Userul a aprobat formatul si a cerut ca celelalte capitole de strategie sa fie reconstruite dupa el. STYLE.md primeste contractul: corespondenta de preturi intre timeframe-uri (descompunere reala, casetu de lupa, ghidaje, conector pentru nivelul comun), fiecare termen tehnic explicat SI exemplificat, definitiile ancorate de un nivel, si blocul "Surse" scos din capitol in fise/<capitol>_surse.md. Plus lectiile de assert din verificare: cel tautologic nu poate pica, preturile din etichete trebuie sa fie niveluri desenate, exceptia de nivel comun are nevoie de assert propriu, liniile nu cad pe cadru, si aceeasi regula numerica in tot capitolul. Sursele lui 01_buy_doji sunt recuperate in fise/01_buy_doji_surse.md, cu link din capitol. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01ThN7ixZrowca8aTGrK1MUJ
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2289 lines
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<title>1. Buy Doji / Sell Doji (Strategia 3)</title>
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<nav class="crumbs"><a href="../index.html">Sumarizări</a><span class="sep">/</span><a href="../index.html#17_STRATEGII">Strategii</a><span class="sep">/</span>1. Buy Doji / Sell Doji (Strategia 3)</nav><h1 id="1-buy-doji-sell-doji-strategia-3">1. Buy Doji / Sell Doji (Strategia 3)</h1>
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<p><strong>Etichete:</strong> <code>long</code> <code>short</code> · <code>swing</code> pe daily · <code>acțiuni US</code> <code>futures</code> <code>BVB</code> ·
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dificultate <code>2/5</code> · merge pe prop (cont finanțat de o firmă): da, cu ajustări · merge pe BVB: da, doar long</p>
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<p><strong>Cum citești capitolul:</strong> textul e explicația mea a materialului de curs și
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nu adaugă reguli peste el; acolo unde materialul nu spune, completez, iar
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bucata aceea începe cu <strong>Completare proprie</strong>. Diagramele sunt exemple
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construite, cu excepția LABU, unde doar procentele sunt ale cursului.
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Trimiterile la lecțiile din care vine fiecare pas stau separat, în
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<a href="fise/01_buy_doji_surse.html"><code>fise/01_buy_doji_surse.md</code></a>.</p>
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<h1 id="nivelul-1-din-avion">Nivelul 1 — Din avion</h1>
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<h2 id="ce-e-un-doji">Ce e un doji</h2>
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<p>Un doji e o candelă care se închide aproape la prețul la care s-a deschis:
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corpul e o linie subțire, iar fitilele ies și în sus, și în jos. Spune că în
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perioada aceea cumpărătorii și vânzătorii au fost la egalitate.</p>
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<!-- DIAGRAMA: doji_forma -->
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<text x="24.0" y="30.0" fill="#333" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:14px">Ce e un doji și ce nu — aceeași bară, 50.10 sus și 49.25 jos</text>
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<text x="634.0" y="173.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:12px">nu e doji</text>
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<text x="24.0" y="204.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="start">cât de sus a urcat prețul: 50.10</text>
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<text x="24.0" y="445.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="start">cât de jos a coborât: 49.25</text>
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<text x="350.0" y="459.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:12px">DA: corp 0.05</text>
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<text x="350.0" y="475.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle">= 5,9 % din înălțime</text>
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<text x="490.0" y="459.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:12px">DA, la limită:</text>
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<text x="490.0" y="475.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle">corp 0.08 = 9,4 %</text>
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<text x="690.0" y="459.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:12px">NU: corp 0.30</text>
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<text x="690.0" y="475.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle">= 35 %</text>
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<text x="860.0" y="459.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:12px">NU: corp mic (5,9 %),</text>
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<text x="860.0" y="475.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle">dar fără fitil sus</text>
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<text x="284.0" y="267.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">cumpărătorii au împins, dar n-au ținut</text>
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<text x="284.0" y="350.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">open și close aproape egale — nimeni</text>
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<text x="284.0" y="364.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">n-a câștigat ziua</text>
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<text x="284.0" y="415.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:12px">fitilul de jos</text>
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<text x="284.0" y="429.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">vânzătorii au împins, dar n-au ținut</text>
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<text x="370.0" y="338.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="start">open 49.60</text>
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<text x="370.0" y="363.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="start">close 49.55</text>
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<text x="730.0" y="88.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:12px">corp prea gros (35 %)</text>
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<text x="730.0" y="102.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start">aici una din tabere a câștigat —</text>
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<text x="730.0" y="116.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start">nu mai e indecizie</text>
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<text x="860.0" y="152.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:12px">fără fitil sus</text>
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<text x="860.0" y="166.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle">regula cere fitil în ambele părți</text>
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<text x="24.0" y="517.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="start">Doji = corpul e cel mult 10 % din înălțimea totală a barei (aici înălțimea e 0.85) și are fitil și sus, și jos.</text>
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<!-- /DIAGRAMA: doji_forma -->
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<h2 id="ce-face-strategia">Ce face strategia</h2>
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<p>Când prețul a scăzut mai multe zile la rând și apare un doji, e posibil ca
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vânzătorii să fi obosit. Nu cumperi pe doji. Aștepți ca una din următoarele
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trei candele să se închidă peste vârful lui (high-ul) — asta arată că au
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preluat controlul cumpărătorii. Atunci cumperi, pui stopul sub ultimele 4
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candele, vinzi o parte când prețul a urcat cât riscai și lași restul să
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meargă cât ține creșterea.</p>
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<p>Nu are nevoie de niciun indicator: o vezi cu ochiul, pe orice platformă. Cursul
|
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spune că merge în cam 65-70 % din cazuri, deci cam un trade din trei pierde.
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De aceea stopul e obligatoriu.</p>
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<p>Tot trade-ul, pe un exemplu construit:</p>
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<!-- DIAGRAMA: ansamblu -->
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Buy Doji — un trade de la cap la coadă (daily, exemplu construit)</text>
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<text x="94.5" y="115.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">1. scăderea: vânzătorii obosesc</text>
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<text x="244.5" y="313.0" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">2. doji: pauză, încă nu intri</text>
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<text x="274.5" y="353.0" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">3. confirmarea</text>
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<text x="289.5" y="273.0" fill="#1a5fb4" style="font-weight:bold">4. ieșirea: o treime la țintă, restul pe trail</text>
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<text x="30" y="404.0" fill="#1a5fb4">ținta 1: 51.60</text>
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<text x="30" y="452.0" fill="#188a3e">intrare 50.40</text>
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<text x="30" y="500.0" fill="#c00">stop 49.20</text>
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<text x="515" y="406" fill="#999">MA(20)</text>
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<text x="24" y="647.0" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="104.0" y="550.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">stopul 49.20, 5 cenți sub doji</text>
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<text x="104.0" y="564.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sub el, ideea că vânzătorii</text>
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<text x="104.0" y="578.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">au obosit e moartă</text>
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<text x="274.0" y="590.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">AICI INTRI, la close 50.40</text>
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<text x="274.0" y="604.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">abia acum știi că</text>
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<text x="274.0" y="618.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">cumpărătorii au câștigat</text>
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<text x="424.0" y="534.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ținta 1: 51.60 = riscul (1.20)</text>
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<text x="424.0" y="548.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">încă o dată: vinzi o treime</text>
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<text x="489.0" y="301.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">trailing stop: urcă după preț</text>
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<text x="489.0" y="315.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">la fiecare gap, nu coboară</text>
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<text x="546.5" y="331.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">ieși la 52.30 (+1.58R)</text>
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<text x="546.5" y="345.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">prima închidere sub trail</text>
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<text x="125.0" y="486.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">1R = 1.20 (riscul)</text>
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<text x="125.0" y="438.0" fill="#1a5fb4" style="font-weight:bold">1R = 1.20 (ținta)</text>
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</svg></p>
|
||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: ansamblu -->
|
||
|
||
<p>De la stânga la dreapta: 14 zile de scădere, doji-ul (high 50.10, low 49.25),
|
||
o zi care nu confirmă, apoi ziua care se închide la 50.40, peste 50.10 —
|
||
acolo intri. Stopul e la 49.20, puțin sub doji, deci riști 1.20 pe acțiune. Prima țintă
|
||
e tot la 1.20 deasupra intrării, la 51.60. Restul poziției iese mai târziu,
|
||
când prețul se închide sub linia de trailing stop.</p>
|
||
<h2 id="mini-glosar">Mini-glosar</h2>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><strong>Doji</strong> — candelă cu corp foarte mic și fitile în ambele părți. Regula de
|
||
lucru: corpul are cel mult 10 % din înălțimea totală a candelei.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Open, close, high, low</strong> — cele patru prețuri ale unei candele: cu cât a
|
||
deschis perioada (open), cu cât a închis (close), cât de sus a urcat (high)
|
||
și cât de jos a coborât (low). Corpul e între open și close, fitilele merg
|
||
până la high și low.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Long și short</strong> — „long" înseamnă că ai cumpărat și câștigi dacă prețul
|
||
urcă. „Short" e invers: vinzi acum acțiuni împrumutate de la broker și le
|
||
cumperi înapoi mai târziu, deci câștigi dacă prețul scade.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Swing</strong> — o mișcare de câteva zile sau săptămâni, cât ține o poziție de
|
||
felul ăsta; de aici „swing trading".</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Timeframe (TF)</strong> — cât timp acoperă o candelă: pe daily, o zi; pe weekly,
|
||
o săptămână. Pe „TF-ul mare" citești direcția, pe „TF-ul mic" intri.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Trigger</strong> — evenimentul care îți dă voie să intri. Aici: o candelă care se
|
||
închide peste high-ul doji-ului.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Stop-loss (SL)</strong> — prețul la care ieși automat cu pierdere, pentru că
|
||
ideea s-a dovedit greșită. Îl pui în platformă odată cu intrarea.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>1R</strong> — cât pierzi pe acțiune dacă te lovește stopul. Intri la 50.40, stopul
|
||
e la 49.20, deci 1R = 1.20; un câștig de „+2R" înseamnă 2.40 pe acțiune.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Take-profit (TP)</strong> — prețul la care iei profitul. Aici prima țintă e la 1R
|
||
deasupra intrării: 50.40 + 1.20 = 51.60. Asta înseamnă „1:1".</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Trailing stop („ieșire pe trail")</strong> — un stop pe care îl urci după preț,
|
||
dar nu-l cobori niciodată. Când prețul se întoarce și se închide sub el,
|
||
ieși cu profitul strâns până atunci.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Tranșe</strong> — poziția împărțită în bucăți: 300 de acțiuni cumpărate ca
|
||
100 + 100 + 100, la prețuri diferite, sau vândute în trei momente.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Pullback</strong> — o revenire scurtă a prețului împotriva direcției trendului,
|
||
care se oprește deasupra minimului de la care a pornit urcarea. Într-o
|
||
urcare pornită de la 50.40 spre 51.60, câteva candele care coboară până pe
|
||
la 50.80 și se opresc acolo, fără să rupă 50.40, sunt un pullback; dacă
|
||
prețul coboară sub 50.40, minimul de plecare e rupt — nu mai e pullback, e
|
||
întoarcere. Cât ține: câteva candele, dar numărul depinde de TF-ul pe care
|
||
te uiți — aceeași mișcare e una-două candele pe weekly și opt pe daily. Un
|
||
pullback nu e semnal de intrare: intri abia la confirmarea de după doji-ul
|
||
care îl termină.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Bull reversal</strong> — prima candelă care se închide peste ultimul nivel al
|
||
liniei de bear trail, adică linia care coboară în trepte deasupra prețului
|
||
cât ține scăderea. Nu e un stop, e un semnal de forță: arată că vânzătorii
|
||
s-au epuizat, nu doar că o candelă are forma potrivită. Cu cât acel nivel
|
||
fusese respectat mai multe candele la rând, cu atât semnalul e mai
|
||
puternic. Bear reversal e simetricul: prima închidere sub bull trail-ul
|
||
unei urcări. În scaner e un câmp separat, pus pe <code>Bull Reversal = 1</code>.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Buy momentum</strong> — semnalul unui alt indicator al cursului, care marchează
|
||
cu o săgeată momentul în care prețul trece cu forță printr-un nivel vechi
|
||
de suport sau rezistență. <strong>Completare proprie:</strong> cursul nu spune ce faci
|
||
când săgeata apare chiar pe candela ta de buy doji; pe regula trigger-ului
|
||
din acest capitol, o tratezi ca o confirmare în plus, nu ca un înlocuitor al
|
||
închiderii peste high-ul doji-ului.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Retest</strong> — prețul revine la un nivel pe care tocmai l-a depășit, înainte
|
||
să-și continue drumul. Prețul a trecut de 50.10 și tu ai cumpărat la 50.40;
|
||
dacă revine până la 50.10 și de acolo urcă iar, acela e retestul.</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
<h2 id="fraza-de-decizie">Fraza de decizie</h2>
|
||
<blockquote>
|
||
<p>Cumpăr când un doji de după un downtrend e confirmat de o închidere peste
|
||
high-ul lui în maximum 3 candele, ies la TP egal cu SL sau pe trailing, și
|
||
dacă în 8 candele nici una nu s-a atins, ies oricum.</p>
|
||
</blockquote>
|
||
<p>Pe short: vând în lipsă când un doji de după un uptrend e confirmat de o
|
||
închidere sub low-ul lui, cu aceleași reguli de SL, TP și timp.</p>
|
||
<h2 id="cei-6-pasi">Cei 6 pași</h2>
|
||
<p><a href="#pasul-1">1. Candidatul și direcția pe weekly</a> ·
|
||
<a href="#pasul-2">2. Trendul și doji-ul</a> · <a href="#pasul-3">3. Doji-ul pe un nivel</a> ·
|
||
<a href="#pasul-4">4. Trigger-ul</a> · <a href="#pasul-5">5. Stopul și mărimea</a> ·
|
||
<a href="#pasul-6">6. Ieșirea</a> · apoi <a href="#oglinda-short">oglinda pe short</a>,
|
||
<a href="#nivelul-3">rafinările</a> și <a href="#checklist">checklist-ul</a>.</p>
|
||
<hr />
|
||
<h1 id="nivelul-2-procedura-mecanica-in-6-pasi">Nivelul 2 — Procedura mecanică, în 6 pași</h1>
|
||
<p>Aici nu alegi nimic. Faci pașii în ordine, pe perechea weekly → daily:
|
||
citești direcția pe weekly și intri pe daily. Dacă un pas nu trece, lași
|
||
simbolul și treci la următorul.</p>
|
||
<p><a id="pasul-1"></a></p>
|
||
<h2 id="pasul-1-candidatul-si-directia-pe-weekly">Pasul 1 — Candidatul și direcția pe weekly</h2>
|
||
<p><strong>Deschizi graficul weekly al simbolului și te uiți dacă ultimele candele au
|
||
un Sell Doji confirmat. Dacă au, simbolul nu e bun pentru un Buy Doji pe
|
||
daily.</strong></p>
|
||
<p>Candidații vin din scaner (în TradeStation, câmpul <code>BDATM = 0</code>, adică semnal
|
||
pe ultima candelă închisă) sau din lista ta, trecută de mână. Păstrezi doar
|
||
simbolurile lichide, pe care intri și ieși fără să miști prețul: close peste 30-40 $ și volum mediu zilnic de
|
||
cel puțin 500.000 de acțiuni, ideal peste un milion.</p>
|
||
<p>Apoi te uiți pe weekly. Cursul îi dă fiecărui TF un rol: weekly-ul spune în
|
||
ce direcție ai voie să tranzacționezi („un buy doji weekly e un semnal al
|
||
banilor mari"), iar daily-ul spune când intri. De aici regula: nu cumperi
|
||
contra unui Sell Doji weekly și nu shortezi contra unui Buy Doji weekly.
