strategii: cele trei diagrame ale anexei A3

Un agent per diagramă, din `.spec.txt`-urile scrise la sesiunea trecută.
`audit_diagrams` 0 pe toate trei; fiecare randată și privită ca PNG.

Două retușuri făcute de sesiunea principală, peste ce au raportat agenții:
- `intrarea_retest_ratat` folosea alte fitiluri la candelele 12 și 14 decât
  `intrarea_doua_variante`, deși cele două împart aceeași serie 0-15.
  Aliniate după `doua_variante`, care e scris direct din spec.
- `intrarea_cazul_lui` avea un `Mark` „suport weekly" sub linia de SL, care
  dubla eticheta nivelului și părea să eticheteze SL-ul. Scos.

Abaterile de la spec pe care le-au raportat agenții și le-am acceptat:
vârful din `cazul_lui` cade pe bara 32, nu 31 (în lista de close-uri din
spec acolo e 105.20), iar bara 33 deschide chiar la 105.20, deci cerința
„toate celelalte high-uri sub 105.20" nu se poate îndeplini strict.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01ThN7ixZrowca8aTGrK1MUJ
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2026-09-19 17:29:50 +00:00
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<title>A3. Candela de intrare: la close sau la retest?</title>
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<nav class="crumbs"><a href="../index.html">Sumarizări</a><span class="sep">/</span><a href="../index.html#17_STRATEGII">Strategii</a><span class="sep">/</span>A3. Candela de intrare: la close sau la retest?</nav><h1 id="a3-candela-de-intrare-la-close-sau-la-retest">A3. Candela de intrare: la close sau la retest?</h1>
<p><strong>Etichete:</strong> <code>execuție</code> · <code>long</code> (short = oglinda) · <code>swing</code> / <code>intraday</code> ·
<code>prop</code> / <code>cont personal</code> · dificultate <code>2</code> ·
<code>nu e o strategie: nu are trigger și setup proprii</code></p>
<p><strong>Surse:</strong> regula „intri la close" vine din strategiile mecanice:
<a href="../03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.html"><code>13_strategia_3_byh.md</code></a>,
<a href="../03_MODUL_2/14_strategia_1_m2d.html"><code>14_strategia_1_m2d.md</code></a>,
<a href="../04_MODUL_3/04_strategia_2_mp_patrat.html"><code>04_strategia_2_mp_patrat.md</code></a>.
Regula „aștepți retestul" vine din
<a href="../09_QA/20_2025-08-25.html"><code>09_QA/20_2025-08-25.md</code></a> (transcrierea
<code>transcripts/09_Q_and_A/20_25082025.txt</code>),
<a href="../08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/03_locul_crimei_si_pullback.html"><code>03_locul_crimei_si_pullback.md</code></a>
și <a href="../08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.html"><code>01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.md</code></a>.
Pentru buy momentum, sursa e transcrierea lecției 10
(<code>transcripts/03_MODUL_2/10_10_BUYSELL_MOMENTUM_TRIGGER_CUM_FOLOSIM_ACEST_CONCEPT_.txt</code>,
prescurtat mai jos <strong>L10</strong>). Contradicția e deja triată în
<a href="A2_contradictii.html"><code>A2_contradictii.md</code></a>, rândul 17; anexa asta nu o
rezolvă, o desface în pași executabili.</p>
<blockquote>
<p><strong>Notă de structură:</strong> anexa nu alege între cele două variante. Materialul
le spune pe amândouă, în contexte diferite, și nu le reconciliază. Unde
scrie „deducție", e judecata mea, nu cursul.</p>
</blockquote>
<hr />
<h2 id="nivel-0-ideea">Nivel 0 — Ideea</h2>
<h3 id="un-semnal-iti-spune-ce-nu-cand">Un semnal îți spune <em>ce</em>, nu <em>când</em></h3>
<p>Săgeata de buy momentum, confirmarea unui buy doji, primul Buy pe TF mic la
M2D: toate îți spun că <strong>acum</strong> cumpărătorii au câștigat. Niciuna nu-ți spune
că prețul de acum e cel mai bun preț la care să cumperi.</p>
<p>Mecanismul: candela de semnal e de obicei <strong>mare</strong>, pentru că e candela în
care cumpărătorii au împins prețul prin nivel. Close-ul ei e sus, iar
stopul logic e jos, sub structura de dinainte (low-ul ultimelor 4 candele la
buy doji și M2D: <code>03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.md:192-193</code>;
<code>17_STRATEGII/fise/m2d.md:68</code>). Cu cât e mai mare candela, cu atât e mai
mare distanța close→stop, adică riscul pe acțiune. Exact asta spune
Bogdan despre buy doji-ul pe 60 min: „e inalt, ai ris [sic] mare pe asta,
mai ales daca esti pe prop"
(<code>transcripts/09_Q_and_A/20_25082025.txt:207</code>).</p>
<p>Deci ai de ales între două lucruri pe care nu le poți avea pe amândouă:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>să prinzi mișcarea sigur</strong> (intri la close, plătești risc mare), sau</li>
<li><strong>să intri ieftin</strong> (aștepți ca prețul să revină în corpul candelei,
plătești riscul de a nu intra deloc).</li>
</ul>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 880 474" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — 15 min</text>
<line x1="24" y1="365.0" x2="866" y2="365.0" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="852" y="359.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">suport 100.00</text>
<line x1="24" y1="371.0" x2="866" y2="371.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<line x1="24" y1="236.0" x2="866" y2="236.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="852" y="230.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">A: intrare la close 102.15</text>
<line x1="24" y1="272.0" x2="866" y2="272.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="852" y="266.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">B: 1/3 = 101.55</text>
<line x1="24" y1="290.0" x2="866" y2="290.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="852" y="284.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">B: 1/2 = 101.25</text>
<line x1="24" y1="101.0" x2="866" y2="101.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="852" y="95.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP1 A 104.40</text>
<line x1="24" y1="209.0" x2="866" y2="209.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 3"/>
<text x="852" y="203.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP1 B (1/2) 102.60</text>
<line x1="24" y1="173.0" x2="866" y2="173.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 3"/>
<text x="852" y="167.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP1 B (1/3) 103.20</text>
<line x1="44.0" y1="128.0" x2="44.0" y2="158.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<text x="269.0" y="203.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">semnal: candela verde mare</text>
<text x="852.0" y="387.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 99.90 = low-ul ultimelor 4 candele (comun A și B)</text>
<text x="239.0" y="387.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">suport atins</text>
