Scrisa de un agent, cu noul standard de diagrame: 12 grafice reale, serii continue de 30-42 de bare, cu panou de volum si, la strategia de divergenta, un panou de Momentum(28) calculat cu formula lui (close minus close-ul de acum 28 de bare). 61 de assert-uri in generator. Continut: semnalele care anunta o corectie (volum pe put-uri, VIX), buy doji weekly cu intrare in trei transe, marubozu care "sta in picioare" cat timp nu inchide sub open (DA/NU), double bottom cu al doilea picior mai jos (cand merge si cand nu), strategia completa de divergenta cu Momentum, canal de trend, bull flag cu cele doua tinte, si de ce nu recomanda inca optiunile. 11 intrari noi in INDEX_TEMATIC.md. Referintele sunt IG si Cboe, nu Investopedia: agentul n-a putut verifica linkurile Investopedia din mediul lui, deci nu le-a pus. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01MtSTyTmt6AbCL9j5ajEDm1
679 lines
53 KiB
HTML
679 lines
53 KiB
HTML
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<title>Modul 2 / #3 — Setup multi-timeframe pentru trading</title>
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<h1 id="modul-2-3-setup-multi-timeframe-pentru-trading">Modul 2 / #3 — Setup multi-timeframe pentru trading</h1>
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<h2 id="tldr">TLDR</h2>
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<p>Workspace-ul de trading se construiește cu 6 chart-uri ale aceluiași
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instrument, pe 6 intervale diferite (5 min, 15 min, 60 min, Daily, Weekly,
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Monthly), toate cu aceiași indicatori și legate între ele ("global link") ca
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să se actualizeze simultan la schimbarea simbolului. Scopul nu e estetic —
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e ca <strong>decizia de trade să nu se ia izolat pe un singur interval</strong>: cauți
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mai întâi direcția pe timeframe-urile mari (context/bias), abia apoi
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intrarea exactă pe cele mici (trigger). Fără acest pas, poți intra long pe
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5 minute exact când Daily/Weekly sunt încă într-un downtrend puternic —
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probabilitate mică de succes, risc de a fi "luat" de mișcarea mare.</p>
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<h2 id="cum-se-construieste-workspace-ul-6-panouri">Cum se construiește workspace-ul (6 panouri)</h2>
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<p>Cele 6 chart-uri, cu aceiași indicatori pe fiecare: <strong>5 min, 15 min, 60 min,
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Daily, Weekly, Monthly</strong>. În curs, panourile se construiesc de la mic la
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mare (mai rapid: se copiază primul chart cu tot cu indicatori, se schimbă
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doar time frame-ul) — dar asta e doar un truc de eficiență în platformă
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(TradeStation), nu convenția de citire.</p>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 90" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:620px;height:auto;font:11px sans-serif">
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<rect x="10" y="10" width="90" height="40" fill="#eee" stroke="#999"/>
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<text x="30" y="34" fill="#333">5 min</text>
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<rect x="110" y="10" width="90" height="40" fill="#eee" stroke="#999"/>
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<text x="125" y="34" fill="#333">15 min</text>
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<rect x="210" y="10" width="90" height="40" fill="#eee" stroke="#999"/>
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<text x="225" y="34" fill="#333">60 min</text>
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<rect x="310" y="10" width="90" height="40" fill="#eee" stroke="#999"/>
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<text x="330" y="34" fill="#333">Daily</text>
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<rect x="410" y="10" width="90" height="40" fill="#eee" stroke="#999"/>
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<text x="425" y="34" fill="#333">Weekly</text>
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<rect x="510" y="10" width="90" height="40" fill="#eee" stroke="#999"/>
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<text x="522" y="34" fill="#333">Monthly</text>
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<text x="180" y="85" fill="#1a5fb4">citire pentru decizii de trade: mare → mic (context → intrare)</text>
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<defs><marker id="arr" markerWidth="8" markerHeight="8" refX="4" refY="4" orient="auto"><path d="M0,0 L8,4 L0,8 z" fill="#1a5fb4"/></marker></defs>
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</svg></p>
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<p>Fiecare chart primește aceiași indicatori: Relative Strength, Volum, Power,
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semnale de trigger (moving averages), Trailing Stop, divergențe bull/bear
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pe momentum/volum/power (mecanismul e detaliat în
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<code>01_MODUL_1/06_divergente.md</code>), suport/rezistență din pivot points,
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pattern-uri automate (ex. Triangle) și — doar pe intervalele sub Daily —
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VWAP. Pe Daily și Weekly se adaugă și 4 medii mobile simple (10, 20, 50,
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200), setate să nu afișeze istoric, doar nivelul curent, ca reper rapid de