|
||
Un Sell Doji weekly „nu înseamnă neapărat că se va materializa", dar la
|
||
început îl tratezi ca pe un stop.</p>
|
||
<!-- DIAGRAMA: directie -->
|
||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 900 633" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||
<text x="20.0" y="24.0" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:14px">NU: Sell Doji daily contra unui Buy Doji weekly — exemplu construit</text>
|
||
<text x="20.0" y="50.0" fill="#555" style="font-weight:bold">weekly: direcția</text>
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<text x="256.0" y="133.2" fill="#1a5fb4" style="font-size:11px">ultimele 3 săptămâni,</text>
|
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<text x="256.0" y="149.2" fill="#1a5fb4" style="font-size:11px">mărite jos</text>
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<text x="220.0" y="220.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:10px">S2</text>
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<text x="236.0" y="220.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:10px">S3</text>
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<text x="476.0" y="225.2" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">weekly: Buy Doji confirmat (close 81.30, peste high-ul doji-ului 79.80)</text>
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<text x="476.0" y="243.2" fill="#188a3e" style="font-size:11px">deci direcția permisă e LONG: pe daily cauți doar Buy Doji</text>
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<text x="180.0" y="270.8" fill="#d06a00" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:10px">doji weekly</text>
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<text x="360.0" y="266.8" fill="#1a5fb4" style="font-weight:bold">daily: aceleași 3 săptămâni, zi cu zi</text>
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<text x="360.0" y="284.8" fill="#555" style="font-size:11px">(5 zile = o bară weekly; open, close și extremele coincid)</text>
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<text x="348.0" y="408.8" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">stop 84.35</text>
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<text x="348.0" y="540.8" fill="#777" style="font-size:11px">ținta 81.05 = 1R — neatinsă</text>
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|
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<text x="186.0" y="566.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:10px">S2</text>
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<text x="276.0" y="566.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:10px">S3</text>
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<text x="195.0" y="416.8" fill="#d06a00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:10px">doji daily</text>
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<text x="520.0" y="374.8" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">aici te-a scos: stopul 84.35 (5 cenți peste high-ul de 4 candele),</text>
|
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<text x="520.0" y="392.8" fill="#c00" style="font-size:11px">lovit a 4-a zi — banii mari de pe weekly cumpără mai departe</text>
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<text x="520.0" y="518.8" fill="#d06a00" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">aici ai intrat SHORT, la 82.70: Sell Doji corect ca formă</text>
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<text x="520.0" y="536.8" fill="#d06a00" style="font-size:11px">(close sub low-ul doji-ului 83.05) — dar contra weekly-ului</text>
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<text x="520.0" y="554.8" fill="#d06a00" style="font-size:11px">a scăzut o singură zi, până la 82.00</text>
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<text x="20.0" y="592.8" fill="#555" style="font-size:11px">Liniile albastre punctate sunt aceleași niveluri pe ambele panouri: high-ul și low-ul doji-ului daily.</text>
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<text x="20.0" y="610.8" fill="#555" style="font-size:11px">Seria e construită: un singur caz ilustrează regula, nu o dovedește.</text>
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</svg></p>
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<!-- /DIAGRAMA: directie -->
|
||
|
||
<p>Diagrama e pe alt simbol decât exemplul din ceilalți pași, deci are alte
|
||
prețuri; regulile sunt aceleași. Ea arată greșeala pe short:
|
||
weekly-ul a confirmat un Buy Doji, deci direcția e long. Pe daily apare un Sell Doji corect ca formă. Luat ca short,
|
||
merge contra weekly-ului: prețul scade o zi, apoi urcă și lovește stopul.</p>
|
||
<p>Intrarea mecanică e la close-ul candelei de confirmare (pasul 4). Variantele
|
||
de intrare — în tranșe, la retest — sunt la nivelul 3.</p>
|
||
<p><strong>Treci mai departe doar dacă</strong> simbolul e lichid și weekly-ul nu are un doji
|
||
confirmat în direcția opusă trade-ului tău.</p>
|
||
<p><a id="pasul-2"></a></p>
|
||
<h2 id="pasul-2-trendul-care-se-termina-si-doji-ul">Pasul 2 — Trendul care se termină și doji-ul</h2>
|
||
<p><strong>Treci pe daily și te uiți la ultimele 8-10 candele: trebuie să vezi o
|
||
scădere care se oprește într-un doji.</strong></p>
|
||
<p>Ideal, scăderea durează 8-10 candele. Mai lung nu strică — exemplul de la
|
||
nivelul 1 are 14 zile de scădere — pentru că ce contează e că trendul se
|
||
termină. Au funcționat și scăderi de 2-3 candele, dar cursul le tratează ca
|
||
semnal mai slab. Dacă scanerul tău cere
|
||
<code>Since Bear ≥ 8</code> (cel puțin 8 candele de la ultimul semnal de scădere), pe
|
||
astea nu ți le arată deloc.</p>
|
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<!-- DIAGRAMA: trend -->
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 540 622" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<rect x="70.0" y="61.0" width="164.0" height="185.5" fill="#188a3e" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1"/>
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<text x="70.0" y="56.0" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">9 candele de scădere — ideal</text>
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<rect x="57.0" y="58.5" width="10" height="15.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="80.0" y1="69.0" x2="80.0" y2="99.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="75.0" y="73.5" width="10" height="21.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="98.0" y1="81.0" x2="98.0" y2="99.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<text x="260.0" y="197.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare 50.40</text>
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<text x="312.0" y="290.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji la capătul scăderii</text>
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<text x="312.0" y="304.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">vânzătorii s-au terminat</text>
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<text x="80.0" y="113.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">1</text>
|
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<text x="98.0" y="113.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">2</text>
|
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<text x="116.0" y="134.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">3</text>
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<text x="134.0" y="155.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">4</text>
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<text x="152.0" y="155.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">5</text>
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<text x="170.0" y="182.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">6</text>
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<text x="188.0" y="206.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">7</text>
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<text x="206.0" y="224.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">8</text>
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<text x="224.0" y="252.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">9</text>
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<text x="24" y="22" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Trendul dinaintea dojiului: 9 candele vs. 3 candele — exemplu construit</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="331.0" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">DA — ideal (8-10 candele)</text>
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<text x="178.0" y="460.0" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">doar 3 candele — merge, dar mai slab</text>
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<line x1="260.0" y1="503.0" x2="260.0" y2="536.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="255.0" y="507.5" width="10" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="242.0" y="556.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
|
||
<text x="260.0" y="493.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare 50.40</text>
|
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<polygon points="98.0,463.0 94.0,455.0 102.0,455.0" fill="#555"/>
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<text x="98.0" y="404.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">înainte: preț pe loc,</text>
|
||
<text x="98.0" y="418.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">nu scădere — de aceea</text>
|
||
<text x="98.0" y="432.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">semnalul e mai slab</text>
|
||
<text x="188.0" y="511.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">1</text>
|
||
<text x="206.0" y="529.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">2</text>
|
||
<text x="224.0" y="548.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold;font-size:11px">3</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="371.0" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Același doji, după un range</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="592.0" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">ACCEPTAT, semnal mai slab</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="609.0" fill="#555">scannerul cu Since Bear ≥ 8 nu-l vede</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: trend -->
|
||
|
||
<p>Doji-ul îl verifici cu o împărțire, nu din ochi: corpul împărțit la
|
||
înălțimea întregii candele trebuie să dea cel mult 10 %, iar candela trebuie
|
||
să aibă fitil și sus, și jos (diagrama de la nivelul 1).</p>
|
||
<p>Capcana: un doji care vine după o creștere nu e Buy Doji, chiar dacă o
|
||
candelă se închide apoi peste el. Autorul: „am un buy-doji, dar după un
|
||
gap-up și sus, buy-dojiul ăsta, nu prea am încredere în el". Gap-up înseamnă
|
||
că prețul a deschis mult peste închiderea de ieri, lăsând un gol între
|
||
candele. Cazul real CTLD e exemplul cursului de setup care „nu funcționează":
|
||
doji după o creștere, nu după o scădere.</p>
|
||
<p><strong>Treci mai departe doar dacă</strong> ai un doji (corp de cel mult 10 % din
|
||
înălțime, fitile în ambele părți) după o scădere clară — nu după un gap-up
|
||
sau o creștere.</p>
|
||
<p><a id="pasul-3"></a></p>
|
||
<h2 id="pasul-3-doji-ul-sta-pe-un-nivel">Pasul 3 — Doji-ul stă pe un nivel</h2>
|
||
<p><strong>Tragi pe daily pivoții lunari și măsori în procente cât de departe e low-ul
|
||
doji-ului de cel mai apropiat suport sau pivot.</strong></p>
|
||
<p>Un suport e un nivel de unde prețul a mai întors în sus. Un pivot e un nivel
|
||
calculat din maximul, minimul și închiderea lunii trecute: PP la mijloc,
|
||
suporturile S1, S2 dedesubt, rezistențele R1, R2 deasupra. Fiindcă îl urmăresc
|
||
mulți, prețul reacționează des acolo. TradeStation îl desenează
|
||
singur; formula e la nivelul 3, la BVB.</p>
|
||
<p>Un doji departe de orice nivel e o simplă pauză; pe un nivel, cumpărătorii
|
||
au motiv să apară.</p>
|
||
<!-- DIAGRAMA: locatie -->
|
||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 760 415" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="24" y="22" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Doji la nivel vs. doji în aer — daily, pivoți lunari (exemplu construit)</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">DA — doji la nivel</text>
|
||
<text x="402" y="48" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">NU — doji în aer</text>
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<line x1="388" y1="36" x2="388" y2="361" stroke="#ccc"/>
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<rect x="24" y="236.4" width="350" height="9.0" fill="#188a3e" fill-opacity="0.12" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1"/>
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<text x="370" y="230.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">low-ul dojiului: 49.25</text>
|
||
<rect x="402" y="236.4" width="350" height="117.0" fill="#c00" fill-opacity="0.12" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1"/>
