17_STRATEGII/06_hammer_mbt10: toate cele 9 restante, plus cele 3 cosmetice

Cea mai grava, si cea care a cerut refacerea seriei: exemplul central de
MBT-10 era luat de pe 60 de minute si bagat in procedura de daily, cu barele
numite "zile", desi sursa spune explicit de ce nu merge pe daily. Pe langa
asta, suportul fusese schimbat din 88.00 (testat de trei ori, cu compresie,
cum e in sursa) in 87.50 cu un double bottom si o divergenta de volum
imprumutate din alt exemplu.

Seria e refacuta pe exemplul materialului, cu assert pe cele trei atingeri ale
lui 88.00 si pe compresia varfurilor. Adaosurile au fost scoase, nu doar
marcate: cu ele in desen, suportul din sursa n-ar fi avut sens. Aritmetica a
supravietuit neatinsa.

Restul: stopul de 60.40 sta acum sub o structura reala; pivotul daily nu mai e
o linie fixa peste tot graficul, ci un segment peste ziua intrarii; SL-ul de
pe LABU respecta regula proprie de 5 centi; citatul de la A2 nu mai e dat ca
al autorului; pragul de 1-2% isi spune originea (cursul da 0,5%, pe 60 min);
o singura conventie de distanta, impartirea la nivel; swing low definit la fel
in pas si in glosar.

eticheta_libera a prins 7 suprapuneri reale. La bh_aplus a trebuit rulat pe
fiecare panou separat: wrapper-ul le muta cu <g transform>, pe care unealta
nu-l citeste - de notat pentru data viitoare.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01ThN7ixZrowca8aTGrK1MUJ
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2026-10-02 05:29:33 +00:00
parent 80624653dc
commit f60d32cb34
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@@ -40,7 +40,9 @@ hammer da, doar long; MBT-10 nu, ca sistem</p>
<p><strong>Cum citești capitolul:</strong> textul e explicația mea a materialului de curs și
nu adaugă reguli peste el; acolo unde materialul nu spune, completez, iar
bucata aceea începe cu <strong>Completare proprie</strong>. Diagramele sunt exemple
construite, cu excepția LABU și Tesla, unde cifrele marcate sunt ale cursului.
construite, cu excepția LABU, a Tesla și a exemplului de MBT-10 din pașii B1-B5
(suport weekly 88.00 pe 60 de minute, intrare 89.90, SL 87.30, țintă 95.20),
unde cifrele marcate sunt ale cursului.
Trimiterile la lecțiile din care vine fiecare pas stau separat, în
<a href="fise/06_hammer_mbt10_surse.html"><code>fise/06_hammer_mbt10_surse.md</code></a>.</p>
<p>Capitolul are <strong>două strategii</strong>, nu una. Ele se ating (MBT-10 apare des pe o
@@ -488,7 +490,8 @@ desenați — scrie lângă fiecare pe ce diagramă îl vezi.</p>
dreapta al diagramei de la <a href="#pasul-a1">pasul A1</a>: aceeași bară 63.30 / 62.10,
alt context, alt sens.</li>
<li><strong>Inverted hammer</strong> — corpul jos și fitilul lung în sus (candela D din
diagrama de formă). E alt pattern; nu-l confunda cu hammer-ul.</li>
diagrama de formă). Tot semnal bull, tot după o scădere, dar <strong>mai slab</strong>
decât hammer-ul; nu le confunda.</li>
<li><strong>Downtrend / uptrend</strong> — o serie de candele care coboară, respectiv urcă,
cu maxime și minime tot mai jos (sau tot mai sus). În capitol, „scădere" și
„urcare".</li>
@@ -500,17 +503,19 @@ desenați — scrie lângă fiecare pe ce diagramă îl vezi.</p>
monthly 62.00 din panoul stâng al diagramei de la <a href="#pasul-a2">pasul A2</a>.</li>
<li><strong>Pivotul daily (PPD)</strong> — pivotul calculat din ziua precedentă. Se
recalculează în fiecare zi, deci nu e o linie fixă pe grafic. Exemplu: 89.60
pe diagrama de la <a href="#pasul-b3">pasul B3</a>.</li>
pe diagrama de la <a href="#pasul-b3">pasul B3</a>, desenat acolo doar peste barele
zilei de intrare, exact pentru asta.</li>
<li><strong>Locul crimei</strong> — un vârf vechi pe care prețul l-a spart și la care se
întoarce mai târziu, de data asta pe dedesubt. Cine a vândut acolo prima
dată are acum de recuperat, iar cine a ratat urcarea așteaptă exact acolo.
Exemplu: 52.10 pe diagrama de ansamblu a MBT-10.</li>
<li><strong>Double bottom</strong> — două minime aproape la același preț, cu o urcare între
ele. Exemplu: 87.60 și 87.55 pe diagrama de la <a href="#pasul-b1">pasul B1</a> —
5 cenți diferență, adică 0,06 %.</li>
ele. Exemplu din material, nedesenat în capitol: picioarele 32.10 și 30.90
ale cazului A+ de MBT-10, al doilea mai jos, dar cu volum de sub jumătate.</li>
<li><strong>Swing low</strong> — cel mai jos low al unei coborâri scurte, confirmat de
barele de după, care nu-l mai rup. Se folosește ca loc pentru stopul care
urcă. Exemplu: 65.10, apoi 66.00, pe diagrama de la <a href="#pasul-a5">pasul A5</a>.</li>
<strong>două</strong> bare care nu-l rup. Se folosește ca loc pentru stopul care urcă.
Exemplu: 63.05, apoi 65.10, apoi 66.00, pe diagrama de la
<a href="#pasul-a5">pasul A5</a>.</li>
<li><strong>Trigger</strong> — evenimentul care îți dă voie să intri. La buy hammer: o
închidere peste high-ul hammer-ului. La MBT-10: închiderea barei în semnal.</li>
<li><strong>Stop-loss (SL)</strong> — prețul la care ieși automat cu pierdere, pentru că
@@ -695,7 +700,7 @@ trece regula de formă.</p>
<p><strong>Tragi pe grafic suporturile și pivoții weekly, monthly sau quarterly și te
uiți cât de departe e low-ul hammer-ului de cel mai apropiat dintre ei.</strong></p>
<!-- DIAGRAMA: bh_locatie -->
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 760 450" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 760 466" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="22" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Hammer la un nivel vs. hammer în mijlocul range-ului — daily, exemplu construit</text>
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">DA — hammer pe suportul monthly</text>
<text x="402" y="48" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">NU — hammer în mijlocul range-ului</text>
@@ -772,8 +777,9 @@ uiți cât de departe e low-ul hammer-ului de cel mai apropiat dintre ei.</stron
<text x="625.0" y="318.3" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">fitilul n-a fost oprit de un nivel,</text>
<text x="625.0" y="332.3" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ci s-a oprit singur</text>
<text x="24" y="404" fill="#555">Completare proprie: materialul cere „un nivel major (weekly / monthly / quarterly), nu mijlocul</text>
<text x="24" y="420" fill="#555">range-ului", dar nu dă un prag numeric. Pragul de 1-2 % e împrumutat de la buy doji, ca să ai ce</text>
<text x="24" y="436" fill="#555">măsura: aici 0,16 % în stânga, 7,07 % în dreapta.</text>
<text x="24" y="420" fill="#555">range-ului", dar nu dă un prag numeric. Cursul dă 0,5 %, la buy doji și pe 60 de minute; 1-2 % pe</text>
<text x="24" y="436" fill="#555">daily e adaptarea mea, ca să ai ce măsura: aici 0,16 % în stânga, 7,07 % în dreapta.</text>
<text x="24" y="452" fill="#555">Distanța se împarte la nivel, nu la low-ul hammer-ului — aceeași convenție în tot capitolul.</text>
</svg></p>
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: bh_locatie -->
@@ -782,15 +788,24 @@ uiți cât de departe e low-ul hammer-ului de cel mai apropiat dintre ei.</stron
hammer „la nivel". În dreapta, cel mai apropiat nivel de sub el e la 58.00, un
gol de 7,07 %: hammer în mijlocul range-ului, adică între suportul de jos și
rezistența de sus, fără nimic în jur. Ochiul nu vede diferența, procentul da.</p>
<p>Distanța se măsoară mereu la fel în capitol: diferența împărțită la <strong>nivel</strong>,
nu la low-ul hammer-ului. Aceeași convenție e și pe etichetele diagramelor, ca
să-ți iasă același număr dacă verifici de mână.</p>
<p>De ce contează: un fitil lung oprit chiar pe un nivel spune că acolo au intrat
cumpărători care așteptau prețul. Același fitil în mijlocul intervalului spune
doar că a fost o zi agitată. Materialul e categoric aici: pattern-ul „contează
mult mai mult la un suport important (weekly, monthly, quarterly) decât în
mijlocul range-ului".</p>
doar că a fost o zi agitată.</p>
<p>Același raționament apare și în materialul de curs, în sesiunea de întrebări
din 11.06.2025 — dar spus despre <strong>divergența pe volum</strong>, nu despre hammer: ea
contează mult mai mult la un suport important (weekly, monthly, quarterly)
decât în mijlocul range-ului. Nu e un citat al autorului și nu e spus despre
locația hammer-ului; eu îl aplic aici, pentru că mecanismul e același.</p>
<blockquote>
<p><strong>Completare proprie:</strong> materialul nu dă un prag numeric pentru „lângă
nivel". Am împrumutat pragul de 1-2 % de la buy doji, ca să ai ce măsura.
