Primul document de strategie din Analiza Zilnica: buy doji + MICI
Sase diagrame generate cu svg_candles.py, cu assert pe fiecare nivel din text; audit curat; screenshot-uri citite si reparate de agent, verificate prin sondaj de mine (R-urile 3.6 si 2.0 se confirma pe prețurile desenate). Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01MtSTyTmt6AbCL9j5ajEDm1
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summaries/08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.html
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<!DOCTYPE html>
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<html lang="ro">
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<head>
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<meta charset="utf-8">
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<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
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<title>Analiză zilnică / #1 — Buy doji, sell doji și strategia MICI</title>
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<style>
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body { max-width: 720px; margin: 0 auto; padding: 16px 20px 60px;
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font: 18px/1.55 -apple-system, Segoe UI, Roboto, sans-serif;
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<nav class="crumbs"><a href="../index.html">Sumarizări</a><span class="sep">/</span><a href="../index.html#08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA">Analiză zilnică</a><span class="sep">/</span>#1 — Buy doji, sell doji și strategia MICI</nav><h1 id="analiza-zilnica-1-buy-doji-sell-doji-si-strategia-mici">Analiză zilnică / #1 — Buy doji, sell doji și strategia MICI</h1>
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<h2 id="tldr">TLDR</h2>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>Doji-ul</strong> e setup-ul, <strong>buy doji-ul</strong> e trigger-ul: o candelă care
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închide peste high-ul doji-ului, în maximum 3 candele după el. Sell doji e
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oglinda: închidere sub low.</li>
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<li>În analiza zilnică buy doji-ul contează mai ales pe <strong>weekly și monthly</strong>,
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unde îl văd instituționalii. Nu shortezi împotriva unui buy doji weekly.</li>
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<li>Cel mai puternic: <strong>„sfântul buy doji"</strong> — din double bottom, cu close
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deasupra pivotului monthly, în proiecție bull.</li>
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<li><strong>Strategia MICI</strong> = buy doji weekly + <strong>higher low deasupra pivotului</strong>,
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confirmat de candela din dreapta. Intri la confirmare, stop sub higher low,
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țintă pe rezistențe în trepte. Orizont: 6-8 luni.</li>
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<li>După primul target, căderea înapoi în <strong>locul crimei</strong> poate fi un nou
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higher low — a doua intrare.</li>
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</ul>
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<hr />
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<h2 id="de-ce-urmaresti-setup-ul">De ce urmărești setup-ul</h2>
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<p>Un doji după un trend e prima bară în care direcția trendului nu mai
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câștigă: vânzătorii au împins prețul în jos, cumpărătorii l-au adus înapoi,
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iar bara închide aproape de unde a deschis. Singur nu spune cine câștigă.
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Buy doji-ul spune: o candelă ulterioară închide peste high-ul doji-ului,
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deci toți cei care au vândut în bara de indecizie sunt acum în pierdere, iar
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stop-urile short-urilor puse deasupra acelui high se execută ca ordine de
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cumpărare.</p>
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<p>Ce decizie te ajută să iei:</p>
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<ul>
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<li><strong>pe daily</strong> — când intri într-un swing (trigger mecanic, stop și țintă
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fixe, vezi <a href="../03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.html">Strategia 3</a>);</li>
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<li><strong>pe weekly/monthly</strong> — în ce direcție <strong>ai voie</strong> să tranzacționezi.
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Un buy doji weekly e un semnal al banilor mari; short-uri de 1-2 zile
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înăuntrul lui, da, dar nu o poziție short împotriva lui (Q&A
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<a href="../09_QA/03_2026-08-11.html">11.08.2026</a>);</li>
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<li><strong>pe 60 min</strong> — o intrare mai devreme decât MBT-10, dar <strong>numai</strong> în
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direcția unui swing long deja stabilit pe daily. Fără contextul de daily,
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un buy doji pe 60 min singur nu ajunge (21.08).</li>
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</ul>
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<hr />
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<h2 id="termenii-o-singura-data">Termenii, o singură dată</h2>
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<table>
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<thead>
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<tr>
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<th>Termen</th>
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<th>Ce înseamnă aici</th>
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</tr>
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</thead>
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<tbody>
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<tr>
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<td><strong>doji</strong></td>
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<td>candelă cu open ≈ close și fitil în ambele părți, după un trend (în curs: 8-10 candele)</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><strong>buy doji / sell doji</strong></td>
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<td>trigger-ul sistemului ATM: prima închidere peste high-ul doji-ului (sell: sub low), în max. 3 candele</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><strong>buy hammer / buy momentum</strong></td>
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<td>alte trigger-e long ale sistemului; apar des după buy doji, când prețul „ia viteză"</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><strong>pivot monthly</strong></td>
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<td>nivelul pivot al lunii (floor pivots); deasupra = zona cumpărătorilor. Există și pivot quarterly, de an</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><strong>proiecție bull</strong></td>
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<td>proiecția suport-rezistență a lunii curente e orientată în sus</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><strong>higher low</strong></td>
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<td>un swing low mai sus decât cel anterior. E „în formare" până se închide candela din dreapta lui</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><strong>locul crimei</strong></td>
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<td>un fost vârf (swing high) spart, care la retest devine suport. Retestul e valid când codița candelei atinge vârful fostului swing high</td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td><strong>MBT-10</strong></td>
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<td>trigger al sistemului ATM; confirmat doar la închiderea zilei</td>
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</tr>
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</tbody>
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</table>
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<hr />
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<h2 id="1-buy-doji-trigger-da">1. Buy doji: trigger DA</h2>
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<p>Regula mecanică vine din curs; aici e aplicată pe o serie construită.</p>
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<!--SVG:buy_doji_da-->
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 312" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="270.5" x2="606" y2="270.5" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="264.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 51.55 (low 4 candele)</text>
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<text x="30" y="217.2" fill="#188a3e">intrare 53.70</text>
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<text x="592" y="169.9" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP1 55.85 = 1R</text>
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<text x="164.0" y="124.8" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">downtrend</text>
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<text x="224.0" y="284.5" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
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<text x="254.0" y="204.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">buy doji</text>
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<text x="314.0" y="153.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">TP1 atins</text>
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<text x="24" y="300" fill="#555">Trigger = prima închidere peste high-ul doji-ului (53.00), în max. 3 candele.</text>
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</svg></p>
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<!--/SVG-->
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<ul>
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<li>Downtrend de 12 candele, apoi <strong>doji</strong>: high 53.00, low 51.60.</li>
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||||
<li>Prima candelă după doji închide la 52.60 — sub high. Încă nimic.</li>
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||||
<li>A doua închide la <strong>53.70</strong>, peste 53.00 → <strong>buy doji</strong>, intrare la close.</li>
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||||
<li><strong>SL 51.55</strong>: cel mai jos low din ultimele 4 candele (low-ul doji-ului,
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||||
51.60), cu 5 cenți sub. Dacă prețul coboară acolo, indecizia s-a
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||||
rezolvat în favoarea vânzătorilor.</li>
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||||
<li><strong>TP1 55.85</strong> = 1R (risc 2.15). Atins la a 4-a candelă după intrare. Din
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curs: dacă nici TP, nici SL nu sunt atinse în 8 candele, ieși oricum;
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||||
restul poziției merge pe trailing stop.</li>
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||||
</ul>
|
||||
<h2 id="2-buy-doji-trigger-nu">2. Buy doji: trigger NU</h2>
|
||||
<!--SVG:buy_doji_nu-->
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 399" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="238.6" x2="606" y2="238.6" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="232.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">high doji 53.00</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="269.4" x2="606" y2="269.4" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="263.4" fill="#c00">low doji 51.60</text>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="174.8" x2="164.0" y2="201.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="181.4" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="174.8" x2="179.0" y2="218.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="181.4" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="194.0" y1="203.4" x2="194.0" y2="243.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="210.0" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="227.6" x2="209.0" y2="260.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="234.2" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="238.6" x2="224.0" y2="269.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="251.8" width="9" height="2.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="239.7" x2="239.0" y2="260.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="245.2" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="238.6" x2="254.0" y2="265.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="245.2" width="9" height="13.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="243.0" x2="269.0" y2="265.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="249.6" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="243.0" x2="284.0" y2="284.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="249.6" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="271.6" x2="299.0" y2="302.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="278.2" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="278.2" x2="314.0" y2="302.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="284.8" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="278.2" x2="329.0" y2="315.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="284.8" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="302.4" x2="344.0" y2="333.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="309.0" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="309.0" x2="359.0" y2="333.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="315.6" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="309.0" x2="374.0" y2="342.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="315.6" width="9" height="19.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="328.8" x2="389.0" y2="353.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="335.4" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="326.6" x2="404.0" y2="353.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="333.2" width="9" height="13.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="326.6" x2="419.0" y2="357.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="333.2" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="164.0" y="124.8" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">downtrend</text>