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<text x="748" y="230.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">low-ul dojiului: 49.25</text>
|
||
<text x="370" y="277.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">de la 49.25 la 49.00 = 0,51 % — la nivel</text>
|
||
<text x="410" y="341.4" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">de la 49.25 la 46.00 = gol de 7,07 % — doji în aer</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="245.4" x2="374" y2="245.4" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="370" y="259.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">pivotul lunar 49.00</text>
|
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<line x1="402" y1="83.4" x2="752" y2="83.4" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="748" y="77.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">pivotul lunar 53.50</text>
|
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<line x1="402" y1="353.4" x2="752" y2="353.4" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="408" y="367.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="start">pivotul lunar 46.00</text>
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<rect x="53.0" y="101.4" width="10" height="28.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="189.0" y="169.8" width="10" height="10.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="206.0" y="155.4" width="10" height="14.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="126.0" y="179.8" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
|
||
<text x="160.0" y="153.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare</text>
|
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<line x1="92.0" y1="295.4" x2="92.0" y2="257.4" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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<polygon points="92.0,249.4 96.0,257.4 88.0,257.4" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<text x="92.0" y="309.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">pivot lunar: nivel urmărit</text>
|
||
<text x="92.0" y="323.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">de mulți — aici apar</text>
|
||
<text x="92.0" y="337.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">cumpărătorii</text>
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<line x1="436.0" y1="96.0" x2="436.0" y2="135.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="431.0" y="101.4" width="10" height="28.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="453.0" y1="124.8" x2="453.0" y2="164.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="448.0" y="130.2" width="10" height="28.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="470.0" y1="153.6" x2="470.0" y2="193.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="465.0" y="159.0" width="10" height="28.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="487.0" y1="182.4" x2="487.0" y2="227.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="482.0" y="187.8" width="10" height="34.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="504.0" y1="205.8" x2="504.0" y2="236.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="499.0" y="222.0" width="10" height="1.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="521.0" y1="207.6" x2="521.0" y2="229.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="516.0" y="213.0" width="10" height="10.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="538.0" y1="189.6" x2="538.0" y2="218.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="533.0" y="195.0" width="10" height="18.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="550.0" y="180.6" width="10" height="14.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="572.0" y1="164.4" x2="572.0" y2="186.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="567.0" y="169.8" width="10" height="10.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="589.0" y1="150.0" x2="589.0" y2="175.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="584.0" y="155.4" width="10" height="14.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="504.0" y="179.8" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
|
||
<text x="538.0" y="153.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmare</text>
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<line x1="604.0" y1="266.4" x2="511.7" y2="242.4" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.8"/>
|
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<polygon points="504.0,240.4 512.7,238.5 510.7,246.3" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="604.0" y="280.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">aceeași formă, dar nimic sub el</text>
|
||
<text x="604.0" y="294.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">nu are cine să-l susțină</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="383" fill="#555">daily: e „la nivel" dacă low-ul dojiului e la cel mult 1-2 % de pivotul lunar (aici 0,51 %; în dreapta 7,07 %).</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="401" fill="#555">Aceeași serie, aceeași scară; nivelurile 49.00 / 46.00 / 53.50 sunt construite.</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: locatie -->
|
||
|
||
<p>Aceeași formă, de două ori. În stânga, low-ul doji-ului e la 49.25, iar
|
||
pivotul la 49.00: (49.25 − 49.00) / 49.00 = 0,51 %, deci doji „la nivel". În
|
||
dreapta, cel mai apropiat nivel e la cam 7 %: doji „în aer". Ochiul nu
|
||
vede diferența, procentul da.</p>
|
||
<p>Pe daily, pragul e 1-2 %. Pe 60 de minute cursul folosește 0,5 %, dar pe daily
|
||
la 0,5 % găsești prea puține simboluri.</p>
|
||
<p><strong>Treci mai departe doar dacă</strong> low-ul doji-ului e la cel mult 1-2 % de un
|
||
suport sau de un pivot lunar.</p>
|
||
<p><a id="pasul-4"></a></p>
|
||
<h2 id="pasul-4-trigger-ul-inchidere-peste-high-in-maximum-3-candele">Pasul 4 — Trigger-ul: închidere peste high, în maximum 3 candele</h2>
|
||
<p><strong>Notezi high-ul doji-ului și aștepți. Intri doar dacă una din următoarele 3
|
||
candele se închide peste el.</strong></p>
|
||
<p>Nu intri pe doji: el spune doar că scăderea a făcut o pauză, iar pauza poate
|
||
fi urmată de încă un val în jos. Contează închiderea, nu atingerea — o
|
||
candelă care trece peste high în timpul zilei și se închide sub el nu e
|
||
trigger.</p>
|
||
<!-- DIAGRAMA: fereastra -->
|
||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 640 750" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<g transform="translate(0,0)"><rect x="248.0" y="141.0" width="112.0" height="106.0" fill="#1a5fb4" fill-opacity="0.12" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1"/><text x="254.0" y="134.0" fill="#1a5fb4" style="font-weight:bold">fereastra: 3 candele</text><line x1="24" y1="200.0" x2="626" y2="200.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/><text x="30" y="215.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">high-ul dojiului 50.10</text><text x="30" y="229.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">trebuie ÎNCHIS peste,</text><text x="30" y="243.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">nu doar atins</text><line x1="24" y1="251.0" x2="626" y2="251.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/><text x="30" y="266.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">low-ul dojiului 49.25</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">DA — confirmare la +2, în fereastră</text>
|
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<line x1="64.0" y1="56.0" x2="64.0" y2="83.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="57.5" y="65.0" width="13" height="9.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="97.5" y="74.0" width="13" height="48.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="144.0" y1="113.0" x2="144.0" y2="179.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="137.5" y="122.0" width="13" height="48.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="184.0" y1="161.0" x2="184.0" y2="236.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="337.5" y="158.0" width="13" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="224.0" y="190.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
|
||
<line x1="264.0" y1="269.0" x2="264.0" y2="251.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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<polygon points="264.0,243.0 268.0,251.0 260.0,251.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
||
<text x="264.0" y="283.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">aici NU intri: s-a închis sub 50.10</text>
|
||
<text x="264.0" y="297.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">semnalul cere o ÎNCHIDERE peste</text>
|
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<line x1="364.5" y1="228.0" x2="320.4" y2="187.4" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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<polygon points="314.5,182.0 323.1,184.5 317.7,190.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="368.5" y="218.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">AICI INTRI, la close 50.40</text>
|
||
<text x="368.5" y="232.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">prima închidere peste</text>
|
||
<text x="368.5" y="246.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">high-ul dojiului</text>
|
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</g>
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|
||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">NU — nicio confirmare în 3 candele</text>
|
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<rect x="97.5" y="74.0" width="13" height="48.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="144.0" y1="113.0" x2="144.0" y2="179.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="137.5" y="122.0" width="13" height="48.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="184.0" y1="161.0" x2="184.0" y2="236.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="177.5" y="170.0" width="13" height="57.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="200.0" x2="224.0" y2="251.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="217.5" y="227.0" width="13" height="3.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="264.0" y1="200.0" x2="264.0" y2="239.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="257.5" y="209.0" width="13" height="21.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="297.5" y="203.0" width="13" height="6.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="194.0" x2="344.0" y2="224.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||
<rect x="337.5" y="203.0" width="13" height="12.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="384.0" y1="206.0" x2="384.0" y2="266.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||
<rect x="377.5" y="215.0" width="13" height="42.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
||
<text x="224.0" y="190.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
|
||
<text x="384.0" y="196.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">a 4-a</text>
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<line x1="479.0" y1="164.0" x2="351.9" y2="188.5" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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<polygon points="344.0,190.0 351.1,184.6 352.6,192.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="479.0" y="145.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">a treia s-a închis tot sub 50.10</text>
|
||
<text x="479.0" y="159.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">fereastra s-a terminat: ștergi setup-ul</text>
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||
<line x1="384.0" y1="296.0" x2="384.0" y2="278.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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<polygon points="384.0,270.0 388.0,278.0 380.0,278.0" fill="#c00"/>
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||
<text x="384.0" y="310.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">a închis sub low-ul dojiului</text>
|
||
<text x="384.0" y="324.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">setup mort — nu mai intri</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="355.0" fill="#c00">+1: 49.95 · +2: 50.05 · +3: 49.85 — toate sub 50.10</text>
|
||
</g>
|
||
<text x="24" y="728" fill="#555">Serii construite: open = close-ul barei anterioare.</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="745" fill="#555">Doji: h 50.10 / l 49.25. Fereastra = maximum 3 candele după doji.</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: fereastra -->
|
||
|
||
<p>Sus, setup-ul valid: doji cu high 50.10; prima candelă se închide la 49.90,
|
||
încă sub; a doua la 50.40, peste. Intri la 50.40, la close-ul ei. Jos,
|
||
setup-ul expirat: trei candele se închid la 49.95, 50.05 și 49.85, toate sub
|
||
50.10, așa că după a treia îl ștergi. Aici a patra se închide chiar sub
|
||
low-ul doji-ului — „setup mort".</p>
|
||
<p>De ce contează închiderea peste high: cine a vândut în ziua doji-ului e acum
|
||
pe pierdere, iar stopurile celor care au shortat, puse deasupra high-ului, se
|
||
execută ca ordine de cumpărare. De aceea mișcarea se întoarce brusc.