Dacă vrei să fii mai strict, ține-te de 1 %.</p>
nivel" la hammer. Singurul număr din curs e la buy doji și e pe 60 de
minute: <strong>0,5 %</strong>. Pragul de <strong>1-2 %</strong> pentru daily nu e al cursului, ci
adaptarea mea din <a href="01_buy_doji.html">capitolul de buy doji</a> — pe daily, la
0,5 % găsești prea puține simboluri. Dacă vrei să fii mai strict, ține-te
de 1 %.</p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>Treci mai departe doar dacă</strong> low-ul hammer-ului e la cel mult 1-2 % de un
suport sau de un pivot weekly, monthly ori quarterly.</p>
@@ -1231,12 +1246,11 @@ azi în MBT-10 — te uiți la o listă de bare oarecare.</p>
exact acolo: un suport, locul crimei, un double bottom, un buy doji sau o
divergență de volum.</strong></p>
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<text x="30" y="329.0" fill="#1a5fb4">suport weekly 87.50</text>
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10, pasul „unde" — suport weekly testat de trei ori, pe 60 de minute</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="314.0" fill="#1a5fb4">suport weekly 88.00</text>
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@@ -1255,70 +1269,70 @@ divergență de volum.</strong></p>
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<text x="24" y="498.5" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="24" y="610" fill="#333">Aici nu intri încă: diagrama arată doar ideea de bottom. MBT-10 e ultima piesă, și vine abia la close-ul unei bare.</text><text x="24" y="626" fill="#555">Cifrele 89.90 / 87.30 / 95.20 ale trade-ului sunt din exemplul construit al materialului;</text><text x="24" y="642" fill="#555">suportul weekly 87.50, pivotul daily 89.60 și structura barelor sunt ale mele.</text></svg></p>
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<text x="252.0" y="240.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">test 1</text>
<text x="318.0" y="252.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">test 2</text>
<text x="384.0" y="255.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">test 3</text>
<text x="24" y="466" fill="#333">Aici nu intri încă: diagrama arată doar ideea de bottom. MBT-10 e ultima piesă, și vine abia la close-ul unei bare.</text><text x="24" y="482" fill="#333">Suportul 88.00 ține de trei ori, iar între teste vârfurile scad — 89.50, apoi 89.10: compresie.</text><text x="24" y="498" fill="#555">Exemplul e al materialului și e pe 60 de minute: suport 88.00, intrare 89.90, SL 87.30, țintă 95.20.</text><text x="24" y="514" fill="#555">Nu e double bottom și nu e divergență de volum — alea sunt din alt exemplu al lui (gap up, picioarele 32.10 / 30.90).</text><text x="24" y="530" fill="#555">Forma exactă a barelor și volumul sunt ale mele; la fel pivotul daily 89.60, pus ca să aibă ce verifica pasul B3.</text></svg></p>
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: mbt_confluente -->
<p>Pe diagramă sunt trei motive suprapuse. Prețul coboară până la suportul
weekly 87.50 și face acolo două minime aproape egale — 87.60 și 87.55, cu
5 cenți între ele, adică 0,06 %: un <strong>double bottom</strong>. Al doilea picior
coboară puțin mai jos decât primul, dar cu <strong>volum mai mic</strong> — asta e
divergența de volum: prețul mai face un minim, dar vânzarea din spatele lui a
slăbit.</p>
<p>Structura care leagă cifrele — suportul weekly 87.50 și double bottom-ul 87.60 /
87.55 — e <strong>completarea mea</strong>, nu a materialului. Exemplul din care vin
89.90 / 87.30 / 95.20 e pe <strong>60 de minute</strong>, cu un <strong>suport weekly la 88.00
testat de trei ori</strong>, nu pe daily și nu cu un double bottom. Am coborât suportul
la 87.50 ca stopul de la pasul B4 să aibă sub ce sta.</p>
<p>Pe diagramă e motivul din exemplul materialului, și e un singur motiv: prețul
coboară în <strong>suportul weekly 88.00</strong> și îl testează de <strong>trei ori</strong>, fără să-l
rupă. Între teste, vârfurile sunt tot mai mici — 89.50, apoi 89.10: vânzătorii
împing de fiecare dată mai puțin. Asta e compresia, și atât îți trebuie ca să
poți spune de ce s-ar opri prețul acolo.</p>
<p><strong>Exemplul e pe 60 de minute, nu pe daily</strong> — și materialul spune și de ce: „o
bară daily în suport weekly poate avea un low cu 2-3 % sub suport, deci stopul
ar sta departe". Pe 60 de minute vezi testele una câte una și pui stopul chiar
sub suport. Ideea — suportul weekly — rămâne pe timeframe-ul mare; doar
intrarea se face pe cel mic. Toate cifrele trade-ului sunt ale materialului:
suport 88.00, intrare 89.90, SL 87.30, țintă 95.20. Ale mele sunt doar forma
exactă a barelor, volumul și pivotul daily 89.60, pus ca să aibă ce verifica
pasul B3.</p>
<p>Celelalte motive din listă — double bottom, divergență de volum — apar în
material pe <strong>alt</strong> exemplu: gap up în MBT-10, cu picioarele 32.10 și 30.90, al
doilea mai jos dar cu volum de sub jumătate. Sunt două setup-uri diferite; nu
le amesteca într-unul.</p>
<p>Aici nu intri încă. Diagrama nu are nici intrare, nici stop desenate, fiindcă
la pasul ăsta nu există. Materialul e explicit: fără suport, volum și un
pattern de bottom, MBT-10 e doar un semnal pe o bară oarecare.</p>
@@ -1414,33 +1428,31 @@ timp.</p>
<p><strong>Verifici singurul lucru din MBT-10 pe care îl poți calcula fără indicator:
ziua s-a închis peste pivotul daily?</strong></p>
<!-- DIAGRAMA: mbt_ppd -->
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 686 578" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="72" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 — condiția de preț: close peste pivotul daily (exemplu construit)</text>
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<text x="30" y="289.6" fill="#555">suport weekly 87.50</text>
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 686 575" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="72" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 — condiția de preț: close peste pivotul daily (60 de minute)</text>
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@@ -1449,39 +1461,41 @@ ziua s-a închis peste pivotul daily?</strong></p>
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<text x="24" y="412.4" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="114.5" y="355.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">a atins 89.70 în timpul zilei,</text>
<text x="114.5" y="369.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">dar s-a închis la 89.40, sub pivot:</text>
<text x="114.5" y="383.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">nu e semnal</text>
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<text x="114.5" y="363.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">nu e semnal</text>
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<text x="260.5" y="103.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">s-a închis la 89.90, peste pivot:</text>
<text x="260.5" y="117.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">aici intri, la close-ul zilei</text>
<text x="24" y="514" fill="#333">Pivotul daily se recalculează în fiecare zi din maximul, minimul și închiderea zilei precedente;</text><text x="24" y="530" fill="#333">linia desenată e valoarea din ziua intrării, 89.60, nu un nivel fix.</text><text x="24" y="546" fill="#555">Asta e tot ce se poate verifica din MBT-10 fără indicatorul proprietar — „prima componentă" din el,</text><text x="24" y="562" fill="#555">cum îi spune materialul; restul formulei nu e publicat nicăieri.</text></svg></p>
<text x="260.5" y="117.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">aici intri, la close-ul barei</text>
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<!-- /DIAGRAMA: mbt_ppd -->
<p>Pivotul daily se calculează din maximul, minimul și închiderea zilei
precedente, cu formula clasică — deci se schimbă în fiecare zi. Pe diagramă,
în ziua intrării el e la 89.60. Ziua dinainte urcă până la 89.70 în timpul
sesiunii, dar se închide la 89.40, sub pivot: nu e semnal. Ziua următoare se
închide la 89.90, peste pivot: aici intri, la close.</p>
precedente, cu formula clasică — deci se schimbă în fiecare zi. Pe 60 de
minute, timeframe-ul exemplului, el e un singur nivel pentru toate barele unei
zile: de aceea pe diagramă e desenat doar peste barele zilei de intrare, între
cele două linii subțiri, nu peste tot graficul. În ziua aceea e la 89.60. Bara
dinainte urcă până la 89.70, dar se închide la 89.40, sub pivot: nu e semnal.
