Document de strategie: MBT-10 (6 diagrame)

Definitia tehnica a MBT-10 nu se poate deduce din material - marcat explicit
intr-o nota, diagramele marcheaza doar bara pe care semnalul s-a inchis.
R-urile din etichete verificate: 1.65, 2.0, 3.6, 1.8.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01MtSTyTmt6AbCL9j5ajEDm1

gen/az_mbt10.py

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+"""Diagramele pentru summaries/08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/02_mbt10.md.
+
+Toate prețurile sunt construite (fără ticker). Rulează:
+    .venv/bin/python gen/az_mbt10.py
+Înlocuiește în .md fiecare bloc <!--SVG:nume--> ... <!--/SVG--> cu output-ul
+generatorului. Ca să schimbi o cifră, o schimbi aici și rulezi din nou.
+
+MBT-10 nu e desenat ca indicator (definiția lui tehnică nu apare în material).
+Diagramele marchează doar bara pe care semnalul s-a închis — sau nu.
+"""
+import re
+import sys
+from pathlib import Path
+
+sys.path.insert(0, "/workspace/atm-curs-dl")
+from svg_candles import Candle, Chart, Level, Mark, MA, from_closes  # noqa: E402
+
+MD = Path("/workspace/atm-curs-dl/summaries/08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/02_mbt10.md")
+GRAY, RED, GREEN, BLUE, ORANGE, PURPLE = "#777", "#c00", "#188a3e", "#1a5fb4", "#b06000", "#6a3d9a"
+STYLE = dict(gap=15, body_w=9, left=44, width=620)
+svgs = {}
+
+
+def px_ratio(ch, a, b, c):
+    """raportul (c-b)/(b-a) măsurat în pixeli, după render"""
+    return (ch._y(b) - ch._y(c)) / (ch._y(a) - ch._y(b))
+
+
+# ---------------------------------------------------------------- 1. MBT-10 închis la close: DA
+base = [46.8, 47.9, 47.4, 48.6, 49.8, 50.9, 51.8,      # 0-6 uptrend, 6 = swing high (viitorul loc al crimei)
+        51.0, 50.4, 51.2,                               # 7-9 pullback mic
+        52.4, 53.6, 54.8, 54.2, 55.6, 56.8, 58.6,       # 10-16 breakout peste 6, raliu până la vârf
+        57.9, 56.9, 56.0, 56.4, 55.1, 54.0, 53.3,       # 17-23 pullback spre locul crimei
+        53.4]                                           # 24 hammer în locul crimei
+bw = [(0.3, 0.3)] * 7 + [(0.1, 0.3)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 8 + [(0.3, 0.3), (0.1, 0.3)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 6 + [(0.1, 1.2)]
+da_cl = base + [54.6,                                   # 25 ziua se ÎNCHIDE în MBT-10: intrare la close
+                55.5, 55.1, 56.4, 57.5, 58.4, 59.2]
+da_w = bw + [(0.2, 0.3)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 6
+cds = from_closes(da_cl, wicks=da_w, start=46.0)
+SWING, HAM, MBT = 6, 24, 25
+crime = cds[SWING].h
+assert crime == max(c.h for c in cds[:10]), "bara 6 nu e vârful primei zone"
+assert all(c.c > crime for c in cds[10:24]), "după breakout prețul trebuie să stea deasupra locului crimei"
+assert abs(cds[HAM].l - crime) <= 0.05, "codița hammer-ului nu atinge locul crimei"
+assert cds[HAM].o - cds[HAM].l >= 2.5 * abs(cds[HAM].c - cds[HAM].o), "bara 24 nu arată a hammer"
+top = max(c.h for c in cds[14:18])
+entry = cds[MBT].c
+sl = round(cds[HAM].l - 0.1, 2)
+risk = entry - sl
+tp = round(top, 2)
+R = (tp - entry) / risk
+hit = next(i for i in range(MBT + 1, len(cds)) if cds[i].h >= tp)
+assert R >= 1.5, R
+assert hit == len(cds) - 1
+print(f"D1 loc crimă {crime:.2f} hammer low {cds[HAM].l:.2f} entry {entry:.2f} SL {sl:.2f} "
+      f"risc {risk:.2f} TP {tp:.2f} = {R:.2f}R atins la {hit}")
+DA_ENTRY, DA_CRIME = entry, crime
+ch = Chart(candles=cds,
+           levels=[Level(crime, f"locul crimei {crime:.2f}", ORANGE, label_at="left"),
+                   Level(sl, f"SL {sl:.2f}", RED),
+                   Level(entry, f"intrare {entry:.2f}", GREEN),
+                   Level(tp, f"TP {tp:.2f} = {R:.1f}R", BLUE)],
+           marks=[Mark(SWING, "fost vârf", ORANGE, "above", dy=-26),
+                  Mark(16, "vârf", BLUE, "above", dy=-16),
+                  Mark(HAM, "hammer", "#333", "below", dy=18),
+                  Mark(MBT, "MBT-10 închis", GREEN, "above", dy=-50)],
+           scale=20, title="Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily",
+           caption="Intrarea e la close-ul zilei care s-a închis în MBT-10, nu în timpul zilei.",
+           **{**STYLE, "width": 700})
+svg_ = ch.render()
+assert abs(px_ratio(ch, sl, entry, tp) - R) < 0.01
+svgs["mbt_da"] = svg_
+
+# ---------------------------------------------------------------- 2. MBT-10 doar „în formare": NU
+nu_cl = base + [52.9,                                   # 25 intraday urcă până peste 54.60, închide jos
+                51.5, 51.9, 50.7, 50.0, 50.4, 49.5]
+nu_w = bw + [(1.9, 0.2)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 6
+cds = from_closes(nu_cl, wicks=nu_w, start=46.0)
+assert cds[MBT].h >= DA_ENTRY, "intraday bara trebuie să fi fost unde DA a închis"
+assert cds[MBT].c < cds[MBT].o, "bara 25 trebuie să închidă în scădere"
+assert cds[MBT + 1].c < DA_CRIME, "a doua zi trebuie să închidă sub locul crimei"
+print(f"D2 bara 25 high {cds[MBT].h:.2f} close {cds[MBT].c:.2f}; bara 26 close {cds[MBT + 1].c:.2f} sub {DA_CRIME:.2f}")
+ch = Chart(candles=cds,
+           levels=[Level(cds[MBT].h, f"intraday {cds[MBT].h:.2f}", GRAY),
+                   Level(DA_CRIME, f"locul crimei {DA_CRIME:.2f}", ORANGE, label_at="left")],
+           marks=[Mark(HAM, "hammer", "#333", "below", dy=18),
+                  Mark(MBT, "MBT-10 în formare", GRAY, "above", dy=-22),
+                  Mark(MBT + 1, "sub locul crimei", RED, "below", dy=30)],
+           scale=20, title="Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily",
+           caption=f"Intraday a fost la {cds[MBT].h:.2f}, dar ziua a închis la {cds[MBT].c:.2f}: semnalul nu a existat.",
+           **{**STYLE, "width": 700})
+svgs["mbt_nu"] = ch.render()
+
+# ---------------------------------------------------------------- 3. gap up în MBT-10 după downtrend masiv + divergență de volum
+down = [49.3, 48.2, 48.7, 47.3, 46.0, 46.5, 44.9, 43.6, 44.1, 42.5, 41.2, 41.8,   # 0-11
+        40.1, 38.8, 38.2, 37.4, 38.9, 37.6,                                        # 12-17