|
||
(Explicația e a sumarizatorului lecției, nu a cursului.)</p>
|
||
<p><strong>Treci mai departe doar dacă</strong> o candelă s-a închis peste high-ul doji-ului
|
||
în maximum 3 candele. Altfel ștergi setup-ul și te întorci la pasul 1.</p>
|
||
<p><a id="pasul-5"></a></p>
|
||
<h2 id="pasul-5-stopul-si-marimea-pozitiei">Pasul 5 — Stopul și mărimea poziției</h2>
|
||
<p><strong>Numeri 4 candele înapoi, începând cu cea de confirmare, iei cel mai jos low
|
||
dintre ele și pui stopul puțin sub el.</strong></p>
|
||
<!-- DIAGRAMA: stop -->
|
||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 720 1163" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Pasul 5 — stopul: numeri 4 candele înapoi de la confirmare</text>
|
||
<rect x="178.0" y="289.2" width="80.0" height="88.0" fill="#1a5fb4" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1"/>
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||
<text x="178.0" y="284.2" fill="#1a5fb4" style="font-weight:bold">numeri 4 candele, începând cu confirmarea</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="371.0" x2="706" y2="371.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="30" y="365.0" fill="#c00">stopul: 49.20</text>
|
||
<line x1="48.0" y1="56.0" x2="48.0" y2="119.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||
<rect x="43.0" y="65.0" width="10" height="43.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="68.0" y1="99.2" x2="68.0" y2="158.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="63.0" y="108.2" width="10" height="39.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="88.0" y1="124.4" x2="88.0" y2="158.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="83.0" y="133.4" width="10" height="14.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="108.0" y1="124.4" x2="108.0" y2="183.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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||
<rect x="103.0" y="133.4" width="10" height="39.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="128.0" y1="164.0" x2="128.0" y2="227.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="123.0" y="173.0" width="10" height="43.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="148.0" y1="207.2" x2="148.0" y2="270.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="143.0" y="216.2" width="10" height="43.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="168.0" y1="250.4" x2="168.0" y2="317.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="163.0" y="259.4" width="10" height="46.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="188.0" y1="297.2" x2="188.0" y2="365.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="183.0" y="306.2" width="10" height="48.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="208.0" y1="338.6" x2="208.0" y2="369.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="203.0" y="354.8" width="10" height="1.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="228.0" y1="340.4" x2="228.0" y2="362.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="223.0" y="345.8" width="10" height="10.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="248.0" y1="322.4" x2="248.0" y2="351.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="243.0" y="327.8" width="10" height="18.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="458.0" y1="433.2" x2="215.8" y2="375.1" stroke="#555" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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<polygon points="208.0,373.2 216.7,371.2 214.8,379.0" fill="#555"/>
|
||
<text x="458.0" y="447.2" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">cel mai jos low din cele 4: 49.25</text>
|
||
<text x="458.0" y="461.2" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">(e al doji-ului)</text>
|
||
<line x1="478.0" y1="477.0" x2="235.4" y2="378.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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<polygon points="228.0,375.0 236.9,374.3 233.9,381.7" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="478.0" y="491.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">stopul: 49.20, cu 5 cenți mai jos</text>
|
||
<text x="478.0" y="505.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sub el, ideea că vânzătorii</text>
|
||
<text x="478.0" y="519.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">au obosit e moartă</text>
|
||
<line x1="498.0" y1="292.4" x2="256.0" y2="317.6" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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<polygon points="248.0,318.4 255.5,313.6 256.4,321.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="498.0" y="273.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmarea: close 50.40</text>
|
||
<text x="498.0" y="287.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">de aici numeri înapoi</text>
|
||
<text x="188.0" y="393.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">4</text>
|
||
<text x="208.0" y="393.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">3</text>
|
||
<text x="228.0" y="393.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">2</text>
|
||
<text x="248.0" y="393.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1</text>
|
||
<text x="168.0" y="393.0" fill="#999" text-anchor="middle">(5)</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="543.0" fill="#555">cu 4 sau cu 5 candele iese la fel: în scădere, low-ul doji-ului e oricum cel mai jos</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="562" x2="706" y2="562" stroke="#ddd"/>
|
||
<text x="24" y="617" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Același trade: stop „la ochi” (sub candela de confirmare) vs stopul din regulă</text>
|
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<rect x="258.0" y="922.0" width="40.0" height="18.0" fill="#c00" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1"/>
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<line x1="24" y1="853.6" x2="706" y2="853.6" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
||
<text x="30" y="847.6" fill="#188a3e">ținta 1: 51.60</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="896.8" x2="706" y2="896.8" stroke="#555" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="30" y="890.8" fill="#555">intrarea: 50.40</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="922.0" x2="706" y2="922.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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||
<text x="30" y="916.0" fill="#b06000">stop pus la ochi: 49.70</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="940.0" x2="706" y2="940.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="30" y="934.0" fill="#c00">stopul din regulă: 49.20</text>
|
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<line x1="48.0" y1="625.0" x2="48.0" y2="688.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="43.0" y="634.0" width="10" height="43.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="68.0" y1="668.2" x2="68.0" y2="727.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="63.0" y="677.2" width="10" height="39.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="88.0" y1="693.4" x2="88.0" y2="727.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="83.0" y="702.4" width="10" height="14.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="108.0" y1="693.4" x2="108.0" y2="752.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="103.0" y="702.4" width="10" height="39.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="128.0" y1="733.0" x2="128.0" y2="796.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="123.0" y="742.0" width="10" height="43.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="148.0" y1="776.2" x2="148.0" y2="839.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="143.0" y="785.2" width="10" height="43.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="168.0" y1="819.4" x2="168.0" y2="886.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="163.0" y="828.4" width="10" height="46.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="188.0" y1="866.2" x2="188.0" y2="934.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="183.0" y="875.2" width="10" height="48.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="208.0" y1="907.6" x2="208.0" y2="938.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="203.0" y="923.8" width="10" height="1.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="228.0" y1="909.4" x2="228.0" y2="931.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="223.0" y="914.8" width="10" height="10.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="248.0" y1="891.4" x2="248.0" y2="920.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="243.0" y="896.8" width="10" height="18.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="268.0" y1="893.2" x2="268.0" y2="916.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="263.0" y="896.8" width="10" height="16.2" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="288.0" y1="909.4" x2="288.0" y2="929.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="283.0" y="913.0" width="10" height="12.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="308.0" y1="898.6" x2="308.0" y2="927.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="303.0" y="902.2" width="10" height="23.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<line x1="328.0" y1="878.8" x2="328.0" y2="905.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="323.0" y="882.4" width="10" height="19.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<line x1="348.0" y1="862.6" x2="348.0" y2="886.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="343.0" y="866.2" width="10" height="16.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||
<line x1="368.0" y1="846.4" x2="368.0" y2="869.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="363.0" y="850.0" width="10" height="16.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<line x1="518.0" y1="958.0" x2="295.9" y2="927.1" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.8"/>
|
||
<polygon points="288.0,926.0 296.5,923.1 295.4,931.1" fill="#b06000"/>
|
||
<text x="518.0" y="972.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">stopul pus la ochi (49.70) e măturat</text>
|
||
<text x="518.0" y="986.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">era prea aproape de intrare</text>
|
||
<line x1="518.0" y1="1015.2" x2="295.5" y2="935.9" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8"/>
|
||
<polygon points="288.0,933.2 296.9,932.1 294.2,939.7" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<text x="518.0" y="1029.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">al doilea picior al fundului: 49.50</text>
|
||
<text x="518.0" y="1043.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">fundurile fac des asta</text>
|
||
<line x1="498.0" y1="1076.0" x2="274.9" y2="948.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.8"/>
|
||
<polygon points="268.0,944.0 276.9,944.5 272.9,951.5" fill="#c00"/>
|
||
<text x="498.0" y="1090.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">stopul din regulă (49.20) ține</text>
|
||
<text x="498.0" y="1104.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">al doilea picior rămâne peste el</text>
|
||
<line x1="518.0" y1="823.6" x2="375.9" y2="848.2" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.8"/>
|
||
<polygon points="368.0,849.6 375.2,844.3 376.6,852.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<text x="518.0" y="790.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">prețul ajunge la țintă</text>
|
||
<text x="518.0" y="804.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">dar numai cu stopul corect</text>
|
||
<text x="518.0" y="818.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">mai erai în trade</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="1143" fill="#555">Barele de după intrare și stopul la ochi sunt construite, pentru contrast.</text>
|
||
<text x="318.0" y="916.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">pe aici trece al doilea picior</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: stop -->
|
||
|
||
<p>Sus, candelele numerotate de la confirmare. Cel mai jos low e al doji-ului,
|
||
49.25, iar stopul merge la 49.20, cu 5 cenți sub. După o scădere, low-ul
|
||
doji-ului e aproape mereu cel mai jos, deci stopul iese practic sub doji.
|
||
Jos, același setup, dar cu o continuare diferită: o variantă în care fundul
|
||
mai face un picior înainte să plece. Stopul e pus aici „la ochi", la 49.70,
|
||
sub candela de confirmare. A doua candelă după intrare coboară până la
|
||
49.50, mătură stopul „la ochi", iar prețul urcă și atinge ținta abia la a
|
||
șasea candelă — în restul capitolului, unde fundul pleacă direct, ținta vine
|
||
la a treia. Stopul din regulă, 49.20, n-a fost atins în nicio variantă.</p>
|
||
<p>De ce acolo: dacă prețul trece sub acel low, ideea că vânzătorii s-au
|
||
epuizat e moartă. Fundurile fac des un al doilea picior, de aceea stopul stă
|
||
sub toată structura, nu „undeva aproape". Candelele le numeri pe graficul pe care intri, aici
|
||
daily.</p>
|
||
<p>Mărimea poziției vine din regula generală de risc a cursului: pierzi cel mult
|
||
2 % din cont pe un trade. Numărul de acțiuni e riscul în dolari împărțit la
|
||
distanța până la stop, rotunjit în jos. Strategia nu dă o cifră de risc
|
||
proprie.</p>
|
||
<blockquote>
|
||
<p><strong>Completare proprie</strong> (cifrele sunt ale mele, regula de 2 % e a cursului):
|
||
pe un cont de 50.000 $ riști cel mult 1.000 $. Cu intrarea la 50.40 și
|
||
stopul la 49.20 riști 1.20 pe acțiune: 1.000 / 1.20 = 833,3, deci cumperi
|
||
833 de acțiuni.</p>
|
||
</blockquote>
|
||
<p><strong>Treci mai departe doar dacă</strong> știi prețul exact al stopului și numărul de
|
||
acțiuni, iar pierderea maximă încape în regula ta de risc.</p>
|
||
<p><a id="pasul-6"></a></p>
|
||
<h2 id="pasul-6-iesirea-o-treime-la-11-restul-pe-trailing-maximum-8-candele">Pasul 6 — Ieșirea: o treime la 1:1, restul pe trailing, maximum 8 candele</h2>
|
||
<p><strong>Pui ținta la aceeași distanță deasupra intrării la care e stopul dedesubt,
|
||
iar după ce e atinsă lași restul pe trailing stop.</strong></p>
|
||
<p>Ieși în trei treimi:</p>
|
||
<ol>
|
||
<li><strong>Prima treime la ținta 1:1.</strong> Cu intrarea la 50.40 și stopul la 49.20
|
||
riști 1.20, deci ținta e 51.60. Cursul e categoric: ținta fixă e 1:1, „nu
|
||
mai mult". Profitul în plus vine din trailing.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>A doua treime pe trailing stop.</strong> Linia de trail o pui la low-ul oricărei
|
||
candele care deschide cu gap peste high-ul candelei dinainte și o urci de
|
||
fiecare dată când apare una nouă. Ieși la prima închidere sub linie.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>A treia treime o lași mai departe</strong>, cât ține trendul; pe ea poți risca
|
||
tot stopul inițial.</li>
|
||
</ol>
|
||
<p>Limita de timp: dacă în 8 candele de la intrare nu s-a atins nici ținta,
|
||
nici stopul, ieși oricum, la close-ul celei de-a 8-a.</p>
|
||
<!-- DIAGRAMA: iesire -->
|
||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 760 779" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">A — prima treime la țintă, a doua pe trailing stop</text>
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<text x="732" y="184.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">ținta 1: 51.60 (= 1R)</text>
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<text x="732" y="232.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="end">intrarea: 50.40</text>
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<text x="732" y="280.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">stopul: 49.20</text>