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<text x="288.0" y="402.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">atinge 1/3</text>
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<text x="295.0" y="387.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">atinge 1/2</text>
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<line x1="554.0" y1="236.0" x2="566.0" y2="236.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2.2"/>
<line x1="554.0" y1="371.0" x2="566.0" y2="371.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2.2"/>
<text x="560.0" y="230.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A</text>
<text x="566.0" y="307.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="start">2.25</text>
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<line x1="599.0" y1="272.0" x2="611.0" y2="272.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="2.2"/>
<line x1="599.0" y1="371.0" x2="611.0" y2="371.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2.2"/>
<text x="605.0" y="266.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B 1/3</text>
<text x="611.0" y="325.5" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start">1.65</text>
<line x1="650.0" y1="290.0" x2="650.0" y2="371.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="2.2"/>
<line x1="644.0" y1="290.0" x2="656.0" y2="290.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="2.2"/>
<line x1="644.0" y1="371.0" x2="656.0" y2="371.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2.2"/>
<text x="650.0" y="284.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B 1/2</text>
<text x="656.0" y="334.5" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start">1.35</text>
<text x="530.0" y="405.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="start">risc A 2.25 → 22 acțiuni la 50 $</text>
<text x="530.0" y="420.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start">risc B 1/3 1.65 → 30 acțiuni</text>
<text x="530.0" y="435.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start">risc B 1/2 1.35 → 37 acțiuni</text>
<text x="24.0" y="462.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="start">Exemplu construit, fără ticker. Cifrele nu vin din curs. Risc permis 50 $ (0,5% din 10.000 $).</text>
</svg></p>
<p><em>Diagrama e un exemplu construit, fără ticker; cifrele nu vin din curs.</em></p>
<h3 id="fraza-de-decizie">Fraza de decizie</h3>
<blockquote>
<p>„Înainte de semnal hotărăsc: intru la close-ul candelei de semnal, sau pun
ordin la 1/2 (sau 1/3) din corpul ei, cu același stop. Dacă am ales
retestul și prețul nu revine, n-am trade — nu alerg după el."</p>
</blockquote>
<h3 id="cand-intrebarea-nici-nu-se-pune">Când întrebarea nici nu se pune</h3>
<ul>
<li><strong>Nu ai încă semnal.</strong> Doji-ul singur e doar candidat; intri pe trigger,
nu pe doji (<code>08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.md:820-821</code>).</li>
<li><strong>Candela de semnal e mică.</strong> Diferența dintre close și 1/2 din corp e de
câțiva cenți, iar riscul scade puțin (deducție: câștigul variantei retest
crește cu mărimea candelei; Bogdan leagă regula de „candela foarte mare",
<code>transcripts/09_Q_and_A/20_25082025.txt:192</code>).</li>
</ul>
<hr />
<h2 id="nivel-1-cele-doua-variante">Nivel 1 — Cele două variante</h2>
<p>Aceeași candelă de semnal, două moduri de a intra. Cifrele sunt din
diagrama de mai sus (exemplu construit): candela de semnal deschide la
100.35 și închide la 102.15; stopul e low-ul ultimelor 4 candele, 99.90;
risc permis 50 $ (0,5% dintr-un cont de 10.000 $, plafonul de prop din
<a href="A1_risc.html"><code>A1_risc.md</code></a>, §1.1).</p>
<h3 id="11-tabelul-comparativ">1.1 Tabelul comparativ</h3>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th><strong>A. Intri la close</strong></th>
<th><strong>B. Aștepți retestul</strong></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td><strong>Unde intri</strong></td>
<td>la close-ul candelei de semnal: <strong>102.15</strong></td>
<td>ordin la <strong>1/2</strong> din corp (<strong>101.25</strong>) sau la <strong>1/3</strong> de sus (<strong>101.55</strong>)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Stop</strong></td>
<td>low-ul ultimelor 4 candele: <strong>99.90</strong></td>
<td>același: <strong>99.90</strong> (stopul rămâne sub structură, nu se mută)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Risc / acțiune</strong></td>
<td><strong>2.25</strong></td>
<td><strong>1.35</strong> la 1/2 · <strong>1.65</strong> la 1/3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Acțiuni la 50 $ risc</strong></td>
<td><strong>22</strong></td>
<td><strong>37</strong> la 1/2 · <strong>30</strong> la 1/3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>TP1 (1:1)</strong></td>
<td>104.40</td>
<td>102.60 la 1/2 · 103.20 la 1/3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Ce ratezi</strong></td>
<td>nimic din mișcare; plătești prețul cel mai sus</td>
<td>tot trade-ul, dacă prețul nu mai coboară până la ordin</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Unde e rostită</strong></td>
<td>regula strategiilor mecanice: buy doji, M2D, MP²</td>
<td>buy doji / MICI pe weekly-monthly; breakout de consolidare (locul crimei)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Surse</strong></td>
<td><code>03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.md:192-195</code>; <code>08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.md:136-138</code>; <code>04_MODUL_3/04_strategia_2_mp_patrat.md:38-40</code></td>
<td><code>transcripts/09_Q_and_A/20_25082025.txt:179, 199, 207-208</code>; <code>08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/03_locul_crimei_si_pullback.md:8-9, 186-192</code>; <code>triaj/DECIZII.md:118</code></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Stopul comun în varianta B: la MICI, cu intrarea în tranșe, „stop-ul rămâne
unul singur, sub higher low", iar tranșele intră între intrare și stop
(<code>08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.md:808-810</code>). Pentru
buy doji simplu cu retest, materialul nu spune explicit unde stă stopul;
l-am lăsat la regula lui de bază (low-ul a 4 candele), ca deducție.</p>
<h3 id="12-varianta-a-intri-la-close-pas-cu-pas">1.2 Varianta A — intri la close, pas cu pas</h3>
<ol>
<li>Aștepți ca candela de semnal să <strong>se închidă</strong>. Nu intri în timp ce se
formează: confirmarea se evaluează pe close, nu pe un spike de câteva
secunde (<code>03_MODUL_2/14_strategia_1_m2d.md:475-477</code>).</li>
<li><strong>Buy doji:</strong> prima candelă din următoarele 3 care închide peste high-ul
doji-ului; intri la close-ul ei
(<code>03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.md:152-156</code>; exemplu cu cifre:
<code>08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.md:136-138</code>).
<strong>MP²:</strong> „primul Buy Momentum (BIM) <strong>sau</strong> prima candelă verde după BIM
care <strong>închide</strong> deasupra pivotului mic"
(<code>04_MODUL_3/04_strategia_2_mp_patrat.md:38-40</code>). <strong>M2D:</strong> TF mare Buy →
TF mic Sell → TF mic Buy = intri (<code>17_STRATEGII/fise/m2d.md:61</code>); în
exemplul SPY, prețul de intrare e close-ul candelei de trigger, 517.78
(<code>03_MODUL_2/14_strategia_1_m2d.md:333-334</code>).</li>
<li>Stop = extrema ultimelor 4 candele, calculată înapoi de la candela de
confirmare (<code>03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.md:192-193</code>).</li>
<li>TP1 = aceeași distanță, proiectată de la close (1:1)
(<code>03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.md:194-195</code>).</li>
<li><strong>Ia primul semnal.</strong> Dacă l-ai ratat, aștepți următorul; nu intri pe
amintirea celui vechi (<code>03_MODUL_2/14_strategia_1_m2d.md:469-471</code>).</li>
</ol>
<h3 id="13-varianta-b-astepti-retestul-pas-cu-pas">1.3 Varianta B — aștepți retestul, pas cu pas</h3>
<ol>
<li>Aștepți tot închiderea candelei de semnal (fără semnal nu există
retest de așteptat).</li>
<li>Măsori corpul candelei și marchezi nivelurile, de la cel mai puțin adânc
la cel mai adânc (<code>08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/03_locul_crimei_si_pullback.md:186-192</code>):</li>
<li><strong>1/3 de sus</strong> — cumpărătorii grăbiți; pe exemplu, 101.55;</li>
<li><strong>1/2</strong> — retestul clasic, cel mai des citat; 101.25;</li>
<li><strong>open-ul candelei de semnal</strong> — ultima zonă (100.35). Sursa o spune
pentru breakout: sub open, „breakout-ul e anulat"; că la fel se
anulează un buy doji sau un buy momentum e deducția mea.</li>
<li>La buy doji weekly din MICI, triajul notează și retestul
<strong>high-ului doji-ului</strong> ca ideal (<code>triaj/DECIZII.md:118</code>).</li>
<li>Pui ordinul limită la nivelul ales. Stopul rămâne cel al setup-ului.</li>
<li>Dacă prețul atinge ordinul, TP1 se calculează de la <strong>prețul tău de
intrare</strong>, nu de la close-ul semnalului (deducție: formula 1:1 e
distanța intrare→stop, <code>03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.md:194-195</code>).</li>
<li>Dacă prețul <strong>nu</strong> atinge ordinul: nu ai trade. Nu muți ordinul mai sus
(vezi Gotchas).</li>
</ol>
<p>Ce spune Bogdan, cuvânt cu cuvânt (transcrierea n-are diacritice):</p>
<blockquote>
<p>„Intrai full sau 1 pe 3 aici, dupa care mai intrai la 1 pe 3 si 1 pe 2,
uite ce frumos l-a testat" — XLE pe daily, buy doji
(<code>transcripts/09_Q_and_A/20_25082025.txt:179</code>)</p>
<p>„A retestat unul pe 3, unul pe 2." — SPY, buy doji după consolidare
(<code>transcripts/09_Q_and_A/20_25082025.txt:199</code>)</p>
<p>„Pai ba, e inalt, ai ris [sic] mare pe asta, mai ales daca esti pe prop.
Si atunci de asta sa intre pe unul, pe 3, unul, pe 2, pentru un ris [sic]
mai mic." — buy doji pe 60 min
(<code>transcripts/09_Q_and_A/20_25082025.txt:207-208</code>)</p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>Atenție la cum citești sursa:</strong> sumarul sesiunii scrie „nu intri la
închiderea lui — aștepți retestul"
(<code>09_QA/20_2025-08-25.md:144-145</code>). Transcrierea e mai puțin categorică:
la XLE spune „intrai full sau 1 pe 3 aici" și apoi retestele, adică o
parte (sau toată poziția) la semnal și restul la retest
(<code>transcripts/09_Q_and_A/20_25082025.txt:179</code>). Nu e clar din transcriere
dacă „1 pe 3" de acolo e o treime din poziție sau nivelul de 1/3.</p>
<h3 id="14-cand-se-aplica-fiecare-ce-se-stie">1.4 Când se aplică fiecare — ce se știe</h3>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Context</th>
<th>Ce spune materialul</th>
<th>Sursă</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Buy doji / M2D / MP², strategiile mecanice</td>
<td>intri la close-ul candelei de trigger</td>
<td>vezi 1.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buy doji pe weekly / monthly (MICI)</td>
<td>retest la 1/3, 1/2; motivul e riscul mare pe candelele de weekly/monthly</td>
<td><code>transcripts/09_Q_and_A/20_25082025.txt:157-159</code>; <code>triaj/DECIZII.md:118</code></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Regulile MICI, copiate pe alt TF</td>
<td>„Si sa o folosesti pe daily, pe 60 de minute, pe ce vrei tu"</td>
<td><code>transcripts/09_Q_and_A/20_25082025.txt:154-156</code></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Breakout dintr-o consolidare (marubozu)</td>
<td>„nu intri pe lumânarea de breakout", aștepți retestul</td>
<td><code>08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/03_locul_crimei_si_pullback.md:8-9</code></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Acțiuni scumpe / volatile la MICI</td>
<td>intri în 4 tranșe de 1/4, pe retesturi</td>
<td><code>08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.md:800-806</code></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Buy momentum</strong>, semnal ratat</td>
<td>pullback-ul la medii mobile e <strong>a doua șansă</strong>, nu pas obligatoriu</td>
<td>L10:94, 104-106</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Buy momentum, confirmare suplimentară (weekly×daily)</td>
<td>poți să nu intri la semnal și să aștepți un close peste ambele medii mobile de pe weekly</td>
<td>L10:176-182</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Pentru <strong>buy momentum</strong> în sine, materialul nu spune „aștepți retestul".
Spune că pullback-ul e varianta pentru cine <strong>a ratat</strong> semnalul:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>„Puteți să cumpărați la pullback-uri, de exemplu să spunem că ați ratat
semnalul ăsta de buy de aici." (L10:94)</p>
<p>„dacă ați ratat semnalul ăsta, puteți să așteptați un pullback la moving
average-uri. Să nu treacă sub moving average-ul cel puțin de sus, cel
galben." (L10:105-106)</p>
<p>„Bineînțeles că există riscul ca prețul să se cadă, da?" (L10:97)</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Retestul de aici e <strong>la mediile mobile ale indicatorului</strong>, nu la 1/2 din
corpul candelei. Sunt două niveluri diferite de retest.</p>
<p>Există și o a treia cale, rostită o singură dată, pentru combinația
weekly×daily: „puteți să nu intrați la semnalul de aici și să așteptați un
semnal în care candela daily [...] se închide deasupra ambelor moving
average pe weekly" (L10:178-182). Bogdan o descrie ca „o filtrare mai
agresivă" (L10:209), pentru cine vrea „confirmări suplimentare și un edge
mai mare" (L10:207-208). Nu e retest, e confirmare întârziată: intri mai
sus, nu mai jos.</p>
<h3 id="15-checklist-de-tiparit">1.5 Checklist de tipărit</h3>
<ul>
<li>[ ] Candela de semnal s-a <strong>închis</strong> (nu te uiți la candela în formare).</li>
<li>[ ] Am hotărât <strong>înainte</strong> de semnal: A (close) sau B (retest, nivelul ___).</li>
<li>[ ] Stopul e la nivelul setup-ului: ___. Nu se mută cu varianta.</li>
<li>[ ] Riscul pe acțiune: A = close − stop; B = ordin − stop.</li>
<li>[ ] Acțiunile = risc $ / risc pe acțiune, rotunjit în jos (<a href="A1_risc.html"><code>A1_risc.md</code></a>, §1.3).</li>
<li>[ ] La B: ordin limită pus. Dacă nu se umple, <strong>nu</strong> îl mut după preț.</li>
<li>[ ] TP1 = 1:1 de la <strong>intrarea mea</strong>, nu de la close-ul semnalului.</li>
</ul>
<hr />
<h2 id="nivel-2-cazul-tau-buy-momentum-la-suport-weekly-pe-15-minute">Nivel 2 — Cazul tău: buy momentum la suport weekly, pe 15 minute</h2>
<h3 id="21-ce-s-a-intamplat-candela-cu-candela">2.1 Ce s-a întâmplat, candelă cu candelă</h3>
<p>Reconstruit din descriere; cifrele sunt construite, nu citite din graficul
tău.</p>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 640 514" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — 15 min, suport weekly</text>
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<text x="30" y="104.0" fill="#1a5fb4">TP1 104.30 (1:1)</text>
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<text x="612" y="236.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare la close 102.10</text>
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<text x="612" y="290.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">1/2 = 101.20 (B s-ar fi umplut aici)</text>
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<text x="268.0" y="203.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">▲ buy momentum</text>
<text x="568.0" y="46.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">vârf 105.20 = +1.41R</text>
<text x="279" y="356.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">▲ roșie mare: −0.68R flotant</text>
<text x="352" y="170.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">ieși aici: 102.60 = +0.23R</text>
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<text x="30" y="389.0" fill="#c00">SL 99.90 (low 4 candele)</text>
<text x="24" y="68.0" fill="#555"><tspan fill="#8a3ea8">── SMA 5</tspan> / <tspan fill="#2a8a8a">- - SMA 10</tspan> ilustrative</text>
<text x="24" y="434.0" fill="#555">Exemplu construit, fără ticker. Prețurile, mediile mobile și ieșirea sunt</text>
<text x="24" y="451.0" fill="#555">ilustrative; secvența (verde mare → roșie mare → trend) e cea descrisă de user.</text>
<text x="24" y="468.0" fill="#555">Varianta B (ordin la 1/2 = 101.20, risc 1.30, TP1 102.50) e aritmetică pe</text>
<text x="24" y="485.0" fill="#555">aceleași cifre, nu un trade din curs. 1/3 din corp = 101.50.</text>
<text x="24" y="502.0" fill="#555">Close-ul roșiei (100.60): sub ambele MA (SMA 5 = 100.83, SMA 10 = 101.34).</text>
</svg></p>
<p><em>Diagrama e un exemplu construit, fără ticker. Prețurile, mediile mobile și
punctul de ieșire sunt ilustrative; forma secvenței e cea descrisă.</em></p>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>#</th>
<th>Ce vezi pe 15 min</th>
<th>Cifre (construite)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>1</td>
<td>downtrend până la suportul weekly</td>
<td>suport 100.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2</td>
<td><strong>candela verde mare</strong>, săgeata de buy momentum</td>
<td>open 100.30, close 102.10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3</td>
<td>intri la close (varianta A)</td>
<td>intrare 102.10, stop 99.90, risc 2.20, TP1 104.30</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>4</td>
<td><strong>candela roșie mare</strong> imediat după</td>
<td>open 102.10, close 100.60, low 100.50: acoperă 83% din corpul verzii</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>5</td>
<td>frica: ai 1.50 pe minus din 2.20 risc</td>
<td>−0.68R, flotant</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>6</td>
<td>prețul se întoarce și pornește trendul</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>7</td>
<td>ieși repede, pe plus</td>
<td>ieșire 102.60 = +0.23R, sub TP1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>8</td>
<td>trendul continuă fără tine</td>
<td>vârf 105.20 = +1.41R față de intrarea ta</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p><strong>Aceleași candele, varianta B:</strong> candela roșie trece prin 1/3 (101.50) și
prin 1/2 (101.20). Un ordin la 1/2 s-ar fi umplut la 101.20, cu risc 1.30
și TP1 la 102.50 (aritmetica 1:1 pe cifrele exemplului; nu e un trade din
curs). În exemplul ăsta, candela roșie care te-a speriat pe A ar fi fost
exact candela care umplea ordinul pe B.</p>
<p><strong>Mediile mobile, în exemplu.</strong> Diagrama desenează două medii mobile
ilustrative (SMA 5 și SMA 10; lungimile celor două medii ale indicatorului
nu apar în transcriere). Candela de semnal închide peste amândouă, candela
roșie închide sub amândouă, iar trendul pornește totuși. E un exemplu
construit, nu o statistică: arată doar că secvența asta se poate termina
și așa. Ce spune materialul despre ea e în 2.2.</p>
<h3 id="22-ce-spune-materialul-despre-fiecare-pas">2.2 Ce spune materialul despre fiecare pas</h3>
<p><strong>Suportul weekly pe un chart de 15 minute.</strong> Asta <strong>e</strong> în material, pentru
pivoți: „de la 15 minute până la 60 inclusive o să modific pivoții în
weekly" (<code>transcripts/03_MODUL_2/03_3_TIMEFRAMES_SET_UP.txt:268-270</code>;
tabelul: <code>03_MODUL_2/03_timeframes_set_up.md:69-80</code>). Dacă „suportul weekly"
al tău e un pivot weekly (PP, S1, S2), ai pus nivelul corect pe
timeframe-ul corect. Dacă e un suport de structură citit pe graficul weekly
(un low vechi, o zonă), materialul nu spune pe ce timeframe îl tranzacționezi.</p>
<p><strong>Semnalul pe 15 min, nivelul pe weekly.</strong> Perechile de timeframe ale M2D
sunt: scalping 1×5, 3×15; day 3×15, 5×25, 5×60, 15×60; swing 60×300,
60×daily, daily×weekly; position weekly×monthly
(<code>03_MODUL_2/14_strategia_1_m2d.md:461-466</code>). Niciuna nu leagă weekly de
15 minute. Nu e o regulă încălcată: e o combinație pe care materialul nu o
tratează ca strategie.</p>
<p>Cel mai aproape de cazul tău e confirmarea din L10, dar merge <strong>invers</strong>:
semnalul se formează pe TF mare (daily, cu weekly ca referință), iar
candela de 15 sau 60 min e folosită doar ca să vezi mai devreme dacă se
închide peste nivelul de pe weekly — „poate pe 15 și mai mare precizie"
(L10:176-182). Acolo 15 minute e ceas, nu sursă de semnal.</p>
<p><strong>Candela verde mare urmată de roșie mare.</strong> Materialul nu are un nume
pentru secvența asta. Ce are e un criteriu de confirmare a trendului după
buy: cele două medii mobile ale indicatorului devin suport, și „după buy,
în viitor candele acestea au rămas deasupra ambelor moving average-uri.
Asta înseamnă confirmarea trendului" (L10:67-68). Și o nuanță: „Aici s-a
închis, de exemplu, sub moving average, dar a continuat" (L10:74). Pentru
semnalul opus, Bogdan spune că ar fi fost „strong cu adevărat dacă această
candle se închidea sub ambele moving average-uri" (L10:112).</p>
<p>Deducție, nu regulă: întrebarea utilă la candela roșie e <strong>unde se închide
față de cele două medii mobile</strong>. Deasupra amândurora = pullback în regim
de buy, criteriul din L10:67-68 e încă îndeplinit. Sub amândouă, la scurt
timp după semnal = criteriul de confirmare al lecției nu mai e îndeplinit;
semnalul arată mai degrabă ca o excepție decât ca o schimbare de trend.
Sub una singură = cazul din L10:74, a continuat. Materialul nu dă un prag
(câte candele, cât de adânc).</p>
<p><strong>Ieșirea din frică, înainte de TP1.</strong> Neacoperit ca regulă de ieșire. Ce
există e structura în care frica n-ar trebui să decidă: TP1 = 1:1, poziția
în 2-3 tranșe, doar prima iese la TP1, restul pe trail
(<code>17_STRATEGII/fise/m2d.md:74-81</code>; <code>17_STRATEGII/fise/mp2.md:104-108</code>;
<code>17_STRATEGII/fise/byd_sld.md:73-80</code>). Și workshop-ul despre anxietate
explică mecanismul, fără regulă de ieșire: dacă stopul nu e acceptat
înainte de intrare, fiecare apropiere de el devine frică — „Nu ai de ce să
intri, dacă ți se pare prea mare stop-lossul"; „[anxietatea] e
proporțională cu suma de bani pe care o pierzi"
(<code>transcripts/03_MODUL_2/15_15_WORKSHOP_2_CUM_GESTIONEZI_ANXIETATEA_DUPA_CE_INTRI_IN_TRANZACTII.txt:778-781</code>).
Recomandarea de risc din același workshop: „chiar 0,5 sau 1%" (<code>:1083-1084</code>).</p>
<p>Deducție: în cazul tău, varianta A a dat risc mare pe acțiune (candela
verde mare) și flotant de −0.68R pe candela următoare. Dacă mărimea
poziției a fost calculată din stop, suma pierdută la stop era cea
acceptată; dacă nu, frica era proporțională cu o sumă mai mare decât cea
plănuită. Nu știu care din două a fost: verifică în jurnal.</p>
<h3 id="23-golurile-din-material-pentru-cazul-tau">2.3 Golurile din material, pentru cazul tău</h3>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Gol</th>
<th>Ce există în loc</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>perechea nivel weekly / execuție 15 min, ca strategie</td>
<td>pivoții weekly pe 15 min (doar nivelul); confirmarea L10 (15 min ca ceas pentru un semnal de TF mare)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>numele secvenței verde mare → roșie mare</td>
<td>criteriul mediilor mobile din L10:67-74</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>câte candele aștepți ca să consideri semnalul confirmat</td>
<td>nimic; M2D și buy doji au doar fereastra de 3 candele pentru <strong>confirmarea doji-ului</strong>, nu pentru ce vine după</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>regula de retest pentru buy momentum ca semnal proaspăt</td>
<td>pullback-ul la MA, doar pentru semnal ratat (L10:94, 105)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>ieșirea înainte de TP1</td>
<td>tranșele + workshop-ul de anxietate</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<hr />
<h2 id="gotchas">Gotchas</h2>
<ul>
<li><strong>Candelă închisă, nu spike.</strong> Un puseu de câteva secunde nu înseamnă
spargere reală a nivelului; confirmarea se ia pe close
(<code>17_STRATEGII/fise/m2d.md:113</code>; <code>03_MODUL_2/14_strategia_1_m2d.md:475-477</code>).
Pe 15 min, „close" înseamnă la minutul 15, nu la minutul 4.</li>
<li><strong>Retestul nu e ultimul.</strong> Același nivel poate fi retestat a doua, chiar a
treia oară, iar retestul repetat „mai scoate niște retail din tranzacții"
(<code>08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/03_locul_crimei_si_pullback.md:197-205</code>). Cu varianta
B, faptul că ordinul tău s-a umplut nu garantează că prețul nu mai
coboară o dată. De aceea stopul stă sub structură.</li>
<li><strong>Pullback-ul poate să nu mai vină.</strong> „Poate să nu mai facă, poate nu mai
face niciodată." Atunci nu ai trade: nu muți ordinul mai sus, pentru că
un ordin mutat după preț nu mai e retest, e o intrare fără stop logic
(<code>08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/03_locul_crimei_si_pullback.md:11-12, 300-311</code>).</li>
</ul>
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 660 615" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — 15 min</text>
<line x1="24" y1="556.0" x2="646" y2="556.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray=""/>
<text x="632" y="550.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 99.90</text>
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<text x="632" y="418.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">ordin 1/3 101.55 — neumplut</text>
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<text x="632" y="442.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">ordin 1/2 101.25 — neumplut</text>
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<text x="632" y="370.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">A: close 102.15</text>
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<text x="285.0" y="354.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">semnal</text>
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<text x="414.0" y="206.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">NU muți ordinul aici: sub 104.00 nu e niciun nivel</text>
<text x="536.0" y="46.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A: +1.7R · B: 0 (fără poziție)</text>
<text x="24" y="586" fill="#555">Exemplu construit, fără ticker. «Poate să nu mai facă, poate nu mai face niciodată.»</text>
<text x="24" y="603" fill="#555">Ai ratat trade-ul; aștepți următoarea structură.</text>
</svg></p>
<p><em>Diagrama e un exemplu construit, fără ticker; cifrele nu vin din curs.</em></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>„Risc la jumătate" e aproximativ.</strong> Rândul 17 din A2 rezumă varianta B ca
„risc ~jumătate". Pe exemplul din 1.1, intrarea la 1/2 din corp dă 60% din
riscul variantei A (1.35 față de 2.25), nu 50%, pentru că stopul e sub
low-ul a 4 candele, nu la open-ul candelei de semnal. Deducție: cu cât
stopul e mai departe sub open, cu atât câștigul de risc e mai mic.</li>
<li><strong>De unde măsori corpul contează.</strong> Bogdan a măsurat pe XLE și de la low,
și de la open: 3,16% față de 2,98%. „Nu e mare diferenta intre ele, ca asta
nu e asa volatil, dar e o diferenta"; pe o candelă foarte mare, contează
mai mult (<code>transcripts/09_Q_and_A/20_25082025.txt:187-192</code>). Alege o
singură convenție și ține-o.</li>
<li><strong>Două feluri de „retest".</strong> La buy doji / breakout, retestul e în corpul
candelei (1/3, 1/2, open). La buy momentum ratat, retestul e la mediile
mobile ale indicatorului (L10:105-106). Nu le amesteca pe același trade.</li>
<li><strong>Nu alerga după preț</strong> dacă semnalul weekly a plecat deja; aștepți
retestul de 1/3-1/2 din lumânarea mare
(<code>08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.md:825-827</code>).</li>
</ul>
<hr />
<h2 id="ce-ramane-neconfirmat">Ce rămâne neconfirmat</h2>
<ol>
<li><strong>Câte candele aștepți confirmarea</strong> după un buy momentum, înainte să
consideri semnalul valid sau eșuat. Materialul nu dă un prag. Pragurile
DA/NU din sumarul lecției 10 sunt completarea sumarizatorului, nu citat
din curs (<code>03_MODUL_2/10_buysell_momentum_trigger.md:780-789</code>).</li>
<li><strong>Numele secvenței</strong> candelă verde mare → candelă roșie mare la semnal.
Nu apare în material. Singurul mecanism apropiat e criteriul mediilor
mobile (L10:67-74, 112), interpretat de mine.</li>
<li><strong>Ieșirea înainte de TP1, din frică.</strong> Nicio regulă. Există structura
(TP1 1:1, tranșe) și mecanismul anxietății (workshop 15), nu o regulă
pentru „ies acum sau nu".</li>
<li><strong>Perechea nivel weekly / execuție pe 15 min</strong>, ca strategie cu reguli.
Există doar regula de pivoți (15 min folosește pivoți weekly) și
confirmarea din L10, unde 15 min e ceas pentru un semnal de TF mare.</li>
<li><strong>Stopul la varianta B pentru buy doji simplu.</strong> Explicit doar la MICI
(stop unic sub higher low). Pentru buy doji pe 60 min / daily cu retest,
am presupus stopul de bază (4 candele).</li>
<li><strong>Cum intri la retest</strong>: ordin limită la nivel, sau aștepți un trigger nou
după atingere. Sumarul locului crimei folosește ambele în exemple
construite (ordin limită la 50.67: <code>03_locul_crimei_si_pullback.md:296</code>;
trigger după retest la 51.50: <code>:180-181</code>); nu e o regulă rostită.</li>
<li><strong>„1 pe 3" la XLE</strong> (<code>transcripts/09_Q_and_A/20_25082025.txt:179</code>):
nu reiese dacă e o treime din poziție sau nivelul de 1/3. De aici și
incertitudinea dacă Bogdan intră parțial la semnal și parțial la retest.</li>
</ol>
<hr />
<h2 id="legaturi">Legături</h2>
<ul>
<li>Contradicția, triată: <a href="A2_contradictii.html"><code>A2_contradictii.md</code></a>, rândul 17</li>
<li>Mărimea poziției și plafonul de risc: <a href="A1_risc.html"><code>A1_risc.md</code></a></li>
<li>Retestul și pullback-ul care nu vine: <a href="../08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/03_locul_crimei_si_pullback.html"><code>03_locul_crimei_si_pullback.md</code></a></li>
<li>Buy doji, MICI, tranșe: <a href="../08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.html"><code>01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.md</code></a></li>
<li>Buy momentum și mediile mobile: <a href="../03_MODUL_2/10_buysell_momentum_trigger.html"><code>10_buysell_momentum_trigger.md</code></a></li>
<li>Pivoții pe fiecare timeframe: <a href="../03_MODUL_2/03_timeframes_set_up.html"><code>03_timeframes_set_up.md</code></a></li>
<li>Anxietatea după intrare: <a href="../03_MODUL_2/15_workshop_2_anxietatea_dupa_intrare.html"><code>15_workshop_2_anxietatea_dupa_intrare.md</code></a></li>
</ul><nav class="pager"><a class="up" href="../index.html#17_STRATEGII">↑ index</a></nav>
</body>
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View File

@@ -49,7 +49,114 @@ Deci ai de ales între două lucruri pe care nu le poți avea pe amândouă:
- **să intri ieftin** (aștepți ca prețul să revină în corpul candelei,
plătești riscul de a nu intra deloc).
<!-- DIAGRAMA: doua_variante -->
<svg viewBox="0 0 880 474" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — 15 min</text>
<line x1="24" y1="365.0" x2="866" y2="365.0" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="852" y="359.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">suport 100.00</text>
<line x1="24" y1="371.0" x2="866" y2="371.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<line x1="24" y1="236.0" x2="866" y2="236.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="852" y="230.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">A: intrare la close 102.15</text>
<line x1="24" y1="272.0" x2="866" y2="272.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="852" y="266.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">B: 1/3 = 101.55</text>
<line x1="24" y1="290.0" x2="866" y2="290.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="852" y="284.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">B: 1/2 = 101.25</text>
<line x1="24" y1="101.0" x2="866" y2="101.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="852" y="95.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP1 A 104.40</text>
<line x1="24" y1="209.0" x2="866" y2="209.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="2 3"/>
<text x="852" y="203.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP1 B (1/2) 102.60</text>
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<text x="852" y="167.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP1 B (1/3) 103.20</text>
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<text x="269.0" y="203.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">semnal: candela verde mare</text>
<text x="852.0" y="387.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 99.90 = low-ul ultimelor 4 candele (comun A și B)</text>
<text x="239.0" y="387.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">suport atins</text>
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<text x="288.0" y="402.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">atinge 1/3</text>
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<text x="295.0" y="387.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">atinge 1/2</text>
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<line x1="554.0" y1="236.0" x2="566.0" y2="236.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="2.2"/>
<line x1="554.0" y1="371.0" x2="566.0" y2="371.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2.2"/>
<text x="560.0" y="230.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A</text>
<text x="566.0" y="307.5" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="start">2.25</text>
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<line x1="599.0" y1="272.0" x2="611.0" y2="272.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="2.2"/>
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<text x="611.0" y="325.5" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start">1.65</text>
<line x1="650.0" y1="290.0" x2="650.0" y2="371.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="2.2"/>
<line x1="644.0" y1="290.0" x2="656.0" y2="290.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="2.2"/>
<line x1="644.0" y1="371.0" x2="656.0" y2="371.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="2.2"/>
<text x="650.0" y="284.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">B 1/2</text>
<text x="656.0" y="334.5" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start">1.35</text>
<text x="530.0" y="405.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="start">risc A 2.25 → 22 acțiuni la 50 $</text>
<text x="530.0" y="420.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start">risc B 1/3 1.65 → 30 acțiuni</text>
<text x="530.0" y="435.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start">risc B 1/2 1.35 → 37 acțiuni</text>
<text x="24.0" y="462.0" fill="#555" text-anchor="start">Exemplu construit, fără ticker. Cifrele nu vin din curs. Risc permis 50 $ (0,5% din 10.000 $).</text>
</svg>
*Diagrama e un exemplu construit, fără ticker; cifrele nu vin din curs.*
@@ -215,7 +322,100 @@ sus, nu mai jos.
Reconstruit din descriere; cifrele sunt construite, nu citite din graficul
tău.
<!-- DIAGRAMA: cazul_lui -->
<svg viewBox="0 0 640 514" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — 15 min, suport weekly</text>
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<text x="30" y="104.0" fill="#1a5fb4">TP1 104.30 (1:1)</text>
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<text x="612" y="236.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare la close 102.10</text>
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<text x="612" y="290.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">1/2 = 101.20 (B s-ar fi umplut aici)</text>
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<text x="30" y="362.0" fill="#777">suport weekly 100.00</text>
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<text x="268.0" y="203.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">▲ buy momentum</text>
<text x="568.0" y="46.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">vârf 105.20 = +1.41R</text>
<text x="279" y="356.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">▲ roșie mare: −0.68R flotant</text>
<text x="352" y="170.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">ieși aici: 102.60 = +0.23R</text>
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<text x="30" y="389.0" fill="#c00">SL 99.90 (low 4 candele)</text>
<text x="24" y="68.0" fill="#555"><tspan fill="#8a3ea8">── SMA 5</tspan> / <tspan fill="#2a8a8a">- - SMA 10</tspan> ilustrative</text>
<text x="24" y="434.0" fill="#555">Exemplu construit, fără ticker. Prețurile, mediile mobile și ieșirea sunt</text>
<text x="24" y="451.0" fill="#555">ilustrative; secvența (verde mare → roșie mare → trend) e cea descrisă de user.</text>
<text x="24" y="468.0" fill="#555">Varianta B (ordin la 1/2 = 101.20, risc 1.30, TP1 102.50) e aritmetică pe</text>
<text x="24" y="485.0" fill="#555">aceleași cifre, nu un trade din curs. 1/3 din corp = 101.50.</text>
<text x="24" y="502.0" fill="#555">Close-ul roșiei (100.60): sub ambele MA (SMA 5 = 100.83, SMA 10 = 101.34).</text>
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*Diagrama e un exemplu construit, fără ticker. Prețurile, mediile mobile și
punctul de ieșire sunt ilustrative; forma secvenței e cea descrisă.*
@@ -330,7 +530,87 @@ plănuită. Nu știu care din două a fost: verifică în jurnal.
un ordin mutat după preț nu mai e retest, e o intrare fără stop logic
(`08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/03_locul_crimei_si_pullback.md:11-12, 300-311`).
<!-- DIAGRAMA: retest_ratat -->
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — 15 min</text>
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<text x="632" y="550.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 99.90</text>
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<text x="632" y="418.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">ordin 1/3 101.55 — neumplut</text>
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<text x="632" y="442.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">ordin 1/2 101.25 — neumplut</text>
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<text x="632" y="370.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">A: close 102.15</text>
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<text x="285.0" y="354.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">semnal</text>
<text x="304.0" y="400.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">cel mai jos după semnal: 101.90</text>
<text x="414.0" y="206.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">NU muți ordinul aici: sub 104.00 nu e niciun nivel</text>
<text x="536.0" y="46.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">A: +1.7R · B: 0 (fără poziție)</text>
<text x="24" y="586" fill="#555">Exemplu construit, fără ticker. «Poate să nu mai facă, poate nu mai face niciodată.»</text>
<text x="24" y="603" fill="#555">Ai ratat trade-ul; aștepți următoarea structură.</text>
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*Diagrama e un exemplu construit, fără ticker; cifrele nu vin din curs.*