+        36.1, 34.6, 33.4, 32.6,                                                    # 18-21 picior 1
+        33.3, 33.8, 33.4,                                                          # 22-24 bounce (neckline)
+        32.7, 31.9, 31.4,                                                          # 25-27 picior 2, mai jos
+        31.5]                                                                      # 28 doji
+dw = [(0.3, 0.3)] * 17 + [(0.1, 0.3)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 3 + [(0.2, 0.5)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 5 + [(0.2, 0.5), (0.5, 0.5)]
+dv = [40, 42, 38, 45, 48, 36, 50, 52, 38, 55, 58, 40, 60, 62, 42, 66, 44, 60,
+      78, 86, 92, 96,
+      44, 40, 42,
+      50, 44, 38,
+      38]
+part1 = from_closes(down, wicks=dw, vols=dv, start=50.0)
+GAP = len(part1)
+gap = Candle(o=33.2, h=34.4, l=33.0, c=34.2, vol=110)   # 29: gap up, închis în MBT-10
+part2 = from_closes([34.9, 34.6, 35.5, 36.3, 36.0, 36.9, 37.6, 38.3, 39.3],
+                    wicks=[(0.3, 0.3)] * 9, vols=[70, 50, 64, 60, 44, 58, 55, 52, 56], start=gap.c)
+cds = part1 + [gap] + part2
+leg1_i = min(range(18, 22), key=lambda i: cds[i].l)
+leg2_i = min(range(25, 29), key=lambda i: cds[i].l)
+leg1, leg2 = cds[leg1_i].l, cds[leg2_i].l
+neck = max(c.h for c in cds[22:25])
+assert cds[0].h - leg2 > 17, "downtrend-ul nu e masiv"
+assert leg2 < leg1, "al doilea picior trebuie să fie mai jos"
+assert max(dv[25:28]) < min(dv[18:22]) * 0.7, "divergența de volum: vânzarea pe piciorul 2 trebuie să fie clar mai mică"
+assert gap.l > cds[GAP - 1].h, "bara 29 nu are gap up"
+assert gap.c > neck, "gap-ul trebuie să închidă peste neckline"
+assert gap.vol == max(c.vol for c in cds), "gap-ul are cel mai mare volum"
+entry = gap.c
+sl = round(gap.l - 0.2, 2)
+risk = entry - sl
+lh_i = 16                                                # ultimul lower high înainte de piciorul 1
+tp = round(cds[lh_i].h, 2)
+assert cds[lh_i].h > cds[lh_i - 1].h and cds[lh_i].h > cds[lh_i + 1].h, "bara 16 nu e swing high"
+R = (tp - entry) / risk
+hit = next(i for i in range(GAP + 1, len(cds)) if cds[i].h >= tp)
+assert R >= 2.5, R
+print(f"D3 leg1 {leg1:.2f} (v {dv[leg1_i]}) leg2 {leg2:.2f} (v {dv[leg2_i]}) neck {neck:.2f} gap {cds[GAP - 1].h:.2f}->{gap.l:.2f} "
+      f"entry {entry:.2f} SL {sl:.2f} risc {risk:.2f} TP {tp:.2f} = {R:.2f}R atins la {hit}")
+ch = Chart(candles=cds,
+           levels=[Level(sl, f"SL {sl:.2f} (sub gap)", RED, label_at="left"),
+                   Level(entry, f"intrare {entry:.2f}", GREEN, label_at="left"),
+                   Level(tp, f"TP {tp:.2f} = {R:.1f}R", BLUE, label_at="left")],
+           marks=[Mark(16, "downtrend masiv", GRAY, "above", dy=-30),
+                  Mark(leg1_i, "picior 1", RED, "below"),
+                  Mark(leg2_i, "picior 2", RED, "below"),
+                  Mark(GAP, "gap up în MBT-10", GREEN, "above", dy=-36)],
+           mas=[MA(20, ORANGE, text="SMA 20")],
+           scale=14, vol_h=70, title="Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily",
+           caption="Piciorul 2 e mai jos, dar cu volum de vânzare mai mic: divergență. Gap-ul up e trigger-ul.",
+           **{**STYLE, "width": 680})
+svg_ = ch.render()
+assert abs(px_ratio(ch, sl, entry, tp) - R) < 0.01
+svgs["mbt_gap_up"] = svg_
+
+# ---------------------------------------------------------------- 4. MBT-10 pe 60 min, în suport weekly
+S = 88.00
+h60 = [94.6, 94.0, 95.0, 93.5, 92.8, 93.2, 92.1, 91.4, 91.8, 90.7, 90.0, 89.2,   # 0-11 coborâre
+       88.6,                                             # 12 test 1
+       89.4, 90.3, 89.9,                                 # 13-15
+       89.1, 88.5,                                       # 16-17 test 2
+       89.0, 89.5, 89.1,                                 # 18-20
+       88.7, 88.4,                                       # 21-22 test 3
+       89.0,                                             # 23
+       89.9,                                             # 24 MBT-10 închis pe 60 min
+       90.6, 91.5, 91.1, 92.2, 93.1, 93.7, 94.4, 95.0]
+w60 = [(0.3, 0.3)] * 2 + [(0.2, 0.3)] + [(0.1, 0.3)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 8 + [(0.2, 0.6)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 4 + [(0.2, 0.5)] + \
+      [(0.3, 0.3)] * 4 + [(0.2, 0.4)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] + [(0.2, 0.2)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 8
+cds = from_closes(h60, wicks=w60, start=95.2)
+M60 = 24
+tests = [i for i in range(10, M60) if abs(cds[i].l - S) <= 0.1]
+assert len(tests) >= 3, tests
+assert all(c.l >= S - 0.05 for c in cds[:M60 + 1]), "niciun low nu are voie să spargă suportul weekly"
+assert cds[M60].c > max(c.h for c in cds[M60 - 5:M60]), "bara MBT-10 nu închide peste ultimele 5 bare"
+entry = cds[M60].c
+sl = round(S - 0.7, 2)
+risk = entry - sl
+tp = round(cds[2].h, 2)
+assert cds[2].h > cds[1].h and cds[2].h > cds[3].h
+R = (tp - entry) / risk
+hit = next(i for i in range(M60 + 1, len(cds)) if cds[i].h >= tp)
+assert R >= 2, R
+print(f"D4 teste suport la {tests}, entry {entry:.2f} SL {sl:.2f} risc {risk:.2f} TP {tp:.2f} = {R:.2f}R atins la {hit}")
+ch = Chart(candles=cds,
+           levels=[Level(S, f"suport weekly {S:.2f}", ORANGE, label_at="left"),
+                   Level(sl, f"SL {sl:.2f}", RED),
+                   Level(entry, f"intrare {entry:.2f}", GREEN),
+                   Level(tp, f"TP {tp:.2f} = {R:.1f}R", BLUE)],
+           marks=[Mark(tests[0], "test 1", ORANGE, "below", dy=40),
+                  Mark(tests[1], "test 2", ORANGE, "below", dy=40),
+                  Mark(tests[-1], "test 3", ORANGE, "below", dy=40),
+                  Mark(M60, "MBT-10 (60 min)", GREEN, "above", dy=-62)],
+           scale=30, title="Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — 60 min",
+           caption="Suportul weekly ține de trei ori; bara de 60 min închisă în MBT-10 e trigger-ul.",
+           **{**STYLE, "width": 700})
+svg_ = ch.render()