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<rect x="43.5" y="66.0" width="9" height="48.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="66.0" y1="104.0" x2="66.0" y2="174.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="61.5" y="114.0" width="9" height="48.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="84.0" y1="152.0" x2="84.0" y2="226.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="79.5" y="162.0" width="9" height="52.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="102.0" y1="204.0" x2="102.0" y2="280.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="97.5" y="214.0" width="9" height="54.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="120.0" y1="250.0" x2="120.0" y2="284.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="115.5" y="268.0" width="9" height="2.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="133.5" y="258.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="156.0" y1="232.0" x2="156.0" y2="264.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="151.5" y="238.0" width="9" height="20.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="174.0" y1="208.0" x2="174.0" y2="250.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="169.5" y="218.0" width="9" height="20.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="192.0" y1="196.0" x2="192.0" y2="230.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="259.5" y="160.0" width="9" height="6.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="282.0" y1="158.0" x2="282.0" y2="174.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="277.5" y="160.0" width="9" height="10.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="300.0" y1="154.0" x2="300.0" y2="172.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="295.5" y="158.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="318.0" y1="152.0" x2="318.0" y2="164.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="313.5" y="154.0" width="9" height="4.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="336.0" y1="152.0" x2="336.0" y2="160.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="367.5" y="136.0" width="9" height="26.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<polygon points="210.0,186.0 207.2,177.5 215.1,178.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="220.0" y="99.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ținta 1 atinsă: vinzi prima treime</text>
|
||
<text x="220.0" y="113.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ai luat exact cât riscai (1R)</text>
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<polygon points="246.0,180.0 254.9,180.1 251.3,187.2" fill="#b06000"/>
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<text x="376.0" y="260.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">gap: low-ul de azi e peste high-ul de ieri</text>
|
||
<text x="376.0" y="274.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">linia de trail urcă la 51.95</text>
|
||
<line x1="504.0" y1="120.0" x2="361.9" y2="144.6" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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<polygon points="354.0,146.0 361.2,140.7 362.6,148.6" fill="#b06000"/>
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<text x="504.0" y="101.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">încă un gap: linia urcă la 52.60</text>
|
||
<text x="504.0" y="115.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">urcă doar, nu coboară niciodată</text>
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<line x1="622.0" y1="288.0" x2="379.2" y2="169.5" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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<polygon points="372.0,166.0 380.9,165.9 377.4,173.1" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="622.0" y="302.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">prima închidere sub linie: ieși</text>
|
||
<text x="622.0" y="316.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">cu a doua treime, la 52.30 (+1.58R)</text>
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<polyline points="239.0,176.0 347.0,176.0 347.0,150.0 379.0,150.0" fill="none" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="2"/>
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<text x="386.0" y="154.0" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">linia de trailing stop</text>
|
||
<text x="150.0" y="346.0" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">prima treime: de la intrare la ținta 1:1</text>
|
||
<text x="222.0" y="364.0" fill="#1a5fb4" style="font-weight:bold">a doua treime: merge pe trailing stop</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="386.0" fill="#555">A treia treime o lași mai departe, cu stopul mutat la intrare (break-even).</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="405" x2="746" y2="405" stroke="#ddd"/>
|
||
<text x="24" y="460" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">B — limita de 8 candele: nici ținta, nici stopul</text>
|
||
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<line x1="24" y1="602.0" x2="746" y2="602.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 3"/>
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||
<text x="732" y="596.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">ținta 1: 51.60 — neatinsă</text>
|
||
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<text x="732" y="644.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="end">intrarea: 50.40</text>
|
||
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||
<text x="732" y="692.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">stopul: 49.20 — neatins</text>
|
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<rect x="61.5" y="526.0" width="9" height="48.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="84.0" y1="564.0" x2="84.0" y2="638.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="79.5" y="574.0" width="9" height="52.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<rect x="259.5" y="622.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="282.0" y1="612.0" x2="282.0" y2="640.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="277.5" y="618.0" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="300.0" y1="612.0" x2="300.0" y2="644.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="295.5" y="618.0" width="9" height="20.0" fill="#c00"/>
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|
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<text x="420.0" y="722.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">a 8-a candelă: ieși oricum, la close 50.70 (+0.25R)</text>
|
||
<text x="420.0" y="736.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">banii blocați aici lipsesc din alt trade</text>
|
||
<text x="168.0" y="594.0" fill="#555" style="font-weight:bold">8 candele în care nu se întâmplă nimic</text>
|
||
<text x="174.0" y="678.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">1</text>
|
||
<text x="192.0" y="678.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">2</text>
|
||
<text x="210.0" y="678.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">3</text>
|
||
<text x="228.0" y="678.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">4</text>
|
||
<text x="246.0" y="678.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">5</text>
|
||
<text x="264.0" y="678.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">6</text>
|
||
<text x="282.0" y="678.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">7</text>
|
||
<text x="300.0" y="678.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">8</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: iesire -->
|
||
|
||
<p>Sus, prima treime iese la 51.60. Apar două candele cu gap, care urcă linia
|
||
de trail întâi la 51.95, apoi la 52.60; a doua treime iese la 52.30, prima
|
||
închidere sub linie, cu +1,58R. Pe a treia treime muți stopul la prețul de
|
||
intrare, 50.40 — asta se numește break-even: dacă prețul se întoarce, ieși
|
||
pe zero, fără câștig și fără pierdere. Jos, alt trade: în 8 zile prețul urcă cel mult la 51.35 și
|
||
coboară cel mult la 50.15, deci nu atinge nici ținta, nici stopul; ieși la
|
||
close-ul celei de-a 8-a, 50.70, cu +0,25R.</p>
|
||
<blockquote>
|
||
<p><strong>Completare proprie:</strong> candelele de după intrare, din ambele panouri, sunt
|
||
construite. Împărțirea în trei treimi e a sumarizatorului lecției; ținta
|
||
1:1, regula de trail și limita de 8 candele sunt ale cursului.</p>
|
||
</blockquote>
|
||
<p><strong>Treci la trade-ul următor doar după ce</strong> toate trei treimile au ieșit — la
|
||
țintă, pe trail, la limita de 8 candele sau la stop.</p>
|
||
<hr />
|
||
<p><a id="oglinda-short"></a></p>
|
||
<h1 id="oglinda-sell-doji-pe-short">Oglinda — Sell Doji, pe short</h1>
|
||
<p>Exemplul de mai jos e alt simbol, pe altă scară de preț (în jur de 99 $, nu
|
||
50 $); regulile sunt aceleași. Pașii sunt aceiași, întorși:</p>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li>înainte de doji vine o <strong>creștere</strong> de 8-10 candele;</li>
|
||
<li>doji-ul stă lângă o rezistență sau un pivot, <strong>deasupra</strong>;</li>
|
||
<li>trigger-ul e o închidere <strong>sub low-ul</strong> doji-ului, în maximum 3 candele;</li>
|
||
<li>stopul stă <strong>deasupra</strong> celui mai înalt high din ultimele 4 candele;</li>
|
||
<li>ținta e la aceeași distanță, în jos, iar linia de trail coboară.</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
<!-- DIAGRAMA: sell -->
|
||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 840 571" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||
<text x="24" y="72" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Sell Doji pe short — daily (exemplu construit)</text>
|
||
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|
||
<text x="34.5" y="93.2" fill="#1a5fb4" style="font-weight:bold">1. creșterea: 14 candele</text>
|
||
<rect x="314.5" y="90.2" width="19.0" height="56.5" fill="#b06000" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1"/>
|
||
<text x="314.5" y="85.2" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">2. doji</text>
|
||
<rect x="354.5" y="96.0" width="79.0" height="51.8" fill="#c00" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1"/>
|
||
<rect x="354.5" y="147.8" width="79.0" height="51.8" fill="#188a3e" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1"/>
|
||
<rect x="534.5" y="262.5" width="119.0" height="0.9" fill="#555" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#555" stroke-width="1"/>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="96.0" x2="826" y2="96.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="812" y="90.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">stop 100.15</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="147.8" x2="826" y2="147.8" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="812" y="141.8" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">intrare short 99.00</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="199.5" x2="826" y2="199.5" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="812" y="193.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">ținta 97.85</text>
|
||
<line x1="44.0" y1="404.3" x2="44.0" y2="429.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<text x="24" y="463.0" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="514.0" y="47.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">STOPUL SUS, la 100.15 — 5 cenți peste maximul ultimelor 4 candele:</text>
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<text x="514.0" y="61.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">dacă prețul urcă până aici, creșterea continuă și ideea e moartă</text>
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<text x="294.0" y="271.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">AICI INTRI SHORT, la 99.00:</text>
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<text x="294.0" y="285.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">a doua candelă după doji e prima</text>
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<text x="294.0" y="299.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">care se ÎNCHIDE sub low-ul lui (99.20)</text>
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<text x="516.5" y="164.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">ținta JOS, la 97.85: tot 1.15, exact cât ai riscat;</text>
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<text x="516.5" y="178.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">aici închizi prima treime</text>
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<text x="544.0" y="329.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">trail-ul a coborât după preț (96.45);</text>
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<text x="544.0" y="343.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">prima închidere peste el: ieși cu restul, 96.60</text>
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<text x="24" y="559" fill="#555">Pe short câștigi când prețul COBOARĂ: stopul stă SUS, ținta JOS, trail-ul coboară după preț. Roșu = ce riști, verde = ce câștigi.</text>
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</svg></p>
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<!-- /DIAGRAMA: sell -->
|
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|
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<p>Pe diagramă, doji-ul e între 99.20 și 100.10. A doua candelă se închide la
|
||
99.00, sub 99.20: intri short acolo. Stopul e la 100.15, cu 5 cenți peste cel
|
||
mai înalt high din ultimele 4 candele (care e chiar high-ul doji-ului), deci
|
||
riști 1.15, iar ținta e la aceeași distanță în jos, 97.85. Restul poziției
|
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iese la 96.60, prima închidere peste linia de trail coborâtă la 96.45.</p>
|
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<p>Exemplul din curs pune stopul fix pe high, la 100.10, cu ținta la 97.90; aici
|
||
e urcat cu 5 cenți, ca să respecte regula „stopul deasupra maximului", la fel
|
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ca cei 5 cenți de sub low la pasul 5.</p>
|
||
<p>Ce se adaugă la short:</p>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li><strong>Piața trebuie să fie slabă</strong>: „când shortăm, să fie overall piața praf".
|
||
Dacă primești 30 de Sell Doji în același sector, problema e sectorul.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Nu pe acțiuni sub 10 $.</strong> Riști un short squeeze: prețul sare brusc
|
||
pentru că toți cei pe short cumpără odată, iar piața poate deschide direct
|
||
peste stopul tău.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Nu contra unui Buy Doji weekly</strong> (pasul 1).</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Divergența poate întoarce semnalul.</strong> Divergență înseamnă că prețul face
|
||
un minim sau un maxim nou, dar volumul ori un indicator nu-l confirmă. Dacă
|
||
vezi așa ceva, sau un stochastic (indicator care arată cât de repede s-a
|
||
mișcat prețul) ieșind din zona de supravânzare, semnalul poate deveni un
|
||
Buy Doji.</li>
|
||
</ul>
|
||
<hr />
|
||
<p><a id="nivelul-3"></a></p>
|
||
<h1 id="nivelul-3-rafinari">Nivelul 3 — Rafinări</h1>
|
||
<p><strong>Astea se citesc după ce ai făcut 20 de trade-uri mecanic, nu înainte.</strong></p>
|
||
<h2 id="confirmarile-care-fac-un-setup-a">Confirmările care fac un setup A+</h2>
|
||
<p>Pașii 2 și 3 sunt minimul. Cu cât ai mai multe motive independente pentru
|
||
același trade, cu atât e mai bun — dar materialul nu cere o poziție mai mare.