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poziție a prețului față de ele.</p>
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<h2 id="de-ce-conteaza-ordinea-de-citire-mecanismul-nu-doar-afirmatia">De ce contează ordinea de citire — mecanismul, nu doar afirmația</h2>
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<p>Mai jos folosesc de mai multe ori ideea că "trendul de pe timeframe-ul mare
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domină". O explic o singură dată, mecanic, înainte de a o aplica.</p>
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<p>Pe orice interval mic (5 min, 15 min), majoritatea volumului vine din
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tranzacții mici, reactive la zgomot de preț pe termen scurt. Pe intervalele
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mari (Daily, Weekly, Monthly), o singură bară agregă zile/săptămâni întregi
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de tranzacționare — reflectă poziționarea acumulată a capitalului mare
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(fonduri, market makers), care nu intră/iese într-o singură candelă. Când
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un trend hotărât pe Daily/Weekly există, o mișcare contrară pe 5 minute e,
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cel mai adesea, doar zgomot <strong>în interiorul</strong> acelui trend, nu o schimbare
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reală de direcție — motiv pentru care un semnal de cumpărare pe 5 minute,
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luat izolat, contra unui downtrend puternic pe Daily, are șanse mai mici să
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țină: te pui împotriva poziționării mult mai mari care încă domină prețul.</p>
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<h2 id="termen-nou-pivot-point-si-ierarhia-lui-pe-timeframe-uri">Termen nou: pivot point și ierarhia lui pe timeframe-uri</h2>
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<p><strong>Pivot point</strong> = nivel de preț calculat automat din high/low/close-ul unei
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perioade anterioare (ex. ziua precedentă), folosit ca reper de
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suport/rezistență pentru perioada curentă — mulți traderi/algoritmi
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calculează același nivel, deci acolo apare adesea reacție reală de preț.</p>
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<p>Regula din curs: fiecare chart folosește pivoții calculați dintr-o perioadă
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<strong>cu un nivel mai mare</strong> decât timeframe-ul lui — nu pivoții propriei
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perioade:</p>
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<table>
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<thead>
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<tr>
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<th>Chart</th>
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<th>Pivoți folosiți</th>
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</tr>
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</thead>
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<tbody>
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<tr>
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<td>5 min</td>
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<td>Daily</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td>15 min, 60 min</td>
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<td>Weekly</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td>Daily</td>
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<td>Monthly</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td>Weekly</td>
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<td>Quarterly</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td>Monthly</td>
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<td>Yearly</td>
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</tr>
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</tbody>
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</table>
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<text x="20" y="26" fill="#333">Yearly (pivoți pt. chart Monthly)</text>
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<rect x="25" y="32" width="410" height="80" fill="none" stroke="#999"/>
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<text x="35" y="48" fill="#333">Quarterly (pivoți pt. chart Weekly)</text>
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<rect x="40" y="54" width="380" height="50" fill="none" stroke="#999"/>
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<text x="50" y="70" fill="#333">Monthly (pivoți pt. chart Daily)</text>
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<rect x="55" y="76" width="350" height="20" fill="none" stroke="#999"/>
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<text x="65" y="90" fill="#333">Weekly (pivoți pt. chart 15/60 min) · Daily (pivoți pt. chart 5 min)</text>
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</svg></p>
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<p>Mecanismul din spate e același ca la trend: un nivel calculat dintr-o
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perioadă mai lungă e urmărit de mai mulți participanți mari, deci reacția
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de preț acolo e mai fiabilă decât un pivot calculat din propria bară mică.</p>
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<h2 id="termen-nou-vwap-volume-weighted-average-price">Termen nou: VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)</h2>
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<p><strong>VWAP</strong> = un moving average de preț combinat cu volum, valabil <strong>doar
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intraday</strong> (sub Daily) — se resetează/nu are sens pe Daily, Weekly, Monthly.