|
||||
<text x="224.0" y="293.4" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="299.0" y="201.6" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">3 candele, niciuna peste high</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="387" fill="#555">A 4-a candelă după doji închide la 51.20, sub low: setup mort, nu intri.</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<!--/SVG-->
|
||||
|
||||
<p>Același downtrend, același doji (53.00 / 51.60). Cele 3 candele de după
|
||||
închid toate sub 53.00, iar a patra închide la <strong>51.20, sub low-ul
|
||||
doji-ului</strong>. Nu a existat trigger, deci nu există trade. Cine a cumpărat
|
||||
„pe doji", înainte de confirmare, e acum sub low și în pierdere.</p>
|
||||
<h2 id="3-sell-doji-oglinda-pe-short">3. Sell doji: oglinda, pe short</h2>
|
||||
<!--SVG:sell_doji-->
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 312" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 49.45 (high 4 candele)</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="103.3" x2="606" y2="103.3" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="97.3" fill="#188a3e">intrare short 47.30</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="150.6" x2="606" y2="150.6" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="144.6" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP1 45.15 = 1R</text>
|
||||
<line x1="44.0" y1="237.5" x2="44.0" y2="270.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="39.5" y="246.3" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="211.1" x2="59.0" y2="252.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="219.9" width="9" height="26.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="211.1" x2="74.0" y2="235.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="219.9" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="191.3" x2="89.0" y2="235.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="200.1" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="167.1" x2="104.0" y2="206.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="175.9" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="167.1" x2="119.0" y2="193.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="175.9" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="134.0" y1="149.5" x2="134.0" y2="193.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="158.3" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="125.3" x2="149.0" y2="164.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="134.1" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="125.3" x2="164.0" y2="151.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="134.1" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="107.7" x2="179.0" y2="151.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="116.5" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="194.0" y1="83.5" x2="194.0" y2="123.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="92.3" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="65.9" x2="209.0" y2="98.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="204.5" y="74.7" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="57.1" x2="224.0" y2="87.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="72.5" width="9" height="2.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="61.5" x2="239.0" y2="85.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="72.5" width="9" height="6.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="72.5" x2="254.0" y2="107.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="79.1" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="96.7" x2="269.0" y2="123.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="103.3" width="9" height="13.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="103.3" x2="284.0" y2="123.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="109.9" width="9" height="6.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="103.3" x2="299.0" y2="138.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="109.9" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="125.3" x2="314.0" y2="162.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="138.5" x2="329.0" y2="162.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="145.1" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="138.5" x2="344.0" y2="169.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="145.1" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="156.1" x2="359.0" y2="186.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="162.7" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="164.9" x2="374.0" y2="186.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="164.9" x2="389.0" y2="195.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="171.5" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="182.5" x2="404.0" y2="211.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="399.5" y="189.1" width="9" height="15.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="419.0" y1="189.1" x2="419.0" y2="211.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="414.5" y="195.7" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="434.0" y1="189.1" x2="434.0" y2="217.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="429.5" y="195.7" width="9" height="15.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="449.0" y1="204.5" x2="449.0" y2="226.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="444.5" y="211.1" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="119.0" y="213.5" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">uptrend</text>
|
||||
<text x="224.0" y="111.9" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="254.0" y="131.7" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sell doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="314.0" y="182.7" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">TP1 atins</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="300" fill="#555">Oglinda: trigger = prima închidere sub low-ul doji-ului (48.00).</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<!--/SVG-->
|
||||
|
||||
<p>După uptrend, doji cu high 49.40 și low 48.00. Prima candelă închide
|
||||
deasupra low-ului, a doua la <strong>47.30, sub 48.00</strong> → sell doji, intrare
|
||||
short. SL <strong>49.45</strong> (cel mai înalt high din 4 candele), TP1 <strong>45.15</strong> = 1R.</p>
|
||||
<hr />
|
||||
<h2 id="4-sfantul-buy-doji-si-strategia-mici">4. Sfântul buy doji și strategia MICI</h2>
|
||||
<p><strong>Sfântul buy doji</strong> (04.09) e cel mai puternic trigger al sistemului:</p>
|
||||
<ul>
|
||||
<li>buy doji ieșit dintr-un <strong>double bottom</strong> — al doilea picior poate fi mai
|
||||
jos sau mai sus;</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>închis deasupra pivotului monthly</strong>;</li>
|
||||
<li>lună în <strong>proiecție bull</strong>;</li>
|
||||
<li>bonus: piața pleacă din oversold pe McClellan, iar după buy doji vine
|
||||
buy momentum.</li>
|
||||
</ul>
|
||||
<p>După el, spune că poate bate chiar și o sezonalitate bearish:</p>
|
||||
<blockquote>
|
||||
<p>„ai o proiectie bul, ai o sezonalitate bere, dar sistemul nostru e atât
|
||||
de jmecher încât aici a fost un double button cu al doilea picior mai jos"</p>
|
||||
</blockquote>
|
||||
<p>„Super buy doji" (03.09) — un buy doji pe monthly urmat de buy momentum —
|
||||
pare același lucru spus altfel, dar nu a confirmat asta explicit.</p>
|
||||
<p><strong>Strategia MICI</strong> (10.09) folosește exact acest început și adaugă un pas:
|
||||
<strong>higher low deasupra pivotului</strong>. Buy doji-ul weekly arată că
|
||||
cumpărătorii au câștigat bătălia; pullback-ul care se oprește deasupra
|
||||
pivotului arată că nu o cedează înapoi. Intrarea e pe al doilea semn, nu
|
||||
pe primul.</p>
|
||||
<blockquote>
|
||||
<p>„Îmi place că am intrat în ByDoji Weekly. Strategia mici, higher, low
|
||||
deasupra pivotului și de aici ar putea să ia viteză."</p>
|
||||
</blockquote>
|
||||
<table>
|
||||
<thead>
|
||||
<tr>
|
||||
<th>MICI — trigger DA</th>
|
||||
<th>MICI — trigger NU</th>
|
||||
</tr>
|
||||
</thead>
|
||||
<tbody>
|
||||
<tr>
|
||||
<td>buy doji weekly (sau hammer / doji ca trigger)</td>
|
||||
<td>higher low neconfirmat: candela din dreapta nu s-a închis</td>
|
||||
</tr>
|
||||
<tr>
|
||||
<td>higher low <strong>deasupra</strong> pivotului</td>
|
||||
<td>pullback-ul închide sub pivot</td>
|
||||
</tr>
|
||||
<tr>
|
||||
<td>ideal din compresie (wedge, triunghi) sau din double bottom</td>
|
||||
<td>volum în distribuție negativă pe monthly</td>
|
||||
</tr>
|
||||
<tr>
|
||||
<td>bonus: acumulare de volum, buy doji și pe daily, MBT-10</td>
|
||||
<td>earnings în zilele următoare (devine gamble trade)</td>
|
||||
</tr>
|
||||
</tbody>
|
||||
</table>
|
||||
<h3 id="exemplu-complet-de-la-buy-doji-la-tinta">Exemplu complet: de la buy doji la țintă</h3>
|
||||
<!--SVG:mici_complet-->
|
||||
<p><svg viewBox="0 0 700 478" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — weekly</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="284.6" x2="686" y2="284.6" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="278.6" fill="#b06000">pivot monthly 46.50</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="255.8" x2="686" y2="255.8" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="672" y="249.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 48.10</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="225.2" x2="686" y2="225.2" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="672" y="219.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare 49.80</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="115.4" x2="686" y2="115.4" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="672" y="109.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP 55.90 = 3.6R</text>
|
||||
<line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="92.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="39.5" y="63.2" width="9" height="21.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="59.0" y1="77.6" x2="59.0" y2="113.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="54.5" y="84.8" width="9" height="21.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="74.0" y1="99.2" x2="74.0" y2="137.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="69.5" y="106.4" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="89.0" y1="122.6" x2="89.0" y2="160.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="84.5" y="129.8" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="104.0" y1="115.4" x2="104.0" y2="158.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="99.5" y="120.8" width="9" height="32.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="119.0" y1="117.2" x2="119.0" y2="160.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="114.5" y="120.8" width="9" height="32.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="134.0" y1="146.0" x2="134.0" y2="192.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="129.5" y="153.2" width="9" height="32.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="149.0" y1="178.4" x2="149.0" y2="223.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<text x="24" y="360.4" fill="#555">volum</text>
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<text x="104.0" y="75.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">vârf anterior</text>
|
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<text x="209.0" y="351.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">picior 1</text>
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<text x="269.0" y="354.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">picior 2</text>
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<text x="299.0" y="199.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">buy doji W</text>
|
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<text x="389.0" y="274.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">higher low</text>
|
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<text x="24" y="466" fill="#555">Intrarea vine la close-ul candelei care confirmă higher low-ul, nu la buy doji.</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<!--/SVG-->
|
||||
|
||||
<ol>
|
||||
<li><strong>Context.</strong> Downtrend care coboară sub pivotul monthly (46.50), cu un
|
||||
vârf intermediar (lower high) la 55.90.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>Double bottom.</strong> Picior 1 la 43.90, picior 2 la 43.40 — mai jos: ia
|
||||
stop-urile celor intrați la primul picior.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>Buy doji weekly.</strong> După doji, candela închide la <strong>47.60, peste
|
||||
pivot</strong>, cu cel mai mare volum din serie. Acum <strong>nu intri</strong> —
|
||||
pentru MICI lipsește higher low-ul.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>Raliu</strong> până la 51.70, apoi pullback cu volum în scădere. Low-ul
|
||||
pullback-ului: <strong>48.30, deasupra pivotului</strong> și mult deasupra lui 43.40.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>Confirmare.</strong> Candela din dreapta închide la 49.80, peste high-ul
|
||||
barei de low. Swing low-ul e confirmat → <strong>intrare 49.80</strong>.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>SL 48.10</strong>, sub higher low. Aici e și regula de 4 candele din curs:
|
||||
cel mai jos low din 4 candele în spate e chiar higher low-ul. Sub el,
|
||||
pullback-ul nu mai e higher low.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>Țintă 55.90</strong>: vârful anterior din downtrend = <strong>3.6R</strong> (risc 1.70,
|
||||
câștig 6.10). Atinsă după 9 candele weekly.</li>
|
||||
</ol>
|
||||
<p><strong>Ținta, în trepte (03.09).</strong> Nu pui un singur TP. Treci nivelurile
|
||||
deasupra, pe rând: R1 → R2 → vârful anterior → SMA 200 → jumătatea
|
||||
marubozu-ului mare de cădere → fostul suport spart (devenit rezistență).