|
||
Cele două panouri din diagramă sunt alte simboluri, cu alte prețuri (42 $ și
|
||
78 $).</p>
|
||
<!-- DIAGRAMA: aplus -->
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 1160 519" width="1160" height="519" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif"><text x="580" y="20" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">Setup A+ vs. setup mediocru (două panouri, exemple construite)</text><g transform="translate(8,38)">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">A+ — doji la suport, volum în acumulare</text>
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<text x="30" y="276.6" fill="#188a3e">suport 42.00</text>
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<text x="154.0" y="327.7" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji chiar pe nivel:</text>
|
||
<text x="154.0" y="341.7" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">vânzarea s-a oprit pe suport</text>
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<text x="269.0" y="150.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">confirmarea, pe volum mare:</text>
|
||
<text x="269.0" y="164.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">cumpărătorii mari intră</text>
|
||
<text x="200.5" y="451.7" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">volum în creștere = acumulare</text></g><g transform="translate(592,38)">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Mediocru — gap-up în rezistență, volum varză</text>
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<text x="532" y="74.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">rezistență 78.50</text>
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|
||
<text x="181.5" y="128.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">aici cumpără cei întârziați</text>
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<text x="354.0" y="168.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">cade înapoi sub rezistența 78.50:</text>
|
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<text x="354.0" y="182.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">semnalul a mințit</text>
|
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<text x="260.5" y="392.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">volum slab: nimeni mare nu cumpără</text></g></svg></p>
|
||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: aplus -->
|
||
|
||
<table>
|
||
<thead>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th>Criteriu</th>
|
||
<th>A+</th>
|
||
<th>Mediocru sau NU</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>Trendul dinainte</td>
|
||
<td>scădere de 8-10+ candele, spre suport</td>
|
||
<td>creștere scurtă sau gap-up în rezistență</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>Locația</td>
|
||
<td>pivot lunar, al doilea test fără low nou</td>
|
||
<td>sus, cu un gap neînchis dedesubt</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>Volumul</td>
|
||
<td>acumulare: crește pe candelele de urcare</td>
|
||
<td>slab, „varză"</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>Weekly-ul</td>
|
||
<td>în aceeași direcție</td>
|
||
<td>Sell Doji weekly contra ta</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
<p>Mai rar citate: double bottom (două minime la același nivel) cu close peste
|
||
pivotul lunar („sfântul buy
|
||
doji"); mai multe trigger-e pe aceeași candelă — buy doji plus buy momentum
|
||
(săgeata indicatorului cursului, care se aprinde când prețul trece cu forță
|
||
printr-un nivel vechi) sau bull reversal, prima candelă care se închide peste
|
||
ultimul nivel al liniei de bear trail. În exemplul din capitol,
|
||
candela care se închide la 50.40 ar fi și bull reversal dacă acel 50.40 e
|
||
peste ultimul nivel de trail rămas deasupra scăderii de 14 zile — atunci ai
|
||
două motive independente pe aceeași candelă, nu unul. Practic îl folosești în
|
||
două locuri: ca filtru în scaner (<code>Bull Reversal = 1</code>, care îți scurtează
|
||
lista la candidații care au demonstrat deja schimbarea de forță) și ca
|
||
bifă în plus pe candela pe care intri. Tot aici intră filtrul RVOL (volumul
|
||
de azi față de media lui).</p>
|
||
<h2 id="cele-trei-perechi-de-tf">Cele trei perechi de TF</h2>
|
||
<p>Regula de candelă e aceeași pe orice pereche: doji, apoi o închidere peste
|
||
high-ul lui. Ce se schimbă de la o pereche la alta e unde te uiți ca să vezi
|
||
doji-ul. Diagrama e, din nou, alt simbol, cu alte prețuri.</p>
|
||
<p>Fiecare rând din diagramă are două panouri, iar cel din dreapta nu e alt
|
||
grafic: e aceeași bucată de piață, mărită. O candelă weekly e cinci candele
|
||
daily puse cap la cap — același open la început, același close la sfârșit,
|
||
același high și același low, doar desenate cu mai multe detalii. Caseta
|
||
punctată de pe panoul din stânga arată exact ce bucată e mărită în dreapta,
|
||
iar linia de preț comună e trasată pe amândouă, ca să urmărești același nivel
|
||
dintr-o parte în alta. Intrarea, stopul și ținta apar doar pe panoul mic,
|
||
pentru că doar acolo au unde să fie citite.</p>
|
||
<p>De ce te uiți acolo: pe TF-ul mare vezi că scăderea s-a oprit, dar nu vezi
|
||
cum s-a oprit. Pullback-ul se vede și pe TF-ul mare — una-două candele roșii,
|
||
iar prima dintre ele e o săptămână roșie cât se poate de vizibilă. Ce nu vezi
|
||
e ce se întâmplă în interiorul lor: nu vezi unde s-a oprit coborârea, nu vezi
|
||
doji-ul care o termină, deci n-ai unde să intri și n-ai de unde să măsori
|
||
stopul. Asta face lupa — desface aceleași candele roșii în candelele mici din
|
||
care sunt făcute.</p>
|
||
<p>Momentul intrării nu se schimbă, iar pullback-ul în sine nu e semnal de
|
||
intrare. Aștepți doji-ul de la capătul lui, pe TF-ul mic, și intri la prima
|
||
candelă care se închide peste high-ul acelui doji, în maximum 3 candele.</p>
|
||
<p>Nivelul pe care stă doji-ul mic nu e aici un suport sau un pivot lunar, ca la
|
||
pasul 3, ci high-ul doji-ului de pe TF-ul mare: prețul tocmai a trecut peste
|
||
el, pe candela de confirmare, iar acum se întoarce la el — adică exact ce
|
||
înseamnă un retest (îl ai în mini-glosar). Ține rolul de nivel la fel de bine,
|
||
dar diferența merită știută, ca să nu rămâi cu ideea că high-ul oricărui doji
|
||
e suport.</p>
|
||
<p>Câștigul e distanța până la stop: pe TF-ul mare stopul stă sub low-ul
|
||
doji-ului de pe TF-ul mare — adică sub o candelă întreagă din TF-ul ăla — iar
|
||
pe TF-ul mic sub low-ul doji-ului mic; pe exemplul din diagramă, în jur de
|
||
4,8 % față de în jur de 1,2 %, adică la același risc asumat cumperi de vreo
|
||
patru ori mai multe acțiuni.</p>
|
||
<p>Pe 60 de minute intri doar în direcția unui swing long deja stabilit pe
|
||
daily. „MICI" e numele dat de curs variantei ținute luni de zile, pornită
|
||
dintr-un Buy Doji weekly.</p>
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<text x="20.0" y="22.0" fill="#333" style="font-size:13px;font-weight:bold">Aceeași regulă pe trei perechi — graficul mic e lupa pe ultimele candele mari</text>
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<text x="301.0" y="200.2" fill="#999" style="font-size:10px">același preț</text>
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<text x="499.5" y="302.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px;font-weight:bold">doji la nivel + confirmare: aici intri</text>
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<line x1="582.0" y1="98.6" x2="582.0" y2="130.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<text x="604.0" y="195.1" fill="#188a3e" style="font-size:10px">intrare 106.30</text>
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<text x="604.0" y="239.4" fill="#666" style="font-size:10px">retest: high doji</text>
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<text x="604.0" y="252.4" fill="#666" style="font-size:10px">weekly 105.20</text>
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<path d="M593.0,241.4 H598.0 L600.0,263.4" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="0.8" stroke-opacity="0.8"/>
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<text x="604.0" y="267.4" fill="#c00" style="font-size:10px">stop 105.05</text>
|
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<text x="604.0" y="280.4" fill="#c00" style="font-size:10px">5 cenți sub minimul</text>
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<text x="604.0" y="293.4" fill="#c00" style="font-size:10px">ultimelor 4 bare</text>
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<path d="M366.0,252.0 V258.0 H483.0 V252.0" fill="none" stroke="#555" stroke-width="1"/>
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<text x="424.5" y="272.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px">pullback: 8 candele care coboară spre nivel</text>
|
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<text x="424.5" y="285.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px">fără să rupă low-ul doji-ului weekly (bifa din stânga)</text>
|
||
<text x="20.0" y="302.0" fill="#555" style="font-size:11px">bifa de sub doji = 101.90, minimul care nu se rupe</text>
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<path d="M39.0,201.4 H34.0 V250.0 H39.0" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.6"/>
|
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<text x="36.5" y="264.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px;font-weight:bold">stop 4,81 %</text>
|
||
<path d="M531.8,191.1 H526.8 V241.4 H531.8" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.6"/>
|
||
<text x="535.8" y="220.3" fill="#c00" style="font-size:11px;font-weight:bold">stop 1,18 %</text>
|
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<text x="280.4" y="343.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px;font-weight:bold">același setup, stop de 4,1 ori mai mic</text>
|
||
<text x="280.4" y="357.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px;font-weight:bold">→ de 4,1 ori mai multe acțiuni la același risc</text>
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<text x="20.0" y="400.0" fill="#333" style="font-size:13px;font-weight:bold">B. monthly → weekly</text>
|
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|
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<text x="363.0" y="418.0" fill="#555" style="font-size:11px">weekly: descompunerea ultimelor 3 candele monthly</text>
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|
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<text x="201.2" y="628.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px;font-weight:bold">aici se decide direcția</text>
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<text x="42.0" y="575.6" fill="#666" style="font-size:11px">high doji monthly</text>
|
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<text x="42.0" y="588.6" fill="#666" style="font-size:11px">113.00</text>
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<text x="301.0" y="519.2" fill="#777" style="font-size:10px">117.50</text>
|
||
<text x="301.0" y="533.2" fill="#999" style="font-size:10px">același preț</text>
|
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<text x="499.5" y="648.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px;font-weight:bold">doji la nivel + confirmare: aici intri</text>
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<line x1="492.0" y1="550.8" x2="492.0" y2="586.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="487.5" y="570.0" width="9" height="2.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<rect x="517.5" y="488.2" width="9" height="32.7" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="604.0" y="458.4" fill="#188a3e" style="font-size:10px">ținta 1:1 118.80</text>
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<line x1="548.0" y1="520.9" x2="600.0" y2="520.9" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="0.8"/>
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<text x="604.0" y="524.9" fill="#188a3e" style="font-size:10px">intrare 115.75</text>
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<line x1="548.0" y1="580.9" x2="600.0" y2="580.9" stroke="#666" stroke-width="0.8"/>
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<text x="604.0" y="584.9" fill="#666" style="font-size:10px">retest: high doji</text>
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<text x="604.0" y="597.9" fill="#666" style="font-size:10px">monthly 113.00</text>
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<path d="M548.0,587.4 H553.0 L600.0,608.9" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="0.8" stroke-opacity="0.8"/>
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<text x="604.0" y="612.9" fill="#c00" style="font-size:10px">stop 112.70</text>
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<path d="M366.0,598.0 V604.0 H483.0 V598.0" fill="none" stroke="#555" stroke-width="1"/>
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<text x="424.5" y="618.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px">pullback: 8 candele care coboară spre nivel</text>
|
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<text x="424.5" y="631.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px">fără să rupă low-ul doji-ului monthly (bifa din stânga)</text>
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<text x="20.0" y="648.0" fill="#555" style="font-size:11px">bifa de sub doji = 104.75, minimul care nu se rupe</text>
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<text x="20.0" y="704.0" fill="#333" style="font-size:13px;font-weight:bold">C. daily → 60 min</text>
|
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<text x="20.0" y="722.0" fill="#555" style="font-size:11px">daily: direcția</text>
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<text x="363.0" y="722.0" fill="#555" style="font-size:11px">60 min: descompunerea ultimelor 2 candele daily</text>
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<text x="201.2" y="932.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px;font-weight:bold">aici se decide direcția</text>
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<line x1="90.0" y1="867.8" x2="249.0" y2="867.8" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
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<text x="42.0" y="878.8" fill="#666" style="font-size:11px">high doji daily</text>
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<text x="42.0" y="891.8" fill="#666" style="font-size:11px">102.08</text>
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<line x1="86.0" y1="898.8" x2="199.5" y2="898.8" stroke="#555" stroke-width="1.2" stroke-dasharray="2 3"/>
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<line x1="105.0" y1="740.0" x2="105.0" y2="782.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="120.0" y1="772.9" x2="120.0" y2="808.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<text x="301.0" y="827.3" fill="#777" style="font-size:10px">102.80</text>
|
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<text x="301.0" y="841.3" fill="#999" style="font-size:10px">același preț</text>
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<text x="499.5" y="952.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px;font-weight:bold">doji la nivel + confirmare: aici intri</text>
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<rect x="547.5" y="776.9" width="9" height="9.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="604.0" y="770.3" fill="#188a3e" style="font-size:10px">ținta 1:1 103.05</text>
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<text x="604.0" y="832.9" fill="#188a3e" style="font-size:10px">intrare 102.52</text>
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<text x="604.0" y="884.8" fill="#666" style="font-size:10px">retest: high doji</text>
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<text x="604.0" y="897.8" fill="#666" style="font-size:10px">daily 102.08</text>
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<path d="M578.0,891.4 H583.0 L600.0,908.8" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="0.8" stroke-opacity="0.8"/>
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<text x="604.0" y="912.8" fill="#c00" style="font-size:10px">stop 101.99</text>
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<path d="M366.0,902.0 V908.0 H483.0 V902.0" fill="none" stroke="#555" stroke-width="1"/>
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<text x="424.5" y="922.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px">pullback: 8 candele care coboară spre nivel</text>
|
||
<text x="424.5" y="935.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="middle" style="font-size:11px">fără să rupă low-ul doji-ului daily (bifa din stânga)</text>
|
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<text x="20.0" y="952.0" fill="#555" style="font-size:11px">bifa de sub doji = 100.76, minimul care nu se rupe</text>
|
||
<text x="20.0" y="972.0" fill="#777" style="font-size:10px">(șapte bare de 60 min pe zi: ședința 9:30-16:00 are 6 ore și jumătate — ultima bară a zilei e de 30 min)</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: perechi_tf -->
|
||
|
||
<table>
|
||
<thead>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<th></th>
|
||
<th>weekly → daily</th>
|
||
<th>monthly → weekly</th>
|
||
<th>daily → 60 min</th>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</thead>
|
||
<tbody>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>Pivoții</td>
|
||
<td>lunari</td>