Bara următoare se închide la 89.90, peste pivot: aici intri, la close-ul ei.</p>
<p>Materialul numește asta „prima componentă din MBT-10", ceea ce înseamnă
probabil că nu e singura — restul formulei nu e publicat nicăieri. Așa că:
condiția asta e <strong>necesară, dar nu știm dacă e suficientă</strong>. Într-o sesiune
@@ -1496,38 +1510,37 @@ ai platforma autorului, dacă semnalul chiar s-a aprins la close).</p>
de tine, și dimensionezi pentru două-trei încercări dacă vii după un gap
down.</strong></p>
<!-- DIAGRAMA: mbt_stop -->
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 680 443" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 — stopul sub structură (exemplu construit)</text>
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 — stopul sub structură, pe 60 de minute</text>
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<text x="652" y="194.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">suport weekly 88.00, testat de trei ori</text>
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@@ -1536,22 +1549,23 @@ down.</strong></p>
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<text x="206.0" y="306.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sub 87.30 nu mai e double bottom:</text>
<text x="206.0" y="306.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sub 87.30 nu mai ține suportul weekly:</text>
<text x="206.0" y="320.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ideea de la pasul 1 a murit,</text>
<text x="206.0" y="334.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">nu mai ai ce aștepta</text>
<polyline points="370.0,124.0 376.0,124.0 376.0,228.0 370.0,228.0" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5"/><text x="382.0" y="180.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">1R = 2.60 $</text><text x="24" y="379" fill="#333">Mărimea, cu aceeași regulă ca la buy hammer: 2 % dintr-un cont de 10.000 $ = 200 $;</text><text x="24" y="395" fill="#333">200 / 2.60 = 76.9 → 76 de acțiuni, pierdere maximă 197.60 $.</text><text x="24" y="411" fill="#555">87.30 e cifra materialului, nu marja mea de 5 cenți; suportul weekly 87.50 e construit de mine ca stopul</text><text x="24" y="427" fill="#555">acela să aibă sub ce sta. Materialul nu dă niciun procent fix de stop pentru MBT-10.</text></svg></p>
<polyline points="370.0,124.0 376.0,124.0 376.0,228.0 370.0,228.0" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5"/><text x="382.0" y="180.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">1R = 2.60 $</text><text x="24" y="379" fill="#333">Mărimea, cu aceeași regulă ca la buy hammer: 2 % dintr-un cont de 10.000 $ = 200 $;</text><text x="24" y="395" fill="#333">200 / 2.60 = 76.9 → 76 de acțiuni, pierdere maximă 197.60 $.</text><text x="24" y="411" fill="#555">87.30 și suportul weekly 88.00 sunt cifrele materialului, pe exemplul lui de 60 de minute —</text><text x="24" y="427" fill="#555">nu marja mea de 5 cenți. Materialul nu dă niciun procent fix de stop pentru MBT-10:</text><text x="24" y="443" fill="#555">stopul numește structura de sub el.</text></svg></p>
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: mbt_stop -->
<p>Stopul stă sub ce ar invalida ideea de la pasul B1. În construcția din capitol,
ideea era double bottom-ul de pe suportul weekly 87.50 — <strong>structură a mea</strong>, nu
a materialului, al cărui exemplu e pe 60 de minute, cu suport weekly 88.00
testat de trei ori. Deci stopul merge la <strong>87.30</strong>, sub amândouă picioarele și
sub suport. Riscul e 89.90 − 87.30 = <strong>2.60 $ pe acțiune</strong>; pe același cont de
10.000 $ cu 2 %, 200 / 2.60 = 76,9, deci <strong>76 de acțiuni</strong>.</p>
<p>Stopul stă sub ce ar invalida ideea de la pasul B1. Aici ideea era suportul
weekly 88.00, cel testat de trei ori, deci stopul merge la <strong>87.30</strong>, sub el —
exact unde îl pune materialul. Dacă prețul se tranzacționează sub 87.30,
suportul a cedat și motivul trade-ului nu mai există. Riscul e
89.90 − 87.30 = <strong>2.60 $ pe acțiune</strong>; pe același cont de 10.000 $ cu 2 %,
200 / 2.60 = 76,9, deci <strong>76 de acțiuni</strong>.</p>
<p>Alte exemple de aceeași formă din material: sub codița hammer-ului care e și
locul crimei (52.00); sub low-ul barelor de după un gap down (63.20, apoi
60.40); la un gap up, sub low-ul barei de gap (32.80). De fiecare dată stopul
numește o structură, nu un procent — materialul nu dă niciun procent fix.</p>
60.40, sub noul low de 60.60); la un gap up, sub low-ul barei de gap (32.80).
De fiecare dată stopul numește o structură, nu un procent — materialul nu dă
niciun procent fix.</p>
<p>Excepția de mărime: <strong>primul MBT-10 după un gap down poate să nu meargă</strong>. În
exemplul din material, încercarea 1 e stopată, iar încercarea 2 merge până la
4,7R. De aceea împarți riscul la două-trei încercări, cu același risc în bani
@@ -1564,18 +1578,18 @@ la fiecare, în loc să pui tot pe prima. Diagrama e la
<p><strong>Ieși la prima structură din stânga care a oprit prețul ultima dată, pentru
că MBT-10 nu are o țintă proprie.</strong></p>
<!-- DIAGRAMA: mbt_iesire -->
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 700 603" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="72" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 — ieșirea la prima structură din stânga (exemplu construit)</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 700 592" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="72" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 — ieșirea la prima structură din stânga (60 de minute)</text>
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<text x="95.0" y="98.4" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">de aici a pornit coborârea</text>
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<text x="367.0" y="98.2" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">drumul până la structură: 7 bare</text>
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<text x="672" y="115.6" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">ținta 95.20 = ultimul maxim dinaintea coborârii</text>
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<text x="30" y="253.4" fill="#188a3e">intrare 89.90</text>
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<text x="30" y="321.0" fill="#c00">SL 87.30</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="253.4" fill="#188a3e">intrare 89.90</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="321.0" fill="#c00">SL 87.30</text>
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@@ -1594,26 +1608,26 @@ că MBT-10 nu are o țintă proprie.</strong></p>
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@@ -1630,41 +1644,41 @@ că MBT-10 nu are o țintă proprie.</strong></p>
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<text x="24" y="453.5" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="296.0" y="396.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ieși la 95.20 (+2.0R):</text>
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<text x="296.0" y="424.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">prețul ultima dată</text>
<text x="24" y="555" fill="#333">Materialul nu dă o regulă proprie de take-profit la MBT-10. Ce au în comun toate exemplele lui e că</text><text x="24" y="571" fill="#333">ținta e o structură vizibilă în stânga: un vârf anterior, ultimul maxim mai jos, sau închiderea unui gap.</text><text x="24" y="587" fill="#555">Aici: 89.90 → 95.20 = 2.0R, în 7 bare. Cifrele trade-ului sunt din exemplul construit al materialului.</text></svg></p>
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<rect x="253.0" y="455.3" width="10" height="52.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="270.0" y="470.3" width="10" height="37.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="287.0" y="472.8" width="10" height="35.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="304.0" y="456.5" width="10" height="51.2" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="355.0" y="466.5" width="10" height="41.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="372.0" y="447.8" width="10" height="60.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="389.0" y="464.0" width="10" height="43.8" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="406.0" y="466.5" width="10" height="41.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="423.0" y="467.8" width="10" height="40.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="440.0" y="471.5" width="10" height="36.2" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="457.0" y="465.3" width="10" height="42.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="491.0" y="457.8" width="10" height="50.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<text x="24" y="441.8" fill="#555">volum</text>
<line x1="296.0" y1="370.8" x2="490.9" y2="131.8" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.8"/>
<polygon points="496.0,125.6 494.0,134.3 487.8,129.3" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="296.0" y="384.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ieși la 95.20 (+2.0R):</text>
<text x="296.0" y="398.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">prima structură care a oprit</text>
<text x="296.0" y="412.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">prețul ultima dată</text>
<text x="24" y="544" fill="#333">Materialul nu dă o regulă proprie de take-profit la MBT-10. Ce au în comun toate exemplele lui e că</text><text x="24" y="560" fill="#333">ținta e o structură vizibilă în stânga: un vârf anterior, ultimul maxim mai jos, sau închiderea unui gap.</text><text x="24" y="576" fill="#555">Aici: 89.90 → 95.20 = 2.0R, în 7 bare de 60 de minute. Cifrele trade-ului sunt din exemplul materialului.</text></svg></p>
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: mbt_iesire -->
<p>Asta e o gaură reală în material, nu o simplificare a mea: fișierul principal
@@ -1693,8 +1707,8 @@ același trade, cu atât e mai bun — dar materialul nu cere o poziție mai mar
<!-- DIAGRAMA: bh_aplus -->
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 900 501" width="900" height="501" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif"><text x="450" y="20" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">Buy hammer A+ vs. mediocru (două panouri, exemple construite)</text><g transform="translate(8,38)">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">A+ — hammer la suport monthly</text>