+assert abs(px_ratio(ch, sl, entry, tp) - R) < 0.01
+svgs["mbt_60min"] = svg_
+
+# ---------------------------------------------------------------- 5. MBT-10 short pe indice
+ix = [50.8, 51.9, 51.4, 52.6, 53.7, 53.2, 54.5, 55.6,   # 0-7 uptrend
+      54.3,                                             # 8 swing low (baza)
+      56.3, 57.2, 56.8, 57.9, 58.7, 59.3,               # 9-14 vârf 1
+      58.4, 57.6, 58.2, 59.0, 59.6, 60.0,               # 15-20 vârf 2, mai sus
+      59.4, 58.1,                                       # 21-22 MBT-10 short închis
+      57.2, 57.6, 56.4, 55.3, 55.8, 54.6, 53.9, 54.3, 53.4]
+iw = [(0.3, 0.3)] * 9 + [(0.3, 0.1)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 11 + [(0.1, 0.3)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 10
+cds = from_closes(ix, wicks=iw, start=50.0)
+T1, T2, SH = 14, 20, 22
+assert cds[T2].h > cds[T1].h, "al doilea vârf trebuie să fie mai sus"
+assert cds[T2].h == max(c.h for c in cds), "bara 20 e maximul seriei"
+base_low = cds[8].l
+assert cds[8].l < cds[7].l and cds[8].l < cds[9].l, "bara 8 nu e swing low"
+entry = cds[SH].c
+sl = round(cds[T2].h + 0.1, 2)
+risk = sl - entry
+tp = round(base_low, 2)
+R = (entry - tp) / risk
+hit = next(i for i in range(SH + 1, len(cds)) if cds[i].l <= tp)
+assert R >= 1.5, R
+print(f"D5 vârf1 {cds[T1].h:.2f} vârf2 {cds[T2].h:.2f} entry short {entry:.2f} SL {sl:.2f} risc {risk:.2f} "
+      f"TP {tp:.2f} = {R:.2f}R atins la {hit}")
+ch = Chart(candles=cds,
+           levels=[Level(sl + 1.6, "", "#fff", dash=""),     # doar spațiu sub titlu, invizibil
+                   Level(sl, f"SL {sl:.2f}", RED),
+                   Level(entry, f"intrare short {entry:.2f}", GREEN, label_at="left"),
+                   Level(tp, f"TP {tp:.2f} = {R:.1f}R", BLUE, label_at="left")],
+           marks=[Mark(T1, "vârf 1", GRAY, "above", dy=-26),
+                  Mark(T2, "vârf 2", GRAY, "above", dy=-26),
+                  Mark(SH, "MBT-10 short", RED, "below", dy=22),
+                  Mark(8, "bază", BLUE, "below", dy=10)],
+           scale=22, title="Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily, indice",
+           caption="MBT-10 short pe indice: nu cumperi acțiuni în corecție; short doar dacă ai regulile lui.", **STYLE)
+svg_ = ch.render()
+assert abs(px_ratio(ch, sl, entry, tp) - R) < 0.01
+svgs["mbt_short"] = svg_
+
+# ---------------------------------------------------------------- 6. după gap down: primul MBT-10 cade, al doilea merge
+pre = from_closes([70.4, 70.9, 70.3, 71.0, 70.6, 71.2, 70.8, 71.3, 70.9, 71.1],
+                  wicks=[(0.3, 0.3)] * 10, start=70.0)
+G = len(pre)
+gd = Candle(o=66.4, h=66.7, l=64.6, c=65.0)             # 10: gap down masiv
+mid = from_closes([64.3, 63.7,                          # 11-12
+                   64.8,                                 # 13 MBT-10 #1 închis
+                   64.4, 63.3, 62.4,                     # 14-16 cade sub stop-ul 1
+                   61.0, 61.2,                           # 17-18
+                   62.2,                                 # 19 MBT-10 #2 închis
+                   64.1, 63.8, 65.0, 66.0, 65.7, 66.9, 67.5, 67.2, 68.4, 69.3, 70.2, 71.0],
+                  wicks=[(0.3, 0.3), (0.2, 0.4)] + [(0.2, 0.3)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 3 + [(0.2, 0.5), (0.3, 0.3)] +
+                  [(0.2, 0.3)] + [(0.3, 0.3)] * 12, start=gd.c)
+cds = pre + [gd] + mid
+M1, M2 = 13, 19
+assert gd.h < cds[G - 1].l - 3, "gap-ul down nu e masiv"
+e1 = cds[M1].c
+s1 = round(min(c.l for c in cds[G:M1 + 1]) - 0.1, 2)
+stop1 = next(i for i in range(M1 + 1, len(cds)) if cds[i].l <= s1)
+e2 = cds[M2].c
+s2 = round(min(c.l for c in cds[M1:M2 + 1]) - 0.1, 2)
+risk2 = e2 - s2
+tp2 = round(cds[G - 1].l, 2)                            # închiderea gap-ului
+R2 = (tp2 - e2) / risk2
+hit2 = next(i for i in range(M2 + 1, len(cds)) if cds[i].h >= tp2)
+assert stop1 < M2, "primul trebuie să fie stopat înainte de al doilea semnal"
+assert all(c.l > s2 for c in cds[M2 + 1:]), "al doilea stop nu are voie să fie atins"
+assert e2 < e1, "al doilea semnal vine mai jos"
+assert R2 >= 2, R2
+print(f"D6 #1 entry {e1:.2f} SL {s1:.2f} stopat la {stop1}; #2 entry {e2:.2f} SL {s2:.2f} risc {risk2:.2f} "
+      f"TP gap {tp2:.2f} = {R2:.2f}R atins la {hit2}")
+ch = Chart(candles=cds,
+           levels=[Level(tp2, f"TP {tp2:.2f} = {R2:.1f}R (gap închis)", BLUE),
+                   Level(e1, f"#1 intrare {e1:.2f}", GRAY, label_at="left"),
+                   Level(s1, f"#1 SL {s1:.2f}", GRAY),
+                   Level(e2, f"#2 intrare {e2:.2f}", GREEN, label_at="left"),
+                   Level(s2, f"#2 SL {s2:.2f}", RED)],
+           marks=[Mark(G, "gap down", RED, "above", dy=-4),
+                  Mark(M1, "MBT-10 #1", GRAY, "above", dy=-30),
+                  Mark(stop1, "stop", RED, "below", dy=26),
+                  Mark(M2, "MBT-10 #2", GREEN, "below", dy=12)],
+           scale=24, title="Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily",
+           caption="Primul MBT-10 după gap down te scoate; al doilea, cu același risc, merge.",
+           **{**STYLE, "width": 760})
+svg_ = ch.render()
+assert abs(px_ratio(ch, s2, e2, tp2) - R2) < 0.01
+svgs["mbt_a_doua"] = svg_
+
+# ---------------------------------------------------------------- substituție în .md
+if MD.exists():
+    md = MD.read_text(encoding="utf-8")
+    for name, svg in svgs.items():
+        pat = re.compile(rf"<!--SVG:{name}-->.*?<!--/SVG-->", re.S)
+        assert pat.search(md), f"marcatorul {name} lipsește din .md"
+        md = pat.sub(lambda _m: f"<!--SVG:{name}-->\n{svg}\n<!--/SVG-->", md)
+    MD.write_text(md, encoding="utf-8")
+    print("scris", MD)

summaries/08_ANALIZA_ZILNICA/02_mbt10.md

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+# Analiză zilnică / #2 — MBT-10: trigger-ul de la finalul fiecărei idei
+
+## TLDR
+
+- **MBT-10** e un trigger al sistemului ATM, în ambele direcții. „Intră în
+  MBT-10" = semnal long; „MBT-10 short" = semnal în jos.