|
||
<td>trimestriali (MICI: lunari)</td>
|
||
<td>săptămânali</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>Pragul</td>
|
||
<td>1-2 %</td>
|
||
<td>nedat</td>
|
||
<td>0,5 %</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>„8 candele"</td>
|
||
<td>8 zile</td>
|
||
<td>8 săptămâni</td>
|
||
<td>~1,2 zile (calculul meu)</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>Intrarea</td>
|
||
<td>close sau retest</td>
|
||
<td>tranșe: close, 1/3, 1/2</td>
|
||
<td>la retest</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
<tr>
|
||
<td>Cât ții</td>
|
||
<td>limita de 8 + trail</td>
|
||
<td>6-8 luni (MICI)</td>
|
||
<td>ore sau zile (completare)</td>
|
||
</tr>
|
||
</tbody>
|
||
</table>
|
||
<p>Stopul se numără pe TF-ul pe care ai decis intrarea.</p>
|
||
<blockquote>
|
||
<p><strong>Completare proprie.</strong> Legătura „doji pe TF-ul mare → pullback → doji pe
|
||
TF-ul mic" e construită de mine din piese ale cursului. Câștigul e stopul
|
||
de câteva ori mai strâns, socotit mai sus. Costul: pe 60 de minute vezi mai
|
||
multe doji-uri false; rata de 65-70 % nu e dată pe timeframe.</p>
|
||
</blockquote>
|
||
<h2 id="scanerul-pe-scurt">Scanerul, pe scurt</h2>
|
||
<!-- DIAGRAMA: scaner -->
|
||
<p><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 640 670" width="640" height="670" role="img" aria-label="Scanerul Buy Doji în TradeStation — ordinea filtrelor și capcanele">
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<rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="670" fill="#ffffff"/>
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<text x="320" y="30" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="18" font-weight="700" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">Scanerul Buy Doji în TradeStation</text>
|
||
<text x="320" y="52" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#666666" text-anchor="middle">ordinea filtrelor și capcanele</text>
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<text x="165" y="98" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="700" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">Univers:</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="114" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">All Stocks (~13.000)</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="130" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">S&P 500 · Russell 3000</text>
|
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|
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<text x="340" y="106" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#666666" text-anchor="start">mai mare = mai mulți candidați, scanare mai</text>
|
||
<text x="340" y="122" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#666666" text-anchor="start">lentă</text>
|
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<path d="M 157 148 L 173 148 L 165 158 Z" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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<rect x="25" y="162" width="280" height="90.4" rx="6" fill="#eef3fb" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5"/>
|
||
<text x="165" y="195.2" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="700" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">Trigger: jbtgrshdATM</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="211.2" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">BDATM = 0</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="227.2" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">(Sell Doji: SDATM = 0)</text>
|
||
<line x1="330" y1="180" x2="317" y2="180" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.6"/>
|
||
<path d="M 309 180 L 318 176 L 318 184 Z" fill="#c00"/>
|
||
<text x="340" y="184" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start">capcană: intervalul nu se aliniază singur cu</text>
|
||
<text x="340" y="200" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start">TF-ul: îl pui de mână</text>
|
||
<line x1="330" y1="218.4" x2="317" y2="218.4" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.6"/>
|
||
<path d="M 309 218.4 L 318 214.4 L 318 222.4 Z" fill="#c00"/>
|
||
<text x="340" y="222.4" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start">capcană: vede doar candela închisă: daily</text>
|
||
<text x="340" y="238.4" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start">rulat la prânz arată ieri</text>
|
||
<path d="M 157 256.4 L 173 256.4 L 165 266.4 Z" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="35" y="270.4" width="260" height="90.4" rx="6" fill="#eef3fb" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5"/>
|
||
<text x="165" y="303.6" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="700" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">Nivel: RSV1ATM</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="319.6" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">% of PP ≤ 0.5 (60 min)</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="335.6" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">% of PP ≤ 2 (daily)</text>
|
||
<line x1="330" y1="288.4" x2="307" y2="288.4" stroke="#bbbbbb" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
|
||
<text x="340" y="292.4" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#666666" text-anchor="start">Pivot Interval: 2 = weekly (pe 60 min), 3 =</text>
|
||
<text x="340" y="308.4" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#666666" text-anchor="start">monthly (pe daily)</text>
|
||
<line x1="330" y1="326.8" x2="307" y2="326.8" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.6"/>
|
||
<path d="M 299 326.8 L 308 322.8 L 308 330.8 Z" fill="#c00"/>
|
||
<text x="340" y="330.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start">capcană: RS/SR: 1 la filtrare, 100 doar la</text>
|
||
<text x="340" y="346.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start">afișare</text>
|
||
<path d="M 157 364.8 L 173 364.8 L 165 374.8 Z" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="45" y="378.8" width="240" height="68" rx="6" fill="#eef3fb" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5"/>
|
||
<text x="165" y="400.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="700" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">Lichiditate: Volume Colors</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="416.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">Average Volume ≥ 500.000</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="432.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">Average Length = 10</text>
|
||
<line x1="330" y1="412.8" x2="297" y2="412.8" stroke="#bbbbbb" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
|
||
<text x="340" y="416.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#666666" text-anchor="start">volum daily, indiferent de TF-ul scanerului</text>
|
||
<path d="M 157 450.8 L 173 450.8 L 165 460.8 Z" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="55" y="464.8" width="220" height="84" rx="6" fill="#eef3fb" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5"/>
|
||
<text x="165" y="486.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="700" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">Opțional:</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="502.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">Since Bear ≥ 8</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="518.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">Bull Reversal = 1</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="534.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#000000" text-anchor="middle">RVOL doar Display</text>
|
||
<line x1="330" y1="498.8" x2="287" y2="498.8" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.6"/>
|
||
<path d="M 279 498.8 L 288 494.8 L 288 502.8 Z" fill="#c00"/>
|
||
<text x="340" y="502.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start">capcană: pornește pe Bear Reversal: comută</text>
|
||
<text x="340" y="518.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="12" font-weight="400" fill="#c00" text-anchor="start">pe Bull</text>
|
||
<path d="M 157 552.8 L 173 552.8 L 165 562.8 Z" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<rect x="65" y="566.8" width="200" height="84" rx="6" fill="#eef7f0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
|
||
<text x="165" y="588.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="700" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle">Lista de candidați</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="604.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle">→ o verifici pe grafic</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="620.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle">(pașii 2-6).</text>
|
||
<text x="165" y="636.8" font-family="system-ui, sans-serif" font-size="13" font-weight="400" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle">Scanerul nu e undă verde.</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: scaner -->
|
||
|
||
<p>Capcanele: intervalul indicatorului nu se aliniază singur cu TF-ul
|
||
scanerului; scanerul vede doar candela închisă; factorul RS/SR e <code>1</code> la
|
||
filtrare, <code>100</code> doar la afișare; indicatorul pornește pe Bear Reversal; unele
|
||
Buy Doji nu apar deloc și le vezi doar cu ochiul.</p>
|
||
<h2 id="intrarea-in-transe-si-la-retest">Intrarea în tranșe și la retest</h2>
|
||
<p>În sesiunile de întrebări, autorul predă ca „corectă" o treime la close și
|
||
restul cu ordine limită (se execută doar la prețul dat sau mai bun) mai jos,
|
||
în corpul candelei de confirmare.</p>
|
||
<!-- DIAGRAMA: transe -->
|
||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 1372 1031" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Intrarea în trei tranșe — același trade (doji 50.10 / 49.25)</text>
|
||
<rect x="218.3" y="572.0" width="20.0" height="120.0" fill="#188a3e" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1"/>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="284.0" x2="1358" y2="284.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
||
<text x="1344" y="278.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">ținta 1: 51.60 = 1R față de close</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="351.2" x2="1358" y2="351.2" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 2"/>
|
||
<text x="1344" y="345.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">ținta 1: 51.32 = 1R față de prețul mediu 50.26</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="572.0" x2="1358" y2="572.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="1344" y="566.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrarea (close-ul de confirmare): 50.40</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="860.0" x2="1358" y2="860.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="30" y="854.0" fill="#c00">stopul: 49.20</text>
|
||
<line x1="108.3" y1="56.0" x2="108.3" y2="500.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="103.3" y="116.0" width="10" height="312.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
||
<line x1="138.3" y1="368.0" x2="138.3" y2="824.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="133.3" y="428.0" width="10" height="324.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
||
<line x1="168.3" y1="644.0" x2="168.3" y2="848.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="163.3" y="752.0" width="10" height="12.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
||
<line x1="198.3" y1="656.0" x2="198.3" y2="800.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="193.3" y="692.0" width="10" height="72.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<line x1="228.3" y1="536.0" x2="228.3" y2="728.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="223.3" y="572.0" width="10" height="120.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<line x1="258.3" y1="392.0" x2="258.3" y2="644.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="253.3" y="452.0" width="10" height="120.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<line x1="288.3" y1="320.0" x2="288.3" y2="524.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="283.3" y="380.0" width="10" height="72.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<line x1="318.3" y1="248.0" x2="318.3" y2="452.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||
<rect x="313.3" y="308.0" width="10" height="72.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<line x1="348.3" y1="240.0" x2="204.8" y2="342.5" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8"/>
|
||
<polygon points="198.3,347.2 202.5,339.3 207.1,345.8" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<text x="348.3" y="221.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">media mai bună coboară ținta:</text>
|
||
<text x="348.3" y="235.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ieși la 51.32, nu la 51.60</text>
|
||
<line x1="108.3" y1="876.0" x2="253.9" y2="654.7" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8"/>
|
||
<polygon points="258.3,648.0 257.2,656.9 250.6,652.5" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
|
||
<text x="108.3" y="890.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retestul: prețul revine la 50.10</text>
|
||
<text x="108.3" y="904.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">și umple amândouă ordinele limită</text>
|
||
<polyline points="216.3,572.0 211.3,572.0 211.3,692.0 216.3,692.0" fill="none" stroke="#555" stroke-width="2"/>
|
||
<text x="554.3" y="566.0" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">50.40</text>
|
||
<line x1="432.3" y1="906.0" x2="545.7" y2="579.6" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.8"/>
|
||
<polygon points="548.3,572.0 549.5,580.9 541.9,578.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<text x="438.3" y="903.0" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">1/3 la close 50.40</text>
|
||
<text x="438.3" y="917.0" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">ca să nu ratezi trade-ul dacă pleacă fără tine</text>
|
||
<line x1="211.3" y1="612.8" x2="468.3" y2="612.8" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
|
||
<text x="474.3" y="606.8" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">50.23</text>
|
||
<line x1="432.3" y1="946.0" x2="467.4" y2="620.8" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.8"/>
|
||
<polygon points="468.3,612.8 471.4,621.2 463.5,620.3" fill="#b06000"/>
|
||
<text x="438.3" y="943.0" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">1/3 cu ordin limită la 50.23 (o treime din corp)</text>
|
||
<text x="438.3" y="957.0" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">mai ieftin, dacă prețul revine</text>
|
||
<line x1="211.3" y1="632.0" x2="388.3" y2="632.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
|
||
<text x="394.3" y="626.0" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">50.15</text>
|
||
<line x1="432.3" y1="986.0" x2="389.3" y2="639.9" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.8"/>
|
||
<polygon points="388.3,632.0 393.3,639.4 385.3,640.4" fill="#b06000"/>
|
||
<text x="438.3" y="983.0" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">1/3 cu ordin limită la 50.15 (jumătatea corpului)</text>
|
||
<text x="438.3" y="997.0" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">și mai ieftin</text>
|
||
<circle cx="228.3" cy="572.0" r="4" fill="#fff" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
|
||
<circle cx="258.3" cy="612.8" r="4" fill="#fff" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="2"/>
|
||
<circle cx="258.3" cy="632.0" r="4" fill="#fff" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="2"/>
|
||
<polyline points="873.3,572.0 878.3,572.0 878.3,860.0 873.3,860.0" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5"/>
|
||
<line x1="878.3" y1="618.0" x2="976.3" y2="618.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 3"/>
|
||
<text x="982.3" y="622.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">risc 1.20 pe acțiune (tot la close, de la intrarea 50.40)</text>
|
||
<polyline points="953.3,605.6 958.3,605.6 958.3,860.0 953.3,860.0" fill="none" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5"/>
|
||
<line x1="958.3" y1="806.0" x2="976.3" y2="806.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1" stroke-dasharray="2 3"/>
|
||
<text x="982.3" y="810.0" fill="#1a5fb4" style="font-weight:bold">risc 1.06 pe acțiune (cu tranșe, de la prețul mediu 50.26)</text>
|
||
<line x1="608.3" y1="605.6" x2="958.3" y2="605.6" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.2" stroke-dasharray="2 3"/>
|
||
<text x="608.3" y="621.6" fill="#1a5fb4">prețul mediu al celor trei tranșe: 50.26</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="1019.0" fill="#555">Paranteza de pe candela de confirmare e corpul ei (49.90 → 50.40): pe el se măsoară 1/3 și 1/2. Stopul e unul singur. Exemplu construit.</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: transe -->
|
||
|
||
<p>Candela de confirmare are corpul între 49.90 și 50.40. O treime o cumperi la
|
||
close, la 50.40; o treime cu limită la o treime din corp, 50.23; o treime la
|
||
jumătatea corpului, 50.15. Candela următoare coboară până la 50.10 și le
|
||
umple pe amândouă. Prețul mediu iese 50.26: riști 1.06 pe acțiune în loc de
|
||
1.20, iar ținta de 1R vine mai devreme, la 51.32 în loc de 51.60. Cu tranșe
|
||
câștigi de două ori: risc mai mic și țintă mai apropiată.