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<text x="30" y="280.1" fill="#188a3e">suport monthly 42.00</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="280.1" fill="#188a3e">suport monthly 42.00</text>
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@@ -1762,8 +1776,8 @@ același trade, cu atât e mai bun — dar materialul nu cere o poziție mai mar
<text x="24" y="405" fill="#555">bara 13: 42.95 peste 42.90, volum bun.</text>
</g><g transform="translate(462,38)">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Mediocru — hammer fără nivel</text>
<line x1="24" y1="153.5" x2="416" y2="153.5" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30" y="147.5" fill="#777">fără nivel apropiat (suport 42.50 la −3,6 %)</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="147.5" fill="#777">fără nivel apropiat (suport 42.50 la −3,8 %)</text>
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@@ -1876,7 +1890,9 @@ hammer.</p>
<p>Singurul caz pe care materialul îl numește „cel mai puternic": un <strong>gap up</strong>
în MBT-10 după o cădere masivă, departe de medie, cu indicatorul stochastic în
zona de supravânzare pe monthly și weekly, cu un double bottom sau o serie de
doji-uri ideal în locul crimei, și cu divergență de volum pe ultimul picior.</p>
doji-uri ideal în locul crimei, și cu divergență de volum pe ultimul picior. În
exemplul lui, picioarele sunt 32.10 și 30.90 — al doilea mai jos, dar cu volum
de sub jumătate — iar bara de gap închide la 34.20, peste neckline-ul 34.10.</p>
<p>Opusul: MBT-10 pe o bară oarecare, luat direct din scaner, fără nicio
confluență. Diferența nu e forma semnalului — el arată la fel, fiindcă nu se
vede — ci contextul din jur.</p>
@@ -1885,15 +1901,15 @@ vede — ci contextul din jur.</p>
<!-- DIAGRAMA: mbt_gapdown -->
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 820 573" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">După gap down — primul MBT-10 te scoate, al doilea merge (exemplu construit)</text>
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<line x1="24.0" y1="235.2" x2="806" y2="235.2" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="792" y="229.2" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">#1 intrare 64.80</text>
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<line x1="24.0" y1="280.0" x2="806" y2="280.0" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="792" y="274.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">#1 SL 63.20</text>
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<line x1="24.0" y1="308.0" x2="806" y2="308.0" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="792" y="302.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">#2 intrare 62.20</text>
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<text x="792" y="352.4" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">#2 SL 60.40</text>
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<line x1="24.0" y1="358.4" x2="806" y2="358.4" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="792" y="352.4" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">#2 SL 60.40, sub noul low 60.60</text>
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<text x="792" y="66.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP 70.60 = 4.7R (gap închis)</text>
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@@ -1937,7 +1953,7 @@ vede — ci contextul din jur.</p>
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@@ -1999,8 +2015,8 @@ vede — ci contextul din jur.</p>
<text x="254.0" y="150.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">gap down</text>
<text x="284.0" y="172.2" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 #1</text>
<text x="314.0" y="330.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">stop #1 atins</text>
<text x="359.0" y="358.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 #2</text>
<text x="24" y="515" fill="#555">MBT-10 #1: intrare 64.80 / SL 63.20 — risc 1R în bani</text><text x="24" y="531" fill="#555">MBT-10 #2: intrare 62.20 / SL 60.40 — risc 1R în bani (mărime ajustată)</text><text x="24" y="547" fill="#555">Exemplu construit: #1 și #2 au același risc în bani; #2 singur dă 4.7R.</text><text x="24" y="563" fill="#555">De aceea mărimea se împarte pe 2-3 încercări.</text></svg></p>
<text x="359.0" y="394.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 #2: flush la 60.60, închidere 62.20</text>
<text x="24" y="515" fill="#555">MBT-10 #1: intrare 64.80 / SL 63.20 — risc 1R în bani</text><text x="24" y="531" fill="#555">MBT-10 #2: intrare 62.20 / SL 60.40, sub noul low 60.60 — risc 1R în bani (mărime ajustată)</text><text x="24" y="547" fill="#555">Exemplu construit: #1 și #2 au același risc în bani; #2 singur dă 4.7R.</text><text x="24" y="563" fill="#555">De aceea mărimea se împarte pe 2-3 încercări.</text></svg></p>
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: mbt_gapdown -->
<p>Ăsta e cazul care justifică împărțirea riscului de la <a href="#pasul-b4">pasul B4</a>.
@@ -2020,11 +2036,11 @@ trade, nu dacă intri.</p>
<!-- DIAGRAMA: bh_labu -->
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 760 391" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">LABU — daily</text>
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<text x="30" y="192.9" fill="#777">suport monthly 80.00</text>
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<text x="732" y="196.1" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL sub low-ul hammer-ului 79.60 (construit)</text>
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<line x1="24.0" y1="198.9" x2="746" y2="198.9" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30.0" y="192.9" fill="#777">suport monthly 80.00</text>
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<text x="732" y="196.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 79.55 = low 79.60 − 5 cenți (construit)</text>
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<text x="732" y="182.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare 81.30 (construit)</text>
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<text x="605" y="150" fill="#b06000">SMA-20</text>
@@ -2104,51 +2120,51 @@ trade, nu dacă intri.</p>
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<text x="24" y="222.1" fill="#555">volum</text>
<text x="389.0" y="216.1" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">hammer 80.90 / 79.60 (construit)</text>
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<text x="24" y="222.5" fill="#555">volum</text>
<text x="389.0" y="216.5" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">hammer 80.90 / 79.60 (construit)</text>
<text x="599.0" y="46.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">+20 % (cifra cursului): 97.56 / 81.30</text>
<text x="24" y="320.1" fill="#c00">bara 23 = hammer: o 80.80, h 80.90, l 79.60, c 80.90 — corp 0.10, fitil jos 1.20 (H=C), pe suportul 80.00</text>
<text x="24" y="337.1" fill="#c00">bara 24 = confirmare: close 81.30 — close peste high-ul hammer-ului 80.90 = intrare 81.30 (construit)</text>
<text x="24" y="354.1" fill="#188a3e">Procentul (+20 % în jumătate de lună) și contextul (suport monthly) sunt ale cursului;</text>
<text x="24" y="320.5" fill="#c00">bara 23 = hammer: o 80.80, h 80.90, l 79.60, c 80.90 — corp 0.10, fitil jos 1.20 (H=C), pe suportul 80.00</text>
<text x="24" y="337.5" fill="#c00">bara 24 = confirmare: close 81.30 — close peste high-ul hammer-ului 80.90 = intrare 81.30 (construit)</text>
<text x="24" y="354.5" fill="#188a3e">Procentul (+20 % în jumătate de lună) și contextul (suport monthly) sunt ale cursului;</text>
<text x="24" y="379" fill="#555">nivelurile de preț sunt construite de sumarizator.</text>
</svg></p>
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: bh_labu -->

View File

@@ -8,7 +8,9 @@ hammer da, doar long; MBT-10 nu, ca sistem
**Cum citești capitolul:** textul e explicația mea a materialului de curs și
nu adaugă reguli peste el; acolo unde materialul nu spune, completez, iar
bucata aceea începe cu **Completare proprie**. Diagramele sunt exemple
construite, cu excepția LABU și Tesla, unde cifrele marcate sunt ale cursului.
construite, cu excepția LABU, a Tesla și a exemplului de MBT-10 din pașii B1-B5
(suport weekly 88.00 pe 60 de minute, intrare 89.90, SL 87.30, țintă 95.20),
unde cifrele marcate sunt ale cursului.
Trimiterile la lecțiile din care vine fiecare pas stau separat, în
[`fise/06_hammer_mbt10_surse.md`](fise/06_hammer_mbt10_surse.md).
@@ -473,7 +475,8 @@ desenați — scrie lângă fiecare pe ce diagramă îl vezi.
dreapta al diagramei de la [pasul A1](#pasul-a1): aceeași bară 63.30 / 62.10,
alt context, alt sens.
- **Inverted hammer** — corpul jos și fitilul lung în sus (candela D din
diagrama de formă). E alt pattern; nu-l confunda cu hammer-ul.
diagrama de formă). Tot semnal bull, tot după o scădere, dar **mai slab**
decât hammer-ul; nu le confunda.
- **Downtrend / uptrend** — o serie de candele care coboară, respectiv urcă,
cu maxime și minime tot mai jos (sau tot mai sus). În capitol, „scădere" și
„urcare".
@@ -485,17 +488,19 @@ desenați — scrie lângă fiecare pe ce diagramă îl vezi.
monthly 62.00 din panoul stâng al diagramei de la [pasul A2](#pasul-a2).
- **Pivotul daily (PPD)** — pivotul calculat din ziua precedentă. Se
recalculează în fiecare zi, deci nu e o linie fixă pe grafic. Exemplu: 89.60
pe diagrama de la [pasul B3](#pasul-b3).
pe diagrama de la [pasul B3](#pasul-b3), desenat acolo doar peste barele
zilei de intrare, exact pentru asta.
- **Locul crimei** — un vârf vechi pe care prețul l-a spart și la care se
întoarce mai târziu, de data asta pe dedesubt. Cine a vândut acolo prima
dată are acum de recuperat, iar cine a ratat urcarea așteaptă exact acolo.
Exemplu: 52.10 pe diagrama de ansamblu a MBT-10.
- **Double bottom** — două minime aproape la același preț, cu o urcare între
ele. Exemplu: 87.60 și 87.55 pe diagrama de la [pasul B1](#pasul-b1) —
5 cenți diferență, adică 0,06 %.
ele. Exemplu din material, nedesenat în capitol: picioarele 32.10 și 30.90
ale cazului A+ de MBT-10, al doilea mai jos, dar cu volum de sub jumătate.
- **Swing low** — cel mai jos low al unei coborâri scurte, confirmat de
barele de după, care nu-l mai rup. Se folosește ca loc pentru stopul care
urcă. Exemplu: 65.10, apoi 66.00, pe diagrama de la [pasul A5](#pasul-a5).
**două** bare care nu-l rup. Se folosește ca loc pentru stopul care urcă.
Exemplu: 63.05, apoi 65.10, apoi 66.00, pe diagrama de la
[pasul A5](#pasul-a5).
