="15.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<polyline points="104.0,562.7 119.0,557.6 134.0,552.5 149.0,548.0 164.0,543.6 179.0,538.5 194.0,535.9 209.0,535.9 224.0,537.2 239.0,539.1 254.0,542.3 269.0,544.2 284.0,545.5 299.0,546.8 314.0,550.0 329.0,555.0 344.0,560.8 359.0,567.2 374.0,574.2 389.0,579.3 404.0,583.7 419.0,587.6 434.0,590.8 449.0,592.0" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="179.0" y="521.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A: +1.6 (cadran 1)</text>
|
||
<text x="314.0" y="593.0" fill="#0d3868" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B: +0.6 (cadran 3)</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="671" fill="#555">Risc 1.90, câștig 5.40 (2.84R). Power face maxim mai mic: divergență bear.</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<p>La primul maxim (A, 116.80) Power e la +1.6, cadranul 1 — trend-ul de
|
||
creștere era încă foarte puternic. La al doilea maxim (B, 117.90, maxim
|
||
nou), Power scade la +0.6 și trece sub propriul MA — cadranul 3,
|
||
înrăutățire — deși prețul a urcat mai sus. Divergență bear. Confirmare:
|
||
candelă bearish, închide la 116.90. Intrare <strong>short 116.40</strong> (break sub
|
||
low-ul candelei). Stop-loss <strong>118.30</strong> (peste B). Take-profit <strong>111.00</strong>
|
||
(suportul anterior). Risc 1.90 (118.30 − 116.40), recompensă 5.40 (116.40 −
|
||
111.00) → risc/recompensă ≈ 1:2.8 — un stop strâns, chiar deasupra
|
||
rezistenței sparte, e ce face raportul favorabil aici; dacă stop-loss-ul
|
||
ar fi trebuit plasat mult mai departe de rezistență (de ex. peste un swing
|
||
high mai vechi), raportul s-ar deteriora rapid, exact genul de calcul pe
|
||
care Power singur nu-l face în locul tău.</p>
|
||
<h3 id="exemplu-3-folosirea-power-ca-semnal-de-marcare-partiala-de-profit">Exemplu 3 — folosirea Power ca semnal de marcare parțială de profit</h3>
|
||
<p>Cursul descrie explicit acest caz (transcriere, liniile 98-104): ești deja
|
||
<strong>long</strong> dintr-un trade anterior; nu ai nevoie de un semnal nou de intrare,
|
||
ci de un semnal de ieșire parțială. Pe măsură ce trend-ul avansează, Power
|
||
trece din cadranul 1 în cadranul 3 (înrăutățire) — asta nu invalidează încă
|
||
trade-ul (nu e cadranul 4), dar e semnalul să începi să marchezi profit pe o
|
||
parte din poziție, mai ales dacă prețul se apropie de o rezistență
|
||
cunoscută.</p>
|
||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 525" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — daily</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">118.00 — rezistență</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="290.0" x2="606" y2="290.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
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<text x="592" y="284.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">entry inițial 100.00</text>
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<line x1="44.0" y1="285.5" x2="44.0" y2="301.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.5" y="290.0" width="9" height="6.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="273.8" x2="59.0" y2="294.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="278.3" width="9" height="11.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="264.7" x2="74.0" y2="282.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="269.2" width="9" height="9.1" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="264.7" x2="89.0" y2="278.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="269.2" width="9" height="5.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="254.2" x2="104.0" y2="278.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="258.8" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="242.6" x2="119.0" y2="263.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="247.1" width="9" height="11.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="242.6" x2="134.0" y2="255.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="247.1" width="9" height="3.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="230.9" x2="149.0" y2="255.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="235.4" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="219.2" x2="164.0" y2="239.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="223.7" width="9" height="11.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="219.2" x2="179.0" y2="232.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="223.7" width="9" height="3.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="194.0" y1="207.5" x2="194.0" y2="232.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="145.1" x2="314.0" y2="158.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="149.6" width="9" height="3.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="130.8" x2="329.0" y2="158.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="135.3" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="117.8" x2="344.0" y2="139.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="122.3" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="106.1" x2="359.0" y2="126.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="110.6" width="9" height="11.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="91.8" x2="374.0" y2="115.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="96.3" width="9" height="14.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="76.2" x2="389.0" y2="100.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="80.7" width="9" height="15.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="58.0" x2="404.0" y2="85.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="62.5" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="58.0" x2="419.0" y2="72.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="62.5" width="9" height="5.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="56.7" x2="434.0" y2="72.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="61.2" width="9" height="6.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="449.0" y1="56.7" x2="449.0" y2="69.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="61.2" width="9" height="3.9" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="404.0" y="145.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">50% la ~117.50</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="345" fill="#555">Power (histogramă) + MA-5 punctat</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="422.0" x2="606" y2="422.0" stroke="#888"/>
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<text x="600" y="426.0" fill="#666">0</text>