|
||
Pe 60 de minute și pe prop, retestul contează mai mult, pentru că acolo
|
||
candela e înaltă. Nu alerga după preț: „poate nu mai face niciodată".</p>
|
||
<blockquote>
|
||
<p><strong>Completare proprie:</strong> materialul nu spune de la care din cele două
|
||
prețuri calculezi ținta. Alege înainte de trade și ține-te de ea. Detalii: <a href="A3_intrarea.html"><code>A3_intrarea.md</code></a>.</p>
|
||
</blockquote>
|
||
<h2 id="exemplul-real-labu-de-la-doji-la-30">Exemplul real: LABU, de la doji la +30 %</h2>
|
||
<!-- DIAGRAMA: labu -->
|
||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 990 622" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||
<text x="24" y="70" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">LABU — daily</text>
|
||
<rect x="34.5" y="129.6" width="274.0" height="240.0" fill="#777" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1"/>
|
||
<text x="34.5" y="124.6" fill="#777" style="font-weight:bold">1. setup: scădere lungă, apoi primul test al pivotului 86.00</text>
|
||
<rect x="349.5" y="301.6" width="199.0" height="75.6" fill="#777" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1"/>
|
||
<text x="349.5" y="188.6" fill="#777" style="font-weight:bold">testul 2: minimele 2, 3 și doji-ul — fără revenire peste 86.00</text>
|
||
<rect x="529.5" y="293.6" width="34.0" height="56.0" fill="#b06000" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1"/>
|
||
<text x="529.5" y="220.6" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">2. doji + confirmare</text>
|
||
<rect x="559.5" y="116.8" width="304.0" height="196.0" fill="#188a3e" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1"/>
|
||
<text x="559.5" y="111.8" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">3. trendul pornește</text>
|
||
<rect x="859.5" y="69.6" width="34.0" height="51.2" fill="#1a5fb4" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1"/>
|
||
<text x="859.5" y="64.6" fill="#1a5fb4" style="font-weight:bold">4. ținta</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="332.8" x2="976" y2="332.8" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="30" y="326.8" fill="#777">pivot lunar 86.00</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="369.2" x2="976" y2="369.2" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="30" y="363.2" fill="#c00">stop 81.45 = 9 % sub intrare (procent real)</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="304.8" x2="976" y2="304.8" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="962" y="298.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare 89.50</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="240.4" x2="976" y2="240.4" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 3"/>
|
||
<text x="30" y="234.4" fill="#777">ținta 1:1 97.55</text>
|
||
<line x1="24" y1="90.0" x2="976" y2="90.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||
<text x="30" y="84.0" fill="#1a5fb4">116.35 = +30 % față de intrare (procent real)</text>
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<rect x="879.5" y="476.2" width="9" height="70.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||
<text x="24" y="470.2" fill="#555">volum</text>
|
||
<text x="284.0" y="381.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">testul 1 · 82.40</text>
|
||
<text x="344.0" y="299.6" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">revenire peste pivot · 88.90</text>
|
||
<text x="419.0" y="383.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">testul 2 · 82.00</text>
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||
<line x1="404.0" y1="274.8" x2="546.1" y2="299.4" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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||
<polygon points="554.0,300.8 545.4,303.4 546.8,295.5" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||
<text x="404.0" y="255.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">aici intri, la close 89.50:</text>
|
||
<text x="404.0" y="269.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">abia acum știi că au câștigat cumpărătorii</text>
|
||
<line x1="359.0" y1="399.2" x2="501.1" y2="374.6" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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||
<polygon points="509.0,373.2 501.8,378.5 500.4,370.6" fill="#c00"/>
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||
<text x="359.0" y="413.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">minimul 3: 81.45 — tot din testul 2,</text>
|
||
<text x="359.0" y="427.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">prețul n-a mai urcat peste 86.00 după minimul 2</text>
|
||
<text x="359.0" y="441.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">aici pui stopul, pe cel mai jos dintre cele trei minime</text>
|
||
<line x1="709.0" y1="390.0" x2="605.4" y2="312.8" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.8"/>
|
||
<polygon points="599.0,308.0 607.8,309.6 603.0,316.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||
<text x="709.0" y="404.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest: cade înapoi pe intrare</text>
|
||
<text x="709.0" y="418.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">și ține — trendul e sănătos</text>
|
||
<line x1="669.0" y1="177.6" x2="685.2" y2="208.1" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.8"/>
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||
<polygon points="689.0,215.2 681.7,210.0 688.8,206.3" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||
<text x="669.0" y="158.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">aici se odihnește, nu se strică:</text>
|
||
<text x="669.0" y="172.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">bull flag, pe volum mic</text>
|
||
<line x1="800.5" y1="50.0" x2="853.8" y2="85.6" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8"/>
|
||
<polygon points="860.5,90.0 851.6,88.9 856.1,82.2" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
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||
<text x="796.5" y="47.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">a ajuns la 116.35: +30 % în 21 de zile de bursă,</text>
|
||
<text x="796.5" y="61.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">cam 3,3R din cât ai riscat</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="568.2" fill="#c00">doji = corp mic (o 86.10, c 86.00): cumpărătorii și vânzătorii sunt la egalitate, exact pe pivotul lunar 86.00</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="585.2" fill="#188a3e">ținta 1:1 (97.55) e atinsă a 6-a bară după intrare: acolo vinzi o treime, restul merge mai departe — de asta nu vinzi tot la 1:1</text>
|
||
<text x="24" y="610" fill="#555">Procentele (stop 9 %, +30 %) sunt ale cursului; nivelurile de preț sunt puse de sumarizator.</text>
|
||
</svg></p>
|
||
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: labu -->
|
||
|
||
<p><strong>Ce e real:</strong> doar procentele — stop de 9 %, +30 % într-o lună. Prețurile
|
||
sunt puse de sumarizator.</p>
|
||
<p><strong>Setup-ul.</strong> Pe daily: scădere, apoi consolidare — preț care stă într-un
|
||
interval îngust — și trei minime aproape egale
|
||
— 82.40, 82.00 și 81.45, cu 0,95 $ între cel mai sus și cel mai jos, cam
|
||
1,2 %. Pivotul lunar 86.00 e atins însă doar de două ori. Primul test e la
|
||
primul minim; apoi prețul urcă înapoi peste pivot, până la 88.90; a doua
|
||
coborâre prin pivot e al doilea test, și el ține tot restul structurii —
|
||
ultimele două minime și doji-ul se formează în interiorul lui, fără ca prețul
|
||
să mai treacă peste 86.00. Trei minime la același nivel se numesc triple
|
||
bottom (două ar fi un double bottom). De aceea cursul îi spune și „triple
|
||
bottom"
|
||
(numără minimele de preț), și „al doilea test" (numără atingerile
|
||
nivelului): e aceeași structură, descrisă în două feluri. După al treilea
|
||
minim vine o candelă verde mare, de la 81.90 la 86.10, și abia apoi doji-ul,
|
||
cu corpul între 85.90 și 86.10 — adică pe pivot.</p>
|
||
<p><strong>Intrarea.</strong> Candela verde de după doji se închide peste el: intrare la
|
||
89.50, stop la 81.45, pe cel mai jos dintre cele trei minime. Aici stopul n-a
|
||
primit cei câțiva cenți de marjă de la pasul 5: 81.45 e cifra cursului (9 %
|
||
sub intrare), nu una construită de mine. Ținta 1:1 ar fi fost 97.55.</p>
|
||
<p><strong>Rezultatul.</strong> Retestul coboară la 89.60 și ține, apoi urmează un flag — o
|
||
pauză scurtă, aici de patru candele, în care prețul stă aproape pe loc, pe
|
||
volum mic — și un breakout, adică ieșirea din acea pauză peste maximul ei.
|
||
Prețul ajunge la 116.35 în 21 de zile de bursă de la confirmare, cam 3,3R
|
||
(calculul meu). Aici se vede de ce nu vinzi tot la 1:1.</p>
|
||
<p>Pe weekly, tot doar procente: NKE, +36 % în 14 săptămâni.</p>
|
||
<h2 id="transfer-judecata-mea-nu-a-cursului">Transfer (judecata mea, nu a cursului)</h2>
|
||
<p><strong>Pe prop</strong> (cont de la o firmă, cu limită zilnică de pierdere): limita se
|
||
calculează și pe pozițiile deschise, iar interdicția de overnight — de a ține
|
||
o poziție peste noapte — lasă doar varianta de 60 de minute. Pe 50.000 $ cu limită de 1.000 $, un singur stop la
|
||
2 % te duce la limită. Cu 3 poziții și o zi proastă de cel mult 500 $, riști
|
||
167 $ pe poziție (0,33 %): 139 de acțiuni la stopul de 1.20. Intrarea la
|
||
retest e recomandată explicit pe prop.</p>
|
||
<p><strong>Pe BVB:</strong> doar long, pe daily și weekly, pe 8-12 nume lichide din BET (TLV,
|
||
H2O, SNP, SNN, BRD, SNG, EL, TGN, DIGI, M), verificate de mână. Lichiditatea
|
||
o măsori în RON tranzacționați pe zi, nu în număr de acțiuni. Pivoții îi
|
||
calculezi în Excel, din maximul, minimul și închiderea lunii trecute:
|
||
PP = (H + L + C) / 3, R1 = 2·PP − L, S1 = 2·PP − H. Spread-ul — diferența dintre prețul la care poți
|
||
cumpăra și cel la care poți vinde în același moment — mănâncă din profit: la
|
||
1 %, pierzi jumătate dintr-o țintă 1:1.</p>
|
||
<h2 id="unde-se-contrazice-materialul">Unde se contrazice materialul</h2>
|
||
<ol>
|
||
<li><strong>Rata:</strong> 70-75 % într-o lecție, 65-70 % în altele. Socotește cu 65-70 %.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Ținta:</strong> lecția cere 1:1, alte sesiuni folosesc 2R. 2R e alegere de
|
||
execuție, nu regulă.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Trendul scurt:</strong> lecția acceptă 2-3 candele, scanerul cu <code>Since Bear ≥ 8</code>
|
||
le pierde. Caută-le și de mână.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Pivotul pe weekly:</strong> regula zice trimestrial, MICI citește lunarul.
|
||
Trage-i pe amândoi.</li>
|
||
<li><strong>La close sau la retest:</strong> lecția zice close, sesiunile de întrebări
|
||
retest (<a href="A3_intrarea.html"><code>A3_intrarea.md</code></a>).</li>
|
||
<li><strong>Detalii de scaner</strong> (factorul RS/SR, două seturi de cifre la ULTA):
|
||
<a href="A2_contradictii.html"><code>A2_contradictii.md</code></a>.</li>
|
||
</ol>
|
||
<h2 id="ce-trebuie-sa-exersezi">Ce trebuie să exersezi</h2>
|
||
<ol>
|
||
<li>Marchează retroactiv 20 de setup-uri pe daily: doji, confirmare, stop,
|
||
țintă, ce s-a întâmplat în 8 candele.</li>
|
||
<li>Compară pe hârtie, pe 10 semnale, ținta 1:1 cu varianta 1R + 2R.</li>
|
||
<li>Pe BVB, măsoară spread-ul 5 zile și scoate de pe listă ce trece de 1 %.</li>
|
||
</ol>
|
||
<p>Legături: <a href="06_hammer_mbt10.html"><code>06_hammer_mbt10.md</code></a> (același
|
||
schelet), <a href="02_mp2.html"><code>02_mp2.md</code></a> (unde; Buy Doji spune când),
|
||
<a href="A1_risc.html"><code>A1_risc.md</code></a>.</p>
|
||
<hr />
|
||
<p><a id="checklist"></a></p>
|
||
<h2 id="checklist-de-tiparit">Checklist de tipărit</h2>
|
||
<ul>
|
||
<li>[ ] (1) Simbol lichid; weekly-ul nu are doji contra mea.</li>
|
||
<li>[ ] (2) Scădere clară înainte, nu gap-up; doji cu corp ≤ 10 %, fitile în ambele părți.</li>
|
||
<li>[ ] (3) Low-ul doji-ului la cel mult 1-2 % de un suport sau pivot lunar.</li>
|
||
<li>[ ] (4) Închidere peste high-ul doji-ului în maximum 3 candele.</li>
|
||
<li>[ ] (5) Stop sub cel mai jos low din 4 candele; acțiuni = risc / distanță.</li>
|
||
<li>[ ] (6) Ținta 1 = distanța stopului; restul pe trail; ies după 8 candele.</li>
|
||
<li>[ ] Short: piață slabă, preț > 10 $, stop deasupra.</li>
|
||
</ul><nav class="pager"><a class="prev" href="00_harta.html">← 00. 0. Harta — cum se citește documentul și ce alegi când</a><a class="up" href="../index.html#17_STRATEGII">↑ index</a><a class="next" href="02_mp2.html">02. 2. MP2 (Strategia 2, pivoti dubli) →</a></nav>
|
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|
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