- **Trigger** — evenimentul care îți dă voie să intri. La buy hammer: o
închidere peste high-ul hammer-ului. La MBT-10: închiderea barei în semnal.
- **Stop-loss (SL)** — prețul la care ieși automat cu pierdere, pentru că
@@ -697,7 +702,7 @@ trece regula de formă.
uiți cât de departe e low-ul hammer-ului de cel mai apropiat dintre ei.**
<!-- DIAGRAMA: bh_locatie -->
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<svg viewBox="0 0 760 466" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="22" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Hammer la un nivel vs. hammer în mijlocul range-ului — daily, exemplu construit</text>
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">DA — hammer pe suportul monthly</text>
<text x="402" y="48" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">NU — hammer în mijlocul range-ului</text>
@@ -774,8 +779,9 @@ uiți cât de departe e low-ul hammer-ului de cel mai apropiat dintre ei.**
<text x="625.0" y="318.3" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">fitilul n-a fost oprit de un nivel,</text>
<text x="625.0" y="332.3" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ci s-a oprit singur</text>
<text x="24" y="404" fill="#555">Completare proprie: materialul cere „un nivel major (weekly / monthly / quarterly), nu mijlocul</text>
<text x="24" y="420" fill="#555">range-ului", dar nu dă un prag numeric. Pragul de 1-2 % e împrumutat de la buy doji, ca să ai ce</text>
<text x="24" y="436" fill="#555">măsura: aici 0,16 % în stânga, 7,07 % în dreapta.</text>
<text x="24" y="420" fill="#555">range-ului", dar nu dă un prag numeric. Cursul dă 0,5 %, la buy doji și pe 60 de minute; 1-2 % pe</text>
<text x="24" y="436" fill="#555">daily e adaptarea mea, ca să ai ce măsura: aici 0,16 % în stânga, 7,07 % în dreapta.</text>
<text x="24" y="452" fill="#555">Distanța se împarte la nivel, nu la low-ul hammer-ului — aceeași convenție în tot capitolul.</text>
</svg>
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: bh_locatie -->
@@ -785,15 +791,26 @@ hammer „la nivel". În dreapta, cel mai apropiat nivel de sub el e la 58.00, u
gol de 7,07 %: hammer în mijlocul range-ului, adică între suportul de jos și
rezistența de sus, fără nimic în jur. Ochiul nu vede diferența, procentul da.
Distanța se măsoară mereu la fel în capitol: diferența împărțită la **nivel**,
nu la low-ul hammer-ului. Aceeași convenție e și pe etichetele diagramelor, ca
să-ți iasă același număr dacă verifici de mână.
De ce contează: un fitil lung oprit chiar pe un nivel spune că acolo au intrat
cumpărători care așteptau prețul. Același fitil în mijlocul intervalului spune
doar că a fost o zi agitată. Materialul e categoric aici: pattern-ul „contează
mult mai mult la un suport important (weekly, monthly, quarterly) decât în
mijlocul range-ului".
doar că a fost o zi agitată.
Același raționament apare și în materialul de curs, în sesiunea de întrebări
din 11.06.2025 — dar spus despre **divergența pe volum**, nu despre hammer: ea
contează mult mai mult la un suport important (weekly, monthly, quarterly)
decât în mijlocul range-ului. Nu e un citat al autorului și nu e spus despre
locația hammer-ului; eu îl aplic aici, pentru că mecanismul e același.
> **Completare proprie:** materialul nu dă un prag numeric pentru „lângă
> nivel". Am împrumutat pragul de 1-2 % de la buy doji, ca să ai ce măsura.
> Dacă vrei să fii mai strict, ține-te de 1 %.
> nivel" la hammer. Singurul număr din curs e la buy doji și e pe 60 de
> minute: **0,5 %**. Pragul de **1-2 %** pentru daily nu e al cursului, ci
> adaptarea mea din [capitolul de buy doji](01_buy_doji.md) — pe daily, la
> 0,5 % găsești prea puține simboluri. Dacă vrei să fii mai strict, ține-te
> de 1 %.
**Treci mai departe doar dacă** low-ul hammer-ului e la cel mult 1-2 % de un
suport sau de un pivot weekly, monthly ori quarterly.
@@ -1258,12 +1275,11 @@ exact acolo: un suport, locul crimei, un double bottom, un buy doji sau o
divergență de volum.**
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10, pasul „unde" — double bottom pe suportul weekly (exemplu construit)</text>
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10, pasul „unde" — suport weekly testat de trei ori, pe 60 de minute</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="314.0" fill="#1a5fb4">suport weekly 88.00</text>
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@@ -1282,71 +1298,72 @@ divergență de volum.**
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<text x="24" y="498.5" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="24" y="610" fill="#333">Aici nu intri încă: diagrama arată doar ideea de bottom. MBT-10 e ultima piesă, și vine abia la close-ul unei bare.</text><text x="24" y="626" fill="#555">Cifrele 89.90 / 87.30 / 95.20 ale trade-ului sunt din exemplul construit al materialului;</text><text x="24" y="642" fill="#555">suportul weekly 87.50, pivotul daily 89.60 și structura barelor sunt ale mele.</text></svg>
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<text x="24" y="354.0" fill="#555">volum</text>
<text x="252.0" y="240.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">test 1</text>
<text x="318.0" y="252.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">test 2</text>
<text x="384.0" y="255.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">test 3</text>
<text x="24" y="466" fill="#333">Aici nu intri încă: diagrama arată doar ideea de bottom. MBT-10 e ultima piesă, și vine abia la close-ul unei bare.</text><text x="24" y="482" fill="#333">Suportul 88.00 ține de trei ori, iar între teste vârfurile scad — 89.50, apoi 89.10: compresie.</text><text x="24" y="498" fill="#555">Exemplul e al materialului și e pe 60 de minute: suport 88.00, intrare 89.90, SL 87.30, țintă 95.20.</text><text x="24" y="514" fill="#555">Nu e double bottom și nu e divergență de volum — alea sunt din alt exemplu al lui (gap up, picioarele 32.10 / 30.90).</text><text x="24" y="530" fill="#555">Forma exactă a barelor și volumul sunt ale mele; la fel pivotul daily 89.60, pus ca să aibă ce verifica pasul B3.</text></svg>
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: mbt_confluente -->
Pe diagramă sunt trei motive suprapuse. Prețul coboară până la suportul
weekly 87.50 și face acolo două minime aproape egale — 87.60 și 87.55, cu
5 cenți între ele, adică 0,06 %: un **double bottom**. Al doilea picior
coboară puțin mai jos decât primul, dar cu **volum mai mic** — asta e
divergența de volum: prețul mai face un minim, dar vânzarea din spatele lui a
slăbit.
Pe diagramă e motivul din exemplul materialului, și e un singur motiv: prețul
coboară în **suportul weekly 88.00** și îl testează de **trei ori**, fără să-l
rupă. Între teste, vârfurile sunt tot mai mici — 89.50, apoi 89.10: vânzătorii
împing de fiecare dată mai puțin. Asta e compresia, și atât îți trebuie ca să
poți spune de ce s-ar opri prețul acolo.
Structura care leagă cifrele — suportul weekly 87.50 și double bottom-ul 87.60 /
87.55 — e **completarea mea**, nu a materialului. Exemplul din care vin
89.90 / 87.30 / 95.20 e pe **60 de minute**, cu un **suport weekly la 88.00
testat de trei ori**, nu pe daily și nu cu un double bottom. Am coborât suportul
la 87.50 ca stopul de la pasul B4 să aibă sub ce sta.
**Exemplul e pe 60 de minute, nu pe daily** — și materialul spune și de ce: „o
bară daily în suport weekly poate avea un low cu 2-3 % sub suport, deci stopul
ar sta departe". Pe 60 de minute vezi testele una câte una și pui stopul chiar
sub suport. Ideea — suportul weekly — rămâne pe timeframe-ul mare; doar
intrarea se face pe cel mic. Toate cifrele trade-ului sunt ale materialului:
suport 88.00, intrare 89.90, SL 87.30, țintă 95.20. Ale mele sunt doar forma
exactă a barelor, volumul și pivotul daily 89.60, pus ca să aibă ce verifica
pasul B3.
Celelalte motive din listă — double bottom, divergență de volum — apar în
material pe **alt** exemplu: gap up în MBT-10, cu picioarele 32.10 și 30.90, al
doilea mai jos dar cu volum de sub jumătate. Sunt două setup-uri diferite; nu
le amesteca într-unul.