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Funcționează ca linie dinamică de suport/rezistență: cât timp prețul stă
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deasupra, contextul e bullish (linia se colorează albastru în platformă);
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sub ea, bearish (portocaliu).</p>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 421" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MA — 5 min</text>
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<rect x="444.5" y="329.0" width="9" height="49.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="459.5" y="325.9" width="9" height="52.9" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="474.5" y="322.8" width="9" height="56.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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|
<text x="24" y="302.8" fill="#555">volum</text>
|
|
<text x="149.0" y="180.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">peste VWAP — bull</text>
|
|
<text x="329.0" y="264.8" fill="#c88" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sub VWAP — bear</text>
|
|
<text x="389.0" y="129.0" fill="#c88" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">pullback la linie</text>
|
|
<text x="24" y="409" fill="#555">VWAP: albastru cu prețul deasupra, portocaliu cu prețul dedesubt.</text>
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|
<polyline points="44.0,181.1 59.0,173.6" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="59.0,173.6 74.0,170.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="74.0,170.5 89.0,164.6" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="89.0,164.6 104.0,156.3" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="104.0,156.3 119.0,151.7" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="119.0,151.7 134.0,144.4" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="134.0,144.4 149.0,137.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="149.0,137.5 164.0,133.1" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="164.0,133.1 179.0,127.8" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="179.0,127.8 194.0,123.4" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="194.0,123.4 209.0,120.5" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="209.0,120.5 224.0,119.3" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="224.0,119.3 239.0,120.0" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="239.0,120.0 254.0,122.8" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="254.0,122.8 269.0,126.7" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="269.0,126.7 284.0,132.0" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="284.0,132.0 299.0,135.1" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="299.0,135.1 314.0,139.7" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="314.0,139.7 329.0,144.5" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="329.0,144.5 344.0,147.4" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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<polyline points="344.0,147.4 359.0,149.5" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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|
<polyline points="359.0,149.5 374.0,150.6" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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|
<polyline points="374.0,150.6 389.0,151.0" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="389.0,151.0 404.0,151.8" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="404.0,151.8 419.0,153.6" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="419.0,153.6 434.0,156.1" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<polyline points="434.0,156.1 449.0,159.2" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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|
<polyline points="449.0,159.2 464.0,162.8" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
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|
<polyline points="464.0,162.8 479.0,167.0" fill="none" stroke="#d08a1e" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="5 3"/>
|
|
<text x="487" y="171" fill="#1a5fb4">VWAP</text>
|
|
</svg></p>
|
|
<h2 id="termen-nou-trailing-stop">Termen nou: Trailing Stop</h2>
|
|
<p><strong>Trailing Stop</strong> = un nivel de suport/rezistență care "urcă"/"coboară" cu
|
|
prețul, calculat automat: fiecare candelă care se închide peste high-ul
|
|
candelei precedente face ca <strong>low-ul acelei candele</strong> să devină noul nivel
|
|
de suport (trail); simetric la short, cu high-ul candelei ca rezistență.
|
|
Cât timp prețul nu trece înapoi peste/sub acel nivel, poziția rămâne
|
|
deschisă — practic e un stop-loss dinamic, nu un nivel fix.</p>
|
|
<p><strong>Long — trail care urcă:</strong></p>
|
|
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 472" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
|
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — 15 min</text>
|
|
<line x1="44.0" y1="339.5" x2="44.0" y2="381.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="39.5" y="353.5" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="353.5" x2="59.0" y2="406.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="54.5" y="367.5" width="9" height="24.5" fill="#c00"/>
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|
<line x1="74.0" y1="367.5" x2="74.0" y2="406.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="69.5" y="381.5" width="9" height="10.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="367.5" x2="89.0" y2="423.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="84.5" y="381.5" width="9" height="28.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="104.0" y1="385.0" x2="104.0" y2="423.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="99.5" y="399.0" width="9" height="10.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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|
<line x1="119.0" y1="385.0" x2="119.0" y2="430.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="114.5" y="399.0" width="9" height="17.5" fill="#c00"/>
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|