|
||||
Unde se suprapun mai multe, e „o zonă foarte importantă de resistance" —
|
||||
acolo iei profit. Dacă prețul e deja lipit de o rezistență, nu mai are loc
|
||||
de țintă și nu intri.</p>
|
||||
<p><strong>Orizontul (04.09).</strong> MICI nu e un trade de o săptămână:</p>
|
||||
<blockquote>
|
||||
<p>„strategia mici, asta e pentru cei care aveți răbdare, 6-7-8 luni să stat
|
||||
în tranzacție."</p>
|
||||
</blockquote>
|
||||
<p>Tipic, după buy doji apare un buy hammer deasupra pivotului și de acolo
|
||||
prețul ia viteză. Un retest de ~1/3 după buy hammer, care ia lichiditatea,
|
||||
e încă o intrare.</p>
|
||||
<h3 id="invalidare-higher-low-ul-care-nu-a-fost">Invalidare: higher low-ul care nu a fost</h3>
|
||||
<!--SVG:mici_nu-->
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 478" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — weekly</text>
|
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<text x="30" y="278.6" fill="#b06000">pivot monthly 46.50</text>
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<text x="592" y="255.2" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">HL? 47.80 (neconfirmat)</text>
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<rect x="54.5" y="403.0" width="9" height="33.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="401.4" width="9" height="35.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="396.6" width="9" height="39.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="395.0" width="9" height="41.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="392.6" width="9" height="43.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="396.6" width="9" height="39.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="390.3" width="9" height="46.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="406.2" width="9" height="30.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="407.8" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="401.4" width="9" height="35.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="388.7" width="9" height="47.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="380.7" width="9" height="55.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="385.5" width="9" height="50.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="390.3" width="9" height="46.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="459.5" y="404.6" width="9" height="31.8" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="474.5" y="391.9" width="9" height="44.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="489.5" y="396.6" width="9" height="39.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="504.5" y="406.2" width="9" height="30.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="519.5" y="395.0" width="9" height="41.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
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<text x="24" y="360.4" fill="#555">volum</text>
|
||||
<text x="299.0" y="199.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">buy doji W</text>
|
||||
<text x="404.0" y="323.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sub pivot</text>
|
||||
<text x="269.0" y="354.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">picior 2</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="466" fill="#555">Candela din dreapta a închis sub pivot: nu există higher low, nu există MICI.</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<!--/SVG-->
|
||||
|
||||
<p>Aceeași serie până la raliu. Pullback-ul coboară până la 47.80 și
|
||||
candela închide la 48.40 — <strong>arată</strong> a higher low deasupra pivotului.
|
||||
Dar candela din dreapta nu confirmă: închide la <strong>46.10, sub pivot</strong> (46.50).</p>
|
||||
<ul>
|
||||
<li>Cine a intrat la 48.40, „pe higher low în formare", e acum sub pivot.</li>
|
||||
<li>Nu mai e MICI. Buy doji-ul weekly rămâne, dar zona de cumpărare s-a
|
||||
mutat jos, la retestul double bottom-ului.</li>
|
||||
</ul>
|
||||
<blockquote>
|
||||
<p>„Îmi place swing low-ul ăsta de-aici și deja este confirmat ca și swing
|
||||
low dacă se închide candela de-aici."</p>
|
||||
</blockquote>
|
||||
<hr />
|
||||
<h2 id="5-reintrarea-dupa-primul-target">5. Reintrarea după primul target</h2>
|
||||
<p>După ce buy doji-ul și-a atins primul target, prețul cade de obicei
|
||||
înapoi. Căderea poate fi doar retestul locului crimei (25.08):</p>
|
||||
<blockquote>
|
||||
<p>„am avut un By Doji care și-a îndeplinit primul taliu de profit […] By
|
||||
Doji cade înapoi, posibil să fie un higher low și asta să fie doar o
|
||||
retestare a locului crimei"</p>
|
||||
</blockquote>
|
||||
<!--SVG:mici_reintrare-->
|
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<p><svg viewBox="0 0 620 407" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
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<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — weekly, continuarea</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="251.0" x2="606" y2="251.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="245.0" fill="#b06000">locul crimei 51.70</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="269.2" x2="606" y2="269.2" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="263.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 51.00</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="206.8" x2="606" y2="206.8" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="592" y="200.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare 2: 53.40</text>
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<line x1="24" y1="79.4" x2="606" y2="79.4" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
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<text x="30" y="73.4" fill="#1a5fb4">TP2 58.30 = 2.0R</text>
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<line x1="44.0" y1="310.8" x2="44.0" y2="365.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="284.8" width="9" height="33.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="251.0" x2="74.0" y2="292.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="264.0" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="256.2" x2="89.0" y2="300.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="284.8" x2="104.0" y2="326.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="292.6" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="308.2" x2="119.0" y2="339.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="147.0" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="180.8" x2="314.0" y2="219.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="188.6" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="201.6" x2="329.0" y2="243.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="209.4" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="214.6" x2="344.0" y2="251.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="227.6" width="9" height="2.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="201.6" x2="359.0" y2="238.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="206.8" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="170.4" x2="374.0" y2="214.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="178.2" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="141.8" x2="389.0" y2="186.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="149.6" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="121.0" x2="404.0" y2="157.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="128.8" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="419.0" y1="121.0" x2="419.0" y2="149.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="128.8" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="434.0" y1="102.8" x2="434.0" y2="149.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="110.6" width="9" height="31.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="449.0" y1="82.0" x2="449.0" y2="118.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="444.5" y="89.8" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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||||
<line x1="464.0" y1="82.0" x2="464.0" y2="110.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="459.5" y="89.8" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="479.0" y1="56.0" x2="479.0" y2="110.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="474.5" y="63.8" width="9" height="39.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<text x="62.0" y="225.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">fost vârf</text>
|
||||
<text x="269.0" y="127.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">TP1 atins</text>
|
||||
<text x="344.0" y="287.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest + buy doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="395" fill="#555">Căderea după TP1 e doar retestul fostului vârf; higher low + nou trigger = a doua intrare.</text>
|
||||
</svg></p>
|
||||
<!--/SVG-->
|
||||
|
||||
<p>Continuarea exemplului de mai sus (aceeași serie, scară mai mare):</p>
|
||||
<ul>
|
||||
<li>Pe drum spre TP, prețul a spart vârful raliului, <strong>51.70</strong> → acela e
|
||||
locul crimei.</li>
|
||||
<li>După TP1, pullback până la <strong>51.70</strong> exact: codița atinge fostul vârf.