Aici nu intri încă. Diagrama nu are nici intrare, nici stop desenate, fiindcă
la pasul ăsta nu există. Materialul e explicit: fără suport, volum și un
@@ -1452,33 +1469,31 @@ timp.
ziua s-a închis peste pivotul daily?**
<!-- DIAGRAMA: mbt_ppd -->
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<text x="24" y="72" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 — condiția de preț: close peste pivotul daily (60 de minute)</text>
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@@ -1487,39 +1502,41 @@ ziua s-a închis peste pivotul daily?**
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<text x="24" y="412.4" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="114.5" y="355.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">a atins 89.70 în timpul zilei,</text>
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<text x="260.5" y="103.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">s-a închis la 89.90, peste pivot:</text>
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<text x="24" y="514" fill="#333">Pivotul daily se recalculează în fiecare zi din maximul, minimul și închiderea zilei precedente;</text><text x="24" y="530" fill="#333">linia desenată e valoarea din ziua intrării, 89.60, nu un nivel fix.</text><text x="24" y="546" fill="#555">Asta e tot ce se poate verifica din MBT-10 fără indicatorul proprietar — „prima componentă" din el,</text><text x="24" y="562" fill="#555">cum îi spune materialul; restul formulei nu e publicat nicăieri.</text></svg>
<text x="260.5" y="117.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">aici intri, la close-ul barei</text>
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<!-- /DIAGRAMA: mbt_ppd -->
Pivotul daily se calculează din maximul, minimul și închiderea zilei
precedente, cu formula clasică — deci se schimbă în fiecare zi. Pe diagramă,
în ziua intrării el e la 89.60. Ziua dinainte urcă până la 89.70 în timpul
sesiunii, dar se închide la 89.40, sub pivot: nu e semnal. Ziua următoare se
închide la 89.90, peste pivot: aici intri, la close.
precedente, cu formula clasică — deci se schimbă în fiecare zi. Pe 60 de
minute, timeframe-ul exemplului, el e un singur nivel pentru toate barele unei
zile: de aceea pe diagramă e desenat doar peste barele zilei de intrare, între
cele două linii subțiri, nu peste tot graficul. În ziua aceea e la 89.60. Bara
dinainte urcă până la 89.70, dar se închide la 89.40, sub pivot: nu e semnal.
Bara următoare se închide la 89.90, peste pivot: aici intri, la close-ul ei.
Materialul numește asta „prima componentă din MBT-10", ceea ce înseamnă
probabil că nu e singura — restul formulei nu e publicat nicăieri. Așa că:
@@ -1539,38 +1556,37 @@ de tine, și dimensionezi pentru două-trei încercări dacă vii după un gap
down.**
<!-- DIAGRAMA: mbt_stop -->
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 — stopul sub structură (exemplu construit)</text>
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<text x="30" y="118.0" fill="#188a3e">intrare 89.90 (close-ul zilei)</text>
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 — stopul sub structură, pe 60 de minute</text>
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<text x="652" y="194.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">suport weekly 88.00, testat de trei ori</text>
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@@ -1579,23 +1595,24 @@ down.**
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<text x="206.0" y="306.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sub 87.30 nu mai e double bottom:</text>
<text x="206.0" y="306.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sub 87.30 nu mai ține suportul weekly:</text>
<text x="206.0" y="320.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ideea de la pasul 1 a murit,</text>
<text x="206.0" y="334.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">nu mai ai ce aștepta</text>
<polyline points="370.0,124.0 376.0,124.0 376.0,228.0 370.0,228.0" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5"/><text x="382.0" y="180.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">1R = 2.60 $</text><text x="24" y="379" fill="#333">Mărimea, cu aceeași regulă ca la buy hammer: 2 % dintr-un cont de 10.000 $ = 200 $;</text><text x="24" y="395" fill="#333">200 / 2.60 = 76.9 → 76 de acțiuni, pierdere maximă 197.60 $.</text><text x="24" y="411" fill="#555">87.30 e cifra materialului, nu marja mea de 5 cenți; suportul weekly 87.50 e construit de mine ca stopul</text><text x="24" y="427" fill="#555">acela să aibă sub ce sta. Materialul nu dă niciun procent fix de stop pentru MBT-10.</text></svg>
<polyline points="370.0,124.0 376.0,124.0 376.0,228.0 370.0,228.0" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5"/><text x="382.0" y="180.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">1R = 2.60 $</text><text x="24" y="379" fill="#333">Mărimea, cu aceeași regulă ca la buy hammer: 2 % dintr-un cont de 10.000 $ = 200 $;</text><text x="24" y="395" fill="#333">200 / 2.60 = 76.9 → 76 de acțiuni, pierdere maximă 197.60 $.</text><text x="24" y="411" fill="#555">87.30 și suportul weekly 88.00 sunt cifrele materialului, pe exemplul lui de 60 de minute —</text><text x="24" y="427" fill="#555">nu marja mea de 5 cenți. Materialul nu dă niciun procent fix de stop pentru MBT-10:</text><text x="24" y="443" fill="#555">stopul numește structura de sub el.</text></svg>
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: mbt_stop -->
Stopul stă sub ce ar invalida ideea de la pasul B1. În construcția din capitol,
ideea era double bottom-ul de pe suportul weekly 87.50 — **structură a mea**, nu
a materialului, al cărui exemplu e pe 60 de minute, cu suport weekly 88.00
testat de trei ori. Deci stopul merge la **87.30**, sub amândouă picioarele și
sub suport. Riscul e 89.90 − 87.30 = **2.60 $ pe acțiune**; pe același cont de
10.000 $ cu 2 %, 200 / 2.60 = 76,9, deci **76 de acțiuni**.
Stopul stă sub ce ar invalida ideea de la pasul B1. Aici ideea era suportul
weekly 88.00, cel testat de trei ori, deci stopul merge la **87.30**, sub el —
exact unde îl pune materialul. Dacă prețul se tranzacționează sub 87.30,
suportul a cedat și motivul trade-ului nu mai există. Riscul e
89.90 − 87.30 = **2.60 $ pe acțiune**; pe același cont de 10.000 $ cu 2 %,
200 / 2.60 = 76,9, deci **76 de acțiuni**.
Alte exemple de aceeași formă din material: sub codița hammer-ului care e și
locul crimei (52.00); sub low-ul barelor de după un gap down (63.20, apoi
60.40); la un gap up, sub low-ul barei de gap (32.80). De fiecare dată stopul
numește o structură, nu un procent — materialul nu dă niciun procent fix.
60.40, sub noul low de 60.60); la un gap up, sub low-ul barei de gap (32.80).
De fiecare dată stopul numește o structură, nu un procent — materialul nu dă
niciun procent fix.
Excepția de mărime: **primul MBT-10 după un gap down poate să nu meargă**. În
exemplul din material, încercarea 1 e stopată, iar încercarea 2 merge până la
@@ -1613,18 +1630,18 @@ la fiecare, în loc să pui tot pe prima. Diagrama e la
că MBT-10 nu are o țintă proprie.**
<!-- DIAGRAMA: mbt_iesire -->
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<text x="24" y="72" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 — ieșirea la prima structură din stânga (exemplu construit)</text>
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<text x="24" y="72" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 — ieșirea la prima structură din stânga (60 de minute)</text>
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<text x="95.0" y="98.4" fill="#b06000" style="font-weight:bold">de aici a pornit coborârea</text>
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<text x="367.0" y="98.2" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">drumul până la structură: 7 bare</text>
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<text x="672" y="115.6" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">ținta 95.20 = ultimul maxim dinaintea coborârii</text>
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<text x="30" y="253.4" fill="#188a3e">intrare 89.90</text>
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<text x="30" y="321.0" fill="#c00">SL 87.30</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="253.4" fill="#188a3e">intrare 89.90</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="321.0" fill="#c00">SL 87.30</text>
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@@ -1643,26 +1660,26 @@ că MBT-10 nu are o țintă proprie.**
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@@ -1679,41 +1696,41 @@ că MBT-10 nu are o țintă proprie.**
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<text x="24" y="453.5" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="296.0" y="396.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ieși la 95.20 (+2.0R):</text>
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<text x="296.0" y="424.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">prețul ultima dată</text>
<text x="24" y="555" fill="#333">Materialul nu dă o regulă proprie de take-profit la MBT-10. Ce au în comun toate exemplele lui e că</text><text x="24" y="571" fill="#333">ținta e o structură vizibilă în stânga: un vârf anterior, ultimul maxim mai jos, sau închiderea unui gap.</text><text x="24" y="587" fill="#555">Aici: 89.90 → 95.20 = 2.0R, în 7 bare. Cifrele trade-ului sunt din exemplul construit al materialului.</text></svg>
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<rect x="457.0" y="465.3" width="10" height="42.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<text x="24" y="441.8" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<polygon points="496.0,125.6 494.0,134.3 487.8,129.3" fill="#1a5fb4"/>
<text x="296.0" y="384.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">ieși la 95.20 (+2.0R):</text>
<text x="296.0" y="398.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">prima structură care a oprit</text>
<text x="296.0" y="412.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">prețul ultima dată</text>
<text x="24" y="544" fill="#333">Materialul nu dă o regulă proprie de take-profit la MBT-10. Ce au în comun toate exemplele lui e că</text><text x="24" y="560" fill="#333">ținta e o structură vizibilă în stânga: un vârf anterior, ultimul maxim mai jos, sau închiderea unui gap.</text><text x="24" y="576" fill="#555">Aici: 89.90 → 95.20 = 2.0R, în 7 bare de 60 de minute. Cifrele trade-ului sunt din exemplul materialului.</text></svg>
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: mbt_iesire -->
Asta e o gaură reală în material, nu o simplificare a mea: fișierul principal
@@ -1749,8 +1766,8 @@ același trade, cu atât e mai bun — dar materialul nu cere o poziție mai mar
<!-- DIAGRAMA: bh_aplus -->
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">A+ — hammer la suport monthly</text>
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<text x="30" y="280.1" fill="#188a3e">suport monthly 42.00</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="280.1" fill="#188a3e">suport monthly 42.00</text>
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@@ -1818,8 +1835,8 @@ același trade, cu atât e mai bun — dar materialul nu cere o poziție mai mar
<text x="24" y="405" fill="#555">bara 13: 42.95 peste 42.90, volum bun.</text>
</g><g transform="translate(462,38)">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Mediocru — hammer fără nivel</text>
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<text x="30" y="147.5" fill="#777">fără nivel apropiat (suport 42.50 la −3,6 %)</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="147.5" fill="#777">fără nivel apropiat (suport 42.50 la −3,8 %)</text>
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@@ -1912,7 +1929,9 @@ hammer.