<line x1="134.0" y1="388.5" x2="134.0" y2="430.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="129.5" y="402.5" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="149.0" y1="332.5" x2="149.0" y2="416.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="144.5" y="346.5" width="9" height="56.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="164.0" y1="311.5" x2="164.0" y2="360.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="159.5" y="325.5" width="9" height="21.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="179.0" y1="311.5" x2="179.0" y2="353.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="174.5" y="325.5" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="194.0" y1="283.5" x2="194.0" y2="353.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="189.5" y="297.5" width="9" height="42.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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|
<line x1="209.0" y1="262.5" x2="209.0" y2="311.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="204.5" y="276.5" width="9" height="21.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="262.5" x2="224.0" y2="304.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="276.5" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="234.5" x2="239.0" y2="304.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="248.5" width="9" height="42.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="210.0" x2="254.0" y2="262.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="224.0" width="9" height="24.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="210.0" x2="269.0" y2="252.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="264.5" y="224.0" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="178.5" x2="284.0" y2="252.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="192.5" width="9" height="45.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="154.0" x2="299.0" y2="206.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="294.5" y="168.0" width="9" height="24.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="154.0" x2="314.0" y2="196.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="309.5" y="168.0" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="122.5" x2="329.0" y2="196.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="136.5" width="9" height="45.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="94.5" x2="344.0" y2="150.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="339.5" y="108.5" width="9" height="28.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="94.5" x2="359.0" y2="133.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="354.5" y="108.5" width="9" height="10.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="80.5" x2="374.0" y2="133.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="94.5" width="9" height="24.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="56.0" x2="389.0" y2="126.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="384.5" y="70.0" width="9" height="24.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="56.0" x2="404.0" y2="98.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="399.5" y="70.0" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="70.0" x2="419.0" y2="115.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="414.5" y="84.0" width="9" height="17.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="94.5" x2="434.0" y2="140.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="429.5" y="101.5" width="9" height="28.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<text x="149.0" y="440.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakout</text>
|
|
<text x="434.0" y="166.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">close 8.30 < trail 8.31 → ieșire</text>
|
|
<text x="24" y="460" fill="#555">Trail (linia gri punctată) = low-ul fiecărei candele care închide peste high-ul precedentei.</text>
|
|
<polyline points="141.5,416.5 156.5,416.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="156.5,360.5 171.5,360.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="171.5,360.5 186.5,360.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="186.5,353.5 201.5,353.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="201.5,311.5 216.5,311.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="216.5,311.5 231.5,311.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
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|
<polyline points="231.5,304.5 246.5,304.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="246.5,262.5 261.5,262.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="261.5,262.5 276.5,262.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="276.5,252.0 291.5,252.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
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|
<polyline points="291.5,206.5 306.5,206.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="306.5,206.5 321.5,206.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="321.5,196.0 336.5,196.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="336.5,150.5 351.5,150.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="351.5,150.5 366.5,150.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="366.5,133.0 381.5,133.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="381.5,126.0 396.5,126.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="396.5,126.0 411.5,126.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="411.5,126.0 426.5,126.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
</svg></p>
|
|
<p><strong>Short — trail care coboară (mecanismul oglindit):</strong></p>
|
|
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 416" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
|
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — 15 min</text>
|
|