|
||||
Low-ul e peste higher low-ul anterior (48.30), deci structura rămâne
|
||||
„scăriță".</li>
|
||||
<li>Doji în retest, apoi trigger la <strong>53.40</strong> → a doua intrare.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>SL 51.00</strong>, sub locul crimei: dacă prețul se întoarce sub fostul vârf,
|
||||
retestul a eșuat.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>TP2 58.30</strong> = <strong>2.0R</strong> (risc 2.40).</li>
|
||||
</ul>
|
||||
<table>
|
||||
<thead>
|
||||
<tr>
|
||||
<th>Reintrare DA</th>
|
||||
<th>Reintrare NU</th>
|
||||
</tr>
|
||||
</thead>
|
||||
<tbody>
|
||||
<tr>
|
||||
<td>primul target atins, apoi retest al locului crimei sau al suportului de an</td>
|
||||
<td>volumul trece în distribuție negativă</td>
|
||||
</tr>
|
||||
<tr>
|
||||
<td>volum încă pozitiv, stochastic spre oversold</td>
|
||||
<td>prețul rămâne sub pivotul de an (reject)</td>
|
||||
</tr>
|
||||
<tr>
|
||||
<td>trigger: MBT-10 pe daily, inverted H&S pe 60 min sau, ideal, un nou buy doji</td>
|
||||
<td></td>
|
||||
</tr>
|
||||
</tbody>
|
||||
</table>
|
||||
<hr />
|
||||
<h2 id="6-intrarea-in-transe-la-actiuni-scumpe">6. Intrarea în tranșe, la acțiuni scumpe</h2>
|
||||
<p>La acțiuni de sute sau mii de dolari și cu volatilitate mare, nu intri cu
|
||||
toată poziția la confirmare, ci în <strong>4 tranșe de câte 1/4</strong> (10.09). După
|
||||
higher low, prețul poate retesta 1/3 sau 2/3 din ultima mișcare ca să ia
|
||||
lichiditatea de sub vârf. Tranșele cumpără exact acele retesturi.</p>
|
||||
<blockquote>
|
||||
<p>„Pentru că e posibil să retesteze o treime, 2 treimi, până să iau
|
||||
liquiditatea de pe high-ul ăsta des și aș intra în bucăți."</p>
|
||||
</blockquote>
|
||||
<p>Stop-ul rămâne unul singur, sub higher low (în exemplu, 48.10). Toate
|
||||
tranșele intră între intrare și stop, deci riscul total nu crește. Doar
|
||||
prețul mediu scade. Confirmarea higher low-ului poate cere încă o
|
||||
săptămână — tranșele nu o înlocuiesc.</p>
|
||||
<blockquote>
|
||||
<p>„Atenție că e 400 și ceva de dolari. Adică nu e o jucărie."</p>
|
||||
</blockquote>
|
||||
<hr />
|
||||
<h2 id="gotchas">Gotchas</h2>
|
||||
<ul>
|
||||
<li><strong>Nu intra pe doji, intri pe trigger.</strong> Diagrama 2: fără închidere peste
|
||||
high în 3 candele, doji-ul a fost doar o pauză în downtrend.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>Nu intra la MICI pe higher low „în formare".</strong> Diagrama de invalidare:
|
||||
48.40 arăta a higher low, candela din dreapta a închis la 46.10, sub
|
||||
pivot.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>Nu alerga după preț.</strong> Dacă buy doji-ul weekly a plecat deja, aștepți retestul de 1/3 - 1/2 din lumânarea mare.
|
||||
Poate să nu mai vină, și atunci ratezi.<blockquote>
|
||||
<p>„Poate să nu mai facă, poate nu mai face niciodată."</p>
|
||||
</blockquote>
|
||||
</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>Sell doji + reject pe pivotul quarterly bate fundamentalul.</strong> Un scor
|
||||
fundamental de 12/14 nu salvează o idee long pe termen mediu dacă weekly-ul
|
||||
sau monthly-ul dă sell doji cu respingere la pivot (03.09).<blockquote>
|
||||
<p>„suntem într-un sell doji, nu-mi place asta și rejectul ăsta de aici,
|
||||
nu-mi place."</p>
|
||||
</blockquote>
|
||||
</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>Bottom-ul poate mai face un picior.</strong> Double bottom-ul în formare, chiar
|
||||
cu buy doji pe weekly, poate deveni triple bottom — sau bear flag, dacă nu
|
||||
ai divergență de volum (04.09, 24.08). De aceea stop-ul stă sub structură,
|
||||
nu „undeva jos".<blockquote>
|
||||
<p>„de aici am zis că să duce și nu s-a dus"</p>
|
||||
</blockquote>
|
||||
</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>Sistemul nu vede orice buy doji.</strong> Uneori un doji / hammer valid nu e
|
||||
marcat; îl recunoști vizual, cu aceeași regulă de închidere (04.09).</li>
|
||||
</ul>
|
||||
<hr />
|
||||
<h2 id="surse">Surse</h2>
|
||||
<p>Din analiza zilnică (recoltele din <code>harvest/</code>):</p>
|
||||
<ul>
|
||||
<li><strong>21.08.2026</strong> — buy doji pe 60 min în direcția swing-ului de pe daily.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>24.08.2026</strong> — buy doji la bottom cu poziționarea COT; double bottom în
|
||||
formare vs bear flag; buy doji monthly + FVG ca al doilea picior.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>25.08.2026</strong> — reintrarea după primul target, în locul crimei.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>03.09.2026</strong> — super buy doji; ținte în trepte; sell doji + reject pe
|
||||
pivotul quarterly; strategia MICI pornită din fundul unui cup & handle.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>04.09.2026</strong> — sfântul buy doji; MICI pe 6-8 luni și retestul de 1/3;
|
||||
sistemul nu vede orice trigger; bottom-ul care mai face un picior.</li>
|
||||
<li><strong>10.09.2026</strong> — buy doji deasupra pivotului monthly; strategia MICI;
|
||||
swing low confirmat de candela din dreapta; tranșe de 1/4; nu alergi după
|
||||
preț.</li>
|
||||
</ul>
|
||||
<p>Din curs: <a href="../03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.html">Strategia 3: Buy Doji / Sell Doji</a>
|
||||
(fereastra de 3 candele, SL la 4 candele, TP 1:1, limita de 8 candele),
|
||||
Q&A <a href="../09_QA/28_2025-05-27.html">27.05.2025</a> (definiția trigger-ului),
|
||||
<a href="../09_QA/22_2025-08-04.html">04.08.2025</a> și
|
||||
<a href="../09_QA/03_2026-08-11.html">11.08.2026</a> (nu shortezi împotriva unui buy
|
||||
doji weekly). Referință externă: <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/doji.asp">Investopedia — Doji</a>.</p>
|
||||
<hr />
|
||||
<p><em>Ce e completare a mea: toate prețurile și diagramele sunt construite (în
|
||||
transcrieri cifrele sunt nesigure). Stop-ul sub higher low la MICI, ținta
|
||||
pe vârful anterior, stop-ul sub locul crimei la reintrare și calculul R
|
||||
sunt aplicarea mea a regulilor din curs, nu cifre spuse de el. Explicația
|
||||
cu stop-urile short-urilor executate peste high-ul doji-ului e tot a mea.
|
||||
Regulile (trigger, sfântul buy doji, MICI, reintrare, tranșe, gotchas) și
|
||||
citatele vin din sesiuni.</em></p><nav class="pager"><a class="up" href="../index.html#08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA">↑ index</a></nav>
|
||||
</body>
|
||||
</html>
|
||||
806
summaries/08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.md
Normal file
806
summaries/08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/01_buy_doji_si_strategia_mici.md
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,806 @@
|
||||
# Analiză zilnică / #1 — Buy doji, sell doji și strategia MICI
|
||||
|
||||
## TLDR
|
||||
|
||||
- **Doji-ul** e setup-ul, **buy doji-ul** e trigger-ul: o candelă care
|
||||
închide peste high-ul doji-ului, în maximum 3 candele după el. Sell doji e
|
||||
oglinda: închidere sub low.
|
||||
- În analiza zilnică buy doji-ul contează mai ales pe **weekly și monthly**,
|
||||
unde îl văd instituționalii. Nu shortezi împotriva unui buy doji weekly.
|
||||
- Cel mai puternic: **„sfântul buy doji"** — din double bottom, cu close
|
||||
deasupra pivotului monthly, în proiecție bull.
|
||||
- **Strategia MICI** = buy doji weekly + **higher low deasupra pivotului**,
|
||||
confirmat de candela din dreapta. Intri la confirmare, stop sub higher low,
|
||||
țintă pe rezistențe în trepte. Orizont: 6-8 luni.
|
||||
- După primul target, căderea înapoi în **locul crimei** poate fi un nou
|
||||
higher low — a doua intrare.