Singurul caz pe care materialul îl numește „cel mai puternic": un **gap up**
în MBT-10 după o cădere masivă, departe de medie, cu indicatorul stochastic în
zona de supravânzare pe monthly și weekly, cu un double bottom sau o serie de
doji-uri ideal în locul crimei, și cu divergență de volum pe ultimul picior.
doji-uri ideal în locul crimei, și cu divergență de volum pe ultimul picior. În
exemplul lui, picioarele sunt 32.10 și 30.90 — al doilea mai jos, dar cu volum
de sub jumătate — iar bara de gap închide la 34.20, peste neckline-ul 34.10.
Opusul: MBT-10 pe o bară oarecare, luat direct din scaner, fără nicio
confluență. Diferența nu e forma semnalului — el arată la fel, fiindcă nu se
@@ -1924,15 +1943,15 @@ vede — ci contextul din jur.
<!-- DIAGRAMA: mbt_gapdown -->
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">După gap down — primul MBT-10 te scoate, al doilea merge (exemplu construit)</text>
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<line x1="24.0" y1="235.2" x2="806" y2="235.2" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="792" y="229.2" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">#1 intrare 64.80</text>
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<text x="792" y="274.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">#1 SL 63.20</text>
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<line x1="24.0" y1="308.0" x2="806" y2="308.0" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="792" y="302.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">#2 intrare 62.20</text>
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<text x="792" y="352.4" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">#2 SL 60.40</text>
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<line x1="24.0" y1="358.4" x2="806" y2="358.4" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="792" y="352.4" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">#2 SL 60.40, sub noul low 60.60</text>
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<text x="792" y="66.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP 70.60 = 4.7R (gap închis)</text>
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@@ -1976,7 +1995,7 @@ vede — ci contextul din jur.
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@@ -2038,8 +2057,8 @@ vede — ci contextul din jur.
<text x="254.0" y="150.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">gap down</text>
<text x="284.0" y="172.2" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 #1</text>
<text x="314.0" y="330.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">stop #1 atins</text>
<text x="359.0" y="358.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 #2</text>
<text x="24" y="515" fill="#555">MBT-10 #1: intrare 64.80 / SL 63.20 — risc 1R în bani</text><text x="24" y="531" fill="#555">MBT-10 #2: intrare 62.20 / SL 60.40 — risc 1R în bani (mărime ajustată)</text><text x="24" y="547" fill="#555">Exemplu construit: #1 și #2 au același risc în bani; #2 singur dă 4.7R.</text><text x="24" y="563" fill="#555">De aceea mărimea se împarte pe 2-3 încercări.</text></svg>
<text x="359.0" y="394.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 #2: flush la 60.60, închidere 62.20</text>
<text x="24" y="515" fill="#555">MBT-10 #1: intrare 64.80 / SL 63.20 — risc 1R în bani</text><text x="24" y="531" fill="#555">MBT-10 #2: intrare 62.20 / SL 60.40, sub noul low 60.60 — risc 1R în bani (mărime ajustată)</text><text x="24" y="547" fill="#555">Exemplu construit: #1 și #2 au același risc în bani; #2 singur dă 4.7R.</text><text x="24" y="563" fill="#555">De aceea mărimea se împarte pe 2-3 încercări.</text></svg>
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: mbt_gapdown -->
Ăsta e cazul care justifică împărțirea riscului de la [pasul B4](#pasul-b4).
@@ -2064,11 +2083,11 @@ Asta se bate parțial cu ideea că MBT-10 e ultima piesă din flux
<!-- DIAGRAMA: bh_labu -->
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">LABU — daily</text>
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<text x="30" y="192.9" fill="#777">suport monthly 80.00</text>
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<text x="732" y="196.1" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL sub low-ul hammer-ului 79.60 (construit)</text>
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<line x1="24.0" y1="198.9" x2="746" y2="198.9" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30.0" y="192.9" fill="#777">suport monthly 80.00</text>
<line x1="24.0" y1="202.5" x2="746" y2="202.5" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="732" y="196.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 79.55 = low 79.60 − 5 cenți (construit)</text>
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<text x="732" y="182.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare 81.30 (construit)</text>
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<text x="605" y="150" fill="#b06000">SMA-20</text>
@@ -2148,51 +2167,51 @@ Asta se bate parțial cu ideea că MBT-10 e ultima piesă din flux
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<text x="24" y="222.1" fill="#555">volum</text>
<text x="389.0" y="216.1" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">hammer 80.90 / 79.60 (construit)</text>
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<text x="24" y="222.5" fill="#555">volum</text>
<text x="389.0" y="216.5" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">hammer 80.90 / 79.60 (construit)</text>
<text x="599.0" y="46.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">+20 % (cifra cursului): 97.56 / 81.30</text>
<text x="24" y="320.1" fill="#c00">bara 23 = hammer: o 80.80, h 80.90, l 79.60, c 80.90 — corp 0.10, fitil jos 1.20 (H=C), pe suportul 80.00</text>
<text x="24" y="337.1" fill="#c00">bara 24 = confirmare: close 81.30 — close peste high-ul hammer-ului 80.90 = intrare 81.30 (construit)</text>
<text x="24" y="354.1" fill="#188a3e">Procentul (+20 % în jumătate de lună) și contextul (suport monthly) sunt ale cursului;</text>
<text x="24" y="320.5" fill="#c00">bara 23 = hammer: o 80.80, h 80.90, l 79.60, c 80.90 — corp 0.10, fitil jos 1.20 (H=C), pe suportul 80.00</text>
<text x="24" y="337.5" fill="#c00">bara 24 = confirmare: close 81.30 — close peste high-ul hammer-ului 80.90 = intrare 81.30 (construit)</text>
<text x="24" y="354.5" fill="#188a3e">Procentul (+20 % în jumătate de lună) și contextul (suport monthly) sunt ale cursului;</text>
<text x="24" y="379" fill="#555">nivelurile de preț sunt construite de sumarizator.</text>
</svg>
<!-- /DIAGRAMA: bh_labu -->

View File

@@ -55,6 +55,8 @@ construite) ·
(definiția hammer, trigger, SL/TP, hanging man) ·
<code>scaner</code> = <a href="../../03_MODUL_2/11_construire_scanere_sf_byd_sld.html"><code>11_construire_scanere_sf_byd_sld.md</code></a> ·
<code>byh</code> = <a href="../../03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.html"><code>13_strategia_3_byh.md</code></a> ·
<code>buydoji</code> = <a href="../01_buy_doji.html"><code>01_buy_doji.md</code></a> (capitolul vecin, nu o lecție
de curs) ·
<code>filtre</code> = <a href="../../04_MODUL_3/01_filtre_scaner_bull_bear_reversal_pp.html"><code>01_filtre_scaner_bull_bear_reversal_pp.md</code></a> ·
<code>mdsrt</code> = <a href="../../05_MODUL_4/02_strategia_5_mdsrt.html"><code>02_strategia_5_mdsrt.md</code></a> ·
<code>mbp</code> = <a href="../../05_MODUL_4/03_strategia_6_mbp_mbappe.html"><code>03_strategia_6_mbp_mbappe.md</code></a> ·
@@ -87,15 +89,19 @@ divergență de volum: <code>mbt</code>: 469-474; <code>volum</code>: 2169 · ga
<p><strong>Fraza de decizie (hammer)</strong> — <code>pattern</code>: 99-124, 213 · <code>mbp</code>: 93-97 ·