<line x1="44.0" y1="84.0" x2="44.0" y2="107.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="39.5" y="92.4" width="9" height="7.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="59.0" y1="70.0" x2="59.0" y2="100.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="54.5" y="78.4" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="70.0" x2="74.0" y2="93.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="69.5" y="78.4" width="9" height="7.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="89.0" y1="63.0" x2="89.0" y2="93.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="84.5" y="71.4" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="104.0" y1="63.0" x2="104.0" y2="86.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="99.5" y="71.4" width="9" height="7.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="119.0" y1="56.0" x2="119.0" y2="86.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="114.5" y="64.4" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="134.0" y1="56.0" x2="134.0" y2="121.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="129.5" y="64.4" width="9" height="49.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="149.0" y1="105.0" x2="149.0" y2="142.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="144.5" y="113.4" width="9" height="21.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="164.0" y1="115.5" x2="164.0" y2="142.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="159.5" y="123.9" width="9" height="10.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="179.0" y1="115.5" x2="179.0" y2="163.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="174.5" y="123.9" width="9" height="31.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="194.0" y1="147.0" x2="194.0" y2="184.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="155.4" width="9" height="21.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="157.5" x2="209.0" y2="184.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="204.5" y="165.9" width="9" height="10.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="157.5" x2="224.0" y2="205.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="165.9" width="9" height="31.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="189.0" x2="239.0" y2="226.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="197.4" width="9" height="21.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="199.5" x2="254.0" y2="226.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="207.9" width="9" height="10.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="199.5" x2="269.0" y2="247.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="207.9" width="9" height="31.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="231.0" x2="284.0" y2="268.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="239.4" width="9" height="21.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="238.0" x2="299.0" y2="268.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="246.4" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="238.0" x2="314.0" y2="289.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="246.4" width="9" height="35.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="273.0" x2="329.0" y2="310.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="281.4" width="9" height="21.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="283.5" x2="344.0" y2="310.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="291.9" width="9" height="10.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="283.5" x2="359.0" y2="331.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="354.5" y="291.9" width="9" height="31.5" fill="#c00"/>
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|
<line x1="374.0" y1="315.0" x2="374.0" y2="352.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="369.5" y="323.4" width="9" height="21.0" fill="#c00"/>
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|
<line x1="389.0" y1="325.5" x2="389.0" y2="352.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="384.5" y="333.9" width="9" height="10.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="325.5" x2="404.0" y2="373.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="333.9" width="9" height="31.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<text x="134.0" y="161.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">breakdown</text>
|
|
<text x="24" y="404" fill="#555">Trail (linia gri punctată) = high-ul fiecărei candele care închide sub low-ul precedentei.</text>
|
|
<polyline points="126.5,56.0 141.5,56.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="141.5,105.0 156.5,105.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="156.5,105.0 171.5,105.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="171.5,115.5 186.5,115.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="186.5,147.0 201.5,147.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="201.5,147.0 216.5,147.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="216.5,157.5 231.5,157.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="231.5,189.0 246.5,189.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="246.5,189.0 261.5,189.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="261.5,199.5 276.5,199.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="276.5,231.0 291.5,231.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="291.5,231.0 306.5,231.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="306.5,238.0 321.5,238.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="321.5,273.0 336.5,273.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="336.5,273.0 351.5,273.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="351.5,283.5 366.5,283.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="366.5,315.0 381.5,315.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="381.5,315.0 396.5,315.0" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
<polyline points="396.5,325.5 411.5,325.5" fill="none" stroke="#666" stroke-width="1.8" stroke-dasharray="3 2"/>
|
|
</svg></p>
|
|
<p>Exemplul din curs: pe un trade long intrat mai devreme, trail-ul a urcat
|
|
candelă cu candelă până când prețul a închis sub linia curentă (o candelă
|
|
cu close 8.30, sub un nivel de suport ~8.31) — acolo se închidea poziția,
|
|
nu la un stop fix stabilit dinainte. Nu era, în acel moment, un semnal de
|
|
short — doar ieșire din long-ul deja deschis.</p>
|
|