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## De ce urmărești setup-ul
|
||||
|
||||
Un doji după un trend e prima bară în care direcția trendului nu mai
|
||||
câștigă: vânzătorii au împins prețul în jos, cumpărătorii l-au adus înapoi,
|
||||
iar bara închide aproape de unde a deschis. Singur nu spune cine câștigă.
|
||||
Buy doji-ul spune: o candelă ulterioară închide peste high-ul doji-ului,
|
||||
deci toți cei care au vândut în bara de indecizie sunt acum în pierdere, iar
|
||||
stop-urile short-urilor puse deasupra acelui high se execută ca ordine de
|
||||
cumpărare.
|
||||
|
||||
Ce decizie te ajută să iei:
|
||||
|
||||
- **pe daily** — când intri într-un swing (trigger mecanic, stop și țintă
|
||||
fixe, vezi [Strategia 3](../03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.html));
|
||||
- **pe weekly/monthly** — în ce direcție **ai voie** să tranzacționezi.
|
||||
Un buy doji weekly e un semnal al banilor mari; short-uri de 1-2 zile
|
||||
înăuntrul lui, da, dar nu o poziție short împotriva lui (Q&A
|
||||
[11.08.2026](../09_QA/03_2026-08-11.html));
|
||||
- **pe 60 min** — o intrare mai devreme decât MBT-10, dar **numai** în
|
||||
direcția unui swing long deja stabilit pe daily. Fără contextul de daily,
|
||||
un buy doji pe 60 min singur nu ajunge (21.08).
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Termenii, o singură dată
|
||||
|
||||
| Termen | Ce înseamnă aici |
|
||||
|---|---|
|
||||
| **doji** | candelă cu open ≈ close și fitil în ambele părți, după un trend (în curs: 8-10 candele) |
|
||||
| **buy doji / sell doji** | trigger-ul sistemului ATM: prima închidere peste high-ul doji-ului (sell: sub low), în max. 3 candele |
|
||||
| **buy hammer / buy momentum** | alte trigger-e long ale sistemului; apar des după buy doji, când prețul „ia viteză" |
|
||||
| **pivot monthly** | nivelul pivot al lunii (floor pivots); deasupra = zona cumpărătorilor. Există și pivot quarterly, de an |
|
||||
| **proiecție bull** | proiecția suport-rezistență a lunii curente e orientată în sus |
|
||||
| **higher low** | un swing low mai sus decât cel anterior. E „în formare" până se închide candela din dreapta lui |
|
||||
| **locul crimei** | un fost vârf (swing high) spart, care la retest devine suport. Retestul e valid când codița candelei atinge vârful fostului swing high |
|
||||
| **MBT-10** | trigger al sistemului ATM; confirmat doar la închiderea zilei |
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 1. Buy doji: trigger DA
|
||||
|
||||
Regula mecanică vine din curs; aici e aplicată pe o serie construită.
|
||||
|
||||
<!--SVG:buy_doji_da-->
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 312" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="270.5" x2="606" y2="270.5" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="264.5" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 51.55 (low 4 candele)</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="223.2" x2="606" y2="223.2" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="217.2" fill="#188a3e">intrare 53.70</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="175.9" x2="606" y2="175.9" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="169.9" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP1 55.85 = 1R</text>
|
||||
<line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="89.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="39.5" y="62.6" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="59.0" y1="73.6" x2="59.0" y2="115.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="54.5" y="80.2" width="9" height="26.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="74.0" y1="91.2" x2="74.0" y2="115.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="69.5" y="97.8" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="89.0" y1="91.2" x2="89.0" y2="135.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="84.5" y="97.8" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="104.0" y1="119.8" x2="104.0" y2="159.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="99.5" y="126.4" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="119.0" y1="133.0" x2="119.0" y2="159.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="114.5" y="139.6" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="134.0" y1="133.0" x2="134.0" y2="177.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="129.5" y="139.6" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="149.0" y1="161.6" x2="149.0" y2="201.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="144.5" y="168.2" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="164.0" y1="174.8" x2="164.0" y2="201.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="159.5" y="181.4" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="179.0" y1="174.8" x2="179.0" y2="218.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="174.5" y="181.4" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="194.0" y1="203.4" x2="194.0" y2="243.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="189.5" y="210.0" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="209.0" y1="227.6" x2="209.0" y2="260.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="204.5" y="234.2" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="224.0" y1="238.6" x2="224.0" y2="269.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="219.5" y="251.8" width="9" height="2.2" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="239.0" y1="240.8" x2="239.0" y2="265.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="234.5" y="247.4" width="9" height="6.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="254.0" y1="218.8" x2="254.0" y2="254.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="249.5" y="223.2" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="269.0" y1="203.4" x2="269.0" y2="229.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="264.5" y="210.0" width="9" height="13.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="284.0" y1="203.4" x2="284.0" y2="223.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="279.5" y="210.0" width="9" height="6.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="299.0" y1="188.0" x2="299.0" y2="223.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="294.5" y="194.6" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="314.0" y1="163.8" x2="314.0" y2="201.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="309.5" y="170.4" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="329.0" y1="163.8" x2="329.0" y2="188.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="324.5" y="170.4" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="344.0" y1="157.2" x2="344.0" y2="188.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="339.5" y="163.8" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="359.0" y1="139.6" x2="359.0" y2="170.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="354.5" y="146.2" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="374.0" y1="139.6" x2="374.0" y2="161.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="369.5" y="146.2" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="389.0" y1="130.8" x2="389.0" y2="161.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="384.5" y="137.4" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="404.0" y1="115.4" x2="404.0" y2="144.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="399.5" y="122.0" width="9" height="15.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="419.0" y1="115.4" x2="419.0" y2="137.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="414.5" y="122.0" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="434.0" y1="108.8" x2="434.0" y2="137.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="429.5" y="115.4" width="9" height="15.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="449.0" y1="100.0" x2="449.0" y2="122.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="444.5" y="106.6" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<text x="164.0" y="124.8" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">downtrend</text>
|
||||
<text x="224.0" y="284.5" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="254.0" y="204.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">buy doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="314.0" y="153.8" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">TP1 atins</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="300" fill="#555">Trigger = prima închidere peste high-ul doji-ului (53.00), în max. 3 candele.</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
<!--/SVG-->
|
||||
|
||||
- Downtrend de 12 candele, apoi **doji**: high 53.00, low 51.60.
|
||||
- Prima candelă după doji închide la 52.60 — sub high. Încă nimic.
|
||||
- A doua închide la **53.70**, peste 53.00 → **buy doji**, intrare la close.
|
||||
- **SL 51.55**: cel mai jos low din ultimele 4 candele (low-ul doji-ului,
|
||||
51.60), cu 5 cenți sub. Dacă prețul coboară acolo, indecizia s-a
|
||||
rezolvat în favoarea vânzătorilor.
|
||||
- **TP1 55.85** = 1R (risc 2.15). Atins la a 4-a candelă după intrare. Din
|
||||
curs: dacă nici TP, nici SL nu sunt atinse în 8 candele, ieși oricum;
|
||||
restul poziției merge pe trailing stop.
|
||||
|
||||
## 2. Buy doji: trigger NU
|
||||
|
||||
<!--SVG:buy_doji_nu-->
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 399" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="238.6" x2="606" y2="238.6" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="232.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">high doji 53.00</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="269.4" x2="606" y2="269.4" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="263.4" fill="#c00">low doji 51.60</text>
|
||||
<line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="89.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="39.5" y="62.6" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="59.0" y1="73.6" x2="59.0" y2="115.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="54.5" y="80.2" width="9" height="26.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="74.0" y1="91.2" x2="74.0" y2="115.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="69.5" y="97.8" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="89.0" y1="91.2" x2="89.0" y2="135.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="84.5" y="97.8" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="104.0" y1="119.8" x2="104.0" y2="159.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="99.5" y="126.4" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="119.0" y1="133.0" x2="119.0" y2="159.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="114.5" y="139.6" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="134.0" y1="133.0" x2="134.0" y2="177.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="139.6" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="161.6" x2="149.0" y2="201.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="168.2" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="174.8" x2="164.0" y2="201.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="181.4" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="179.0" y1="174.8" x2="179.0" y2="218.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="174.5" y="181.4" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="194.0" y1="203.4" x2="194.0" y2="243.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="189.5" y="210.0" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="209.0" y1="227.6" x2="209.0" y2="260.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="204.5" y="234.2" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="224.0" y1="238.6" x2="224.0" y2="269.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="219.5" y="251.8" width="9" height="2.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="239.7" x2="239.0" y2="260.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="245.2" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="238.6" x2="254.0" y2="265.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="249.5" y="245.2" width="9" height="13.2" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="269.0" y1="243.0" x2="269.0" y2="265.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="249.6" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="284.0" y1="243.0" x2="284.0" y2="284.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="249.6" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="271.6" x2="299.0" y2="302.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="278.2" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="278.2" x2="314.0" y2="302.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="284.8" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="278.2" x2="329.0" y2="315.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="284.8" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="302.4" x2="344.0" y2="333.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="309.0" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="309.0" x2="359.0" y2="333.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="354.5" y="315.6" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="309.0" x2="374.0" y2="342.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="369.5" y="315.6" width="9" height="19.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="389.0" y1="328.8" x2="389.0" y2="353.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="384.5" y="335.4" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="404.0" y1="326.6" x2="404.0" y2="353.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="399.5" y="333.2" width="9" height="13.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="419.0" y1="326.6" x2="419.0" y2="357.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="333.2" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="164.0" y="124.8" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">downtrend</text>
|
||||
<text x="224.0" y="293.4" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="299.0" y="201.6" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">3 candele, niciuna peste high</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="387" fill="#555">A 4-a candelă după doji închide la 51.20, sub low: setup mort, nu intri.</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
<!--/SVG-->
|
||||
|
||||
Același downtrend, același doji (53.00 / 51.60). Cele 3 candele de după
|
||||
închid toate sub 53.00, iar a patra închide la **51.20, sub low-ul
|
||||
doji-ului**. Nu a existat trigger, deci nu există trade. Cine a cumpărat
|
||||
„pe doji", înainte de confirmare, e acum sub low și în pierdere.