+- **Contează doar la închidere.** Pe daily aștepți close-ul zilei în
+  MBT-10. „În formare" intraday nu e semnal, iar intrarea se face la close.
+- Aproape niciodată nu e ideea în sine: e **ultima piesă** după suport,
+  locul crimei, double bottom, buy doji, divergență de volum. Ideile vin din
+  scanner-ul de MBT-10, dar trec prin filtrul celorlalte confluențe.
+- **Timeframe:** pe daily e trigger-ul de swing; pe 60 min îl folosești
+  în suport weekly; buy doji-ul pe 60 min intră și mai devreme.
+- Cel mai puternic caz: **intrarea în MBT-10 cu gap up**, după un
+  downtrend masiv, cu divergență de volum.
+- După un **gap down masiv**, primul MBT-10 poate să nu meargă; de obicei
+  merge al doilea sau al treilea. Dimensionezi pentru 2-3 încercări.
+- **MBT-10 short pe indice** explică o corecție: nu cumperi acțiuni contra
+  lui.
+
+> **Notă: definiția tehnică lipsește.** Nici în recoltele din analiza
+> zilnică, nici în sesiunile Q&A rezumate până acum nu apare ce măsoară
+> MBT-10 sau cum se calculează (ce înseamnă „10", ce condiție de preț
+> declanșează semnalul). Singurul lucru spus despre construcție e general:
+> MBT-10, MBAP și MP² „se bazează pe pivoți", deci sunt price action
+> ([Q&A 25.08.2026](../09_QA/01_2026-08-25.html)). Nu inventez o definiție.
+> Documentul descrie MBT-10 prin ce face: când apare, cum îl validezi și
+> ce faci cu el. Din același motiv, diagramele nu desenează indicatorul.
+> Marchează doar bara pe care semnalul s-a închis, sau n-a apucat să se
+> închidă.
+
+---
+
+## De ce urmărești semnalul
+
+Setup-urile din analiza zilnică (suport, locul crimei, double bottom,
+divergență de volum) spun **unde** ar putea fi un bottom. Nu spun **când**
+s-a întors prețul. Un suport poate fi spart, un double bottom poate mai
+face un picior. MBT-10 e răspunsul la „când": sistemul arată că prețul a
+început efectiv să se miște în direcția ideii.
+
+> „Dacă intră în MBT-10, are mari șanse de urcare." (10.09)
+
+Ce decizie te ajută să iei:
+
+- **intri acum sau mai aștepți** — o idee cu toate confluențele, dar fără
+  MBT-10, rămâne pe listă, nu în cont;
+- **ce riști** — după o bară de trigger, stop-ul are un loc clar sub
+  structura pe care s-a format;
+- **în ce direcție ai voie** — MBT-10 short pe indice e motiv să nu
+  cumperi acțiuni în acele zile.
+
+---
+
+## Termenii, o singură dată
+
+| Termen | Ce înseamnă aici |
+|---|---|
+| **MBT-10** | trigger al sistemului ATM, long sau short. Definiția tehnică nu e în material (vezi nota de sus) |
+| **intră în MBT-10** | bara curentă e marcată ca MBT-10 long |
+| **închis în MBT-10** | bara și-a terminat timeframe-ul (pe daily: ziua s-a închis) și semnalul a rămas. Doar asta e intrare |
+| **în formare** | intraday sistemul arată MBT-10, dar ziua încă nu s-a închis. Poate dispărea până la close |
+| **reintrare în MBT-10** | un nou semnal după un pullback, pe aceeași idee |
+| **locul crimei** | fost vârf spart, care la retest devine suport |
+| **peak bottom (strategii de)** | strategii care încearcă să prindă bottom-ul devreme: MBT-10, M2D pe secunde |
+| **MBAP** | setup ATM: intrare după o mișcare violentă, într-un nivel major (vezi Q&A 11.08.2026). Nu e VWAP |
+| **M2D 15/80** | trigger intraday de finețe, pe secunde. Numele exact e incert în transcriere |
+
+---
+
+## 1. Confirmarea la close: DA
+
+<!--SVG:mbt_da-->
+<svg viewBox="0 0 700 374" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
+  <text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="204.0" x2="686" y2="204.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="30" y="198.0" fill="#b06000">locul crimei 52.10</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="206.0" x2="686" y2="206.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="672" y="200.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 52.00</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="154.0" x2="686" y2="154.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="672" y="148.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare 54.60</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="68.0" x2="686" y2="68.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="672" y="62.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP 58.90 = 1.7R</text>
+  <line x1="44.0" y1="304.0" x2="44.0" y2="332.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="39.5" y="310.0" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="59.0" y1="282.0" x2="59.0" y2="316.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="54.5" y="288.0" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="74.0" y1="282.0" x2="74.0" y2="304.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="69.5" y="288.0" width="9" height="10.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="89.0" y1="268.0" x2="89.0" y2="304.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="84.5" y="274.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="104.0" y1="244.0" x2="104.0" y2="280.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="99.5" y="250.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="119.0" y1="222.0" x2="119.0" y2="256.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="114.5" y="228.0" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="134.0" y1="204.0" x2="134.0" y2="234.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="129.5" y="210.0" width="9" height="18.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="149.0" y1="208.0" x2="149.0" y2="232.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="144.5" y="210.0" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="164.0" y1="220.0" x2="164.0" y2="244.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="159.5" y="226.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="179.0" y1="216.0" x2="179.0" y2="244.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="174.5" y="222.0" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="194.0" y1="192.0" x2="194.0" y2="228.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="189.5" y="198.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="209.0" y1="168.0" x2="209.0" y2="204.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="204.5" y="174.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="224.0" y1="144.0" x2="224.0" y2="180.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="219.5" y="150.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="239.0" y1="144.0" x2="239.0" y2="168.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="234.5" y="150.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="254.0" y1="128.0" x2="254.0" y2="168.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="249.5" y="134.0" width="9" height="28.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="269.0" y1="104.0" x2="269.0" y2="140.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="264.5" y="110.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="284.0" y1="68.0" x2="284.0" y2="116.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="279.5" y="74.0" width="9" height="36.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="299.0" y1="72.0" x2="299.0" y2="94.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="294.5" y="74.0" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="314.0" y1="82.0" x2="314.0" y2="114.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="309.5" y="88.0" width="9" height="20.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="329.0" y1="102.0" x2="329.0" y2="132.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="324.5" y="108.0" width="9" height="18.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="344.0" y1="112.0" x2="344.0" y2="132.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="339.5" y="118.0" width="9" height="8.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="359.0" y1="112.0" x2="359.0" y2="150.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="354.5" y="118.0" width="9" height="26.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="374.0" y1="138.0" x2="374.0" y2="172.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="369.5" y="144.0" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="389.0" y1="160.0" x2="389.0" y2="186.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="384.5" y="166.0" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="404.0" y1="176.0" x2="404.0" y2="204.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="399.5" y="178.0" width="9" height="2.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="419.0" y1="150.0" x2="419.0" y2="184.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="414.5" y="154.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="434.0" y1="130.0" x2="434.0" y2="160.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="429.5" y="136.0" width="9" height="18.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="449.0" y1="130.0" x2="449.0" y2="150.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="444.5" y="136.0" width="9" height="8.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="464.0" y1="112.0" x2="464.0" y2="150.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="459.5" y="118.0" width="9" height="26.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="479.0" y1="90.0" x2="479.0" y2="124.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="474.5" y="96.0" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="494.0" y1="72.0" x2="494.0" y2="102.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="489.5" y="78.0" width="9" height="18.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="509.0" y1="56.0" x2="509.0" y2="84.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="504.5" y="62.0" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <text x="134.0" y="168.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">fost vârf</text>
+  <text x="284.0" y="42.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">vârf</text>
+  <text x="404.0" y="242.0" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">hammer</text>
+  <text x="419.0" y="90.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 închis</text>
+  <text x="24" y="362" fill="#555">Intrarea e la close-ul zilei care s-a închis în MBT-10, nu în timpul zilei.</text>
+</svg>
+<!--/SVG-->
+
+- Uptrend. Fostul vârf, **52.10**, e spart. Prețul face un vârf nou la
+  58.90.