<h2 id="cum-tranzactionezi-efectiv-un-set-up-multi-timeframe">Cum tranzacționezi efectiv un set-up multi-timeframe</h2>
|
|
<p><strong>De ce urmărești asta, concret:</strong> te ajută să nu iei un trigger de
|
|
intrare pe interval mic exact contra direcției pe care o are capitalul
|
|
mare pe interval mare — filtrează triggerele care "arată bine" izolat, dar
|
|
merg împotriva contextului, care statistic au șanse mai mici de reușită.</p>
|
|
<p><strong>Ce faci când te uiți la setup:</strong> citești panourile în ordine
|
|
<strong>Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 60 min → 15 min → 5 min</strong>. Pe fiecare notezi
|
|
doar direcția (uptrend/downtrend/range) și dacă e lângă un nivel relevant
|
|
(pivot, moving average, VWAP). Din Monthly/Weekly/Daily rezultă
|
|
<strong>bias-ul</strong> (direcția în care ai voie să cauți trade-uri). Abia apoi
|
|
cobori pe 60 min/15 min/5 min ca să găsești triggerul exact de intrare —
|
|
<strong>doar în direcția bias-ului</strong>, nu contra lui.</p>
|
|
<p><strong>Exemplu de citire (din curs, pe MasterCard — MA):</strong> Monthly în uptrend,
|
|
Weekly în downtrend de 2 săptămâni (pullback), Daily în downtrend dar cu un
|
|
hammer recent (candelă de reversal), 60 min deja în uptrend, 15 min încă în
|
|
downtrend de 3 candele, 5 min încă în downtrend de 8 candele.</p>
|
|
<div style="display:flex;gap:10px;flex-wrap:wrap;align-items:flex-end">
|
|
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">Monthly</text><polyline points="5,45 30,30 55,20 80,10" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#188a3e">uptrend</text></svg>
|
|
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">Weekly</text><polyline points="5,15 30,25 55,35 80,45" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#c00">downtrend</text></svg>
|
|
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 72" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">Daily</text><polyline points="5,15 30,25 55,42 80,30" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><circle cx="55" cy="42" r="4" fill="#c88"/><text x="5" y="57" fill="#c88">downtrend</text><text x="5" y="71" fill="#c88">+ hammer</text></svg>
|
|
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">60 min</text><polyline points="5,45 30,32 55,22 80,12" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#188a3e">uptrend</text></svg>
|
|
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">15 min</text><polyline points="5,15 30,25 55,33 80,42" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#c00">downtrend</text></svg>
|
|
<svg viewBox="0 0 90 60" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:90px;height:auto;font:10px sans-serif"><text x="5" y="10" fill="#333">5 min</text><polyline points="5,15 30,22 55,30 80,42" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/><text x="5" y="58" fill="#c00">downtrend</text></svg>
|
|
</div>
|
|
|
|
<p>Citire: bias de fond = <strong>long</strong> (Monthly susține, Daily arată deja un
|
|
hammer de reversal la finalul pullback-ului). Dar 15 min și 5 min încă nu
|
|
au confirmat — sunt în urmă, arată zgomotul din interiorul pullback-ului
|
|
care se stinge. Nu ai încă un trigger valid de intrare.</p>
|
|
<p><strong>Trigger valid vs. prea devreme — DA/NU cu cifre (continuarea, cifre
|
|
construite plauzibil pe scenariul MasterCard, marcate ca fiind completarea
|
|
mea, transcrierea nu dă niveluri exacte):</strong></p>
|
|
<ul>
|
|
<li><strong>NU — intri long doar pe hammer-ul de pe Daily</strong>, cu 60 min, 15 min și
|
|
5 min încă toate în downtrend activ: prețul poate continua să scadă alte
|
|
câteva candele înainte să întoarcă, iar tu ești deja poziționat, pe
|
|
pierdere, riscând să fii scos pe zgomotul normal al pullback-ului care
|
|
nu s-a stins încă.</li>
|
|
<li><strong>DA — intri long când 15 min (sau 5 min) confirmă</strong>: hammer-ul pe Daily
|
|
(low 458.00) + 60 min deja în uptrend + 15 min rupe linia lui de
|
|
downtrend cu o candelă bullish care închide peste high-ul candelei
|
|
anterioare, la <strong>471.20</strong> — abia atunci ai și context (Monthly/Daily) și
|
|
trigger (15 min), nu doar unul din ele.</li>
|
|
</ul>
|
|
<p><strong>Exemplul complet, de la identificare la ieșire din trade:</strong></p>
|
|
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 360" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
|
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MA — daily</text>
|
|
<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP 510 — swing high weekly</text>
|
|
<line x1="24" y1="250.0" x2="606" y2="250.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<text x="30" y="244.0" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare 471.20 (confirmare 15 min)</text>
|
|
<line x1="24" y1="318.5" x2="606" y2="318.5" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<text x="592" y="312.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 457.50 — sub hammer (458.00)</text>
|
|
<polyline points="179.0,116.5 194.0,107.0 209.0,102.0 224.0,98.0 239.0,96.0 254.0,99.0 269.0,103.0 284.0,109.0 299.0,120.0 314.0,134.5 329.0,152.5 344.0,171.0 359.0,189.2 374.0,207.8 389.0,220.2" fill="none" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<text x="395" y="214" fill="#b06000">SMA-10</text>
|
|
<line x1="44.0" y1="170.0" x2="44.0" y2="197.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="39.5" y="176.0" width="9" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="150.0" x2="59.0" y2="182.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="156.0" width="9" height="20.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="130.0" x2="74.0" y2="162.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="69.5" y="136.0" width="9" height="20.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="89.0" y1="130.0" x2="89.0" y2="152.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="84.5" y="136.0" width="9" height="10.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="115.0" x2="104.0" y2="152.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="99.5" y="121.0" width="9" height="25.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="95.0" x2="119.0" y2="127.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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|