<code>mdsrt</code>: 174, 322-324, 342. <strong>(MBT-10)</strong> — <code>mbt</code>: 5-11, 179-195, 347-350.</p>
<h2 id="nivelul-2a-buy-hammer">Nivelul 2A — buy hammer</h2>
<p><strong>Filtrul de listă</strong> — <code>scaner</code>: 70-73 (volum mediu ≥ 500.000, preț 30-40 $) ·
<code>28_2025-05-27</code>: 372-380, 400 (sub 10 $ nu se shortează) · <code>earnings</code>: 43-45
(veto de eveniment).</p>
<p><strong>Filtrul de listă</strong> — <code>scaner</code>: 70-73 (volum mediu ≥ 500.000) ·
<code>28_2025-05-27</code>: 376 (preț peste 30-40 $), 372-380, 400 (sub 10 $ nu se
shortează) · <code>earnings</code>: 43-45 (veto de eveniment).</p>
<p><strong>Pasul A1</strong> — <code>pattern</code>: 77-80 (fără downtrend nu e reversal), 79-88 (forma),
254-265 (hanging man), 1118-1120.</p>
<p><strong>Pasul A2</strong> — <code>26_2025-06-11</code>: 701-703 („contează mult mai mult la un suport
important [...] decât în mijlocul range-ului"), 505 · <code>pattern</code>: 1115-1117 ·
<code>volum</code>: 1024. Pragul de 1-2 % e împrumutat de la buy doji (<code>byh</code>: 188-190) și
marcat ca atare — materialul nu dă unul pentru hammer.</p>
<p><strong>Pasul A2</strong> — <code>26_2025-06-11</code>: 702-703 (bullet în vocea sumarizatorului, la
finalul secțiunii despre divergența pe volum / OBV: „contează mult mai mult la
un suport important [...] decât în mijlocul range-ului" — nu e citat al
autorului și nu e spus despre locația hammer-ului), 505 · <code>pattern</code>: 1115-1117 ·
<code>volum</code>: 1024. Pragul numeric: cursul dă <strong>0,5 %</strong>, la buy doji și pe 60 de
minute; <strong>1-2 %</strong> pentru daily e adaptarea mea din <code>buydoji</code>: 675-676 (care e
ea însăși o adaptare, nu o cifră de curs). Materialul nu dă niciun prag pentru
hammer.</p>
<p><strong>Pasul A3</strong> — <code>pattern</code>: 99-124 (trigger valid, prea devreme, invalidat),
102-124 · <code>26_2025-06-11</code>: 507-508 (mecanismul) · <code>scaner</code>: 30 (<code>BHATM = 0</code>),
63-73, 115-116 · <code>earnings</code>: 502-508 (hammer în gap: low 64.30, close 66.90,
@@ -113,16 +119,19 @@ Regulile scrise ale oglinzii sunt simetria aplicată de mine.</p>
<h2 id="nivelul-2b-mbt-10">Nivelul 2B — MBT-10</h2>
<p><strong>Pasul B1</strong> — <code>mbt</code>: 9-11 (lista de confluențe), 43-60, 867-881 (cele 12
setup-uri în care apare), 933-937 („scanerul nu e listă de cumpărături"),
469-474 (divergența de volum), 449-450 (exemplul construit cu suport weekly,
SL 87.30), 451 (ținta 95.20 = 2.0R) · <code>volum</code>: 2169.</p>
469-474 (divergența de volum — pe alt exemplu: gap up, picioarele 32.10 /
30.90, <code>mbt</code>: 615-625), 440-455 (exemplul folosit în pașii B1-B5: <strong>60 de
minute</strong>, suport weekly <strong>88.00</strong> testat de trei ori, cu compresie, intrare
89.90, SL 87.30, plus motivul pentru care nu e pe daily), 451 (ținta
95.20 = 2.0R) · <code>volum</code>: 2169.</p>
<p><strong>Pasul B2</strong> — <code>mbt</code>: 7-8, 70-71, 243-330 (intraday 55.30, close 52.90, a doua
zi 51.50), 325-330, 929-930 · <code>04_2026-08-04</code>: 298-333, 317 („dacă se închide,
e mișto de intrat").</p>
<p><strong>Pasul B3</strong> — <code>mbt</code>: 179-188 („prima componentă din MBT-10"), 183-195,
199-211, 213-218 · <code>sinteza</code>: 802-809 · <code>DECIZII</code>: 50, 124-127.</p>
<p><strong>Pasul B4</strong> — <code>mbt</code>: 171-172 (SL 52.00 sub codiță), 449-450 (SL 87.30),
622-623 (SL 32.80 la gap up), 729-732 (SL 63.20 / 60.40, același risc în
bani), 16-17, 639-641, 736-740 (2-3 încercări după gap down), 978-984 (toate
622-623 (SL 32.80 la gap up), 729-732 (SL 63.20 / 60.40 „sub noul low",
același risc în bani), 16-17, 639-641, 736-740 (2-3 încercări după gap down), 978-984 (toate
cifrele sunt ale sumarizatorului) · <code>mm</code>: 4-11, 28-34 · <code>sinteza</code>: 395-396
(exemplul de sizing 25 / 2.00 → 12 acțiuni) · <code>03_2026-08-11</code>: 146-152,
173-178. Mărimea minimă de cont și riscul per trade la MBT-10:

View File

@@ -24,6 +24,8 @@ construite) ·
(definiția hammer, trigger, SL/TP, hanging man) ·
`scaner` = [`11_construire_scanere_sf_byd_sld.md`](../../03_MODUL_2/11_construire_scanere_sf_byd_sld.md) ·
`byh` = [`13_strategia_3_byh.md`](../../03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.md) ·
`buydoji` = [`01_buy_doji.md`](../01_buy_doji.md) (capitolul vecin, nu o lecție
de curs) ·
`filtre` = [`01_filtre_scaner_bull_bear_reversal_pp.md`](../../04_MODUL_3/01_filtre_scaner_bull_bear_reversal_pp.md) ·
`mdsrt` = [`02_strategia_5_mdsrt.md`](../../05_MODUL_4/02_strategia_5_mdsrt.md) ·
`mbp` = [`03_strategia_6_mbp_mbappe.md`](../../05_MODUL_4/03_strategia_6_mbp_mbappe.md) ·
@@ -65,17 +67,21 @@ divergență de volum: `mbt`: 469-474; `volum`: 2169 · gap: `crimei`: 335;
## Nivelul 2A — buy hammer
**Filtrul de listă** — `scaner`: 70-73 (volum mediu ≥ 500.000, preț 30-40 $) ·
`28_2025-05-27`: 372-380, 400 (sub 10 $ nu se shortează) · `earnings`: 43-45
(veto de eveniment).
**Filtrul de listă** — `scaner`: 70-73 (volum mediu ≥ 500.000) ·
`28_2025-05-27`: 376 (preț peste 30-40 $), 372-380, 400 (sub 10 $ nu se
shortează) · `earnings`: 43-45 (veto de eveniment).
**Pasul A1** — `pattern`: 77-80 (fără downtrend nu e reversal), 79-88 (forma),
254-265 (hanging man), 1118-1120.
**Pasul A2** — `26_2025-06-11`: 701-703 („contează mult mai mult la un suport
important [...] decât în mijlocul range-ului"), 505 · `pattern`: 1115-1117 ·
`volum`: 1024. Pragul de 1-2 % e împrumutat de la buy doji (`byh`: 188-190) și
marcat ca atare — materialul nu dă unul pentru hammer.
**Pasul A2** — `26_2025-06-11`: 702-703 (bullet în vocea sumarizatorului, la
finalul secțiunii despre divergența pe volum / OBV: „contează mult mai mult la
un suport important [...] decât în mijlocul range-ului" — nu e citat al
autorului și nu e spus despre locația hammer-ului), 505 · `pattern`: 1115-1117 ·
`volum`: 1024. Pragul numeric: cursul dă **0,5 %**, la buy doji și pe 60 de
minute; **1-2 %** pentru daily e adaptarea mea din `buydoji`: 675-676 (care e
ea însăși o adaptare, nu o cifră de curs). Materialul nu dă niciun prag pentru
hammer.
**Pasul A3** — `pattern`: 99-124 (trigger valid, prea devreme, invalidat),
102-124 · `26_2025-06-11`: 507-508 (mecanismul) · `scaner`: 30 (`BHATM = 0`),
@@ -99,8 +105,11 @@ Regulile scrise ale oglinzii sunt simetria aplicată de mine.
**Pasul B1** — `mbt`: 9-11 (lista de confluențe), 43-60, 867-881 (cele 12
setup-uri în care apare), 933-937 („scanerul nu e listă de cumpărături"),
469-474 (divergența de volum), 449-450 (exemplul construit cu suport weekly,
SL 87.30), 451 (ținta 95.20 = 2.0R) · `volum`: 2169.
469-474 (divergența de volum — pe alt exemplu: gap up, picioarele 32.10 /
30.90, `mbt`: 615-625), 440-455 (exemplul folosit în pașii B1-B5: **60 de
minute**, suport weekly **88.00** testat de trei ori, cu compresie, intrare
89.90, SL 87.30, plus motivul pentru care nu e pe daily), 451 (ținta
95.20 = 2.0R) · `volum`: 2169.
**Pasul B2** — `mbt`: 7-8, 70-71, 243-330 (intraday 55.30, close 52.90, a doua
zi 51.50), 325-330, 929-930 · `04_2026-08-04`: 298-333, 317 („dacă se închide,
@@ -110,8 +119,8 @@ e mișto de intrat").
199-211, 213-218 · `sinteza`: 802-809 · `DECIZII`: 50, 124-127.
**Pasul B4** — `mbt`: 171-172 (SL 52.00 sub codiță), 449-450 (SL 87.30),
622-623 (SL 32.80 la gap up), 729-732 (SL 63.20 / 60.40, același risc în
bani), 16-17, 639-641, 736-740 (2-3 încercări după gap down), 978-984 (toate
622-623 (SL 32.80 la gap up), 729-732 (SL 63.20 / 60.40 „sub noul low",
același risc în bani), 16-17, 639-641, 736-740 (2-3 încercări după gap down), 978-984 (toate
cifrele sunt ale sumarizatorului) · `mm`: 4-11, 28-34 · `sinteza`: 395-396
(exemplul de sizing 25 / 2.00 → 12 acțiuni) · `03_2026-08-11`: 146-152,
173-178. Mărimea minimă de cont și riscul per trade la MBT-10: