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MODUL 5: 24 de reparatii pe cele doua strategii, dupa verificare

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Opt erau blocante, adica un cititor ar fi executat gresit pe cont:

- 56% era legat de o intrare la 133 care da de fapt 35,3%; cifra se propaga in
  dimensionarea pozitiei. Acum spune ca 56% e rostit separat si ca raportul nu
  se verifica.
- "2/3 taie jumatate din risc" era fals (29,3% vs 35,3%).
- definitia lui buy doji se contrazicea cu regula de 4 luni din acelasi
  document.
- diagrama de trail arata stopul deasupra pretului: liniile traversau tot
  graficul, deci in stanga stateau peste candele. Acum fiecare porneste din
  swing low-ul care o declanseaza, cu cele patru swing low-uri marcate.
- linia gatului era data ca "media celor doua varfuri", ceea ce nu reproduce
  63.00 pe propriul desen; e din interiorul gatului.
- singura regula mecanica de "nu intra" nu era desenata cu mecanismul ei:
  panoul de volum avea bare egale de la o baza, in loc de histograma cu semn.
- "SL minim 54.17" se citea invers decat intelege textul: e pretul cel mai
  sus permis, nu stopul cel mai stramt.
- lectura "TP2 vine inaintea lui TP1" era prezentata ca geometrie in doua
  diagrame, desi fraza-sursa e neinteligibila si sursa sprijina la fel de bine
  varianta in care se recalculeaza si TP si SL. Acum e marcata ca lectura
  chiar acolo unde e folosita, cu varianta alternativa alaturi.

svg_candles are trei adaugiri optionale (Level.i0, Level.label_dy,
Chart.vol_zero) cerute de reparatiile de mai sus; selftest-ul trece si
diagramele existente nu se schimba daca nu sunt regenerate.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01ThN7ixZrowca8aTGrK1MUJ
This commit is contained in:
Claude Agent
2026-10-02 02:35:51 +00:00
parent 0dd358802d
commit c198cd0a7b
7 changed files with 1184 additions and 945 deletions
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summaries/06_MODUL_5/05_strategia_8_dhrt.md
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@@ -80,15 +80,15 @@ schimbe cifrele de la o secțiune la alta.
<text x="24" y="60" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">DHRT, tot trade-ul — HS răsturnat (exemplu construit)</text>
<rect x="423.5" y="220.6" width="109.0" height="68.8" fill="#188a3e" fill-opacity="0.08" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1"/>
<text x="423.5" y="215.6" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">umărul drept</text>
<line x1="24" y1="329.0" x2="686" y2="329.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30" y="323.0" fill="#c00">SL 54.17</text>
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<line x1="24.0" y1="329.0" x2="686" y2="329.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30.0" y="323.0" fill="#c00">SL 54.17</text>
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<text x="672" y="203.9" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare 65.00</text>
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<line x1="24.0" y1="231.9" x2="686" y2="231.9" stroke="#6a3d9a" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="672" y="225.9" fill="#6a3d9a" text-anchor="end">linia gâtului 63.00</text>
<line x1="24" y1="110.9" x2="686" y2="110.9" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30" y="104.9" fill="#1a5fb4">TP2 74.00 = proiecția gâtului</text>
<line x1="24" y1="90.8" x2="686" y2="90.8" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30.0" y="104.9" fill="#1a5fb4">TP2 74.00 = proiecția gâtului</text>
<line x1="24.0" y1="90.8" x2="686" y2="90.8" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="672" y="84.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP1 75.83 = distanța stopului</text>
<polyline points="343.0,257.8 358.0,265.8 373.0,271.6 388.0,275.1 403.0,276.8 418.0,276.8 433.0,276.1 448.0,275.2 463.0,275.0 478.0,275.9 493.0,277.2 508.0,279.3 523.0,280.9 538.0,279.8 553.0,278.2 568.0,274.6 583.0,268.8 598.0,260.6 613.0,250.7 628.0,239.3 643.0,229.5 658.0,219.9 673.0,210.2 688.0,200.8" fill="none" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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@@ -226,7 +226,7 @@ schimbe cifrele de la o secțiune la alta.
<text x="313.0" y="366.9" fill="#6a3d9a" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">capul</text>
<text x="523.0" y="309.4" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
<text x="538.0" y="157.7" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">buy doji = trigger</text>
<text x="568.0" y="268.4" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest</text>
<text x="568.0" y="268.4" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">pullback la nivelul de breakout</text>
<text x="685.0" y="65.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">apoi trail</text>
<text x="24" y="479" fill="#555">Exemplu construit (fără ticker), la scară. Geometria e a cursului; prețurile și R-urile sunt ale mele.</text>
</svg>
@@ -238,11 +238,15 @@ breakout; stopul stă în treimea de jos dintre cap și nivelul umărului; prima
De ce cifrele din desen: capul la 52.00, umerii la 58.50, deci H = 6.50.
Treimea de jos începe la 52.00 + 6.50/3 = **54.17** — asta e cea mai sus la care
ai voie să pui stopul (derivare a mea pe exemplul meu, nu un preț rostit în
ai voie să pui stopul, adică riscul cel mai mic permis, nu stopul „cel mai
strâns" în vreun alt sens (derivare a mea pe exemplul meu, nu un preț rostit în
lecție). Intrarea la close-ul candelei de breakout, 65.00, pune R la 10.83, adică
**16,7% din preț**. Nu e o greșeală de desen: așa ies stopurile la strategia
asta, și de aceea secțiunea de position sizing contează mai mult decât la
celelalte.
**16,7% din preț**. Atenție de unde vine procentul: din candela de breakout pe
care am desenat-o eu, un marubozu de 6.30 care împinge close-ul la 65.00. Cu un
trigger buy doji mic, cum e exemplul din lecție, intrarea ar cădea aproape de
vârful consolidării și R-ul ar fi în jur de 5.8, nu 10.83. Stopurile ies oricum
mari la strategia asta — de aceea secțiunea de position sizing contează mai mult
decât la celelalte — dar cifra de 16,7% e a desenului, nu a strategiei.
## Pasul 1 — Găsești un HS răsturnat și îi ceri un nivel sub cap sau sub umăr (M)
Deschizi graficul și cauți un v-bottom cu trei minime: umăr stâng, un cap mai
@@ -268,10 +272,10 @@ un pattern care nu e perfect."
<text x="24" y="60" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Pasul 1, DA — capul în suport, umărul drept pe pivot</text>
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<text x="405.5" y="66.0" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">umărul drept, pullback pe pivot</text>
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<text x="30" y="249.6" fill="#b06000">suport monthly 36.00</text>
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<text x="30" y="193.6" fill="#6a3d9a">pivot monthly 40.00</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="249.6" fill="#b06000">suport monthly 36.00</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="193.6" fill="#6a3d9a">pivot monthly 40.00</text>
<polyline points="381.0,174.9 398.0,178.1 415.0,181.0 432.0,183.6 449.0,185.9 466.0,187.2 483.0,187.1 500.0,186.9 517.0,187.6 534.0,186.7 551.0,185.3 568.0,182.4 585.0,178.9" fill="none" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="591" y="173" fill="#b06000">SMA-20</text>
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@@ -410,7 +414,7 @@ volumul scade la fiecare picior, deci exact cazul în care nu intri.
<text x="24" y="60" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Pasul 1, NU — triple bottom la al 4-lea test</text>
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<text x="390.5" y="173.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">breakdown, nu breakout</text>
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<line x1="24.0" y1="236.0" x2="686" y2="236.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="672" y="230.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">baza testată de 3 ori: 31.00</text>
<polyline points="419.0,194.9 438.0,201.9 457.0,207.0 476.0,211.8 495.0,216.8 514.0,222.2" fill="none" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="520" y="216" fill="#b06000">SMA-20</text>
@@ -526,8 +530,8 @@ să închidă peste doji-ul de dedesubt.
<text x="24" y="60" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Pasul 2, DA — trigger valid din umărul drept</text>
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<text x="229.5" y="152.6" fill="#188a3e" style="font-weight:bold">umărul drept: 11 bare de consolidare</text>
<line x1="24" y1="165.6" x2="686" y2="165.6" stroke="#6a3d9a" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="30" y="159.6" fill="#6a3d9a">vârful consolidării 63.30</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="159.6" fill="#6a3d9a">vârful consolidării 63.30</text>
<polyline points="552.0,215.1 578.0,206.5 604.0,197.7 630.0,188.9" fill="none" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="636" y="183" fill="#b06000">SMA-20</text>
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@@ -727,13 +731,19 @@ Cu alte cuvinte: volumul rupe înaintea prețului. Dacă volumul face minime tot
mai joase în timp ce prețul încă ține consolidarea, ai un candidat de short, nu
de long — oricât de frumos arată patternul.
Regula se citește pe o **histogramă cu semn** (on balance volume sau o
histogramă de volum instituțional), nu pe barele brute de volum: „sub swing
low-ul de aici" presupune o linie de zero și minime care se pot compara între
ele. De aceea panoul de jos al diagramei următoare e desenat altfel decât cel de
la trigger-ul valid — acolo barele brute ajung, aici nu.
<!--SVG:pas2_nu-->
<svg viewBox="0 0 700 373" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
<text x="24" y="60" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Pasul 2, NU — breakout de preț fără breakout de volum</text>
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<text x="229.5" y="76.0" fill="#c00" style="font-weight:bold">aceeași consolidare de 11 bare</text>
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<text x="30" y="148.8" fill="#c00">baza 58.60</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="148.8" fill="#c00">baza 58.60</text>
<polyline points="552.0,134.3 578.0,130.8 604.0,130.1 630.0,132.2" fill="none" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
<text x="636" y="126" fill="#b06000">SMA-20</text>
<line x1="58.0" y1="199.6" x2="58.0" y2="224.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
@@ -782,36 +792,37 @@ de long — oricât de frumos arată patternul.
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<text x="24" y="244.8" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="682" y="286.8" fill="#888" text-anchor="end">0</text>
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<rect x="78.5" y="274.3" width="11" height="16.5" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="104.5" y="269.6" width="11" height="21.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="130.5" y="262.6" width="11" height="28.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="156.5" y="255.5" width="11" height="35.3" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="182.5" y="264.9" width="11" height="25.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="208.5" y="272.0" width="11" height="18.8" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="234.5" y="283.7" width="11" height="7.1" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="260.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="0.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="286.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="9.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="312.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="2.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="338.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="4.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="364.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="14.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="390.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="7.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="416.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="9.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="468.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="11.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="494.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="16.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="520.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="7.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="546.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="23.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="572.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="30.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="598.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="35.3" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<rect x="624.5" y="290.8" width="11" height="40.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
<text x="24" y="244.8" fill="#555">histogramă de volum, cu semn (stil on balance volume)</text>
<text x="500.0" y="200.8" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
<text x="526.0" y="50.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">închide peste consolidare, dar volumul e praf</text>
<text x="370.0" y="196.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">volumul face minime tot mai joase</text>
<text x="526.0" y="50.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">închide peste consolidare, dar volumul e deja sub zero</text>
<text x="344.0" y="213.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">histograma rupe sub propriul swing low, de trei ori</text>
<text x="642.0" y="238.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end" style="font-weight:bold">breakdown</text>
<text x="24" y="361" fill="#555">Exemplu construit (fără ticker). Prețul arată identic cu diagrama de deasupra; diferă panoul de volum. False breakout.</text>
<text x="24" y="361" fill="#555">Exemplu construit. Prețul e identic cu al diagramei de deasupra; panoul de jos e histograma cu semn, nu volumul brut.</text>
</svg>
## Pasul 3 — Stopul: o treime din înălțimea cap–umăr drept (primul P)
@@ -841,14 +852,14 @@ Două consecințe practice, amândouă spuse de el:
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<text x="24" y="60" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Pasul 3, stopul — H de la cap la umărul drept, apoi o treime</text>
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<text x="30" y="255.7" fill="#6a3d9a">cap 52.00 — baza lui H</text>
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<text x="672" y="227.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL minim 54.17 = cap + H/3</text>
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<text x="30" y="86.7" fill="#188a3e">intrare 65.00; distanța până la SL e R</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="255.7" fill="#6a3d9a">cap 52.00 — baza lui H</text>
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<text x="672" y="227.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL cel mai sus permis: 54.17 = cap + H/3</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="86.7" fill="#188a3e">intrare 65.00; distanța până la SL e R</text>
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@@ -932,22 +943,28 @@ e stopul în jos.
lecția, și e importantă: **nu măsori de la extremele patternului, ci din
interiorul gâtului.** „Nu e bine să măsor de la low-ul de aici, că măsori
distanța de stop loss și target de profit; măsoară din interiorul gâtului pe
aici, iau un average." Pe diagrama de mai jos linia gâtului e media celor două
maxime, nu cel mai sus dintre ele.
aici, iau un average." Pe diagrama de mai jos linia gâtului e trasată **din
interiorul gâtului**, la 63.00 — adică sub cele mai de sus vârfuri ale zonei,
care ating 63.30. Nu e media vârfurilor, și nu există o formulă rostită care să
o reproducă: „un average" din interiorul gâtului e tot ce spune lecția. Când
reconstruiești tu patternul, nivelul ăsta e o alegere a ta de câteva zecimi, iar
TP2 se mișcă exact cu ea.
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<text x="24" y="60" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Pasul 4, țintele — TP1 = R, TP2 = proiecția gâtului</text>
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<text x="30" y="108.8" fill="#1a5fb4">TP2 74.00 = gât + înălțimea HS</text>
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<text x="30" y="86.8" fill="#1a5fb4">TP1 75.83 = intrare + R</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="108.8" fill="#1a5fb4">TP2 74.00 = gât + înălțimea HS (63.00 − 52.00 = 11.00)</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="86.8" fill="#1a5fb4">TP1 75.83 = intrare + R</text>
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@@ -1008,8 +1025,9 @@ maxime, nu cel mai sus dintre ele.
Autorul o spune de trei ori, cu exemple: „În unele situații s-ar putea ca, de
fapt, TP2, conform HS răsturnat cum am zis eu aici, să fie un pic mai sus decât
TP1 […] sau să fie mai jos. Noi măsurând așa, o să constatați că de fapt TP1 e
mai mare decât TP2." Și, în cele mai multe cazuri, se suprapun: „o să cădeți pe
TP1 egal cu [stopul], ar putea să fie exact TP2." De ce depinde: „de mărimea
mai mare decât TP2." Și uneori coincid: „o să cădeți pe TP1 egal cu [stopul],
**ar putea** să fie exact TP2." („Ar putea" e al lui — e o posibilitate, nu o
frecvență.) De ce depinde: „de mărimea
HS-ului, de time frame și așa mai departe."
Pe exemplul construit, TP2 iese la 74.00 și TP1 la 75.83 — TP1 peste TP2, cu
@@ -1054,7 +1072,8 @@ califici contul foarte repede […] sau poți să-l [arzi] în două tranzacții
intri cu poziții mari."
**Completare proprie, legată de pasul 3:** cu R la 16,7% din preț (cazul din
exemplul construit), 1% risc pe un cont de 10.000 înseamnă 100 de dolari risc,
exemplul construit, unde candela de breakout e mare — vezi rezerva de la pasul
3), 1% risc pe un cont de 10.000 înseamnă 100 de dolari risc,
deci o poziție de circa 600 de dolari — mai puțin de 10 acțiuni la 65. Nu e o
limitare a strategiei, e aritmetica stopurilor mari. Dacă vrei poziții mai mari
cu același risc, ai nevoie de patternul pe un timeframe mai mic, unde H e mai
@@ -1074,14 +1093,16 @@ consolidare, că asta e locul crimei. Poți să retestezi și până jos, dar de
dacă retestează până jos, e periculos să facă break-down."
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<text x="24" y="60" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Retestul, DA — se oprește în jumătatea de sus</text>
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<text x="672" y="251.2" fill="#6a3d9a" text-anchor="end">vârful consolidării 53.70 = locul crimei</text>
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<text x="672" y="306.2" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">jumătatea consolidării 51.20</text>
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<text x="672" y="306.2" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="end">jumătatea consolidării 51.20 = (53.70 + 48.70) / 2</text>
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<text x="24" y="401.2" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="24" y="393.2" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="478.0" y="348.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji aici: a doua intrare</text>
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<text x="24" y="499" fill="#555">Exemplu construit (fără ticker). Volum mic pe retest, mare pe repornire: nu vin vânzători noi.</text>
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Deci: retest până la jumătatea consolidării = normal, intri. Retest care trece
@@ -1154,13 +1175,13 @@ inversat — „să cadă sub consolidare și atunci se shortează".
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@@ -1259,8 +1280,8 @@ Aproximativ la 51, adică în zona suportului."
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<text x="24" y="60" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Varianta short — XLF, ascending wedge</text>
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<text x="30" y="289.5" fill="#1a5fb4">ținta rostită în lecție: 51</text>
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<text x="30.0" y="289.5" fill="#1a5fb4">ținta rostită în lecție: 51</text>
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