+- Pullback înapoi până în **locul crimei**. Hammer-ul are codița exact pe
+  52.10.
+- A doua zi prețul urcă, iar **ziua se închide în MBT-10** la **54.60** →
+  intrare la close.
+- **SL 52.00**, sub codița hammer-ului. Acolo e și locul crimei. Dacă prețul
+  închide sub el, retestul a eșuat.
+- **TP 58.90**, vârful anterior = **1.65R** (risc 2.60).
+
+Aceasta e combinația exact descrisă pe 10.09: pullback în locul crimei,
+hammer în suport, apoi „aș aștepta o închidere la finalul zilei astăzi în
+MBT-10".
+
+## 2. Confirmarea la close: NU
+
+<!--SVG:mbt_nu-->
+<svg viewBox="0 0 700 362" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
+  <text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="128.0" x2="686" y2="128.0" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="672" y="122.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">intraday 55.30</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="192.0" x2="686" y2="192.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="30" y="186.0" fill="#b06000">locul crimei 52.10</text>
+  <line x1="44.0" y1="292.0" x2="44.0" y2="320.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="39.5" y="298.0" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="59.0" y1="270.0" x2="59.0" y2="304.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="54.5" y="276.0" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="74.0" y1="270.0" x2="74.0" y2="292.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="69.5" y="276.0" width="9" height="10.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="89.0" y1="256.0" x2="89.0" y2="292.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="84.5" y="262.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="104.0" y1="232.0" x2="104.0" y2="268.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="99.5" y="238.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="119.0" y1="210.0" x2="119.0" y2="244.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="114.5" y="216.0" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="134.0" y1="192.0" x2="134.0" y2="222.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="129.5" y="198.0" width="9" height="18.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="149.0" y1="196.0" x2="149.0" y2="220.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="144.5" y="198.0" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="164.0" y1="208.0" x2="164.0" y2="232.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="159.5" y="214.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="179.0" y1="204.0" x2="179.0" y2="232.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="174.5" y="210.0" width="9" height="16.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="194.0" y1="180.0" x2="194.0" y2="216.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="189.5" y="186.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="209.0" y1="156.0" x2="209.0" y2="192.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="204.5" y="162.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="224.0" y1="132.0" x2="224.0" y2="168.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="219.5" y="138.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="239.0" y1="132.0" x2="239.0" y2="156.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="234.5" y="138.0" width="9" height="12.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="254.0" y1="116.0" x2="254.0" y2="156.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="249.5" y="122.0" width="9" height="28.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="269.0" y1="92.0" x2="269.0" y2="128.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="264.5" y="98.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="284.0" y1="56.0" x2="284.0" y2="104.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="279.5" y="62.0" width="9" height="36.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="299.0" y1="60.0" x2="299.0" y2="82.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="294.5" y="62.0" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="314.0" y1="70.0" x2="314.0" y2="102.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="309.5" y="76.0" width="9" height="20.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="329.0" y1="90.0" x2="329.0" y2="120.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="324.5" y="96.0" width="9" height="18.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="344.0" y1="100.0" x2="344.0" y2="120.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="339.5" y="106.0" width="9" height="8.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="359.0" y1="100.0" x2="359.0" y2="138.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="354.5" y="106.0" width="9" height="26.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="374.0" y1="126.0" x2="374.0" y2="160.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="369.5" y="132.0" width="9" height="22.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="389.0" y1="148.0" x2="389.0" y2="174.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="384.5" y="154.0" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="404.0" y1="164.0" x2="404.0" y2="192.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="399.5" y="166.0" width="9" height="2.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="419.0" y1="128.0" x2="419.0" y2="180.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="414.5" y="166.0" width="9" height="10.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="434.0" y1="170.0" x2="434.0" y2="210.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="429.5" y="176.0" width="9" height="28.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="449.0" y1="190.0" x2="449.0" y2="210.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="444.5" y="196.0" width="9" height="8.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="464.0" y1="190.0" x2="464.0" y2="226.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="459.5" y="196.0" width="9" height="24.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="479.0" y1="214.0" x2="479.0" y2="240.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="474.5" y="220.0" width="9" height="14.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <line x1="494.0" y1="220.0" x2="494.0" y2="240.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="489.5" y="226.0" width="9" height="8.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="509.0" y1="220.0" x2="509.0" y2="250.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="504.5" y="226.0" width="9" height="18.0" fill="#c00"/>
+  <text x="404.0" y="230.0" fill="#333" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">hammer</text>
+  <text x="419.0" y="96.0" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 în formare</text>
+  <text x="434.0" y="260.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">sub locul crimei</text>
+  <text x="24" y="350" fill="#555">Intraday a fost la 55.30, dar ziua a închis la 52.90: semnalul nu a existat.</text>
+</svg>
+<!--/SVG-->
+
+Aceeași serie, până la hammer. În ziua următoare prețul urcă intraday până
+la **55.30**, peste nivelul unde exemplul DA a închis. Sistemul arată
+MBT-10 „în formare". Ziua se închide însă la **52.90**, sub open. A doua zi
+închide la **51.50**, **sub locul crimei**.
+
+- Cine a cumpărat intraday, la vederea semnalului, e în pierdere și sub
+  suport.
+- Cine a așteptat close-ul nu a avut niciun trade.
+
+> „Dacă nu se închide, nu e de intrat. Dacă se închide, e mișto de intrat."