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<rect x="39.5" y="417.8" width="9" height="4.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="415.6" width="9" height="6.4" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="413.5" width="9" height="8.5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="411.4" width="9" height="10.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="409.2" width="9" height="12.8" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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||
<rect x="114.5" y="407.1" width="9" height="14.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="405.0" width="9" height="17.0" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="402.9" width="9" height="19.1" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="400.8" width="9" height="21.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="398.6" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="396.5" width="9" height="25.5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="394.4" width="9" height="27.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="219.5" y="392.2" width="9" height="29.8" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="234.5" y="390.1" width="9" height="31.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="249.5" y="388.0" width="9" height="34.0" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="385.9" width="9" height="36.1" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="383.8" width="9" height="38.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="381.6" width="9" height="40.4" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="379.5" width="9" height="42.5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="377.4" width="9" height="44.6" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
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<rect x="339.5" y="375.2" width="9" height="46.8" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="373.1" width="9" height="48.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="372.1" width="9" height="49.9" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="371.0" width="9" height="51.0" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="379.5" width="9" height="42.5" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="383.8" width="9" height="38.2" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="381.6" width="9" height="40.4" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="388.0" width="9" height="34.0" fill="#0d3868"/>
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<polyline points="104.0,413.5 119.0,411.4 134.0,409.2 149.0,407.1 164.0,405.0 179.0,402.9 194.0,400.8 209.0,398.6 224.0,396.5 239.0,394.4 254.0,392.2 269.0,390.1 284.0,388.0 299.0,385.9 314.0,383.8 329.0,381.6 344.0,379.5 359.0,377.4 374.0,375.5 389.0,373.8 404.0,374.2 419.0,375.9 434.0,377.6 449.0,380.8" fill="none" stroke="#333" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="224.0" y="386.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">cadranul 1</text>
|
||
<text x="404.0" y="355.5" fill="#0d3868" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">cadranul 3 → marchezi profit</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="515" fill="#555">Long deja deschis: marchezi 50%, restul rulează cu stop la break-even.</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<p>Intrare inițială long 100.00. Prețul urcă, Power stă în cadranul 1 tot
|
||
drumul — nimic de făcut, lași profitul să curgă. Când prețul se apropie de
|
||
rezistența 118.00 și Power trece în cadranul 3, marchezi profit pe jumătate
|
||
din poziție (~117.50) și, pentru restul, urci stop-loss-ul la break-even
|
||
(100.00) sau mai sus — prețul poate continua (cum s-a și întâmplat în
|
||
exemplul din curs), dar dacă Power trece mai departe în cadranul 4 confirmi
|
||
că trend-ul chiar s-a schimbat și ieși complet din rest.</p>
|
||
<h2 id="gotchas-practice-cele-mai-importante">Gotchas practice — cele mai importante</h2>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><strong>Nu aștepta cadranul 4 ca să reacționezi dacă ești deja în profit.</strong>
|
||
Cadranul 3 (înrăutățire) e semnalul de "începe să te pregătești", nu
|
||
cadranul 4 — până acolo poți pierde deja o parte din profit acumulat.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Divergența pe Power poate apărea înaintea RS și Volumului — nu aștepta
|
||
confirmarea lor ca să iei semnalul în calcul</strong>, dar tot ai nevoie de un
|
||
nivel de preț și o candelă de confirmare înainte să intri, nu doar de
|
||
divergența singură.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Nu tranzacționa doar pe cadran, fără nivel de preț</strong> — la fel ca la
|
||
Relative Strength, cadranul 1 fără context de suport/rezistență nu-ți dă
|
||
un punct de intrare, stop sau target.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Panta MA-ului reacționează cu întârziere</strong> — folosește-o ca a doua
|
||
confirmare, nu ca primul semnal; primul e mereu histograma.</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
<h2 id="referinte">Referințe</h2>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><a href="https://chartschool.stockcharts.com/table-of-contents/chart-analysis/chart-types/relative-rotation-graphs-rrg-charts">StockCharts ChartSchool — Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG Charts)</a> — aceeași structură conceptuală de patru cadrane (leading/weakening/lagging/improving) ca "color the stages" de aici.</li>
|
||
<li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/articles/technical/03/052103.asp">Investopedia — Overbought or Oversold? Use the Relative Strength Index to Find Out</a> — mecanismul general al distanței preț-medie mobilă ca semnal de overbought/oversold, aceeași idee ca zona respectivă a Power-ului.</li>
|
||
<li><a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/divergence.asp">Investopedia — Divergence: What It Means and How It Works in Investing</a> — definiția generală a divergenței bull/bear folosită și aici.</li>
|
||
<li><a href="https://chartschool.stockcharts.com/table-of-contents/technical-indicators-and-overlays/technical-overlays/moving-averages">StockCharts ChartSchool — Moving Averages</a> — rolul mediei mobile ca linie de referință pentru "cât de departe s-a dus prețul".</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
<hr />
|
||
<p><em>Notă: secțiunea "Ce înseamnă mecanic", "Zone de overbought/oversold" (cu
|
||
diagramă), poziția exactă a cadranului 3, secțiunea "Cum tranzacționezi
|
||
efectiv", toate cele trei exemple numerice cu diagrame (EURUSD, XOM, marcare
|
||
parțială de profit) și gotchas-urile sunt completări ale mele, dincolo de ce
|
||
spune explicit transcrierea — cursul descrie mecanismul calitativ (cadrane,
|
||
divergență, overbought/oversold, marcare de profit) pe grafice live din
|
||
TradeStation, fără niveluri de intrare/stop/target explicite.</em></p>
|
||
</body>
|
||
</html>
|