|
||||
|
||||
## 3. Sell doji: oglinda, pe short
|
||||
|
||||
<!--SVG:sell_doji-->
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 312" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 49.45 (high 4 candele)</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="103.3" x2="606" y2="103.3" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="97.3" fill="#188a3e">intrare short 47.30</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="150.6" x2="606" y2="150.6" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="144.6" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP1 45.15 = 1R</text>
|
||||
<line x1="44.0" y1="237.5" x2="44.0" y2="270.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.5" y="246.3" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="211.1" x2="59.0" y2="252.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="219.9" width="9" height="26.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="211.1" x2="74.0" y2="235.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="219.9" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="191.3" x2="89.0" y2="235.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="200.1" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="167.1" x2="104.0" y2="206.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="175.9" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="167.1" x2="119.0" y2="193.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="114.5" y="175.9" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="149.5" x2="134.0" y2="193.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="158.3" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="125.3" x2="149.0" y2="164.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="134.1" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="125.3" x2="164.0" y2="151.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="134.1" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="107.7" x2="179.0" y2="151.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="116.5" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="194.0" y1="83.5" x2="194.0" y2="123.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="92.3" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="65.9" x2="209.0" y2="98.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="74.7" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="57.1" x2="224.0" y2="87.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="72.5" width="9" height="2.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="61.5" x2="239.0" y2="85.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="72.5" width="9" height="6.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="72.5" x2="254.0" y2="107.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="79.1" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="96.7" x2="269.0" y2="123.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="264.5" y="103.3" width="9" height="13.2" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="284.0" y1="103.3" x2="284.0" y2="123.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="109.9" width="9" height="6.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="103.3" x2="299.0" y2="138.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="109.9" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="125.3" x2="314.0" y2="162.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="131.9" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="138.5" x2="329.0" y2="162.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="145.1" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="138.5" x2="344.0" y2="169.3" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="145.1" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="156.1" x2="359.0" y2="186.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="162.7" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="164.9" x2="374.0" y2="186.9" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="171.5" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="164.9" x2="389.0" y2="195.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="384.5" y="171.5" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="404.0" y1="182.5" x2="404.0" y2="211.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="399.5" y="189.1" width="9" height="15.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="419.0" y1="189.1" x2="419.0" y2="211.1" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="414.5" y="195.7" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="434.0" y1="189.1" x2="434.0" y2="217.7" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="429.5" y="195.7" width="9" height="15.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="449.0" y1="204.5" x2="449.0" y2="226.5" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="444.5" y="211.1" width="9" height="8.8" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<text x="119.0" y="213.5" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">uptrend</text>
|
||||
<text x="224.0" y="111.9" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="254.0" y="131.7" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sell doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="314.0" y="182.7" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">TP1 atins</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="300" fill="#555">Oglinda: trigger = prima închidere sub low-ul doji-ului (48.00).</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
<!--/SVG-->
|
||||
|
||||
După uptrend, doji cu high 49.40 și low 48.00. Prima candelă închide
|
||||
deasupra low-ului, a doua la **47.30, sub 48.00** → sell doji, intrare
|
||||
short. SL **49.45** (cel mai înalt high din 4 candele), TP1 **45.15** = 1R.
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 4. Sfântul buy doji și strategia MICI
|
||||
|
||||
**Sfântul buy doji** (04.09) e cel mai puternic trigger al sistemului:
|
||||
|
||||
- buy doji ieșit dintr-un **double bottom** — al doilea picior poate fi mai
|
||||
jos sau mai sus;
|
||||
- **închis deasupra pivotului monthly**;
|
||||
- lună în **proiecție bull**;
|
||||
- bonus: piața pleacă din oversold pe McClellan, iar după buy doji vine
|
||||
buy momentum.
|
||||
|
||||
După el, spune că poate bate chiar și o sezonalitate bearish:
|
||||
|
||||
> „ai o proiectie bul, ai o sezonalitate bere, dar sistemul nostru e atât
|
||||
> de jmecher încât aici a fost un double button cu al doilea picior mai jos"
|
||||
|
||||
„Super buy doji" (03.09) — un buy doji pe monthly urmat de buy momentum —
|
||||
pare același lucru spus altfel, dar nu a confirmat asta explicit.
|
||||
|
||||
**Strategia MICI** (10.09) folosește exact acest început și adaugă un pas:
|
||||
**higher low deasupra pivotului**. Buy doji-ul weekly arată că
|
||||
cumpărătorii au câștigat bătălia; pullback-ul care se oprește deasupra
|
||||
pivotului arată că nu o cedează înapoi. Intrarea e pe al doilea semn, nu
|
||||
pe primul.
|
||||
|
||||
> „Îmi place că am intrat în ByDoji Weekly. Strategia mici, higher, low
|
||||
> deasupra pivotului și de aici ar putea să ia viteză."
|
||||
|
||||
| MICI — trigger DA | MICI — trigger NU |
|
||||
|---|---|
|
||||
| buy doji weekly (sau hammer / doji ca trigger) | higher low neconfirmat: candela din dreapta nu s-a închis |
|
||||
| higher low **deasupra** pivotului | pullback-ul închide sub pivot |
|
||||
| ideal din compresie (wedge, triunghi) sau din double bottom | volum în distribuție negativă pe monthly |
|
||||
| bonus: acumulare de volum, buy doji și pe daily, MBT-10 | earnings în zilele următoare (devine gamble trade) |
|
||||
|
||||
### Exemplu complet: de la buy doji la țintă
|
||||
|
||||
<!--SVG:mici_complet-->
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 700 478" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — weekly</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="284.6" x2="686" y2="284.6" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="278.6" fill="#b06000">pivot monthly 46.50</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="255.8" x2="686" y2="255.8" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="672" y="249.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 48.10</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="225.2" x2="686" y2="225.2" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="672" y="219.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare 49.80</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="115.4" x2="686" y2="115.4" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="672" y="109.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP 55.90 = 3.6R</text>
|
||||
<line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="92.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="39.5" y="63.2" width="9" height="21.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="59.0" y1="77.6" x2="59.0" y2="113.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="54.5" y="84.8" width="9" height="21.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="74.0" y1="99.2" x2="74.0" y2="137.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="69.5" y="106.4" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="89.0" y1="122.6" x2="89.0" y2="160.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="84.5" y="129.8" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="104.0" y1="115.4" x2="104.0" y2="158.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="99.5" y="120.8" width="9" height="32.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="119.0" y1="117.2" x2="119.0" y2="160.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="114.5" y="120.8" width="9" height="32.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="134.0" y1="146.0" x2="134.0" y2="192.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="129.5" y="153.2" width="9" height="32.4" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="149.0" y1="178.4" x2="149.0" y2="223.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="144.5" y="185.6" width="9" height="30.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="164.0" y1="209.0" x2="164.0" y2="254.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="159.5" y="216.2" width="9" height="30.6" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="179.0" y1="239.6" x2="179.0" y2="295.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="174.5" y="246.8" width="9" height="41.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<text x="24" y="360.4" fill="#555">volum</text>
|
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<text x="104.0" y="75.4" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">vârf anterior</text>
|
||||
<text x="209.0" y="351.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">picior 1</text>
|
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<text x="269.0" y="354.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">picior 2</text>
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<text x="299.0" y="199.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">buy doji W</text>
|
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<text x="389.0" y="274.2" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">higher low</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="466" fill="#555">Intrarea vine la close-ul candelei care confirmă higher low-ul, nu la buy doji.</text>
|
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</svg>
|
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<!--/SVG-->
|
||||
|
||||
1. **Context.** Downtrend care coboară sub pivotul monthly (46.50), cu un
|
||||
vârf intermediar (lower high) la 55.90.