+> ([Q&A 04.08.2026](../09_QA/04_2026-08-04.html#mbt-10-singura-conditie-care-conteaza))
+
+**De ce contează închiderea (completarea mea):** o bară intraday nu e
+încă bară. High-ul ei poate fi doar lichiditatea luată de pe stop-urile
+short-urilor și de pe ordinele buy stop de deasupra. Close-ul arată cine a
+rămas cu prețul la sfârșitul zilei. Un semnal calculat pe o bară neînchisă
+se calculează pe un preț care se mai poate schimba.
+
+---
+
+## 3. Pe ce timeframe
+
+| Timeframe | Rol | Din recolte |
+|---|---|---|
+| **daily** | trigger-ul standard de swing: aștepți închiderea zilei în MBT-10 | 10.09, 03.09, 25.08 |
+| **60 min** | trigger în **suport weekly**, când pe daily ideea e deja formată | 10.09 |
+| **60 min, alternativa mai devreme** | buy doji / buy momentum pe 60 min după un downtrend simplu, **numai** în direcția swing-ului de pe daily | 21.08 |
+| **weekly / monthly** | recoltele nu dau o regulă de MBT-10 pe weekly; pe timeframe-urile instituționale rolul îl au buy doji-ul și volumul | — |
+
+**Cascada de confirmări** ([Q&A 04.08.2026](../09_QA/04_2026-08-04.html#mbt-10-singura-conditie-care-conteaza)):
+MBT-10 pe 60 min → buy doji daily → buy doji weekly → buy doji monthly.
+Intri la prima treaptă. Restul treptelor îți spun dacă rămâi în trade.
+
+### MBT-10 pe 60 min, în suport weekly
+
+<!--SVG:mbt_60min-->
+<svg viewBox="0 0 700 344" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
+  <text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — 60 min</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="281.0" x2="686" y2="281.0" stroke="#b06000" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="30" y="275.0" fill="#b06000">suport weekly 88.00</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="302.0" x2="686" y2="302.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="672" y="296.0" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 87.30</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="224.0" x2="686" y2="224.0" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="672" y="218.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="end">intrare 89.90</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="65.0" x2="686" y2="65.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="672" y="59.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP 95.20 = 2.0R</text>
+  <line x1="44.0" y1="56.0" x2="44.0" y2="92.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="39.5" y="65.0" width="9" height="18.0" fill="#c00"/>
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+  <line x1="509.0" y1="80.0" x2="509.0" y2="119.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="504.5" y="89.0" width="9" height="21.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="524.0" y1="62.0" x2="524.0" y2="98.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="519.5" y="71.0" width="9" height="18.0" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <text x="224.0" y="316.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">test 1</text>
+  <text x="299.0" y="316.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">test 2</text>
+  <text x="374.0" y="316.0" fill="#b06000" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">test 3</text>
+  <text x="404.0" y="146.0" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 (60 min)</text>
+  <text x="24" y="332" fill="#555">Suportul weekly ține de trei ori; bara de 60 min închisă în MBT-10 e trigger-ul.</text>
+</svg>
+<!--/SVG-->
+
+- Pe 60 min, prețul coboară în **suportul weekly de la 88.00**.
+- Suportul e testat de **trei ori** și ține de fiecare dată. Între teste
+  apar vârfuri tot mai mici, deci o compresie. Pe 04.09: „a ținut suportul
+  ca la carte" înseamnă că cineva apără prețul.
+- Bara de 60 min se închide în MBT-10 la **89.90**, peste ultimele 5 bare →
+  intrare.
+- **SL 87.30**, sub suportul weekly: dacă suportul cedează, nu mai există
+  motivul trade-ului.
+- **TP 95.20**, vârful de unde a pornit coborârea = **2.0R**.
+
+**De ce 60 min și nu daily (completarea mea):** o bară daily în suport
+weekly poate avea un low cu 2-3% sub suport, deci stopul ar sta departe.
+Pe 60 min vezi testele una câte una și pui stopul chiar sub suport. Ideea
+(suportul weekly) rămâne pe timeframe mare; doar intrarea se face pe unul
+mic.
+
+---
+
+## 4. Intrarea în MBT-10 cu gap up, după un downtrend masiv
+
+Cel mai puternic caz din recolte (03.09):
+
+> „când intră în MBT-10 cu un gap up sus aici, după un downtrend masiv de
+> genul ăsta, cu divergențe pe volum, sunt mari șanse să vedem o nabucată
+> revenire."
+
+| Gap up în MBT-10 — DA | Gap up în MBT-10 — NU |
+|---|---|
+| downtrend masiv, departe de medie | fără divergență de volum |
+| stochastic oversold pe monthly și weekly | intrarea în MBT-10 încă neconfirmată la închidere |
+| double bottom sau serie de doji, ideal în locul crimei | |
+| divergență de volum: ultimul picior coboară cu vânzare mai mică | |
+
+<!--SVG:mbt_gap_up-->
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+  <text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="301.0" x2="666" y2="301.0" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="30" y="295.0" fill="#c00">SL 32.80 (sub gap)</text>
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+  <text x="30" y="275.4" fill="#188a3e">intrare 34.20</text>
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+  <text x="30" y="205.4" fill="#1a5fb4">TP 39.20 = 3.6R</text>
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+  <rect x="609.5" y="388.0" width="9" height="35.6" fill="#188a3e" opacity="0.55"/>
+  <text x="24" y="347.6" fill="#555">volum</text>
+  <text x="284.0" y="171.4" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">downtrend masiv</text>
+  <text x="359.0" y="330.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">picior 1</text>
+  <text x="449.0" y="341.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">picior 2</text>
+  <text x="479.0" y="232.6" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">gap up în MBT-10</text>
+  <text x="24" y="454" fill="#555">Piciorul 2 e mai jos, dar cu volum de vânzare mai mic: divergență. Gap-ul up e trigger-ul.</text>
+</svg>
+<!--/SVG-->
+
+1. **Downtrend masiv**, de la 50 la 32, sub SMA 20 tot drumul.
+2. **Picior 1** la 32.10, cu cel mai mare volum de vânzare din cădere.
+3. **Picior 2** la 30.90, mai jos, dar cu volum de vânzare de mai puțin
+   de jumătate. Prețul face lower low, volumul nu îl mai confirmă:
+   **divergență de volum**. Urmează un doji.
+4. **Gap up în MBT-10.** Bara deschide la 33.20, peste high-ul barei
+   anterioare (32.00). Închide la **34.20**, peste neckline-ul double
+   bottom-ului (34.10), cu cel mai mare volum din serie → **intrare 34.20**.
+5. **SL 32.80**, sub low-ul barei de gap. Dacă gap-ul se închide complet,
+   cumpărătorii care au sărit peste preț au renunțat.
+6. **TP 39.20**, ultimul lower high dinainte de piciorul 1 = **3.6R** (risc
+   1.40).
+
+**De ce funcționează gap-ul (completarea mea):** după o cădere lungă, mulți
+sunt short, iar stopurile lor stau deasupra ultimelor bare. Un gap up
+deschide direct peste acele stopuri. Short-urile se acoperă la market
+(short covering) și se adaugă cumpărătorilor noi. Divergența de volum arăta
+dinainte că vânzătorii rămăseseră puțini. Pe 04.09, cu stochastic extrem
+oversold pe monthly și weekly, ținta minimă e „măcar revenirea la medie".