<rect x="114.5" y="101.0" width="9" height="20.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="95.0" x2="134.0" y2="117.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="129.5" y="101.0" width="9" height="10.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="149.0" y1="80.0" x2="149.0" y2="117.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="144.5" y="86.0" width="9" height="25.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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|
<line x1="164.0" y1="65.0" x2="164.0" y2="92.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="159.5" y="71.0" width="9" height="15.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="179.0" y1="56.0" x2="179.0" y2="77.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="174.5" y="61.0" width="9" height="10.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="194.0" y1="57.0" x2="194.0" y2="87.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="189.5" y="61.0" width="9" height="20.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="209.0" y1="75.0" x2="209.0" y2="112.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="204.5" y="81.0" width="9" height="25.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="224.0" y1="90.0" x2="224.0" y2="112.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="219.5" y="96.0" width="9" height="10.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="239.0" y1="90.0" x2="239.0" y2="132.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="234.5" y="96.0" width="9" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="254.0" y1="120.0" x2="254.0" y2="157.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="249.5" y="126.0" width="9" height="25.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="269.0" y1="135.0" x2="269.0" y2="157.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="264.5" y="141.0" width="9" height="10.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="284.0" y1="135.0" x2="284.0" y2="177.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="279.5" y="141.0" width="9" height="30.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="299.0" y1="165.0" x2="299.0" y2="202.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="294.5" y="171.0" width="9" height="25.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="314.0" y1="190.0" x2="314.0" y2="222.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="309.5" y="196.0" width="9" height="20.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="329.0" y1="210.0" x2="329.0" y2="247.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="324.5" y="216.0" width="9" height="25.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="344.0" y1="235.0" x2="344.0" y2="272.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="339.5" y="241.0" width="9" height="25.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="359.0" y1="260.0" x2="359.0" y2="294.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="354.5" y="266.0" width="9" height="22.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="374.0" y1="276.0" x2="374.0" y2="316.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="369.5" y="281.0" width="9" height="7.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<line x1="389.0" y1="244.5" x2="389.0" y2="286.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="384.5" y="250.0" width="9" height="31.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
|
<text x="179.0" y="42.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">swing high 510</text>
|
|
<text x="239.0" y="181.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">pullback weekly</text>
|
|
<text x="374.0" y="332.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">hammer daily, low 458.00</text>
|
|
<text x="24" y="348" fill="#555">Risc 13.70, câștig 38.80 → 1:2.8.</text>
|
|
</svg></p>
|
|
<p><strong>Intrare:</strong> 471.20 (break peste high-ul candelei de 15 min care rupe
|
|
downtrend-ul intraday). <strong>Stop-loss:</strong> 457.50, sub low-ul hammer-ului
|
|
Daily (458.00) — dacă prețul revine acolo, reversal-ul e invalidat,
|
|
downtrend-ul de pe Weekly redevine dominant. <strong>Take-profit:</strong> 510, swing
|
|
high-ul de unde a pornit pullback-ul pe Weekly (ținta vine din context, nu
|
|
dintr-un calcul geometric ca la pattern-uri). Risc 13.70, câștig 38.80 →
|
|
risc/recompensă ~1:2.8.</p>
|
|
<p><strong>Exemplul 2 (short, oglindă) — mecanismul opus, alt instrument:</strong>
|
|
Monthly în downtrend, Weekly a urcat 2 săptămâni (bounce, nu inversare),
|
|
Daily încă în uptrend dar formează un <strong>shooting star</strong> (rejection la vârf).
|
|
60 min a întors deja în downtrend; 15 min și 5 min sunt încă în uptrend —
|
|
la fel ca la exemplul 1, timeframe-urile mici confirmă ultimele.</p>
|
|
<p><strong>Trigger valid:</strong> 15 min închide sub low-ul candelei anterioare, la
|
|
<strong>148.50</strong>, cu 60 min deja în downtrend și shooting star-ul deja confirmat
|
|
pe Daily (high 154.20). <strong>Trigger invalid:</strong> short imediat pe shooting
|
|
star, cât timp 60 min/15 min/5 min sunt încă toate în uptrend — bounce-ul
|
|
poate continua alte câteva candele.</p>
|
|
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 356" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
|
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">exemplu — daily</text>
|
|
<line x1="24" y1="143.5" x2="606" y2="143.5" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<text x="592" y="137.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 154.30 — peste shooting star (154.20)</text>
|
|
<line x1="24" y1="184.1" x2="606" y2="184.1" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<text x="30" y="178.1" fill="#1a5fb4">intrare short 148.50</text>
|
|
<line x1="24" y1="313.6" x2="606" y2="313.6" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<text x="30" y="307.6" fill="#188a3e">TP 130.00 — swing low weekly</text>
|
|