|
||||
2. **Double bottom.** Picior 1 la 43.90, picior 2 la 43.40 — mai jos: ia
|
||||
stop-urile celor intrați la primul picior.
|
||||
3. **Buy doji weekly.** După doji, candela închide la **47.60, peste
|
||||
pivot**, cu cel mai mare volum din serie. Acum **nu intri** —
|
||||
pentru MICI lipsește higher low-ul.
|
||||
4. **Raliu** până la 51.70, apoi pullback cu volum în scădere. Low-ul
|
||||
pullback-ului: **48.30, deasupra pivotului** și mult deasupra lui 43.40.
|
||||
5. **Confirmare.** Candela din dreapta închide la 49.80, peste high-ul
|
||||
barei de low. Swing low-ul e confirmat → **intrare 49.80**.
|
||||
6. **SL 48.10**, sub higher low. Aici e și regula de 4 candele din curs:
|
||||
cel mai jos low din 4 candele în spate e chiar higher low-ul. Sub el,
|
||||
pullback-ul nu mai e higher low.
|
||||
7. **Țintă 55.90**: vârful anterior din downtrend = **3.6R** (risc 1.70,
|
||||
câștig 6.10). Atinsă după 9 candele weekly.
|
||||
|
||||
**Ținta, în trepte (03.09).** Nu pui un singur TP. Treci nivelurile
|
||||
deasupra, pe rând: R1 → R2 → vârful anterior → SMA 200 → jumătatea
|
||||
marubozu-ului mare de cădere → fostul suport spart (devenit rezistență).
|
||||
Unde se suprapun mai multe, e „o zonă foarte importantă de resistance" —
|
||||
acolo iei profit. Dacă prețul e deja lipit de o rezistență, nu mai are loc
|
||||
de țintă și nu intri.
|
||||
|
||||
**Orizontul (04.09).** MICI nu e un trade de o săptămână:
|
||||
|
||||
> „strategia mici, asta e pentru cei care aveți răbdare, 6-7-8 luni să stat
|
||||
> în tranzacție."
|
||||
|
||||
Tipic, după buy doji apare un buy hammer deasupra pivotului și de acolo
|
||||
prețul ia viteză. Un retest de ~1/3 după buy hammer, care ia lichiditatea,
|
||||
e încă o intrare.
|
||||
|
||||
### Invalidare: higher low-ul care nu a fost
|
||||
|
||||
<!--SVG:mici_nu-->
|
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<svg viewBox="0 0 620 478" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — weekly</text>
|
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<text x="30" y="278.6" fill="#b06000">pivot monthly 46.50</text>
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|
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<text x="592" y="255.2" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">HL? 47.80 (neconfirmat)</text>
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<rect x="459.5" y="295.4" width="9" height="12.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="479.0" y1="290.0" x2="479.0" y2="317.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="474.5" y="295.4" width="9" height="16.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="494.0" y1="306.2" x2="494.0" y2="324.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="489.5" y="311.6" width="9" height="7.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="509.0" y1="300.8" x2="509.0" y2="324.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="504.5" y="306.2" width="9" height="12.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="524.0" y1="300.8" x2="524.0" y2="320.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="519.5" y="306.2" width="9" height="9.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="24" y1="436.4" x2="606" y2="436.4" stroke="#888"/>
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<rect x="39.5" y="404.6" width="9" height="31.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="403.0" width="9" height="33.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="401.4" width="9" height="35.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="403.8" width="9" height="32.6" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="412.5" width="9" height="23.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="400.6" width="9" height="35.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="129.5" y="399.0" width="9" height="37.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="396.6" width="9" height="39.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="395.0" width="9" height="41.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="392.6" width="9" height="43.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="396.6" width="9" height="39.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="204.5" y="390.3" width="9" height="46.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<rect x="219.5" y="406.2" width="9" height="30.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
|
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<rect x="234.5" y="407.8" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="401.4" width="9" height="35.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="388.7" width="9" height="47.7" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="395.0" width="9" height="41.4" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="366.4" width="9" height="70.0" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="380.7" width="9" height="55.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="385.5" width="9" height="50.9" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="388.7" width="9" height="47.7" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="404.6" width="9" height="31.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="401.4" width="9" height="35.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="395.0" width="9" height="41.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="383.9" width="9" height="52.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="414.5" y="398.2" width="9" height="38.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="429.5" y="390.3" width="9" height="46.1" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="444.5" y="393.4" width="9" height="43.0" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="459.5" y="404.6" width="9" height="31.8" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="474.5" y="391.9" width="9" height="44.5" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="489.5" y="396.6" width="9" height="39.8" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="504.5" y="406.2" width="9" height="30.2" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
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<rect x="519.5" y="395.0" width="9" height="41.4" fill="#c00" opacity="0.55"/>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="360.4" fill="#555">volum</text>
|
||||
<text x="299.0" y="199.4" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">buy doji W</text>
|
||||
<text x="404.0" y="323.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sub pivot</text>
|
||||
<text x="269.0" y="354.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">picior 2</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="466" fill="#555">Candela din dreapta a închis sub pivot: nu există higher low, nu există MICI.</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
<!--/SVG-->
|
||||
|
||||
Aceeași serie până la raliu. Pullback-ul coboară până la 47.80 și
|
||||
candela închide la 48.40 — **arată** a higher low deasupra pivotului.
|
||||
Dar candela din dreapta nu confirmă: închide la **46.10, sub pivot** (46.50).
|
||||
|
||||
- Cine a intrat la 48.40, „pe higher low în formare", e acum sub pivot.
|
||||
- Nu mai e MICI. Buy doji-ul weekly rămâne, dar zona de cumpărare s-a
|
||||
mutat jos, la retestul double bottom-ului.
|
||||
|
||||
> „Îmi place swing low-ul ăsta de-aici și deja este confirmat ca și swing
|
||||
> low dacă se închide candela de-aici."
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 5. Reintrarea după primul target
|
||||
|
||||
După ce buy doji-ul și-a atins primul target, prețul cade de obicei
|
||||
înapoi. Căderea poate fi doar retestul locului crimei (25.08):
|
||||
|
||||
> „am avut un By Doji care și-a îndeplinit primul taliu de profit […] By
|
||||
> Doji cade înapoi, posibil să fie un higher low și asta să fie doar o
|
||||
> retestare a locului crimei"
|
||||
|
||||
<!--SVG:mici_reintrare-->
|
||||
<svg viewBox="0 0 620 407" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
|
||||
<text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — weekly, continuarea</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="251.0" x2="606" y2="251.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="245.0" fill="#b06000">locul crimei 51.70</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="269.2" x2="606" y2="269.2" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="263.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 51.00</text>
|
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<line x1="24" y1="206.8" x2="606" y2="206.8" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="592" y="200.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare 2: 53.40</text>
|
||||
<line x1="24" y1="79.4" x2="606" y2="79.4" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
|
||||
<text x="30" y="73.4" fill="#1a5fb4">TP2 58.30 = 2.0R</text>
|
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<line x1="44.0" y1="310.8" x2="44.0" y2="365.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="39.5" y="318.6" width="9" height="39.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="59.0" y1="277.0" x2="59.0" y2="326.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="54.5" y="284.8" width="9" height="33.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="74.0" y1="251.0" x2="74.0" y2="292.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="69.5" y="264.0" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="89.0" y1="256.2" x2="89.0" y2="300.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="84.5" y="264.0" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="104.0" y1="284.8" x2="104.0" y2="326.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="99.5" y="292.6" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="119.0" y1="308.2" x2="119.0" y2="339.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="114.5" y="316.0" width="9" height="7.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="134.0" y1="295.2" x2="134.0" y2="331.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="129.5" y="300.4" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="149.0" y1="271.8" x2="149.0" y2="308.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="144.5" y="279.6" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="164.0" y1="240.6" x2="164.0" y2="287.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="159.5" y="248.4" width="9" height="31.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="179.0" y1="219.8" x2="179.0" y2="256.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="174.5" y="227.6" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="194.0" y1="219.8" x2="194.0" y2="248.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="189.5" y="227.6" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="209.0" y1="204.2" x2="209.0" y2="248.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="204.5" y="212.0" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="224.0" y1="180.8" x2="224.0" y2="219.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="219.5" y="188.6" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="239.0" y1="180.8" x2="239.0" y2="209.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="234.5" y="188.6" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="254.0" y1="162.6" x2="254.0" y2="209.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="249.5" y="170.4" width="9" height="31.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="269.0" y1="139.2" x2="269.0" y2="178.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="264.5" y="147.0" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="284.0" y1="139.2" x2="284.0" y2="167.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="279.5" y="147.0" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="299.0" y1="152.2" x2="299.0" y2="196.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="294.5" y="160.0" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="314.0" y1="180.8" x2="314.0" y2="219.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="309.5" y="188.6" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="329.0" y1="201.6" x2="329.0" y2="243.2" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="324.5" y="209.4" width="9" height="18.2" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="344.0" y1="214.6" x2="344.0" y2="251.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="339.5" y="227.6" width="9" height="2.6" fill="#c00"/>
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<line x1="359.0" y1="201.6" x2="359.0" y2="238.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="354.5" y="206.8" width="9" height="23.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="374.0" y1="170.4" x2="374.0" y2="214.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="369.5" y="178.2" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="389.0" y1="141.8" x2="389.0" y2="186.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="384.5" y="149.6" width="9" height="28.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
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<line x1="404.0" y1="121.0" x2="404.0" y2="157.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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<rect x="399.5" y="128.8" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="419.0" y1="121.0" x2="419.0" y2="149.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="414.5" y="128.8" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
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<line x1="434.0" y1="102.8" x2="434.0" y2="149.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
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<rect x="429.5" y="110.6" width="9" height="31.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
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<line x1="449.0" y1="82.0" x2="449.0" y2="118.4" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="444.5" y="89.8" width="9" height="20.8" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<line x1="464.0" y1="82.0" x2="464.0" y2="110.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="459.5" y="89.8" width="9" height="13.0" fill="#c00"/>
|
||||
<line x1="479.0" y1="56.0" x2="479.0" y2="110.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
|
||||
<rect x="474.5" y="63.8" width="9" height="39.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
|
||||
<text x="62.0" y="225.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="start" style="font-weight:bold">fost vârf</text>
|
||||
<text x="269.0" y="127.2" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">TP1 atins</text>
|
||||
<text x="344.0" y="287.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">retest + buy doji</text>
|
||||
<text x="24" y="395" fill="#555">Căderea după TP1 e doar retestul fostului vârf; higher low + nou trigger = a doua intrare.</text>
|
||||
</svg>
|
||||
<!--/SVG-->
|
||||
|
||||
Continuarea exemplului de mai sus (aceeași serie, scară mai mare):
|
||||
|
||||
- Pe drum spre TP, prețul a spart vârful raliului, **51.70** → acela e
|
||||
locul crimei.