+
+---
+
+## 5. După un gap down masiv: primul MBT-10 poate să nu meargă
+
+Regula e din [Q&A 11.08.2026](../09_QA/03_2026-08-11.html#mbt-10-dupa-un-gap-down-masiv-nu-astepta-confirmare):
+după o cădere masivă, la MBT-10 intri fără altă confirmare, dar **primul
+semnal poate să nu meargă; în general merge al doilea sau al treilea.**
+
+<!--SVG:mbt_a_doua-->
+<svg viewBox="0 0 760 367" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
+  <text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="80.0" x2="746" y2="80.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="732" y="74.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="end">TP 70.60 = 4.7R (gap închis)</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="219.2" x2="746" y2="219.2" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="30" y="213.2" fill="#777">#1 intrare 64.80</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="257.6" x2="746" y2="257.6" stroke="#777" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="732" y="251.6" fill="#777" text-anchor="end">#1 SL 63.20</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="281.6" x2="746" y2="281.6" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="30" y="275.6" fill="#188a3e">#2 intrare 62.20</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="324.8" x2="746" y2="324.8" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="732" y="318.8" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">#2 SL 60.40</text>
+  <line x1="44.0" y1="77.6" x2="44.0" y2="101.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
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+  <rect x="489.5" y="89.6" width="9" height="21.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="509.0" y1="63.2" x2="509.0" y2="96.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="504.5" y="70.4" width="9" height="19.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <text x="194.0" y="159.6" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">gap down</text>
+  <text x="239.0" y="174.4" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 #1</text>
+  <text x="269.0" y="308.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">stop</text>
+  <text x="329.0" y="338.8" fill="#188a3e" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 #2</text>
+  <text x="24" y="355" fill="#555">Primul MBT-10 după gap down te scoate; al doilea, cu același risc, merge.</text>
+</svg>
+<!--/SVG-->
+
+- **Gap down masiv**: de la ~71 la 66.40, fără nicio bară între.
+- **MBT-10 #1** se închide la 64.80. Intrare, cu SL 63.20 sub low-ul
+  barelor de după gap. Două zile mai târziu, stop.
+- **MBT-10 #2** se închide mai jos, la **62.20**. **SL 60.40**, sub noul
+  low. Același risc în bani ca la #1.
+- **TP 70.60 = închiderea gap-ului** (low-ul ultimei bare dinainte) =
+  **4.7R**.
+
+**Consecința practică (completarea mea, pe regula lui):** dacă intri cu
+toată mărimea pe #1 și ești stopat, pierzi și banii, și curajul pentru #2.
+Împarte riscul: pierderea la #1 (1R) plus câștigul la #2 (4.7R) dau un
+trade bun. Cu toată mărimea pe #1, pierzi 2-3R și probabil nu mai intri la
+#2.
+
+---
+
+## 6. MBT-10 short pe indice: explicația corecției
+
+MBT-10 funcționează și în jos. Pe 21.08 corecția pieței a fost explicată
+direct prin semnalul de pe indice:
+
+> „știți că am avut MBT 10 pe Indig, short, ăsta este una din explicații
+> principale pentru care și a căzut piața."
+
+| MBT-10 short pe indice — ia-l în serios | Semnal că se termină |
+|---|---|
+| McClellan sub linia de zero (risc de reject și de continuare) | ATR în spike peste 100%, cu McClellan oversold |
+| structura de top: double top cu al doilea vârf mai sus | preț în locul crimei, gap închis, SMA 20 atinsă |
+
+<!--SVG:mbt_short-->
+<svg viewBox="0 0 620 369" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="width:100%;height:auto;font:12px sans-serif">
+  <text x="24" y="48" fill="#333" style="font-weight:bold">Exemplu construit (fără ticker) — daily, indice</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="56.0" x2="606" y2="56.0" stroke="#fff" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray=""/>
+  <text x="592" y="50.0" fill="#fff" text-anchor="end"></text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="91.2" x2="606" y2="91.2" stroke="#c00" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="592" y="85.2" fill="#c00" text-anchor="end">SL 60.40</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="141.8" x2="606" y2="141.8" stroke="#188a3e" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="30" y="135.8" fill="#188a3e">intrare short 58.10</text>
+  <line x1="24" y1="232.0" x2="606" y2="232.0" stroke="#1a5fb4" stroke-width="1.5" stroke-dasharray="4 3"/>
+  <text x="30" y="226.0" fill="#1a5fb4">TP 54.00 = 1.8R</text>
+  <line x1="44.0" y1="295.8" x2="44.0" y2="326.6" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="39.5" y="302.4" width="9" height="17.6" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="59.0" y1="271.6" x2="59.0" y2="309.0" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="54.5" y="278.2" width="9" height="24.2" fill="#188a3e"/>
+  <line x1="74.0" y1="271.6" x2="74.0" y2="295.8" stroke="#1a1a1a" stroke-width="1.2"/>
+  <rect x="69.5" y="278.2" width="9" height="11.0" fill="#c00"/>
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+  <rect x="84.5" y="262.8" width="9" height="26.4" fill="#188a3e"/>
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+  <text x="254.0" y="72.8" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">vârf 1</text>
+  <text x="344.0" y="57.4" fill="#777" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">vârf 2</text>
+  <text x="374.0" y="190.4" fill="#c00" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">MBT-10 short</text>
+  <text x="164.0" y="262.0" fill="#1a5fb4" text-anchor="middle" style="font-weight:bold">bază</text>
+  <text x="24" y="357" fill="#555">MBT-10 short pe indice: nu cumperi acțiuni în corecție; short doar dacă ai regulile lui.</text>
+</svg>
+<!--/SVG-->
+
+- Uptrend, **vârf 1** la 59.60, pullback, apoi **vârf 2** mai sus, la
+  60.30. Cumpărătorii nu mai trag prețul departe de primul vârf.
+- Ziua se închide în **MBT-10 short** la **58.10**.
+- Pentru acțiuni: nu intri long în zilele astea, oricât de bun ar fi
+  setup-ul. Majoritatea acțiunilor urmează indicele.
+- Dacă tranzacționezi indicele short: intrare 58.10, **SL 60.40** peste
+  vârful 2, **TP 54.00**, baza de unde a pornit ultima urcare = **1.8R**.
+
+Oglinda pe long e diagrama 1. Acolo tot la close, tot cu stop dincolo de
+structură.
+
+---
+
+## 7. Scanner-ul și confluențele: MBT-10 e ultima piesă
+
+> „ele sunt venite majoritatea din scanner-ul de MBT-10, dar sunt puse la
+> pachet cu alte combinații pe care le învățați." (04.09)
+
+Fluxul lui (04.09): fundamental → monthly → weekly → daily → MBT-10 ca
+trigger la final. **Scanner-ul dă lista, confluențele o filtrează**, iar
+close-ul în MBT-10 decide intrarea.
+
+> „posibil să intrăm în MBT-10, deci o combinație cu MBT-10 ca să rețineți
+> foarte multe confluențe."