<polyline points="179.0,106.2 194.0,116.6 209.0,125.4 224.0,137.0 239.0,148.9 254.0,161.2 269.0,173.4 284.0,186.2 299.0,199.5 314.0,215.3 329.0,230.7 344.0,241.8 359.0,251.2 374.0,259.1 389.0,262.4 404.0,261.2 419.0,261.5 434.0,256.4 449.0,246.8 464.0,233.0 479.0,217.9 494.0,207.9" fill="none" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
|
<text x="500" y="202" fill="#b06000">SMA-10</text>
|
|
<line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="74.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="39.5" y="61.6" width="9" height="7.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="59.0" y1="63.0" x2="59.0" y2="84.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="54.5" y="68.6" width="9" height="10.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
|
<line x1="74.0" y1="68.6" x2="74.0" y2="84.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
|
<rect x="69.5" y="74.2" width="9" height="4.9" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="89.0" y1="68.6" x2="89.0" y2="96.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="84.5" y="74.2" width="9" height="16.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="464.0" y1="149.1" x2="464.0" y2="178.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="459.5" y="151.9" width="9" height="22.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="479.0" y1="144.2" x2="479.0" y2="157.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="474.5" y="151.9" width="9" height="3.5" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="494.0" y1="152.6" x2="494.0" y2="187.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="489.5" y="155.4" width="9" height="28.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="329.0" y="327.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">swing low 130</text>
|
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<text x="419.0" y="299.7" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">bounce weekly</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="344" fill="#555">Risc 5.80, câștig 18.50 → 1:3.2.</text>
|
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</svg></p>
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<p><strong>Intrare:</strong> 148.50 short. <strong>Stop-loss:</strong> 154.30, peste high-ul shooting
|
|
star-ului (154.20) — dacă prețul revine acolo, rejection-ul e invalidat,
|
|
uptrend-ul redevine dominant. <strong>Take-profit:</strong> 130.00, swing low-ul weekly
|
|
de unde a pornit bounce-ul. Risc 5.80, câștig 18.50 → risc/recompensă
|
|
~1:3.2.</p>
|
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<p><strong>Exemplul 3 (invalidare) — trigger corect, trade pierdut:</strong> regulile
|
|
respectate nu garantează câștigul, doar filtrează triggerele slabe. Pe
|
|
scenariul MasterCard de mai sus: intri corect la <strong>471.20</strong> (bias long
|
|
confirmat, trigger de 15 min valid), stop la <strong>457.50</strong>. Dacă imediat după
|
|
intrare apare o candelă de 60 min care închide sub 458.00 (sub hammer-ul
|
|
Daily), ipoteza de reversal e invalidată — Weekly redevine dominant, ieși
|
|
la stop, pierdere de 13.70. Diferența față de o intrare greșită: aici ai
|
|
urmat corect ordinea mare→mic, ai avut ambele confirmări, și tot ai
|
|
pierdut — asta e un risc de 13.70 acceptat dinainte, nu o eroare de proces.</p>
|
|
<h2 id="gotchas-practice-cele-mai-importante">Gotchas practice — cele mai importante</h2>
|
|
<ul>
|
|
<li><strong>Nu sări peste timeframe-urile mari ca să ajungi mai repede la
|
|
trigger.</strong> Triggerul de pe 5 min care arată "perfect" izolat e cel mai
|
|
slab exact atunci când contrazice Daily/Weekly — verifică mereu bias-ul
|
|
înainte, nu doar entry-ul.</li>
|
|
<li><strong>Timeframe-urile mici confirmă ultimele, nu primele.</strong> Din exemplul
|
|
MasterCard: 60 min a întors deja, 15 min și 5 min încă nu — normal, nu
|
|
un semn că setup-ul e greșit. Așteaptă confirmarea lor, nu intra pe
|
|
presupunerea că "o să prindă din urmă".</li>
|
|
<li><strong>Pivoții și VWAP nu sunt interschimbabili între timeframe-uri</strong> — un
|
|
pivot Daily citit pe un chart de 60 min (în loc de pivotul Weekly corect
|
|
pentru acel interval) dă un nivel greșit, calculat din perioada greșită.</li>
|
|
<li><strong>VWAP nu are sens pe Daily/Weekly/Monthly</strong> — dacă apare eroare sau
|
|
linie aberantă acolo, scoate indicatorul, nu-l interpreta.</li>
|
|
</ul>
|
|
<h2 id="referinte">Referințe</h2>
|
|
<ul>
|
|
<li><a href="https://www.ig.com/ae/trading-strategies/introduction-to-multi-time-frame-analysis-220929">IG — Introduction to Multi-Time Frame Analysis</a> — logica top-down: TF mare pentru trend, TF mic pentru timing intrării.</li>
|
|
<li><a href="https://www.babypips.com/forexpedia/multiple-time-frame-analysis">Babypips Forexpedia — Multiple Time Frame Analysis</a> — definiție și aplicare practică, long și short.</li>
|
|
<li><a href="https://www.ig.com/en/trading-strategies/how-to-trade-using-pivot-points-200717">IG — How to Trade Using Pivot Points</a> — calculul și utilizarea pivoților ca suport/rezistență.</li>
|
|
<li><a href="https://www.schwab.com/learn/story/how-to-use-volume-weighted-indicators-trading">Charles Schwab — How to Use Volume-Weighted Indicators in Trading</a> — VWAP ca linie dinamică intraday.</li>
|
|
</ul>
|
|
<hr />
|
|
<p><em>Notă: mecanismul "de ce contează ordinea de citire" (participare
|
|
capital mare vs. zgomot pe TF mic), diagrama ierarhiei de pivoți, secțiunea
|
|
"Cum tranzacționezi efectiv" cu DA/NU și cele trei exemple numerice complete
|
|
(MasterCard long: 458.00/471.20/457.50/510; exemplul 2 short:
|
|
154.20/148.50/154.30/130.00; exemplul 3, invalidare cu risc acceptat) sunt
|
|
completări ale mele — transcrierea arată cum se construiește workspace-ul
|
|
în platformă și citește calitativ trendul pe fiecare interval (fără cifre
|
|
de intrare/SL/TP sau explicația mecanismului), nu conturează un trade
|
|
complet. Diagramele cu candele și niveluri de entry/SL/TP sunt generate cu
|
|
<code>svg_candles.py</code>, care garantează scara corectă din construcție.</em></p>
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</body>
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</html>
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