|
||||
- După TP1, pullback până la **51.70** exact: codița atinge fostul vârf.
|
||||
Low-ul e peste higher low-ul anterior (48.30), deci structura rămâne
|
||||
„scăriță".
|
||||
- Doji în retest, apoi trigger la **53.40** → a doua intrare.
|
||||
- **SL 51.00**, sub locul crimei: dacă prețul se întoarce sub fostul vârf,
|
||||
retestul a eșuat.
|
||||
- **TP2 58.30** = **2.0R** (risc 2.40).
|
||||
|
||||
| Reintrare DA | Reintrare NU |
|
||||
|---|---|
|
||||
| primul target atins, apoi retest al locului crimei sau al suportului de an | volumul trece în distribuție negativă |
|
||||
| volum încă pozitiv, stochastic spre oversold | prețul rămâne sub pivotul de an (reject) |
|
||||
| trigger: MBT-10 pe daily, inverted H&S pe 60 min sau, ideal, un nou buy doji | |
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## 6. Intrarea în tranșe, la acțiuni scumpe
|
||||
|
||||
La acțiuni de sute sau mii de dolari și cu volatilitate mare, nu intri cu
|
||||
toată poziția la confirmare, ci în **4 tranșe de câte 1/4** (10.09). După
|
||||
higher low, prețul poate retesta 1/3 sau 2/3 din ultima mișcare ca să ia
|
||||
lichiditatea de sub vârf. Tranșele cumpără exact acele retesturi.
|
||||
|
||||
> „Pentru că e posibil să retesteze o treime, 2 treimi, până să iau
|
||||
> liquiditatea de pe high-ul ăsta des și aș intra în bucăți."
|
||||
|
||||
Stop-ul rămâne unul singur, sub higher low (în exemplu, 48.10). Toate
|
||||
tranșele intră între intrare și stop, deci riscul total nu crește. Doar
|
||||
prețul mediu scade. Confirmarea higher low-ului poate cere încă o
|
||||
săptămână — tranșele nu o înlocuiesc.
|
||||
|
||||
> „Atenție că e 400 și ceva de dolari. Adică nu e o jucărie."
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Gotchas
|
||||
|
||||
- **Nu intra pe doji, intri pe trigger.** Diagrama 2: fără închidere peste
|
||||
high în 3 candele, doji-ul a fost doar o pauză în downtrend.
|
||||
- **Nu intra la MICI pe higher low „în formare".** Diagrama de invalidare:
|
||||
48.40 arăta a higher low, candela din dreapta a închis la 46.10, sub
|
||||
pivot.
|
||||
- **Nu alerga după preț.** Dacă buy doji-ul weekly a plecat deja, aștepți retestul de 1/3 - 1/2 din lumânarea mare.
|
||||
Poate să nu mai vină, și atunci ratezi.
|
||||
> „Poate să nu mai facă, poate nu mai face niciodată."
|
||||
- **Sell doji + reject pe pivotul quarterly bate fundamentalul.** Un scor
|
||||
fundamental de 12/14 nu salvează o idee long pe termen mediu dacă weekly-ul
|
||||
sau monthly-ul dă sell doji cu respingere la pivot (03.09).
|
||||
> „suntem într-un sell doji, nu-mi place asta și rejectul ăsta de aici,
|
||||
> nu-mi place."
|
||||
- **Bottom-ul poate mai face un picior.** Double bottom-ul în formare, chiar
|
||||
cu buy doji pe weekly, poate deveni triple bottom — sau bear flag, dacă nu
|
||||
ai divergență de volum (04.09, 24.08). De aceea stop-ul stă sub structură,
|
||||
nu „undeva jos".
|
||||
> „de aici am zis că să duce și nu s-a dus"
|
||||
- **Sistemul nu vede orice buy doji.** Uneori un doji / hammer valid nu e
|
||||
marcat; îl recunoști vizual, cu aceeași regulă de închidere (04.09).
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
## Surse
|
||||
|
||||
Din analiza zilnică (recoltele din `harvest/`):
|
||||
|
||||
- **21.08.2026** — buy doji pe 60 min în direcția swing-ului de pe daily.
|
||||
- **24.08.2026** — buy doji la bottom cu poziționarea COT; double bottom în
|
||||
formare vs bear flag; buy doji monthly + FVG ca al doilea picior.
|
||||
- **25.08.2026** — reintrarea după primul target, în locul crimei.
|
||||
- **03.09.2026** — super buy doji; ținte în trepte; sell doji + reject pe
|
||||
pivotul quarterly; strategia MICI pornită din fundul unui cup & handle.
|
||||
- **04.09.2026** — sfântul buy doji; MICI pe 6-8 luni și retestul de 1/3;
|
||||
sistemul nu vede orice trigger; bottom-ul care mai face un picior.
|
||||
- **10.09.2026** — buy doji deasupra pivotului monthly; strategia MICI;
|
||||
swing low confirmat de candela din dreapta; tranșe de 1/4; nu alergi după
|
||||
preț.
|
||||
|
||||
Din curs: [Strategia 3: Buy Doji / Sell Doji](../03_MODUL_2/13_strategia_3_byh.html)
|
||||
(fereastra de 3 candele, SL la 4 candele, TP 1:1, limita de 8 candele),
|
||||
Q&A [27.05.2025](../09_QA/28_2025-05-27.html) (definiția trigger-ului),
|
||||
[04.08.2025](../09_QA/22_2025-08-04.html) și
|
||||
[11.08.2026](../09_QA/03_2026-08-11.html) (nu shortezi împotriva unui buy
|
||||
doji weekly). Referință externă: [Investopedia — Doji](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/d/doji.asp).
|
||||
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
*Ce e completare a mea: toate prețurile și diagramele sunt construite (în
|
||||
transcrieri cifrele sunt nesigure). Stop-ul sub higher low la MICI, ținta
|
||||
pe vârful anterior, stop-ul sub locul crimei la reintrare și calculul R
|
||||
sunt aplicarea mea a regulilor din curs, nu cifre spuse de el. Explicația
|
||||
cu stop-urile short-urilor executate peste high-ul doji-ului e tot a mea.
|
||||
Regulile (trigger, sfântul buy doji, MICI, reintrare, tranșe, gotchas) și
|
||||
citatele vin din sesiuni.*
|
||||
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Reference in New Issue
Block a user