+
+Cum apare MBT-10 în setup-urile din recolte:
+
+| Setup | Ce face MBT-10 în el | Zi |
+|---|---|---|
+| **pullback în locul crimei + hammer în suport quarterly** | trigger-ul, la închiderea zilei (diagrama 1) | 10.09 |
+| **strategia MICI** (buy doji weekly + higher low peste pivot) | bonus de confirmare, alături de volum și buy doji pe daily | 10.09 |
+| **double bottom cu al doilea picior mai jos**, în suportul lunii trecute, cu buy doji și gap-uri închise | trigger pe termen scurt, la închidere | 03.09 |
+| **buy doji monthly + wick în FVG monthly** (al doilea picior de double bottom) | confirmarea finală | 24.08 |
+| **double bottom în formare vs bear flag** | cu divergență de volum, buy doji weekly și MBT-10, înclini spre urcare | 24.08 |
+| **spike low** sub consolidare | spike low-ul singur nu e intrare; aștepți MBT-10 | 20.08, 21.08 |
+| **triple doji** în descending wedge, oversold, divergență de volum weekly | ultima confluență | 19.08 |
+| **reintrare după primul target**, retest în locul crimei | MBT-10 pe daily sau inverted H&S pe 60 min; ideal un nou buy doji | 25.08 |
+| **bull flag înapoi în locul crimei** după breakout | intri doar cu pattern de bottom acolo + MBT-10 la închidere | 03.09 |
+| **retest la 1/2 gap = previous high** | continuarea cere reintrare în MBT-10 + trendline rupt + peste pivot | 03.09 |
+| **buy hammer din suportul monthly, gap deasupra** | gap-ul de sub preț e riscul; intrarea în MBT-10 face varianta long mai probabilă | 02.09 |
+| **island top, apoi gap închis în pivotul quarterly** | poți intra și **înainte** de MBT-10, imediat după închiderea gap-ului | 21.08 |
+| **sezonalitate / sector favorizat** | sezonalitatea singură nu e intrare; trigger-ul e setup-ul tehnic + MBT-10 | 25.08 |
+
+Două reguli rezultă din tabel:
+
+- **Buy momentum fără volum → aștepți MBT-10** în loc să intri (10.09).
+- **MBT-10 nu anulează un risc de eveniment.** Double bottom + buy hammer +
+  MBT-10, dar earnings în zilele următoare = gamble trade. Nu intri
+  direcțional (10.09).
+
+---
+
+## 8. Intraday: MBAP dă zona, M2D dă trigger-ul
+
+Pentru intraday și prop, logica e aceeași ca la MBT-10 pe daily:
+**un nivel mare** pentru idee și **un trigger mic** pentru intrare.
+
+- **MBAP** dă zona: nivel major, suport, bottom după o mișcare violentă.
+- **M2D pe 15/80 de secunde** dă momentul intrării.
+- Raport câștig/risc de 1:3 până la 1:7. Tranzacții puține, doar în
+  suporturi majore (03.09).
+
+> „dacă tu folosești M de Mbap și trigger-ul de M2D, vei explodea."
+
+Aplicare din 02.09: pe futures, după ce low-ul zilei anterioare e spart și
+apare exhaustion selling sub low-uri, cauți M2D 15/80. Stop-ul se mută pe
+break-even când trade-ul merge. Dacă volumul e în distribuție, lași prețul
+să mai facă un swing low.
+
+**Fără diagramă, deliberat.** Parametrii M2D sunt incerți în transcriere
+(„15 cu 80", „15 cu 10"), iar detaliile au fost promise după modulul 6. O
+diagramă pe secunde cu cifre construite ar arăta o regulă pe care
+materialul nu o dă.
+
+---
+
+## Gotchas
+
+- **Nu intra pe „în formare".** Diagrama 2: intraday 55.30, închis la
+  52.90, a doua zi sub locul crimei.
+- **Nu pune toată mărimea pe primul MBT-10 după gap down.** Diagrama 5: #1
+  stopat, #2 la 4.7R. Împarte riscul pe încercări.
+- **Scanner-ul nu e o listă de cumpărături.** Ideile vin de acolo, dar
+  fără suport, volum și pattern de bottom, MBT-10 e doar un semnal pe o
+  bară oarecare (04.09).
+  > „majoritatea tranzacțiilor […] sunt cu relativ volume peste 100% și cu
+  > relativ strength-ul în cadranul de îmbunătățire"
+- **Spike low-ul nu e bottom până nu vine MBT-10.** Pe același grafic a
+  arătat un spike low după care căderea a continuat (20.08).
+  > „nu de fiecare dată, că uite și aici a fost un spyglow și după care a
+  > continuat căderea, dar este de așteptat o intrare de tipu MBT-10"
+
+---
+
+## Surse
+
+Din analiza zilnică (recoltele din `harvest/`):
+
+- **19.08.2026** — triple doji la bottom, cu MBT-10 ca ultimă confluență.
+- **20.08.2026** — spike low-ul e motiv să aștepți MBT-10, nu intrare.
+- **21.08.2026** — MBT-10 short pe indice explică corecția; spike low sub
+  consolidare cu confirmare MBT-10; island top, unde poți intra înainte de
+  MBT-10; buy doji pe 60 min ca intrare mai devreme.
+- **24.08.2026** — FVG monthly ca al doilea picior + MBT-10; double bottom
+  vs bear flag.
+- **25.08.2026** — reintrarea după primul target, cu MBT-10 pe daily;
+  sezonalitate + MBT-10.
+- **02.09.2026** — gap-ul ca risc sau țintă; MBT-10 face varianta long mai
+  probabilă; M2D 15/80 după low-ul zilei anterioare.
+- **03.09.2026** — intrarea în MBT-10 cu gap up după downtrend masiv;
+  MBT-10 la închidere în bull flag și la 1/2 gap; MBAP + M2D.
+- **04.09.2026** — scanner-ul de MBT-10 + combinații; analiza top-down cu
+  MBT-10 la final; suport care ține pe 60 min.
+- **10.09.2026** — MBT-10 confirmat la închiderea zilei; 60 min în suport
+  weekly; buy momentum fără volum → aștepți MBT-10; earnings = gamble trade.
+
+Din Q&A: [04.08.2026](../09_QA/04_2026-08-04.html#mbt-10-singura-conditie-care-conteaza)
+(închiderea ca singura condiție, cascada de confirmări),
+[11.08.2026](../09_QA/03_2026-08-11.html#mbt-10-dupa-un-gap-down-masiv-nu-astepta-confirmare)
+(primul MBT-10 după gap down),
+[25.08.2026](../09_QA/01_2026-08-25.html) (strategiile merg pe orice piață,
+fiind bazate pe pivoți). Referințe externe pentru pattern-urile din jurul
+trigger-ului: [Investopedia — Gap](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/gap.asp),
+[Investopedia — Hammer](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/h/hammer.asp).
+
+---
+
+*Ce e completare a mea: toate prețurile și diagramele sunt construite (în
+transcrieri cifrele sunt nesigure, iar MBT-10 nu e desenat pentru că nu i
+se cunoaște formula). Stop-urile, țintele și calculul R din exemple sunt
+aplicarea mea a regulilor, nu cifre spuse de el. Tot ale mele sunt:
+explicația de ce contează închiderea, mecanismul short covering-ului la
+gap up, motivul pentru 60 min în suport weekly și aritmetica împărțirii
+riscului pe 2-3 încercări. Regulile (confirmarea la close, 60 min în suport
+weekly, gap up + divergență, MBT-10 short pe indice, scanner + confluențe,
+MBAP + M2D), tabelul de setup-uri și citatele vin din sesiuni.*