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Grafice reale in Catalizatori economici (8 lectii)

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Conversie facuta de un agent. Reactiile la date macro (PIB, CPI, PPI, PCE,
piata muncii, ISM, retail sales, Fed) sunt acum serii continue pe /ES si
DXY la 1 si 5 minute, cu nivelul pre-raport marcat si cu volum unde textul
il cere, in loc de candele izolate.

Fiecare serie are assert pe ce afirma textul: spike-ul de la ora publicarii,
consolidarea de dupa, trigger-ul, SL-ul neatins si TP-ul atins, cu R:R
calculat (1.25-1.49 pe exemplele de catalizatori).

Modulul 1 a intrat din greseala in commit-ul anterior (am dat git add -A cat
timp agentul inca lucra). Continutul e cel final si verificat: la
patternurile de candele, definitiile de o candela au ramas ilustrative, iar
cele 6 exemple de trade au devenit grafice reale cu SMA-20 si R exact 2.00.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01MtSTyTmt6AbCL9j5ajEDm1
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Claude Agent
2026-09-13 08:24:53 +00:00
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@@ -127,17 +127,155 @@ mai mult, randamentele scad), iar acțiunile pot intra în corecție.</p>
<p>Nu contează doar dacă cifra e pozitivă sau negativă în sine — contează mai
ales față de ce aștepta piața (forecast).</p>
<p><strong>DA — peste așteptări, exemplu real din raportul discutat în curs</strong></p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 340 120" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:340px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="5" y="18" fill="#188a3e">Core Retail Sales: așteptat 0,4% — ieșit 0,7%</text>
<polyline points="10,90 100,65 190,35 280,12" fill="none" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="10" y="110" fill="#188a3e">peste forecast → randamente în urcare, dolar susținut</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 640 300" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">DXY — 5 min</text>
<line x1="24" y1="233.2" x2="626" y2="233.2" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="612" y="227.2" fill="#888" text-anchor="end">98.40 — nivel pre-raport</text>
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<text x="152.0" y="209.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">Retail Sales (8:30 ET) →</text>
<text x="24" y="262.8" fill="#188a3e">Core Retail Sales: așteptat 0,4% — ieșit 0,7%</text>
<text x="24" y="288" fill="#555">peste forecast → randamente în urcare, dolar susținut</text>
</svg></p>
<p><strong>NU — sub așteptări (exemplu construit, urmând regula explicită din
curs — nu e o cifră reală din transcriere)</strong></p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 460 120" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;max-width:460px;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="5" y="18" fill="#c00">Core Retail Sales: așteptat 0,5% — ieșit 0,1%</text>
<polyline points="10,15 150,40 300,65 440,90" fill="none" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2"/>
<text x="10" y="110" fill="#c00">sub forecast → teamă de încetinire, obligațiuni cumpărate, acțiuni corectează</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 640 302" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">ES — 5 min</text>
<line x1="24" y1="64.8" x2="626" y2="64.8" stroke="#888" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="3 3"/>
<text x="612" y="58.8" fill="#888" text-anchor="end">5780 — nivel pre-raport</text>
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<rect x="35.5" y="61.4" width="9" height="2.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<text x="232.0" y="40.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">Retail Sales (8:30 ET)</text>
<text x="24" y="264.6" fill="#c00">Core Retail Sales: așteptat 0,5% — ieșit 0,1%</text>
<text x="24" y="290" fill="#555">sub forecast → teamă de încetinire, obligațiuni cumpărate, acțiuni corectează</text>
</svg></p>
<h2 id="exemplu-concret-raportul-din-septembrie-2025-date-pentru-august-2025">Exemplu concret — raportul din septembrie 2025 (date pentru august 2025)</h2>
<p>Datele publicate de Census Bureau, discutate în curs:</p>
@@ -226,26 +364,135 @@ preț și randament invers proporționale).</p>
<p><strong>Trigger valid vs. prea devreme — DA/NU cu cifre (TLT, continuarea
exemplului DA — Core Retail Sales așteptat 0,4%, ieșit 0,7%, peste
forecast → randamente în urcare, deci TLT scade):</strong></p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 261" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<line x1="24" y1="34.0" x2="606" y2="34.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="592" y="28.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 92,45 — peste nivelul pre-raport</text>
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<text x="592" y="80.5" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">intrare short 91,75 — break sub 91,80</text>
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<text x="592" y="196.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">TP 90,20 — suport anterior</text>
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<text x="64" y="220.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">pre-raport</text>
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<rect x="143" y="37.7" width="26" height="26.3" fill="#c00"/>
<text x="156" y="220.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">spike min.1</text>
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<text x="248" y="220.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">consolidare</text>
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<text x="340" y="220.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">trigger</text>
<text x="24" y="249" fill="#555">Scară: 1,00 = 75 px. Risc 0,70, țintă 1,55 — risc/recompensă ~1:2,2.</text>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 670 469" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">TLT — 1 min</text>
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<text x="642" y="50.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 92,45 — peste nivelul pre-raport</text>
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<text x="642" y="134.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">intrare short 91,75 — break sub 91,80</text>
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<text x="30" y="320.0" fill="#188a3e">TP 90,20 — suport anterior</text>
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<text x="24" y="350.8" fill="#555">volum</text>
<text x="120.0" y="89.1" fill="#888" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">pre-raport</text>
<text x="232.0" y="158.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">spike min.1</text>
<text x="280.0" y="97.2" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">consolidare</text>
<text x="312.0" y="186.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">trigger</text>
<text x="24" y="457" fill="#555">Scară: 1,00 = 120 px. Risc 0,70, țintă 1,55 — risc/recompensă ~1:2,2.</text>
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<p><strong>Exemplul complet, cu ieșire:</strong> TLT tranzacționa la 92,40 înainte de
raport. Core Retail Sales iese la 0,7%, peste forecast-ul de 0,4% — beat